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Gold eases despite global rally | The Express Tribune

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Gold eases despite global rally | The Express Tribune


At current prices, the looted gold is worth around $70 million. PHOTO: PIXABAY


KARACHI:

Gold prices in Pakistan eased Rs1,500 on Tuesday, diverging from a powerful rally in international markets where bullion surged beyond the historic $5,000 per ounce threshold, driven by intensifying economic and geopolitical uncertainty and sustained safe-haven demand.

In the domestic market, the price of gold per tola declined by Rs1,500 to Rs530,562, according to rates issued by the All-Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association (APGJSA). Similarly, the price of 10-gram gold fell by Rs1,286 to Rs454,871.

The modest pullback followed Monday’s sharp rally, when gold surged by Rs10,900 per tola to hit a record Rs532,062, reflecting the strong transmission of the global price breakout into local markets.

Internationally, spot gold rose 1.3% to $5,079.62 per ounce by 1441 GMT, after touching an all-time high of $5,110.50 on Monday and closing at $5,014.29, according to Reuters. The metal has now gained more than 62% since 2025, marking one of the strongest annual rallies in modern market history. Analysts attribute the surge to persistent safe-haven demand amid geopolitical instability, currency volatility, and heightened macroeconomic uncertainty.

Meanwhile, silver in Pakistan rose by Rs212 to Rs11,640 per tola, reflecting broader volatility across precious metal markets as investors reposition portfolios in response to global risk dynamics.

Commenting on market conditions, Adnan Agar, Director at Interactive Commodities, said gold was showing signs of short-term consolidation after the sharp rally. “Gold was underwhelmed, similar to yesterday (Monday). It hit highs near $5,100 and was later trading around $5,085. Yesterday’s $5,110 level can be considered an all-time high,” he said.

Agar added that investor positioning remains cautious ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision, due early Wednesday (Pakistan time). “The US monetary policy announcement will determine the next direction for gold. For now, a correction phase seems to be forming. Silver and platinum are already down, while gold has paused. A new direction will be set after the Fed’s decision,” he noted.

Globally, the rally in gold has been fueled by aggressive central bank accumulation, growing de-dollarisation strategies, and escalating geopolitical risk. Analysts say sovereign demand has now become a structural driver of the gold market rather than a cyclical one.

With prices at record highs, buying activity has surged in Asian markets, particularly in Shanghai and Hong Kong, where jewellery stores and bullion dealers have reported heavy footfall. Analysts at Societe Generale expect gold to reach $6,000 per ounce by year-end, while Citi has upgraded its short-term silver price forecast to $150 per ounce, reinforcing bullish sentiment across precious metal markets.

Meanwhile, the Pakistani rupee edged up 0.01% in the inter-bank market on Tuesday, closing at 279.82 per dollar, a gain of Rs0.03 from Monday’s close at 279.85.



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‘Holistic And Forward-Looking’: Piyush Goyal Says Budget 2026 Reflects Future-Ready India

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‘Holistic And Forward-Looking’: Piyush Goyal Says Budget 2026 Reflects Future-Ready India


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Piyush Goyal termed the Budget “economically and fundamentally very strong”, and stated that it “reflects the aspirations of the youth of the country”.

Minister of Commerce and Industry Piyush Goyal. (File photo)

Minister of Commerce and Industry Piyush Goyal. (File photo)

Union Minister Piyush Goyal on Sunday termed Budget 2026 “futuristic and holistic”, and stated that it “reflects the aspirations of the youth of the country and is forward-looking”.

Speaking exclusively to CNN-News18 on Budget 2026, presented by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, Goyal said, “This is a fabulous budget and it is very futuristic. The Budget 2026 has covered all sectors including technology, infrastructure, etc.”

“The technology sector has been given a thrust. The budget focuses on infrastructure. It is a holistic and forward-looking budget refecting future ready Bharat,” he said, adding, “The budget meets the aspirations of the youth and new India.”

Stating that the Budget is economically and fundamentally very strong, the Union Minister said, “Farmers, animal husbandry and labour-intensive sectors get a major push as this Budget focuses on investment, value addition and jobs.”

‘Budget 2026 Is Human-Centric’: PM Modi

Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Sunday said that the Union Budget 2026 is “human-centric and strengthens India’s foundation with path-breaking reforms.” The Prime Minister also described it as historic and a catalyst for accelerating the country’s reform trajectory and long-term growth.

Following the presentation of the Budget in Parliament, PM Modi said the proposals would energise the economy, empower citizens and give India’s youth fresh opportunities to scale new heights.

“This budget brings the dreams of the present to life and strengthens the foundation of India’s bright future. This budget is a strong foundation for our high-flying aspirations of a developed India by 2047,” he said.

Calling the government’s reform agenda a “Reform Express”, the Prime Minister added, “The reform express that India is riding today will gain new energy and new momentum from this budget.”

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How inflation rebound is set to affect UK interest rates

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How inflation rebound is set to affect UK interest rates


Interest rates are widely expected to remain at 3.75% as Bank of England policymakers prioritise curbing above-target inflation while also monitoring economic growth, according to expert analysis.

The Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is anticipated to leave borrowing costs unchanged when it announces its latest decision on Thursday, marking its first interest rate setting meeting of the year.

This follows a rate cut delivered before Christmas, which was the fourth such reduction.

At the time, Governor Andrew Bailey noted that the UK had “passed the recent peak in inflation and it has continued to fall”, enabling the MPC to ease borrowing costs. However, he cautioned that any further cuts would be a “closer call”.

Since that decision, official data has revealed that inflation unexpectedly rebounded in December, rising for the first time in five months.

How the UK interest rate has changed in recent years

The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation rate reached 3.4% for the month, an increase from 3.2% in November, with factors such as tobacco duties and airfares contributing to the upward pressure on prices.

Economists suggest this inflation uptick is likely to reinforce the MPC’s inclination to keep rates steady this month.

Philip Shaw, an analyst for Investec, stated: “The principal reason to hold off from easing again is that at 3.4% in December, inflation remains well above the 2% target.”

He added: “But with the stance of policy less restrictive than previously, there are greater risks that further easing is unwarranted.”

Shaw also highlighted other data points the MPC would consider, including gross domestic product (GDP), which saw a return to growth of 0.3% in November – a potentially encouraging sign for policymakers.

Matt Swannell, chief economic advisor to the EY ITEM Club, affirmed: “Keeping bank rate unchanged at 3.75% at next week’s meeting looks a near-certainty.”

The rate of inflation in recent years

The rate of inflation in recent years

He noted that while some MPC members who favoured a cut in December still have concerns about persistent wage growth and inflation, recent data has not been compelling enough to prompt back-to-back reductions.

Edward Allenby, senior economic advisor at Oxford Economics, forecasts the next rate cut to occur in April.

He explained: “The MPC will continue to face a delicate balancing act between supporting growth and preventing inflation from becoming entrenched, with forthcoming data on pay settlements likely to play a decisive role in shaping the next policy move.”

The Bank’s policymakers have consistently voiced concerns regarding the pace of wage increases in the UK, which can fuel overall inflation.



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Budget 2026: India pushes local industry as global tensions rise

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Budget 2026: India pushes local industry as global tensions rise



India’s budget focuses on infrastructure and defence spending and tax breaks for data-centre investments.



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