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Gold Price Prediction For Monday: Iran-Israel War Boosts Safe-Haven Demand; Will Precious Metal Rise On March 2?

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Gold Price Prediction For Monday: Iran-Israel War Boosts Safe-Haven Demand; Will Precious Metal Rise On March 2?


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Amid Iran-Israel war, analysts say gold and silver prices might see support on safe-haven demand as equities may remain volatile in coming week.

Gold Price Prediction For Monday, March 2.

Gold Price Prediction For Monday, March 2.

Gold Price Prediction For Monday, March 2: Even as the Iran-Israel war has begun with missile exchanges on February 28, risk-off sentiment is spreading across global financial markets, pushing investors toward traditional safe-haven assets. Cryptocurrencies (which is the only market open during weekends) were the first to react, with Bitcoin falling nearly 5% to slip below the $64,000 mark after news of the conflict broke. Analysts say equities could remain volatile in the coming week as geopolitical uncertainty intensifies, a backdrop that historically supports gold prices.

Gold had already shown strong momentum ahead of the weekend. In the national capital, prices jumped Rs 1,800 to Rs 1,64,700 per 10 grams on Friday, according to the All India Sarafa Association, compared with Rs 1,62,900 per 10 grams in the previous session. The surge was driven by fresh buying from jewellers and stockists as investors positioned for global uncertainty.

Also Read: Nifty Prediction For Monday: Iran-Israel War Hits Market Sentiments; Gap-Down Likely On March 2

Saumil Gandhi, Senior Analyst – Commodities at HDFC Securities, said gold rose amid mixed global signals, “as markets weighed escalating US trade protectionism and persistent tensions in the Middle East against a steady dollar”. He added that geopolitical friction and tariff-related uncertainty continued to support safe-haven demand, although a stable dollar and reduced expectations of US Federal Reserve rate cuts capped sharper gains.

Silver, however, moved in the opposite direction domestically. The metal declined Rs 2,500, or nearly 1%, to Rs 2,68,000 per kilogram from Rs 2,70,500 per kg previously, according to the association. In global markets, spot silver gained 1.6% to USD 89.72 per ounce, while gold traded marginally lower at USD 5,172.17 per ounce.

Gold & Silver Price Prediction: Safe-Haven Demand May Strengthen

Nachiketa Sawrikar, fund manager at Artha Bharat Global Multiplier Fund, believes the geopolitical escalation could intensify flows into defensive assets like gold and silver.

“A USA and Israel attack on Iran would likely trigger broad selling of risky assets across both the developed and emerging markets. We would expect the ongoing rally in USA Treasuries, oil, gold, and silver to extend.”

Typically, this pattern is observed during geopolitical shocks, when investors reduce exposure to equities and rotate capital toward commodities like gold and silver and sovereign debt.

Bullion markets remain closed on weekends in India as well as globally.

Gold & Silver Outlook For March 2

With global markets likely to open the week reacting to war developments, gold and silver’s trajectory on Monday will largely depend on three factors: escalation or de-escalation headlines from the Middle East, movement in the US dollar, and bond-yield trends.

If tensions intensify, safe-haven demand could push bullion prices higher. However, any signs of diplomatic engagement or a sharp rise in the dollar could limit gains.

For now, the broader bias remains supportive for gold and silver, with geopolitical uncertainty reinforcing its traditional role as a hedge during periods of global instability.

Market participants are also turning their attention to key macro triggers. Investors will closely track US Producer Price Index data and commentary from Federal Open Market Committee officials, both of which could shape expectations for interest-rate policy and influence bullion’s near-term trajectory. “Speeches from several Federal Open Market Committee members will also be closely watched for further insights, which may provide fresh momentum for gold,” he said.

Iran-Israel War

The US and Israel launched a major attack on targets across Iran on Saturday, and US President Donald Trump called on the Iranian people to “take over your government” — an extraordinary appeal that suggested the allies could be seeking to end of the country’s theocracy after decades of tensions.

The first strikes of the attack appeared to target the compound home to Iran’s 86-year-old Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in downtown Tehran. It wasn’t immediately clear if he was there at the time. Smoke could be seen rising from the Iranian capital.

“For 47 years, the Iranian regime has chanted Death to America and waged an unending campaign of bloodshed and mass murder, targeting the United States, our troops and the innocent people in many, many countries,” Trump said in a video posted on social media that sought to justify the attacks. He urged Iranians to take cover during the strikes, but then: “When we are finished, take over your government. It will be yours to take.” The attack quickly expanded beyond Iran. Iran’s paramilitary Revolutionary Guard said it responded by launching a “first wave” of drones and missiles targeting Israel, where a nationwide warning was issued as the military said it bring down Iranian fire.

Meanwhile, Bahrain said that a missile attack targeted the US Navy’s 5th Fleet headquarters in the island kingdom. Witnesses heard sirens and explosions in Kuwait, home to US Army Central. Explosions could be also be heard in Qatar.

Iraq and the United Arab Emirates closed their airspace, and sirens sounded in Jordan.

The Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen, meanwhile, vowed to resume attacks on Red Sea shipping routes and on Israel, according to two senior Houthi officials. They spoke on condition of anonymity because there was no official announcement from the Houthi leadership.

(With inputs from agencies)

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India-US trade deal: Three-day talks to begin from April 20; what to expect – The Times of India

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India-US trade deal: Three-day talks to begin from April 20; what to expect – The Times of India


India and the United States are set to resume trade negotiations this week, with a delegation of about a dozen officials travelling from New Delhi to Washington for discussions on the first phase of the proposed bilateral trade agreement (BTA). The talks, scheduled from April 20 to 22, will be led by India’s chief negotiator Darpan Jain, additional secretary in the department of commerce, and will include officials from the customs department and the ministry of external affairs.“The meeting will happen from April 20-22 in Washington DC. India’s chief negotiator Darpan Jain (additional secretary in the department of commerce) is leading the team. Officers from customs and external affairs ministry are also part of the Indian team,” an official told PTI. This round of talks comes after major changes in the US tariff system, which have led both sides to reconsider the structure of the trade agreement finalised earlier this year and released on February 7.A key shift came after the US Supreme Court struck down reciprocal tariffs imposed under the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act, prompting the US administration to introduce a temporary flat 10% tariff on all countries for 150 days from February 24. These developments resulted in postponing of a planned February meeting between the chief negotiators, with the rescheduled talks in Washington now set to take place under this updated tariff framework.With Washington now applying a uniform 10% tariff on all trading partners, the relative advantage India had under the earlier arrangement has diminished, leading to calls for revisiting the agreement. “So the agreement will have to be recalibrated, redrafted,” a government source has said, adding, “that amount of change will take place from their side”.“In our case, since the agreement has not been signed, we have got the option where we can right now change whatever needs to be changed,” the source has said.In addition to tariff issues, the discussions are expected to address two investigations initiated by the US Trade Representative under Section 301 of its trade law. India has contested the allegations in these probes and has asked for them to be withdrawn, arguing that the initiation notices do not provide adequate justification. The talks are taking place at a time when countries are reassessing their positions under the revised tariff system amid changes in global trade with the US.At the same time, trade patterns for India have also seen changes. China has become India’s largest trading partner in 2025-26, replacing the US, which had held that position for four consecutive years until 2024-25.Latest figures show India’s exports to the US rose slightly by 0.92% to $87.3 billion in the last financial year, while imports grew by 15.95% to $52.9 billion. This resulted in a narrowing of the trade surplus to $34.4 billion in 2025-26, compared with $40.89 billion in the previous year.



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Rs 20,000 crore gold, silver rush: What will people buy this Akshaya Tritiya? – The Times of India

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Rs 20,000 crore gold, silver rush: What will people buy this Akshaya Tritiya? – The Times of India


This Akshaya Tritiya, India’s gold and silver markets are heading for bumper purchases, with overall trade likely to cross Rs 20,000 crore even as record-high prices reshape buying patterns. The estimate, shared by the Confederation of All India Traders (CAIT), is higher than last year’s Rs 16,000 crore, signalling growth in value despite a sharp rise in bullion rates.Prices for the yellow metal have surged sharply over the past year, going from Rs 1,00,000 per 10 grams, to Rs 1.58 lakh. Meanwhile, silver has shown a steeper rally, jumping from Rs 85,000 per kilogram to Rs 2.55 lakh per kilogram. According to CAIT, this sharp escalation has not weakened demand, but is instead prompting consumers to make more deliberate and value-oriented purchases.Praveen Khandelwal, member of parliament from Chandni Chowk and secretary general of CAIT told ANI, “Akshaya Tritiya has traditionally been one of India’s most auspicious occasions for purchasing gold… While gold continues to dominate, the nature of purchasing is evolving significantly in response to steep price escalation.”Commenting on customer preference, CAIT national president BC Bhartia highlighted, “There is a clear shift towards lightweight, wearable jewellery, alongside a stronger focus on silver and diamond products. Attractive incentives such as reduced making charges and complimentary gold coins are also helping sustain consumer interest.”Despite the increase in overall trade value, the quantity of metals being sold tells a different story. Pankaj Arora, National President of the All India Jewellers and Goldsmith Federation (AIJGF), an associate of CAIT, explained that the projected Rs 16,000 crore gold trade amounts to nearly 10,000 kilograms (10 tonnes) at current rates. The value, spread across an estimated 2 to 4 lakh jewellers, translates to average sales of only 25 to 50 grams per jeweller, “clearly indicating a sharp decline in volume”.Meanwhile for silver, the estimated Rs 4,000 crore trade corresponds to around 1,56,800 kilograms (157 tonnes), resulting in average sales of about 400 to 800 grams per jeweller during the festival period. “These figures underline a critical shift: while the value of business is expanding due to rising prices, actual consumption is contracting,” Khandelwal said.This gap between value and volume is also reshaping consumer’s buying pattern, with smaller items and lightweight jewellery gaining popularity. At the same time, jewellers are facing challenges due to fluctuating prices, especially when it comes to managing inventory.Even so, festive demand remains steady, with markets witnessing healthy footfall. “Consumers are now adopting a more cautious and pragmatic approach, balancing traditional beliefs with financial discipline,” Khandelwal added.At the same time, it’s not just about physical gold anymore as consumers are increasingly exploring alternatives like digital gold, Sovereign Gold Bonds and gold ETFs, drawn by the promise of liquidity, safety and flexibility when prices are volatile.CAIT and AIJGF have urged jewellers to comply with mandatory hallmarking standards, including HUID certification, and advised buyers to verify the purity and authenticity of their purchases.



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The cost of rising rents: Working four jobs and pushed on to benefits

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The cost of rising rents: Working four jobs and pushed on to benefits



Lauren Elcock is among the young Londoners who say rising rents are forcing them to quit the capital.



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