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Govt to borrow $1b for reforms | The Express Tribune

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Govt to borrow b for reforms | The Express Tribune


Some of the banks have not publicly disclosed any climate policies aligned with the Paris Agreement in lending and investment activities. photo: file


ISLAMABAD:

Pakistan has decided to obtain two foreign loans worth $1 billion for enhancing efficiency of the tax machinery, accountability of expenses and ensuring compliance with state-owned enterprises law — objectives that require will to improve rather than fresh loans.

The country has decided to seek a $600 million loan from the World Bank for the “Pakistan Public Resources for Inclusive Development” programme and $400 million from the Asian Development Bank (ADB) for the “Accelerating State-Owned Enterprise Transformation Programme”, official documents showed.

The $1 billion translates into a staggering Rs281 billion at the current exchange rate, sufficient to build an airport or hundreds of schools.
The loans will be obtained as budget support to cushion foreign exchange reserves. No asset will be created using the fresh foreign lending, details of these under-negotiation loans showed.

The development collides with a proposal by Syed Naveed Qamar, Chairman of the National Assembly Standing Committee on Finance. Qamar this week sought ratification of foreign debt deals by Parliament to ensure transparency and better utilisation of lending facilities.

Sources said the Ministry of Finance has proposed obtaining these loans as budget support to cushion foreign exchange reserves. Unlike the past, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has so far not unlocked major foreign lending. This compelled the central bank to buy $8.4 billion from the local market last fiscal year.

Budget support loans are not disbursed against asset creation. Money is released upon completion of agreed prior actions, mainly policy and law changes.

Sources said the $600 million World Bank loan will fund “reforms” in the Finance Division, Federal Board of Revenue (FBR), Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), Ministry of Commerce, Power Division, Ministry of Information Technology, Pakistan Procurement Regulatory Authority (PPRA) and Office of the Accountant General Pakistan Revenue (AGPR).

Of the $600 million, $560 million will be disbursed against achieving certain targets. These include increasing income tax share in total taxes to 55% over five years. The current ratio is less than 50%. Usually, such targets are kept soft to ensure smooth tranche disbursement.

The government’s rationale in official documents is that Pakistan’s human capital outcomes like high stunting, learning poverty and infant mortality reflect chronic underinvestment and inefficient public spending shaped by a rigid, deficit-prone fiscal framework.

The official stance is that the $600 million programme will directly address these structural constraints, enabling Pakistan to sustainably finance inclusive development and meet national goals.

Officials said the Finance Division and the World Bank were in the process of finalising loan package details.

The programme aims to strengthen the fiscal system to support macroeconomic stability and service delivery. This will be achieved through “more efficient and effective revenue collection, strengthened allocation, efficiency and accountability in expenditures, and improved statistical data landscape for policymaking.”

The Express Tribune reported last month that there was a staggering $30 billion discrepancy in import figures reported by various government entities over a period of five years.

\Under the proposed programme, PBS will gain from technical assistance, upgraded systems and capacity building to provide timely, accurate data for policy decisions, according to the documents.

The loan money is also being taken in the name of strengthening the Tax Policy Unit, Debt Management Office, government rightsizing and open budgeting.
However, the World Bank and ADB have previously funded these offices. Much more remains to be achieved, indicating that improving governance of these institutions is needed more than money.

Sources said the FBR had previously expressed desire to utilise World Bank funds for buying weapons for civil armed forces, mainly Customs Enforcement. However, the World Bank did not agree. The FBR may again propose including “equipment, weapons required by civil armed forces” in the new lending envelope.

However, sources said the Planning Commission has raised objections to the new $600 million plan. It noted that foreign loans had previously been taken for FBR and AGPR. Existing lending programmes — Pakistan Raise Revenue Programme for FBR worth $450 million and Implementation of Online Billing solution (SEHAL) for AGPR — overlap with the new proposed plan.
ADB loan
Sources said the government is also seeking a $400 million loan from ADB for the Accelerating State-Owned Enterprise Transformation Programme.
The ADB package aims to address critical corporate governance and commercial performance challenges within 40 of Pakistan’s commercial state-owned enterprises.
ADB has already funded hundreds of millions of dollars in packages for improving governance and development of the SOEs framework in Pakistan.
In a seminar organised by the Sustainable Development Policy Institute (SDPI) this week, country heads of the United Nations Development Programme and IMF emphasised improving poor governance for better service delivery.
IMF has also conditioned approval of the third $1 billion loan tranche under the Extended Fund Facility on publication of the Governance and Corruption Diagnostic Assessment report.
Sources said the new loan addresses governance challenges by enhancing efficiency, financial sustainability and performance of 40 SOEs, particularly the financial sustainability of National Highway Authority (NHA).
Stated objectives of the new facility include strengthening governance and compliance with SOE Act and policy, enhancing institutional capacity for oversight and monitoring, and improving financial and operational performance of NHA. Systematic monitoring and accountability have been weak due to limited institutional capacity within the Central Monitoring Unit and line ministries.



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Air India Express fleet expansion: First line-fit Boeing 737-8 MAX arrives in Capital Monday; marks Tata-era milestone – The Times of India

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Air India Express fleet expansion: First line-fit Boeing 737-8 MAX arrives in Capital Monday; marks Tata-era milestone – The Times of India


Air India Express will get its first line fit Boeing 737-8 MAX aircraft on Monday, December 29 in New Delhi. It’s the first brand-new plane made specifically for Air India since Tata Group took over from the government in 2022. The aircraft, registered as VT-RNT, pays tribute to Ratan Naval Tata with a special livery design, according to Flight Radar, quoted by PTI.The plane is part of Air India’s massive fleet expansion. The group ordered 470 planes in February 2023, added another 100 orders in December 2024. Until now, Air India Group has only been using white tail aircraft – planes originally made for other airlines but redirected to them due to global supply chain issues.Air India Express marked notable growth this year. The airline’s Managing Director, Aloke Singh, recently told staff that they’ve crossed the 100-aircraft milestone. In 2025, they added 25 new planes – including 14 Boeing MAXs, 4 A321 neos, 4 A320 neos, and 3 A320 ceos. They also received their first retrofitted Boeing B737 MAX and welcomed their first Airbus A321 neo, which was part of 16 A320 family aircraft transferred from Air India.



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How 2025 became the year of the cyber hack – and what British businesses face next

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How 2025 became the year of the cyber hack – and what British businesses face next


As 2025 winds down, business leaders and executives will feel it has been a particularly expensive year as the cost of employment shot up, inflation of raw materials impacted supply chains and both oil and tariff shocks hit in the first half of the year.

But perhaps the biggest cost of all was one borne by companies hit by cyber attacks.

One damning government report suggests that close to half of British businesses (43 per cent) and three in ten charities (30 per cent) claimed to suffered a type of cyber security breach or attack in the past year. These include anything from a phishing attack to a full-blown digital shutdown costing hundreds of millions of pounds.

(Getty Images)

The list of those affected includes some of Britain’s biggest businesses.

Marks and Spencer. Adidas. Co-op Group. Heathrow airport. Harrods. And, of course Jaguar Land Rover (JLR). Each have suffered publicly confirmed cyber hacks. These attacks were not limited to companies either: the German parliament also suffered a breach and, in October, the UK government saw the Foreign Office hacked.

Organisations have to fight a moving target, one with seemingly limitless capabilities. This isn’t a foe a business and kill and move on from – cyber attacks come in all different ways, from all points of the earth and if one attempt doesn’t work, it just keeps coming.

Jason Soroko, a cybersecurity expert and host of the Root Causes podcast, put it bluntly: “For cyber attacks, 2025 was brutal. 2026 will be worse.”

What did the hacks cost?

Attackers aren’t just looking to break into digital vaults and extract cash. Data has become incredibly valuable, while damage to economic or manufacturing operations can provide an opportunity for someone else to pick up the slack in demand, meaning State-level involvement is part of the picture at times too.

The truth is for a business, lost sales are only part of the picture – there’s reputational damage to consider, possible reimbursement or lost opportunity costs, the loss of ongoing clients to rivals and, obviously, the amount spent to fix and then upgrade their own systems too.

Cybersecurity Ventures, a noted source of data and research in the cybersecurity sphere, says the entire “industry” was worth around $10.5 trillion this year alone (£7.8tn). In country terms, this would make it the third-biggest economy in the world after only the US and China.

For individual companies, the reliance is on their accountancy estimates being made public. M&S originally said the hit to their profits would be in the region of £300m, but ultimately in November gave a figure of just under half that, having recouped £100m in insurance payouts.

JLR were not so fortunate as they had not renewed their cyber insurance specifically, meaning they’d bear the brunt of a £200m estimated cost. Meanwhile, Co-op’s cyber attack saw more than 6 million customers’ data stolen, with the final tally expected to cost around £120m.

Elsewhere, the “cost” is more difficult to place a figure on, but is more wide-ranging and potentially damaging.

JLR’s shutdown was big enough, and prolonged enough, to contribute towards an economic downturn: car production failed to rebound in September and October across the industry and was one of the big factors in UK GDP contracting 0.1 per cent in the latter month.

The biggest issues and why firms are struggling

There are several good reasons why companies cannot keep cybercrime at bay.

Attacks can be multi-pronged in style or timing and have the advantage of being first: those in defence must rely on seeing what the attackers are doing and respond accordingly.

“Attackers now deploy AI at a speed defenders simply haven’t matched. It’s an asymmetry that widens by the month. Defenders have been slow to uptake stronger authentication, which is like failing to better locks on the doors. The attackers take advantage of this,” explained Mr Soroko, who works with online security firm Sectigo.

Cybersecurity Ventures, meanwhile, estimates that the “frequency of ransomware attacks on governments, businesses, consumers, and devices will continue to rise […] to hit once every two seconds by 2031.”

It’s a lot to stop – and that’s just the digital version.

What about when humans get involved? We know about people getting caught out by scams through texts, emails and more. Why would it be any different for ordinary people at work?

“We’re currently seeing youths socially-engineer their way into global businesses. After online research and exploiting other breaches to obtain information, a single phone call to a help desk can be enough to persuade them to reset passwords or MFA tokens,” explained Tim Rawlins, security director at the cyber firm NCC Group.

“This opens the door for criminals to move across systems and escalate their access until they have the same level of access as IT teams do.”

What comes next is critical.

Co-op notably opted to pull the plug, as it were, locking out those hacking them but also limiting their own initial powers of response as it was deemed that was the safest course of action.

(Getty Images)

The government’s cyber report notes even the biggest firms don’t actually have a set course of action for if they are hit: 53 per cent of medium businesses and 75 per cent of large ones have “have an incident response plan”, it suggests.

“Following breaches, organisations can’t afford knee-jerk fixes,” Mr Rawlins adds. “Organisations must work with cyber experts to rebuild their systems safely; seeing how the hackers were able to infiltrate, what they accessed, and how a breach is impacting critical business systems.”

But this is a wide-ranging topic, a brand new area for many businesses to deal with and an area of high expertise needed. As such, many remain underprepared to deal with it.

Research from compliance company IO suggests a third of British and American companies don’t feel that governments are doing enough to support and protect them.

What are the next big risks?

The pace of technological change means firms are facing an awful lot of “the same, but different”. Hackers looking to exploit gaps in security, individuals unwittingly opening or accessing files and even external or third party contributors accidentally letting outsiders in have all been part of the equation this year.

Companies essentially have to defend against what they cannot see coming – plus there’s no telling when attackers themselves might decide a particular target is now the ideal one.

Moody’s, the global ratings firm, says cyber attacks on banks in particular “are rising and becoming more sophisticated”. If you thought being unable to order a click and collect from M&S for a couple of months was bad, try imagining not being able to make payments, withdraw cash or check your balance.

Happily they do note most banks have “robust defences”, though those financial institutions using technological infrastructure “developed decades ago” and simply building new apps and process on top of it do present an ongoing concern.

Simply put, it’s a race to a never-in-sight finish line to keep security systems updated. For some businesses next year, the question will at some stage inevitably turn to what the best method of containment is, rather than how to keep attackers out. Once the defences are breached, the answer to that question can be the difference worth many, many millions.



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India’s GDP Projected To Grow 7.4% In FY26, RBI To Keep Rates Unchanged In Feb

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India’s GDP Projected To Grow 7.4% In FY26, RBI To Keep Rates Unchanged In Feb


New Delhi: India’s real GDP growth is projected at 7.4 per cent for FY26, up from 6.5 per cent in FY25, a report has said, highlighting seasonal pick up in electricity, mining and construction sectors. The report from ICRA said that growth is expected to ease below 7 per cent in H2 FY26 from 8 per cent in H1 because of an unfavourable base effect and moderation in exports.

The report expects a pause in the February 2026 policy review by the RBI, with future decisions to be guided by the FY27 Union Budget and evolving inflation-growth dynamics. Meanwhile, economic activity remained healthy in Q3 FY26, aided by GST rate‑cut led festive demand and seasonal upticks in some sectors.

ICRA expects consumption volumes of goods and services as well as manufacturing volumes to have benefited from GST cuts and festival demand in Q3, though the export drag may intensify in H2 unless a US trade deal materialises.

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The firm forecasts CPI inflation to plunge to 2 per cent in FY26 from 4.6 per cent in FY25, with WPI at 0.4 per cent. CPI rose to 0.7 per cent in November 2025 from 0.3 per cent in October, due to a narrower deflation in food and beverages.

Additionally, mining and construction activity as well as electricity demand are set to witness a seasonal pick up in the coming months, after the easing owing to rainfall-related disruptions, it said. “Cement production is expected to grow 6.5–7.5 per cent in FY26. Steel demand growth may moderate to 7–8 per cent after strong previous years. Electricity demand growth is muted at 1.5–2 per cent for FY26,” the report noted.

It also flagged external risks including delay in the US-India trade deal, and global policy changes affecting service exports. Domestic risks encompass subdued export growth, monsoon variability, fiscal constraints, and inflationary pressures from commodity prices.



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