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India-Nepal Trade Poised To Double In Next Five Years: Report

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India-Nepal Trade Poised To Double In Next Five Years: Report


New Delhi: Strengthening business linkages and sustained investment flows between India and Nepal are expected to drive bilateral trade into a new growth phase, with volumes likely to double by 2030, according to an article in Nepalese media.

Bilateral trade remains the most visible and measurable pillar of India–Nepal economic relations, reflecting both geographic proximity and deep-rooted interdependence. India accounts for over 64 per cent of Nepal’s total trade, underscoring its centrality to Nepal’s external economic engagement and supply chains. In FY 2024–25, total bilateral trade reached approximately USD 8.7 billion, reaffirming India’s position as Nepal’s largest trading partner by a wide margin.

India’s exports to Nepal stood at about USD 7.4 billion, dominated by petroleum products, machinery, vehicles, pharmaceuticals, food items, and construction materials, which are critical to Nepal’s consumption and infrastructure needs. Nepal’s exports to India, valued at nearly USD 1.3 billion, mainly include electricity, agricultural products, iron and steel items, and manufactured goods.

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This robust trade structure underscores both the extent of economic integration and the significant potential for diversification, value addition, and more balanced growth of Nepal’s export basket in the coming years. With growing business and investments, the trade trajectory is expected to enter a new phase, with bilateral trade doubling over the next five years, according to the article in the Nepal Aaja news portal.

The article also highlights that India–Nepal bilateral investments reflect a deepening economic partnership anchored in geographical proximity, historical trust, and growing strategic convergence. Indian companies constitute the largest source of foreign direct investment in Nepal, accounting for roughly 30–35 per cent of Nepal’s total FDI stock.

Cumulative Indian investment is estimated at USD 750–800 million, with operational investments of nearly USD 670 million spread across more than 150 Indian ventures. These investments span key sectors such as hydropower, manufacturing, banking, insurance, telecommunications, cement, tourism, education, and hospitality, making India a critical driver of Nepal’s industrialisation and services-sector expansion.

Indian public and private enterprises have played a particularly transformative role in Nepal’s hydropower sector by combining capital, technology, and assured power off-take arrangements, thereby strengthening Nepal’s energy security while creating long-term commercial returns for Indian firms. Indian banks and insurance companies have contributed to financial deepening and stability, while joint ventures in manufacturing and tourism have generated employment, skills, and local value addition.

This investment synergy is reinforced by India’s broader development partnership initiatives, which support infrastructure creation, cross-border connectivity, and capacity building, thereby lowering investment risks and enhancing economic integration. Together, investment flows and development finance are knitting the two economies into a closely interconnected economic space with shared long-term interests, the article points out.

Energy cooperation has emerged as a transformative pillar of India–Nepal relations, redefining Nepal’s role in the regional economy. Nepal possesses vast hydropower potential, estimated at over 40,000 MW of economically viable capacity. In recent years, concerted efforts by both governments have enabled Nepal to transition from a net importer of electricity to a growing exporter.

In fiscal year 2024–25, Nepal exported approximately NPR 17–18 billion (about USD 130 million) in electricity, with the majority sold to India. Long-term power trade agreements envisage Nepal exporting up to 10,000 MW of electricity to India over the coming decade.

This energy partnership provides Nepal with a stable source of export revenue while supporting India’s clean energy transition and regional grid stability. The integration of power markets has also positioned India as a transit country for Nepal’s electricity exports to third countries, further enhancing regional economic cooperation, the article added.



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India adopts quota-based auto duty cuts, alcohol tariff relief under US pact; export access widens – The Times of India

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India adopts quota-based auto duty cuts, alcohol tariff relief under US pact; export access widens – The Times of India


Benchmarking its market access strategy to product sensitivity, India will grant quota-based duty concessions in the automobile sector while offering market access to alcoholic beverages under tariff reduction and minimum import price-based formulations under the trade pact with the United States, the government said on Monday, PTI reported. Under the agreement, tariffs on $30.94 billion of India’s exports will be reduced from 50 per cent to 18 per cent, while reciprocal tariffs on another $10.03 billion will be eliminated.

India-US Trade Deal Explained: What The White House Says On Tariffs, Markets And Tech Shifts

“This means a substantial share of Indian goods entering the US market will now face either sharply lower tariffs or completely duty-free access, significantly improving price competitiveness,” the government said.The government said $1.36 billion of Indian agricultural exports will receive zero additional US duty access. Key products include spices, tea, coffee, fruits, nuts and processed foods.

Sectoral gains across textiles, gems, agriculture

Sensitive sectors such as automobiles have been liberalised through a mix of quota and duty reduction mechanisms. According to an official, India is not granting any duty concessions on electric vehicles to the US.Medical devices have been placed under long and staggered phasing schedules, while precious metals and other sensitive industrial products are being managed through quota-based tariff lowering.“Alcoholic beverages have been offered under tariff reduction along with minimum import price-based formulations, consistent with India’s approach in other FTAs (free trade agreements),” it added.Listing sectoral gains, the government said tariffs on textile exports will be cut from 50 per cent to 18 per cent, while silk will get nil duty access, opening opportunities in the US textile market valued at $113 billion.Tariffs for the domestic gems and jewellery sector will also fall to 18 per cent, providing preferential access to the US market valued at $61 billion.“In addition, 0 per cent duty market access has been secured for major product categories including diamonds, platinum and coins, covering a US market of $29 billion,” it added.Key export segments expected to gain include cut and polished diamonds, lab-grown synthetic diamonds, coloured gemstones, synthetic stones and articles made of gold, silver and platinum.

Agri access structured by sensitivity, protection retained

India maintains a $1.3 billion trade surplus in agricultural trade with the US, with exports of $3.4 billion and imports of $2.1 billion in 2024, the government said.The United States will apply zero additional duty on Indian exports worth $1.36 billion. Beneficiary items include spices, tea, coffee, copra, coconut oil, cashew nuts, chestnuts, avocados, bananas, guavas, mangoes, kiwis, papayas, pineapples and mushrooms.Cereals such as barley and canary seeds, bakery products, cocoa and cocoa preparations, sesame and poppy seeds, and processed food products such as fruit pulp, juices and jams will also benefit.In line with India’s existing FTA approach, agricultural market access has been structured based on product sensitivity, including immediate duty elimination, phased elimination of up to 10 years, tariff reduction, margin of preference and tariff rate quota mechanisms.Highly sensitive agricultural sectors remain fully protected under an exemption category. These include meat, poultry, dairy products, GM food products, soyameal, maize and cereals.For select sensitive products, tariff reduction has been applied to maintain measured duty protection. Examples include plant parts, olives, pyrethrum and oil cakes.Certain highly sensitive items have been liberalised under tariff rate quotas (TRQs), allowing limited quantities at reduced duties. These include in-shell almonds, walnuts, pistachios and lentils.Phased tariff elimination of up to 10 years has been offered for certain intermediate food processing inputs sourced from multiple countries, including albumins, coconut oil, castor oil, cotton seed oil and plant derivatives.“Immediate duty elimination has been offered only for select non-sensitive products that are already liberalised under other FTAs,” it said.

Industrial goods and digital trade framework

For industrial goods, the agreement secures zero additional duty access for exports valued at $38 billion, the government said.India will get zero reciprocal duty access in key industrial categories including gems and diamonds, platinum and coins, clocks and watches, essential oils, inorganic chemicals, paper articles, plastics, wood products and natural rubber.Market access for American industrial goods has been structured strictly based on product sensitivity, combining immediate tariff elimination, phased reduction of up to 10 years and quota-based access.In digital trade, India’s digitally delivered services exports stood at $0.28 trillion in 2024, growing 10.3 per cent year-on-year.India ranks fifth globally in digitally delivered services exports and eleventh in imports, while the US ranks first in both categories.“A structured digital trade framework between the two countries reduces regulatory uncertainty, lowers compliance friction and facilitates smoother cross-border service delivery,” the government said.



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Beauty brand Barry M bought out of administration by Warpaint

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Beauty brand Barry M bought out of administration by Warpaint



High street beauty brand Barry M has been bought out of administration by cosmetics firm Warpaint for £1.4 million.

The acquisition includes the brand and intellectual property, but not Barry M’s factory and staff.

London-listed Warpaint, which owns make-up brands W7 and Technic, said it expects the move to help it grow into key retail channels in the UK.

Barry M has stands in more than 1,300 stores including Superdrug, Boots, Sainsbury’s and Tesco, as well as selling products online.

The British brand is known for its colourful nail varnishes and affordable make-up, positioned as vegan and cruelty-free, having grown to become staples of the UK high street.

It was founded by Barry Mero in 1982, with the leadership of the business passed down to his don Dean Mero after his death in 2014.

The brand moved to appoint administrators last year after warning over “geopolitical issues” and rising prices which it said were absorbed into its cost base.

It nonetheless generated a £17.4 million turnover and a £172,000 pre-tax profit for the year to the end of February 2024, according to its most recently published results.

It had more than 120 staff on average during the year, with most employed at its manufacturing site in London.

Warpaint, whose products are also stocked in high street retailers, told investors that earnings for the 2025 financial year were expected to come in at around £22 million.

But it said the collapse of beauty retailer Bodycare last year and subsequent closure of all its stores negatively impacted the group, as it was a significant retail customer of its brand Technic.



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US stocks today: S&P 500, Dow edge lower as global rally runs out of steam – The Times of India

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US stocks today: S&P 500, Dow edge lower as global rally runs out of steam – The Times of India


US stocks edged lower on Monday as the momentum from a strong global rally that began in Asia lost steam by the time trading reached Wall Street.The S&P 500 slipped 0.2 per cent in early trade. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 62 points, or 0.1 per cent, as of 9:35 a.m. Eastern time, while the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.4 per cent, AP reported.The softer start followed a sharp surge in Asian markets, where Japan’s Nikkei 225 jumped 3.9 per cent to a record high after the ruling party secured a landslide victory in parliamentary elections. Investors expect the political outcome to strengthen Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s ability to push economic and market reforms.On Wall Street, markets paused after Friday’s strong rally, which marked the best session since May. However, concerns continue to linger over stretched valuations, with the S&P 500 still trading near its all-time high set last month.Investors are also increasingly questioning whether heavy spending by Big Tech and other companies on artificial intelligence will generate sufficient profits to justify the scale of investments.Volatility across other asset classes showed signs of easing after recent sharp swings. Bitcoin slipped below $69,000 after briefly crossing $71,000 over the weekend, having dropped close to $60,000 last week, more than halfway below its record high hit in October.Gold rose 1.2 per cent to move back above $5,000 per ounce, continuing sharp price swings after roughly doubling over the past year. Silver also advanced 3 per cent, extending its volatile trading pattern.Among stocks, Kroger gained 6.1 per cent after appointing a former Walmart executive as its new chief executive officer. Workday fell 5.9 per cent after announcing CEO Carl Eschenbach would step down, with co-founder Aneel Bhusri set to return to the role.Transocean slipped 1 per cent after announcing plans to acquire Valaris in an all-stock deal valued at $5.8 billion, while Valaris shares surged 22.3 per cent.In bond markets, US Treasury yields remained largely steady ahead of key economic data due later this week, including monthly jobs data on Wednesday and consumer inflation data on Friday. Both reports are expected to shape expectations around the Federal Reserve’s interest rate outlook.The Fed has paused rate cuts for now, but a weaker labour market could accelerate easing, while persistently high inflation could delay further rate reductions.The yield on the 10-year Treasury held steady at 4.22 per cent.Across global markets, Asian equities rallied strongly, led by Japan. South Korea’s Kospi surged 4.1 per cent, while Hong Kong rose 1.8 per cent and Shanghai gained 1.4 per cent. European markets, however, traded mixed with modest movements.



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