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India Overtakes Japan To Become World’s Fourth-Largest Economy, Eyes Third Spot By 2030

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India Overtakes Japan To Become World’s Fourth-Largest Economy, Eyes Third Spot By 2030


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According to the government, India’s GDP is projected to reach USD 7.3 trillion by the end of the decade.

India also continues to be the fastest-growing major economy globally.

India also continues to be the fastest-growing major economy globally.

India has overtaken Japan to become the world’s fourth-largest economy, with a gross domestic product (GDP) of USD 4.18 trillion and is on track to surpass Germany to claim the third position by 2030, the government said in a release on economic reforms.

According to the government, India’s GDP is projected to reach USD 7.3 trillion by the end of the decade, which would place it behind only the United States and China among the world’s largest economies.

India also continues to be the fastest-growing major economy globally. Real GDP expanded by 8.2 per cent in the second quarter of the 2025–26 fiscal year, accelerating from 7.8 per cent in the first quarter and 7.4 per cent in the final quarter of the previous fiscal. The government said this marked a six-quarter high, reflecting the economy’s resilience amid ongoing global trade uncertainties.

The release said domestic factors, particularly strong private consumption, were the main drivers of growth. It added that international agencies had echoed optimism about India’s outlook. The World Bank projected growth of 6.5 per cent in 2026, while Moody’s expects India to remain the fastest-growing G20 economy, with growth of 6.4 per cent in 2026 and 6.5 per cent in 2027.

The International Monetary Fund raised its projections to 6.6 per cent for 2025 and 6.2 per cent for 2026, while the OECD forecasts growth of 6.7 per cent in 2025 and 6.2 per cent in 2026. S&P projected growth of 6.5 per cent in the current fiscal and 6.7 per cent in the next, and the Asian Development Bank lifted its 2025 forecast to 7.2 per cent. Fitch has raised its FY26 projection to 7.4 per cent, citing stronger consumer demand.

The government said inflation remains below the lower tolerance threshold, unemployment is declining and export performance is improving. Financial conditions have stayed supportive, with strong credit flows to the commercial sector and firm demand, aided by strengthening urban consumption.

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FTSE 100 buoyed by gains for mining stocks

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FTSE 100 buoyed by gains for mining stocks



Stock prices in London closed higher on Tuesday, the penultimate day of the year, as gains for mining shares strengthened the blue chip index.

The FTSE 100 Index closed up 74.18 points, 0.8%, at 9,940.71.

The FTSE 250 Index ended up 150.85 points, 0.7%, at 22,558.36, and the AIM All-Share closed up 7.28 points, 1.0%, at 766.86.

The markets in London will close early this Wednesday, before the New Year’s Day holiday on Thursday.

The market reopens on Friday for a full trading day.

“The global nature of the inhabitants of London’s top-flight index has helped it avoid the doldrums which have held back the more domestically focused FTSE 250 – although even it was experiencing that end-of-year phenomenon often referred to as a ‘Santa rally’ today,” said AJ Bell analyst Danni Hewson.

“Investors have been looking beyond the usual suspects for value and diversification as the US dollar came under pressure and the world continued to be beset with geopolitical turmoil and fears of an AI bubble.

“An indication that further interest rate cuts are on the cards in the US could enable Wall Street to find a higher gear and minutes from the Fed’s last meeting of the year should also shed some light on that.”

In European equities on Tuesday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed up 0.7%.

The DAX 40 in Frankfurt ended 0.6% higher after a shortened day of trading.

It will remain shut on Wednesday, while financial markets in Paris will trade for a shorter day on Wednesday before Thursday’s new year holiday.

The pound was quoted at 1.3475 dollars at the time of the London equities close on Tuesday, down from 1.3491 dollars at the time of the early London equities close on Monday.

The euro was higher at 1.1762 dollars from 1.1757 dollars.

Against the yen, the dollar was trading at 156.25 yen, up from 156.04 yen.

Stocks in New York were lower.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.2%, while the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite were 0.1% lower.

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.12% on Tuesday, unchanged from Monday.

The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was steady at 4.80%.

US home price growth remained subdued in October, with annual gains close to two-year lows and prices falling in most major cities on the month, according to the latest S&P Cotality Case-Shiller index.

The S&P Cotality Case-Shiller US national home price index rose 1.4% year-on-year in October, edging up from a 1.3% increase in September but marking one of the weakest annual readings since mid-2023.

On a month-on-month basis, national prices fell 0.2% on a non-seasonally adjusted basis.

Service sector activity in Texas was unchanged in December, according to the latest Texas service sector outlook survey published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.

According to business executives responding to the survey, the revenue index, a key measure of state service sector conditions, rose 2.6 points to 0.1 in December from minus 2.5 in November.

Labour market measures suggested steady employment conditions, but with hours worked falling during the month.

The employment index fell 3.9 points to minus 0.8, while the part-time employment index fell 1.0 points, also to minus 0.8.

The near-zero reading for both the employment and part-time employment indices indicates little change in employment or part-time employment.

The hours worked index dropped 1.7 points to minus 2.4.

Respondents in December continued to perceive worsening broader business conditions, the report showed.

In London, Fresnillo shares were 6.8% higher.

The stock hit a record high on Monday, supported by a lofty gold and silver price, before surrendering that progress before the end of trading that day.

Fresnillo shares have risen more than five-fold so far this year, one of the brightest sparks on the FTSE 100.

Citigroup raised its price target for Fresnillo to 3,900 pence from 3,000p with a “buy” rating.

Other miners were also on the up, with Antofagasta rising 3.3% and Anglo American and Glencore adding 2.4%.

Among other stocks, Caspian Sunrise shares jumped 13% on the AIM market after it noted “significant tax concessions” from the Kazakh government, which has reissued the firm’s mining licences.

It said the country’s Ministry of Energy has granted tax rebates “to assist in the development of the BNG contract area’s deep structures”.

Caspian will be temporarily exempt from export customs and duties on crude oil.

The British company will not owe Kazakhstan historic cost, mineral extraction tax and excess profits tax on production from its 99% owned BNG area.

An “alternative subsoil use tax” will apply instead.

BNG is an onshore oil prospect which contains the Airshagyl and Yelemes Deep structures.

In order to proceed with the tax kickbacks, the government has issued new appraisal licences covering both structures, Caspian said.

Airshagyl’s permit is for an initial three years; at Yelemes Deep, it is for two years.

Shares in Westminster Group sank 21%.

The Banbury, Oxfordshire-based security and technology services company said it is in “advanced discussions” for a “significant investment” by a strategic investor that operates in Africa and the Middle East.

The unnamed company has also indicated interest in collaborating with Westminster on business opportunities.

“The board anticipates the regional expertise that the potential investor has to be of considerable benefit as opportunities within the territories continue to develop,” Westminster said.

The company is also in the “final stages of negotiating a significant offshore banking facility for project financing”.

Jarvis Securities shares lost 20% as it reported a widened full-year loss as it noted one unit will need to pay a redress to some clients for breaching the UK financial watchdog’s code of conduct.

The operator of retail stockbroking brands said pre-tax profit fell 43% to £3.0 million for the 18 months to June 30, from £5.2 million achieved in calendar year 2023.

The company changed its financial year-end to June 30 from December 31.

This was despite revenue rising 37% to £17.9 million in the 18 months from £13.1 million in the 12 months of 2023.

The bottom line was weakened by increasing administrative expenses, which jumped 66% to £17.9 million from £13.1 million.

Brent oil was slightly lower at 61.44 dollars a barrel at the time of the London equities close on Tuesday from 61.48 dollars late on Monday.

Gold was steady at 4,366.20 dollars an ounce at Tuesday’s close, against 4,336.60 dollars on Monday.

The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Fresnillo, up 218 pence at 3,412p, Antofagasta, up 105p at 3,316p, Airtel Africa, up 11.2p at 355.4p, Glencore, up 10p at 406.5p, and Anglo American, up 71p at 3,056p.

The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Metlen Energy & Metals, down 0.3p at 44.25p, Experian, down 22p at 3,409p, Pershing Square, down 28p at 4,794p, Intertek, down 26p at 4,630p, and DCC, down 18p at 4,672p.

Wednesday will see initial jobless claims data from the US in focus for investors on the last day of 2025.

There are no events scheduled on Wednesday’s UK corporate calendar.

Contributed by Alliance News



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Pakistan, ADB ink two climate resilience initiatives worth over $300m – SUCH TV

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Pakistan, ADB ink two climate resilience initiatives worth over 0m – SUCH TV



Pakistan and the Asian Development Bank (ADB) on Tuesday signed two major climate resilience initiatives aimed at strengthening coastal protection and promoting low-carbon agriculture.

According to a statement issued by the Ministry of Finance and Revenue, the agreements include the $180.5 million Sindh Coastal Resilience Sector Project (SCRP) and the Punjab Climate Resilient and Low Carbon Agriculture Mechanisation Project, valued at $124 million.

Speaking at the signing ceremony in Islamabad, Secretary Ministry of Economic Affairs Muhammad Humair Karim appreciated ADB’s continued support, describing it as a trusted development partner in Pakistan’s efforts to advance climate resilience, sustainable agriculture and inclusive growth.

He said the Sindh Coastal Resilience Project would promote integrated water resources and flood risk management, restore nature-based coastal defences, and strengthen institutional and community capacity for strategic planning.

The project will be financed through $140.5 million from ADB, including a $140 million loan and $0.5 million technical assistance grant, $40 million from the Green Climate Fund, and $20 million in counterpart funding from the Sindh government. It is expected to directly benefit more than 3.8 million people in Thatta, Sujawal and Badin districts.

Karim said the Punjab Climate Resilient and Low Carbon Agriculture Mechanisation Project would enhance agricultural productivity and climate resilience across 30 districts of Punjab. The project, with a total outlay of $129 million, will be financed through a $120 million ADB loan, a $4 million ADB grant, and $5 million in counterpart funding from the Punjab government.

Under the project, small farmers will gain improved access to climate-smart machinery, circular agriculture practices will be introduced to reduce crop residue burning, testing and training facilities will be established, and 15,000 women will be empowered through skills development and livelihood diversification.

The secretary said both initiatives were transformative, noting that the Sindh project would safeguard livelihoods, food security and biodiversity along the province’s vulnerable coastal belt, while the Punjab project would drive sustainable, low-carbon agricultural growth and inclusive development.

ADB Country Director Emma Fan welcomed Pakistan’s commitment, highlighting the importance of the Sindh project in addressing climate-induced risks and protecting coastal communities, and describing the Punjab mechanisation initiative as a key step toward modernising agriculture and reducing emissions.

Both sides reaffirmed their commitment to ensure the effective use of financing and the timely completion of the two projects.



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Banks to remain closed for public dealing on January 1 – SUCH TV

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Banks to remain closed for public dealing on January 1 – SUCH TV



The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Tuesday announced a bank holiday across the country on January 1, 2026.

In a statement, the central bank said that all banks and financial institutions will remain closed for public dealings on the first day of the new year.

The development finance institutions (DFIs) and micro finance banks (MFBs) will also remain shut on January 1.

However, the SBP clarified that all employees of the banks, DFIs and MFBs will attend their offices as usual on the bank holiday.

The bank holiday allows commercial banks to complete year-end processes and ensure a smooth transition into the new financial year.



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