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India-US Trade Deal Nears Finish Line, Pakistan Scrambles To Decode What Comes Next – Here’s Why

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India-US Trade Deal Nears Finish Line, Pakistan Scrambles To Decode What Comes Next – Here’s Why


India-US Trade Deal: The long negotiations between India and the United States over a new trade agreement have finally reached the last mile. Officials on both sides say the deal is now in its “final stage”, and there is a strong possibility that it will be signed before the end of November. The expectation inside New Delhi is that the moment this agreement takes effect, the steep US tariff, presently around 50 percent on several categories of Indian products, will come down.

The possible tariff cut has already triggered fresh calculations across South Asia. Pakistan, in particular, is watching every step with unusual intensity. Diplomats in Islamabad believe the agreement will reveal how Washington intends to shape its economic presence in the region over the next decade. If the deal moves forward smoothly, India-US trade could rise to $500 billion by 2030, something that has caught the attention of every neighbouring capital.

A report in Dawn cited Pakistani diplomatic sources saying, “Pakistan and other South Asian countries are hoping that the agreement will encourage the United States to expand trade with the rest of the region as well.”

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The official added that Islamabad wants Washington to extend the same level of economic engagement to smaller South Asian economies that it offers India.

According to the official, this is one of the reasons the joint US-Pakistan statement on bilateral trade is still on hold. Pakistan’s diplomats have been in discussions with the Office of the US Trade Representative, trying to settle the last details before making anything public.

Both sides continue to work on what officials describe as “loose ends” that must be tied up before the statement is released.

Pakistan Watches Every Move

The key concern in Islamabad is how to benefit from the American tariff concessions on goods made from raw materials imported from the United States. Pakistani officials are examining whether the same relaxations, once extended to India, could be used to increase Pakistan’s own exports to the American market.

For now, Islamabad prefers to stay silent. As one source said, “Pakistan is avoiding any immediate announcement. They are waiting for the India-US agreement to take its final shape.”

Pakistan’s Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb, had travelled to the United States in October for World Bank meetings. During that visit, he said that an official statement on Pakistan-US trade would be released “within a few weeks”.

US Tariff On India Set To Drop

The United States imposed a 19 percent tariff on Pakistani goods on August 1, far lower than the 50 percent duty applied to India. This gap has given Islamabad a rare edge. As of now, Pakistani firms are exporting more easily to America than their Indian counterparts.

Washington had earlier kept India’s tariff at 26 percent, but it was doubled to 50 percent after New Delhi expanded its purchases of Russian oil. With India now reducing its imports from Moscow, American officials have reportedly become more open to easing the tariff burden once the trade agreement is signed.

The coming weeks will decide whether this long pursuit of a trade breakthrough finally ends in success. Washington and New Delhi appear ready. Islamabad is also waiting to the deal to be inked, hoping it will reveal how much space remains for Pakistan, and for South Asia, to grow in America’s next phase of economic outreach.



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Us India Oil Waiver: ‘Releases the pressure on other refineries’: US says India’s Russian oil waiver is a short-term step to stabilise global prices – The Times of India

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Us India Oil Waiver: ‘Releases the pressure on other refineries’: US says India’s Russian oil waiver is a short-term step to stabilise global prices – The Times of India


The United States has said its decision to grant India a temporary waiver to purchase certain Russian oil supplies is a short-term move aimed at stabilising global crude prices amid supply disruptions linked to tensions in the Middle East.US energy secretary Chris Wright said the measure is intended to quickly bring oil stored in floating reserves into the global market and ease immediate supply constraints.

US Allows India To Buy Russian Oil As Allies Offer Gas Supplies Amid Iran War And Hormuz Tensions

Speaking to ABC News Live, Wright said large volumes of Russian crude are currently stored in tankers around southern Asia and that Washington had encouraged India to buy these cargoes.“We need to get oil on the market in the short term. In the long term, supplies are abundant. There’s no worry there,” Wright said, adding that the temporary step was necessary as oil prices were rising due to constraints in shipments passing through the Strait of Hormuz.“As oil gets bid up a little bit because of those constraints coming out of the Straits of Hormuz, we’re taking a short-term action to say all this floating Russian oil storage that’s around southern Asia,” he said.Wright said the US had asked India to absorb those cargoes. “We’ve reached out to our friends in India and said, ‘Buy that oil. Bring it into your refineries.’ That pulls stored oil immediately into Indian refineries and releases the pressure on other refineries around the world,” he added.He stressed that the waiver does not represent a shift in Washington’s stance toward Moscow. “This is no change in policy towards Russia. This is a very brief change in policy just to keep oil prices down a little bit better than we could otherwise,” Wright said.Earlier in the day, US treasury secretary Scott Bessent announced a 30-day waiver allowing Indian refiners to purchase Russian oil cargoes stranded at sea.“To enable oil to keep flowing into the global market, the treasury department is issuing a temporary 30-day waiver to allow Indian refiners to purchase Russian oil,” Bessent said in a post on X.

Indian refiners step up purchases

Following the waiver, Indian refiners have begun purchasing large volumes of Russian oil floating in Asian waters, reported news agency PTI, citing sources.The companies have snapped up around 20 million barrels of crude, mostly from non-sanctioned entities, though they are seeking legal clarity on whether the exemption also allows purchases from sanctioned firms.The US Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control has issued a licence permitting the delivery and offloading of Russian crude loaded on vessels before March 5, 2026, with transactions allowed until April 4, 2026.The move comes as the widening West Asia conflict disrupts energy shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, through which nearly 40–50 per cent of India’s crude imports typically pass.India, which holds reserves covering roughly 25 days of crude demand, has turned to Russian cargoes at sea to ensure domestic fuel supplies remain stable. Indian refiners had already been importing about one million barrels of Russian oil per day in recent months.Industry estimates cited by PTI suggest around 15 million barrels of Russian crude are currently floating in the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal, while additional cargoes are waiting near Singapore and other routes that could reach Indian ports within weeks.Analysts say the waiver provides short-term relief for India’s energy security, though competition from other buyers, particularly China, may limit the volume of additional Russian oil available.



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Stock markets tumble as oil prices surge in biggest weekly gain since 2020

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Stock markets tumble as oil prices surge in biggest weekly gain since 2020



Global stock markets have continued to take a hammering as oil prices rocketed in their biggest weekly gain for six years, with no sign of a swift resolution to the conflict in the Middle East.

London’s FTSE 100 Index slumped 1.6% lower at one stage before closing about 130 points, or 1.2%, lower at 10,284.75 on Friday.

Declines were compounded by heavy falls on Wall Street, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones indexes down about 1.1% after European markets had closed.

Gloomy jobs data in the US were adding to market woes, and there were similar declines across Europe as the Dax in Germany and France’s Cac 40 were both 1.5% down at one stage, before paring back some of the losses to close 0.9% and 0.7% lower, respectively.

By Friday evening, benchmark Brent crude prices shot up by as much as another 10% to 94 US dollars a barrel, reaching levels not seen for three years, after Kuwait reportedly joined Qatar and said it was beginning to halt energy production.

The sharp gains since the US-Israel war with Iran began on Saturday mean oil prices have risen by more than 25% so far this week – the biggest weekly gains since early 2020 at the height of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Comments from US President Donald Trump that there would be no end to the conflict until an “unconditional surrender” of the Iranian regime has further dashed hopes of a de-escalation.

Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB, said: “There is not much to stop (oil) from hitting 100 dollars per barrel in the near term.

“Until the oil price stabilises it’s hard to see how stock markets and bond prices can recover.”

She cautioned over further stock market falls next week.

“If the war continues to escalate over the weekend, we think that markets will continue to sell off, especially after the rapid increase in oil prices today,” she said.

UK Government borrowing costs have also risen sharply this week due to inflation fears.

The yields on 10-year government bonds, also known as gilts, have jumped from 4.27% at the start of the week to 4.62% on Friday, with fears that soaring fuel and energy bills will put paid to further interest rate cuts.

“The rapid repricing of monetary policy expectations and the UK’s history of high energy prices means that UK gilts are particularly vulnerable to this energy price spike,” Ms Brooks said.



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BlackRock Stock Drops 7% After $26 Billion Private Credit Fund Limits Investor Withdrawals. Here’s Why

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BlackRock Stock Drops 7% After  Billion Private Credit Fund Limits Investor Withdrawals. Here’s Why


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BlackRock defended the move as consistent with how it has long managed liquidity in the flagship direct lending product, known as HLEND.

BlackRock shares fell more than 7% in New York trading, mirroring steep declines at rival alternative asset managers.

BlackRock shares fell more than 7% in New York trading, mirroring steep declines at rival alternative asset managers.

BlackRock Inc. moved to restrict withdrawals from one of the private credit industry’s largest funds after client redemption requests surged well beyond permitted levels.

The firm’s $26 billion HPS Corporate Lending Fund- a non-traded business development company and one of the biggest of its kind- disclosed that shareholders had requested to redeem 9.3% of their shares. Management elected to cap repurchases at 5%, roughly half of what investors sought. The fund held approximately $1.2 billion in eligible shares at year-end, meaning investors will receive back around $620 million rather than the full amount they requested, Bloomberg reported.

BlackRock shares fell more than 7% in New York trading, mirroring steep declines at rival alternative asset managers including KKR & Co. and Ares Management Corp., both of which have had their worst start to a year in a decade.

Why Did BlackRock Impose The Cap?

BlackRock defended the move as consistent with how it has long managed liquidity in the flagship direct lending product, known as HLEND, calling the restriction a “foundational” feature of the investment structure.

“Without it, there would be a structural mismatch between investor capital and the expected duration of the private credit loans in which HLEND invests,” the fund said in a statement.

HPS executives added that the constraint would position the fund to capitalize on “compelling investment opportunities” during a period of elevated uncertainty.

Is This Part Of A Broader Industry Trend?

The decision marks the most prominent instance of gating investor withdrawals among major private credit funds in months. In the prior period, the fund faced withdrawal requests of about 4.1%- well within the standard 5% tender threshold that non-traded BDCs typically offer on a quarterly basis.

Are BlackRock’s Other Funds Also Affected?

A separate, smaller BlackRock vehicle- the BlackRock Private Credit Fund, which held roughly $2.2 billion in assets at year-end- also reported that investors had sought to redeem 4.5% of shares. Unlike HLEND, that fund said it would fulfill all redemption requests in full. Earlier this week, Blackstone Inc.’s flagship private credit fund fulfilled a record tender request of 7.9% of shares, in part by having firm employees invest their own capital to offset the shortfall. In January, Blue Owl Capital Inc. allowed investors in one of its technology-focused funds to redeem roughly $527 million- approximately 15% of net assets- without restriction.

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