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India’s Modi faces tough Bihar state election

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India’s Modi faces tough Bihar state election


Indias Prime Minister Narendra Modi addresses a rally in Madhubani in the eastern state of Bihar, India, April 24, 2025. — Reuters
India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi addresses a rally in Madhubani in the eastern state of Bihar, India, April 24, 2025. — Reuters
  • Bihar election crucial for Modi’s coalition stability.
  • Women voters pivotal due to male migration for jobs.
  • Youth unemployment remains a key concern despite improvements.

PATNA: Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s national alliance faces a tough regional election in the state of Bihar next month, due to youth unemployment and distrust over voter rolls, which could pose risks to his coalition that relies on regional partners.

Bihar, in eastern India, is one of the country’s poorest states and its third most populous, with over 130 million people. Its chief minister Nitish Kumar has previously sided with both Modi and the opposition, but is currently a key partner in Modi’s National Democratic Alliance.

The state is part of a politically crucial heartland region, and any cracks within the NDA in November’s assembly vote in Bihar could threaten Modi’s coalition, with elections to follow within months in the states of Assam, West Bengal, and Tamil Nadu. Modi’s national alliance, which has 293 out of 543 seats in the Parliament, has a strong voter base only in Assam.

Women are a key voting bloc in tight poll

The Vote Vibe agency said its opinion poll in Bihar showed the NDA had a marginal 1.6 percentage point lead over the opposition alliance, led by the Rashtriya Janata Dal and the Congress party as of October 8.

Jitni Devi, whose name has been excluded from the state voter list, sits outside her home in Patna, India, October 14, 2025. — Reuters
Jitni Devi, whose name has been excluded from the state voter list, sits outside her home in Patna, India, October 14, 2025. — Reuters

“This election could swing either way,” the agency said in its outlook, noting that the NDA’s slight edge was due to its recent programmes, such as money transfers to 12.1 million women under a self-employment subsidy that totalled more than 121 billion rupees ($1.37 billion).

Nivedita Jha, an activist based in Bihar’s state capital Patna, said women will form a strong voting bloc in the poll because men usually leave Bihar in search of jobs in economic hubs like Mumbai and New Delhi and not all return to vote.

“Women take the decisions because the men are not here,” she said. “They talk about the opposition which has promised more money if they come to power, and my understanding is that they trust the opposition more”.

Some Bihar voters are also angry about the revision of the state voter list. In one case, 85-year-old Jitni Devi said she was removed from the list and can no longer vote or access her pension.

“They have declared me dead,” she told Reuters. “People in my village tease me as a dead woman, and bank officials shoo me away when I go there to withdraw my money.”

The state election commission did not respond to queries about Devi’s case. The federal election body has previously said that all complaints are investigated thoroughly.

Young voters angry over unemployment

Anxiety among young voters in Bihar over employment is another election issue, despite a falling unemployment rate. 

People take part in a voting campaign for a local Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) candidate, held in the Deegha area of Patna, India, October 12, 2025. — Reuters
People take part in a voting campaign for a local Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) candidate, held in the Deegha area of Patna, India, October 12, 2025. — Reuters

Government data showed that 9.9% of people aged 15–29 were unemployed in Bihar in the fiscal year 2023–24, a significant drop from 30.9% in 2018–19, but concerns persist.

“For me, I have seen my father going out of Bihar for work, so the issue of jobs matters the most,” said Babloo Kumar, 25, who plans to vote for the first time in November.

A new political party, Jan Suraaj — founded by Prashant Kishor, Modi’s former poll manager — said it aims to reset the political agenda in Bihar.

“Joblessness, migration, increasing debts, loss in agriculture revenue are the issues in Bihar,” said the party’s national president Uday Singh. “There is a big dip in Modi’s popularity here”.

The opposition has promised a law guaranteeing at least one government job per family, if desired.

Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party, however, said it remains confident of victory.

“The NDA alliance is in a very solid position,” said Guru Prakash Paswan, a BJP spokesperson. “People have strong faith in Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s vision”.

Voting will be held on November 6 and 11 for 243 state assembly seats, and results will be declared on November 14.





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Trump says he will meet Putin again after making progress in Ukraine talks

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Trump says he will meet Putin again after making progress in Ukraine talks


US President Donald Trump shakes hand with Russian President Vladimir Putin, as they meet to negotiate for an end to the war in Ukraine, at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson in Anchorage, Alaska, US, August 15, 2025.— Reuters
US President Donald Trump shakes hand with Russian President Vladimir Putin, as they meet to negotiate for an end to the war in Ukraine, at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson in Anchorage, Alaska, US, August 15, 2025.— Reuters 
  • Trump says Putin agrees to another summit.
  • US president has telephonic conversation with Putin.
  • Ukraine’s Zelenskiy to visit Oval Office tomorrow. 

US President Donald Trump said he and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed on Thursday to another summit to discuss ending the war in Ukraine, one day before the US president was due to speak with Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskiy.

Trump said he and Putin would soon meet in Budapest after a more than two-hour-long phone call he described as productive. The Kremlin did not immediately comment.

The surprise development came as Zelenskiy was headed to the White House on Friday to push for more military support, including potential long-range offensive missiles.

Yet the positive tone following the US-Russia call appeared to leave in question the possibility of such support in the near term.

Energy systems targeted

Kyiv and Moscow have been escalating their war with massive attacks on energy infrastructure while Nato struggles to respond to a spate of Russian air incursions.

The Trump-Putin meeting will follow lower-level talks between Moscow and Washington next week, Trump said. No date was provided for the leaders’ meeting.

In a post on Truth Social, Trump said he would brief Zelenskiy on the Russia talks in the Oval Office tomorrow.

“I believe great progress was made with today’s telephone conversation,” he added.

Ukraine wants to expand attack range

Ukraine has been seeking US Tomahawk long-range missiles, which would put Moscow and other major Russian cities within range of missile fire from Ukraine.

Trump, a Republican who has vowed to end the war that Russia started with its invasion of Ukraine in 2022, had before Thursday expressed increasing frustration with Putin over ongoing attacks.

Trump has said he could supply the long-range weapons to Ukraine if Putin fails to come to the negotiating table.

In its latest barrage, Russia launched more than 300 drones and 37 missiles to target infrastructure across Ukraine in overnight attacks on Thursday, Zelenskiy said. Kyiv has ramped up its own attacks on Russian targets, including an oil refinery in the Saratov region on Thursday.

Russia has been hitting Ukraine’s energy and power facilities for consecutive winters as the war drags into its fourth year.

In the latest warnings to Russia, Trump said on Wednesday that Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi had pledged to stop buying oil from Russia, and that the administration would push China to do the same.

India has not confirmed any such commitment, though Reuters reported some Indian refiners are preparing to cut Russian oil imports, with expectations of a gradual reduction, three sources familiar with the matter told Reuters.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on Wednesday that Washington would “impose costs on Russia for its continued aggression” unless the war ends.





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French PM survives no-confidence votes after making pension concession

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French PM survives no-confidence votes after making pension concession


French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu delivers a speech during debate before votes on two no-confidence motions against the French government on October 16, 2025.— Reuters
French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu delivers a speech during debate before votes on two no-confidence motions against the French government on October 16, 2025.— Reuters
  • French PM comfortably survives both no-confidence votes.
  • Lecornu offer to suspend pension reform wins him vital support.
  • Socialists help Lecornu survive but now want other concessions. 

French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu survived two no-confidence votes in parliament on Thursday, winning crucial backing from the Socialist Party thanks to his pledge to suspend President Emmanuel Macron’s contested pension reform.

The two motions presented by the hard-left France Unbowed and the far-right National Rally (RN) secured just 271 and 144 votes respectively — well short of the 289 votes needed to bring down Lecornu’s days-old government.

Lecornu’s offer to mothball the pension reform until after the 2027 presidential election helped sway the Socialists, giving the government a lifeline in the deeply fragmented National Assembly.

Despite the reprieve, the motions underscored the fragility of Macron’s administration midway through his final term.

“A majority cobbled together through horse-trading managed today to save their positions, at the expense of the national interest,” RN party president Jordan Bardella wrote on X.

The French bond market remained steady after the back-to-back votes, with the government victory widely expected by investors.

Lecornu faces arduous budget negotiations 

By putting the pension reform on the chopping block, Lecornu threatens to kill off one of Macron’s main economic legacies at a time when France’s public finances are in a perilous state, leaving the president with little in the way of domestic achievements after eight years in office.

There are 265 lawmakers in parliament from parties that said they would vote to topple Lecornu, and only a handful of rebels from other groups joined their cause.

If Lecornu had lost either vote, he and his ministers would have had to immediately resign, and Macron would have come under huge pressure to call a snap parliamentary election, plunging France deeper into crisis.

But despite the outcome of Thursday’s votes, Lecornu still faces weeks of arduous negotiations in parliament over passing a slimmed-down 2026 budget during which he could be toppled at any point.

“The French need to know that we are doing all this work… to give them a budget, because it is fundamental for the future of our country,” said Yael Braun-Pivet, the president of the National Assembly and an ally of Macron.

“I am pleased to see that today there is a majority in the National Assembly that is operating in this spirit: work, the search for compromise, the best possible effort,” she added.

After winning the pension concession, the Socialists on Wednesday set their sights on including a tax on billionaires in the 2026 budget, underlining just how weak Lecornu’s hand is in the negotiations.

Political Kryptonite

France is in the midst of its worst political crisis in decades as a succession of minority governments seek to push deficit-reducing budgets through a truculent legislature split into three distinct ideological blocs.

Reforming France’s generous pension system has been political kryptonite ever since Socialist President Francois Mitterrand cut the retirement age to 60 from 65 in 1982.

In France, the average effective retirement age is just 60.7, compared to the OECD average of 64.4.

Macron’s reform raised the statutory retirement age by two years to 64 by 2030. Although that only brings French policy into line with other European Union member states, it chips away at a cherished social benefit beloved by the left.





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Indian refiners prepare to ‘cut Russian oil imports’ after Trump pressure

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Indian refiners prepare to ‘cut Russian oil imports’ after Trump pressure


A model of an oil pump jack and oil barrels are seen in front of Russian and Indian flags in this illustration taken, December 9, 2022. — Reuters
 A model of an oil pump jack and oil barrels are seen in front of Russian and Indian flags in this illustration taken, December 9, 2022. — Reuters
  • Modi assured India will stop buying Russian oil: Trump.
  • Russia remains India’s top source of oil imports.
  • India says its main goal is to protect consumers.

Some Indian refiners are preparing to cut Russian oil imports, with expectations of a gradual reduction, three sources familiar with the matter told Reuters, with the US pressuring New Delhi to stop buying Russian crude to help end the war in Ukraine.

US President Donald Trump on Wednesday said Prime Minister Narendra Modi had assured that India will stop buying oil from Russia, India’s top source of imported oil.

India said on Thursday the country’s two main goals were to ensure stable energy prices and secure supply.

“It has been our consistent priority to safeguard the interests of the Indian consumer in a volatile energy scenario. Our import policies are guided entirely by this objective,” the foreign ministry statement said in a statement.

The statement did not refer to Trump’s comment about India’s purchases of Russian oil.

Trade-off against steep tariffs

Indian officials are in Washington for trade talks, with the the US having doubled tariffs on Indian goods to pressure New Delhi to reduce Russian oil imports. US negotiators have said curbing those purchases would be crucial to reducing India’s tariff rate and sealing a trade deal.

India and China are the two top buyers of Russian seaborne crude exports, taking advantage of the discounted prices Russia has been forced to accept after European buyers shunned purchases and the US and the European Union imposed sanctions on Moscow for its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

“So I was not happy that India was buying oil, and he (Modi) assured me today that they will not be buying oil from Russia,” Trump told reporters during a White House event on Wednesday.

India’s foreign ministry said it was discussing deeper energy co-operation with the United States.

“The current Administration has shown interest in deepening energy cooperation with India. Discussions are ongoing,” foreign ministry spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal said in the statement.

Indian refiners said they have not been formally told by the government about stopping Russian oil purchases, sources said. They declined to be named as they are not authorised to speak to media.

The sources said it would be difficult to immediately stop buying Russian oil as a sudden switch to buying other crudes would drive up global oil prices and threaten to stoke inflation.

In April to September, the first six months of this fiscal year, India imported 1.75 million barrels per day of Russian crude, with its share declining to about 36% of India’s total oil imports from 40% in the same period a year earlier, government data showed.

India’s US crude imports rose 6.8% on year to about 213,000 bpd, making up 4.3% of imports.

The share of Middle Eastern oil in the six months to September 2025 rose to 45% from 42%, the data showed.





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