India’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth is expected to moderate to 6.5 per cent in fiscal 2026-27 (FY27) from the projected 7.5 per cent in FY26 owing to the adverse impact of elevated energy prices and concerns around energy availability, according to ICRA Ratings.

While trends in high frequency indicators for January-February 2026 appear favourable, the heightened uncertainty around the duration of the Middle East conflict casts a shadow on the near-term macroeconomic outlook for India amid high import dependency for items like crude oil, natural gas and fertilisers, it noted.

India’s FY27 GDP growth is likely to slow to 6.5 per cent from the projected 7.5 per cent in FY26 owing to the impact of higher energy prices and concerns around energy availability, ICRA Ratings said.
The heightened uncertainty around the duration of the Iran war casts a shadow on the near-term macroeconomic outlook for India.
If the conflict lasts longer, the adverse effects could widen across sectors.

If the conflict lasts for an extended period, the adverse implications of the same could widen across sectors, amid an uptick in input costs and the consequent impact on profitability of the India corporate sector.

Amid the projected uptrend in the consumer price index-based inflation in FY27 with risks tilted to the upside, ICRA Ratings expects an extended pause on the policy rates by the central bank’s monetary policy committee in the fiscal despite the anticipated softening in the GDP growth. However, it expects the Reserve Bank of India to continue to intervene on the liquidity front during FY27.

The available data for January–February FY2026 indicate a positive trend across most non-agricultural indicators, with the year-on-year performance of 12 out of 18 indicators improving compared to the third quarter of FY26, while the remaining six deteriorated.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)

Manufacturing output prices in the Netherlands declined by 2.3 per cent year on year (YoY) in February 2026, marking a slightly smaller drop than the 2.5 per cent decline recorded in January, according to the Statistics Netherlands (CBS).

The easing in the rate of decline reflects moderating downward pressure from energy markets, particularly crude oil prices, which continue to influence industrial pricing trends, CBS said in a press release.

Manufacturing output prices in the Netherlands fell 2.3 per cent YoY in February 2026, a smaller decline than January’s 2.5 per cent, according to CBS.
The drop was driven by lower crude oil prices, though the pace of decline eased.
Petroleum prices remained subdued.
On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.3 per cent, signalling mild recovery in domestic and export markets.

In February, the average price of a barrel of crude oil stood at nearly €59, down by over 18 per cent YoY. This compares with January, when Brent crude averaged around €55 per barrel, registering a sharper annual decline of more than 27 per cent.

Petroleum-derived product prices also showed a narrower contraction, falling by 9.1 per cent YoY in February compared to a steeper 15.6 per cent drop in January.

On a month-on-month (MoM) basis, however, manufacturing output prices edged higher by 0.3 per cent in February. Export prices rose by 0.4 per cent, while domestic market prices increased by 0.3 per cent, indicating a modest recovery in short-term pricing momentum.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (SG)