Business
Inflation, job woes hit consumer trust | The Express Tribune
With food inflation remaining volatile and energy prices facing global and domestic uncertainties, economists warn that price stability in the coming months will depend on supply chain management, fiscal discipline and policy coordination. photo: file
KARACHI:
Dun & Bradstreet Pakistan and Gallup Pakistan have released the 19th edition of the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for the first quarter of FY2025-26, revealing a notable dip in sentiment. The index fell to 86.4, down from 96.2 in the previous quarter, a 10.2% decline. Despite this drop, confidence remains 18.5% higher year-on-year, signalling improvement compared to the same period last year.
The CCI tracks consumer perceptions of the economy and personal finances across four parameters: household financial situation, national economic conditions, unemployment, and savings. Both current sentiment and future outlook weakened this quarter. Current confidence plunged to 74.7 from 88, while future confidence eased to 98.2 from 104.3, reflecting cautious optimism.
Inflation remains the top concern, with 84% of respondents reporting price hikes for essential goods. Unemployment also persists as a major challenge, with a net indicator of 56.5, highlighting widespread labour market strain. Perceptions of Pakistan’s economic situation dropped from 100.8 to 92.5, and fewer respondents expect improvement in the next six months.
Encouragingly, optimism about household finances endures as 62% expect stability or improvement in the coming months. Commenting on the findings, Bilal I. Gilani, Executive Director at Gallup Pakistan, said: “This quarter’s drop in consumer confidence reflects inflation and weak job sentiment. People are less upbeat about the present, but they still expect the future to be better. This tells us that stability has helped, but it can only take confidence so far. Without real economic growth, consumer sentiment will not rise much further. In short, people are waiting for jobs and income to grow before they fully believe in a recovery.”
Zubair Qureshi, Chief Business Officer at Dun & Bradstreet Pakistan, added: “The Consumer Confidence Index is a critical barometer for understanding market sentiment. While short-term challenges persist this quarter, the resilience in household financial expectations signals that businesses have an opportunity to align strategies with evolving consumer priorities.”
Business
Property Play: Home flippers see smallest profits since the Great Recession, real estate data firm says
Vesnaandjic | E+ | Getty Images
A version of this article first appeared in the CNBC Property Play newsletter with Diana Olick. Property Play covers new and evolving opportunities for the real estate investor, from individuals to venture capitalists, private equity funds, family offices, institutional investors and large public companies. Sign up to receive future editions, straight to your inbox.
Higher mortgage rates, high home prices and tight supply are all conspiring to squeeze investors in the home flipping play.
In all of 2025, roughly 297,000 single-family homes and condos were flipped nationwide, according to ATTOM, a real estate data provider, which defines a flip as a home purchased and sold in the same 12-month period. That was a decrease of 3.9% from 2024 and the lowest number of flips in any year since 2020. Investor flips accounted for 7.4% of all 2025 home sales, down from 7.6% in 2024.
Flips are falling because profits are making it less and less worth it.
With the backdrop of the highest median home prices on record, the typical home flip netted investors just $65,981 in gross profit, or a 25.5% return on investment, according to ATTOM. That is down from 32% the prior year and the lowest rate since the Great Recession in 2008.
“Competition for homes remains strong in many markets due to constrained supply,” Rob Barber, CEO of ATTOM, said in a release. “With prices staying elevated, investors are finding it harder to secure deals that deliver strong returns.”
For comparison, in the boom decade following the financial crisis, profit margins were higher than 50%, peaking at 61% in 2012, which is around the time home prices bottomed.
Net profits, or investor returns that factor in the cost of fixing up the property, can vary widely depending on local labor, material and financing costs. Across the U.S., however, the cost of fixing properties before flipping remains elevated due to ongoing supply chain pressures and tariff-related increases in material prices, which continue to compress investor margins, according to ATTOM.
There are signs, however, that the flipping market could improve this year, as home prices are expected to moderate further and mortgage rates remain below year-ago levels.
“After nearly 4 years of declining flipped home transaction volume, our survey is picking up signs of positive momentum in the fix-and-flip space,” Alex Thomas, research manager at John Burns Research and Consulting, wrote in a recent report.
The firm partners with Kiavi on a Fix and Flip Housing Market Index, which looks at investor sentiment in the market. In the fourth quarter of 2025, it recorded the largest quarter-over-quarter gain in three years and a reversal of six consecutive quarters of declines.
In addition, 71% of investors surveyed said they expect to purchase more homes this year, compared with 66% last year and 49% in 2024, according to the JBRC/Kiavi survey. That is the highest share in its four-year history.
Fewer flippers are also reporting disappointing results from their investments. Nationally, 17% of flippers in the fourth quarter reported selling “mostly below” expected after-repair volume, or ARV, down from 21% in the prior quarter, per the survey.
“Because flippers tend to cut prices faster than typical home sellers during slowdowns (to avoid costly holding periods), this improvement is an early signal that the pricing environment is firming,” Thomas wrote.
He also said several provisions in last summer’s “big beautiful bill” could boost fix-and-flip profitability, including enhanced depreciation, a permanent 20% qualified business income deduction and deductible interest expenses on fix-and-flip loans.
Other measures of real estate flipper sentiment, including the RCN Capital Investor Sentiment Survey, a quarterly report prepared by CJ Patrick Company, also cite optimism.
“It’s those improving market conditions — more inventory, moderating home prices, and slightly better financing costs — coupled with pent-up demand from buyers and increased numbers of distressed properties for sale that I think should give flippers more opportunities as the year goes on,” said Rick Sharga, CEO of CJ Patrick.
The wild card will be mortgage rates. More investors are using financing, at 37.7% in 2025 compared with 36.9% in 2024, according to ATTOM. Rates were expected to be lower this year, but the Iran war and the resulting rise in oil prices have upended those forecasts.
“Flippers are having to get more creative to maintain profitability,” Barber said. “That could include taking on older homes, as the median flipped property in 2025 was built in 1978, the oldest since we began tracking, along with tighter cost control and more disciplined renovation strategies.”
Business
Centre plans to cut broken rice share in PDS, boost ethanol feedstock supply – The Times of India
The Centre plans to move a Cabinet note to reduce the proportion of broken rice distributed under the public distribution system (PDS) from 25% to 10% in a bid to ensure a steady supply of feedstock for ethanol production, Food Secretary Sanjeev Chopra said on Tuesday, as reported PTI.Addressing the All India Distillers’ Association (AIDA) conference, Chopra said the proposal could make about 90 lakh tonnes of broken rice available annually for the ethanol industry, helping provide year-round supply stability.“Climate change is a reality. We need to make sure the supply chain is not disrupted. A steady supply of broken rice to the ethanol sector will help ensure that,” he said.Currently, nearly 80 crore beneficiaries receive foodgrains under the PDS, where broken rice accounts for up to 25% of distribution. The proposed change would lower this share to 10%, releasing surplus stocks from the roughly 360-370 lakh tonnes of rice distributed every year.The excess broken rice would be auctioned to ethanol producers, animal feed manufacturers and other users. A pilot initiative has already been carried out in five states.Chopra also indicated that from the next ethanol supply year, whole-grain rice from the Food Corporation of India (FCI) would no longer be supplied to distilleries. Broken rice from the revamped food distribution system is expected to become the primary grain-based feedstock.“Looking further ahead, from the next ethanol supply year, whole FCI rice will no longer be available for the sector. In its place, we are moving toward the supply of broken rice,” he said, adding that the shift would improve grain quality for beneficiaries, ease storage and logistics pressures, and provide a predictable supply pipeline for the ethanol industry.The proposal comes amid rising global crude oil prices and the government’s push to expand ethanol blending in petrol to cut import dependence. Chopra said blending levels have reached 20%, up from 1.5% in 2013, helping save more than Rs 1.63 lakh crore in foreign exchange and reduce crude oil imports by 277 lakh metric tonnes since 2014.He noted that ethanol production capacity has increased from 420 crore litres in 2013-14 to nearly 2,000 crore litres now, with about 650 crore litres added in the past three years.The government is now focusing on demand-side measures, including deliberations on raising blending limits beyond 20%, exploring ethanol blending in diesel and promoting flex-fuel vehicles, he said.Chopra said supply disruptions in 2023, triggered by a weak sugar harvest and concerns over rice output, had highlighted the need for a more stable feedstock strategy.He also urged distilleries to accelerate lifting of existing FCI rice allocations. Of the 52 lakh tonnes earmarked for the current ethanol supply year, only 21 lakh tonnes have been lifted so far, while another 20 lakh tonnes remain available at discounted rates until June 30.On alternative feedstocks, he said maize, particularly rain-fed varieties, is being promoted to encourage crop diversification away from paddy cultivation. Around 40% of ethanol supply currently comes from grain-based sources, mainly maize, with efforts underway to develop high-yield varieties producing five to six tonnes per hectare.Referring to Brazil’s experience following the 1973 oil shock, which eventually led to ethanol blending levels of about 30%, Chopra said the current global energy situation presents an opportunity for India to strengthen its biofuel strategy.“Every challenge carries within it an opportunity. This is an important moment for us to revisit and strengthen our ethanol blending programme,” he said.AIDA president Vijendra Singh said the industry was prepared to go beyond the E20 milestone and called for a gradual increase in blending mandates, introduction of flex-fuel vehicles capable of running on 100% ethanol, promotion of ethanol-based cooking stoves and exploration of blending in diesel.P S Ravi, Director (Downstream) at the Federation of Indian Petroleum Industry, also urged the ethanol sector to support expansion of the biofuel programme beyond petrol blending, including biodiesel use in diesel, development of ethanol as a cooking fuel, sustainable aviation fuel pathways and feedstock expansion.Deputy Agriculture Commissioner Mehraj A S and Robert Papa, agriculture attaché at the Embassy of Brazil in New Delhi, were among those present at the conference.
Business
More women are entering wealth management, but few are in advisory roles, study finds
Contract, woman and advisor in office for signature, information or document for job application. Advice, client or human resource agent with paperwork for registration, opportunity or deal agreement
Jacob Wackerhausen | Istock | Getty Images
A version of this article first appeared in CNBC’s Inside Wealth newsletter with Robert Frank, a weekly guide to the high-net-worth investor and consumer. Sign up to receive future editions, straight to your inbox.
More women are entering the wealth management industry, but they have yet to gain ground in client-facing advisory roles, according to a recent study by private wealth intelligence platform Fintrx.
While the data shows improvement in the industry’s gender gap, the nuance is still notable. Revenue-generating roles are generally better paid and more conducive to leadership roles, according to Fintrx Vice President of Data and Research Emily Goldman.
“Underrepresentation here directly affects female employees’ earnings,” Goldman said. “And that lack of opportunity for leadership and ownership is also going to affect their long-term earnings.”
Younger women are making inroads in wealth management overall, with women accounting for 37.6% of registered professionals aged 20-30, according to Fintrx. For the 30-40 and 40-50 age brackets, the share of women hovers below 27%.
The shift comes as women’s wealth is expected to boom in the coming years. Cerulli Associates estimates $105 trillion in wealth will be passed down to heirs through 2048, with $54 trillion going to spouses. As women tend to live longer than men, they will likely receive the lion’s share.
However, while young women are entering the industry in greater numbers, the growth is concentrated in administrative or operational roles, according to Goldman.
Women account for just 20.2% of producing advisors aged 20 to 30, a percentage near identical for advisors aged 30-40 and 40-50. The share is only modestly higher than that of advisors aged 50-60 (18%) and 60-plus (17.1%).
This gender gap is also reflected in the C-suite, according to Fintrx. Women make up 21.5% of C-suite roles at wealth management firms and are more likely to occupy COO or CFO roles than chief executive or investment roles, the company found.
“This points towards firms needing to create better pathways to these revenue-generating roles and leadership,” Goldman said. “Because when you enter in operations, compliance, legal — there isn’t an easy segue to these book-owning roles, and then long-term strategic leadership roles.”
She noted that an increasing number of women advisors are setting up their own firms. In 2025, there were 39 new female-founded registered investment advisory firms, up from 30 in 2021.
“I think that we’ll see more and more women break out on their own if they’re unable to advance as much or as quickly at wirehouses or larger firms,” she said.
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