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Lunar New Year gives luxury brands a chance to win back big spenders in China
Luxury brands from Harry Winston to Loewe are going all in on Lunar New Year collections in a bid to attract Chinese customers.
Ahead of the Year of the Horse, which starts on Tuesday, Harry Winston unveiled a limited-edition, $81,500 rose gold watch with diamond bezels and a red lacquer horse. High-end fashion brand Chloé released a capsule collection, ranging from $250 silk scarves to a $5,300 snakeskin and leather shoulder bag with a horse head and tail linked by a horsebit chain. A slew of other brands, including Loewe, Gucci and Loro Piana, have introduced new bag charms with horse motifs.
The Year of the Horse arrives at a time of cautious optimism for designer brands and could mark the start of a China’s luxury market comeback.
Chinese consumers were once the primary driver for the global luxury sector but have cut back sharply in recent years, weighed down by the country’s slowing economy and depressed housing values.
The Chinese luxury market stood at about 350 billion RMB in 2024, or about $50 billion, according to estimates from Bain. While the consultancy estimates that market contracted by 3% to 5% in 2025, Bain analysts noted that the sector started showing signs of recovery in the second half of 2025 on the back of stronger stock market performance and consumer confidence.
Loewe celebrated Year of the Horse with storefront installation in Shanghai, China.
Ying Tang/NurPhoto via Getty Images
Bernstein senior analyst Luca Solca said he predicts Chinese luxury spending will stabilize, forecasting mid-single-digit percentage growth in 2026. However, the market is still far more competitive than at its peak, he said.
Before the Covid pandemic, Chinese consumers accounted for about one-third of the global luxury goods market, according to Solca. That percentage has since dipped to about 23%, he said.
The luxury market’s fortunes do not solely rest on Lunar New Year, but it is an opportunity for Western brands to show respect for Chinese culture, he said.
The annual holiday is associated with the colors red and gold, which symbolize good luck and fortune in Chinese culture. Each Lunar New Year is represented by one of 12 Chinese zodiac animals. Last year’s animal was the snake.
But Solca said in order to best capture the Chinese luxury consumer, brands need to go beyond the expected motifs.
“The Chinese are no longer in awe of anything that comes from the West,” Solca said. “A perfunctory interpretation of CNY is not going to go far.”
Veronique Yang, who leads BCG’s consumer practice in Greater China, said literal interpretations can come across as lazy or even disrespectful to Chinese consumers. Younger shoppers are also looking for fresher takes, she said.
“Chinese young people, they respect the old Chinese culture, but to be honest, a lot of parts of it they don’t understand, or they want it to be reinterpreted in a modern way,” she said. “It’s important to weave a narrative that connects the heritage with a contemporary vision.”
Lunar New Year collections date back to the early 2010s, as Western brands were eager to tap into the rapidly growing Chinese luxury consumer market, according to Daniel Langer, professor of luxury strategy at Pepperdine University. At the time, newly wealthy Chinese consumers were eager to spend on designer goods, especially when they traveled abroad, he said, as there were few luxury boutiques in China outside major cities like Shanghai and Beijing.
Now, with broader access and more choice, brands have to work harder to bring in new clients.
And in the 12 years since the last Year of the Horse, Chinese high-income consumers have become more discerning, Langer said.
“They’ve been to the best places in the world. They’ve dined in the best restaurants in the world. They’ve shopped in the best shops in the world. Their expectations towards brands are significantly higher,” he said. “China has completely changed from a country where there was pent up demand for luxury goods to a country of the highest sophistication.”
Burberry’s Lunar New Year products.
Courtesy of Burberry
They also have grown accustomed to spending less on Western brands between pandemic travel restrictions and the rise of domestic high-end labels, according to Langer.
Before the pandemic, Chinese consumers did most of their luxury shopping abroad. Pandemic travel restrictions permanently changed that dynamic. According to Bain, two-thirds of Chinese luxury goods spending was done abroad in 2019. Last year, overseas spending made up only a third.
The Year of the Horse provides a natural opportunity for a sizable number of Western brands to connect to the holiday. Langer said he preferred brands who take a less literal approach, such as Loewe, which adorned its signature Puzzle bags with fringes and tassels for a cowboy aesthetic.
Yang noted, however, that the year’s zodiac animal is a good luck symbol only for people who were born in that year, which makes playing too much into horse imagery a risk.
Instead, she said, brands can use immersive experiences to connect to Chinese customers, especially younger ones, in a more authentic way.
Valentino, for instance, held a three-day lantern festival in January at Tianhou Palace, a historic temple along the Suzhou Creek in Shanghai. Burberry launched an extensive Lunar New Year campaign in mid-December, with Chinese brand ambassadors and a pop-up boutique and ice rink in Beijing.
“There’s a lot of different cultural elements that you can integrate and build a narrative around,” Yang said. “It’s not only about animals.”
Business
Stock markets outlook: Dalal Street braces for swings as RBI MPC decision, war risks weigh on sentiment–Check key triggers – The Times of India
Domestic equities are expected to remain volatile this week as investors track the Reserve Bank’s monetary policy decision, global macroeconomic cues and evolving developments in the West Asia conflict, analysts said, according to PTI.Market participants will also keep a close watch on crude oil price movements and foreign fund flows, which continue to influence sentiment.Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Investments Ltd, said the RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting will be the key domestic trigger, with investors focusing on the central bank’s stance on inflation and growth.“A rate pause is near-certain consensus, the central bank walks a tightrope between crude-driven inflation risks and a four-year low Manufacturing PMI signalling a softening growth impulse. The governor’s commentary on the rate cycle trajectory and FY27 projections will be closely monitored.“Globally, the US March CPI reading will carry significant importance, as it buries residual Fed rate-cut hopes, strengthens the dollar and tightens financial conditions for emerging markets, including India,” Nair said.He added that geopolitical developments in West Asia will remain the dominant factor shaping market direction.“Indian markets return after a three-day gap and remain acutely vulnerable to weekend war developments, with crude trajectory and any credible ceasefire signal being the decisive variable that could either trigger a sharp relief rally or extend the current sell-on-rise mode,” he said.In the previous holiday-shortened week, the BSE Sensex declined 263.67 points, or 0.35%, while the NSE Nifty fell 106.5 points, or 0.46%.Siddhartha Khemka, Head of Research (Wealth Management) at Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, said investor sentiment will remain closely linked to developments in the West Asia conflict.Brent crude prices have stayed elevated near $107 per barrel, fuelling concerns around imported inflation. Currency pressures have also intensified, with the rupee weakening sharply before recovering towards Rs 93 against the US dollar following RBI intervention, he noted.Foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows remain a key overhang, with March witnessing heavy selling of Rs 1.2 lakh crore, among the highest monthly outflows in recent years.“Investors will monitor the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes, GDP data, and initial jobless claims for further cues on growth and the policy trajectory.“Overall, markets are expected to remain volatile as geopolitical developments, crude price movements, FII flows and global macro data continue to drive sentiment,” Khemka said.Analysts said any signs of de-escalation in the West Asia conflict could ease crude prices and stabilise the currency, offering relief to markets, while further escalation may prolong risk aversion and keep pressure on foreign flows.
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Middle East conflict may hit India’s exports beyond region if prolonged, says government – The Times of India
A prolonged conflict in Middle East could begin to hurt India’s exports not just to the region but also to other global markets, as disrupted supply chains ripple outward, commerce secretary Rajesh Agrawal said on Saturday, He also urged the pharmaceutical industry to reduce dependence on imported raw materials and build more resilient export and import linkages.Speaking on the sidelines of ‘Chintan Shivir – Scaling Up Pharma Exports’ in Hyderabad, Agrawal said the government has already seen an impact on both imports and exports over the past month because of the Middle East crisis, with energy imports and regional trade flows under pressure.
“Middle East is also an important market. Around 12-13 per cent of our exports go to the region. So, that will directly get impacted. And if it goes on for long, maybe our exports to other parts of the world will also get impacted as some of the value chains will rotate back. We are cognizant of it,” Agrawal told reporters, as per news agency PTI.He said the exact impact of the conflict on India’s trade would become clearer in the next couple of weeks, but indicated that both exports and imports could see some decline.“And I assume, it will not only be a one-way traffic, in terms of export going down, but it will also be imports having some downfall,” he said.Agrawal cautioned that even if the war ends soon, the disruption may linger for months or even years, depending on the extent of damage to supply chains and infrastructure.“So, at this juncture, it will be very difficult to take a very long-term view on it,” he said.He said the Centre is trying to ensure that supply chains face the minimum possible disruption, while acknowledging that some trade numbers may soften in the near term.
Pharma sector already feeling supply pressure
The commerce secretary said the pharmaceutical sector has already seen some impact in the availability of key intermediates and solvents because supply chains are getting affected by the regional crisis.Agrawal said all arms of the government are working to prioritise limited LPG supply and are attempting to ease the situation by diversifying imports and sourcing from alternative suppliers.“So, as we are able to resolve that overall supply, we will try to alleviate some of the pain in every sector. The Pharma sector will be one of the priority sectors,” he said.He added that the government and industry are jointly working on ways to make supply chains more resilient.
Call for self-reliance in APIs, bulk drugs and intermediates
At the same event, Agrawal asked the pharmaceutical industry to use the current geopolitical uncertainty as a trigger to reduce dependence on critical imported inputs and strengthen domestic capacity.Addressing industry stakeholders in Hyderabad, he stressed “the importance of ensuring greater self-reliance by meeting 80-90 per cent (or higher) of domestic pharmaceutical requirements through indigenous production, while reducing critical import dependencies in APIs, bulk drugs, and intermediates”.He also emphasised the “importance of insulating import supply chains in a geopolitically fragmented world, where availability may be important”.Agrawal called for a broader strategic repositioning of India as a global hub for quality, affordable pharmaceuticals, saying that quality would remain the decisive factor in healthcare. He urged the sector to build a stronger quality ecosystem to enhance global trust and align with emerging areas such as biologics and biosimilars.He also encouraged the industry to shift from a volume-driven to a value-driven model, with greater focus on innovation and new patents, while maintaining India’s strength in generics.
Exports remain on positive path despite uncertainty
Despite the geopolitical overhang, Agrawal said India’s exports in the last financial year were expected to remain on a positive trajectory.The broader pharmaceutical export picture remains resilient. India’s pharma exports stood at $30.47 billion in 2024-25, up 9.4 per cent over the previous year.During April–February 2025-26, pharma exports reached $28.29 billion, registering growth of over 5 per cent compared with the corresponding period of the previous year.India remains the third-largest producer of pharmaceuticals globally by volume and 14th by value, underscoring both the sector’s scale and the stakes involved in insulating it from external shocks.
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