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Miners drive FTSE 100 up despite Fed probe worry

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Miners drive FTSE 100 up despite Fed probe worry



The FTSE 100 on Monday pushed close to recent record levels, while gold rocketed to a new high, as investors weighed renewed concerns about the US Federal Reserve’s independence.

The FTSE 100 index closed up 16.10 points, 0.2%, at 10,140.70.

The FTSE 250 index ended up marginally at 23,036.86, and the AIM All-Share was up 6.44 points, 0.8%, at 796.86.

On Sunday, US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said that the central bank had been served grand jury subpoenas from the Department of Justice threatening a criminal indictment.

Mr Powell said the subpoenas relate to his Senate Banking Committee evidence in June and ongoing renovations at the Fed headquarters.

But Mr Powell said: “Those are pretexts. The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the president.”

Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, said the probe “unnerved markets” and “raised questions” about what might happen to the Fed once Mr Powell steps down in May.

“There is a fear that (US President Donald) Trump is meddling too much with policies that are meant to be set independently,” he added.

Mr Powell claimed the moves are about “whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions, or whether instead monetary policy will be directed by political pressure or intimidation”.

Atakan Bakiskan, economist at Berenberg, said this marks the first time Mr Powell has “openly confronted” Mr Trump about the Fed’s independence.

He said: “A Fed that aligns more closely with politics could trigger higher-for-longer inflation, possibly negative real rates at the short end of the curve, elevated long-term borrowing rates and a weaker dollar.”

Analysts at Wells Fargo said: “While we do not believe this will alter the near-term course of monetary policy, it will make the next Fed chair’s job that much harder to build a consensus among the 19 members of the Federal Open Market Committee.”

Stocks in New York were mixed at the time of the London close on Monday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.2%, the S&P 500 was flat and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.2%.

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.19% on Monday, widened from 4.17% on Friday. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was at 4.84%, stretched from 4.83%.

The pound was quoted at 1.3468 US dollars at the time of the London equities close on Monday, up from 1.3407 US dollars on Friday.

The euro was higher at 1.1677 US dollars from 1.1631 US dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading at 158.12 yen, up slightly from 158.06 yen.

Analysts at Wells Fargo said of the Fed probe: “Markets mostly took the news in stride, but the modest financial market moves thus far have been consistent with what we would expect to see when worries flare up about Fed independence: higher Treasury yields, a steeper yield curve, a weaker dollar and a rally in gold prices.”

On the FTSE 100, Fresnillo, up 6.5%, and Endeavour Mining, up 4.2%, jumped as the gold price hit a fresh high amid the proposed action against the Fed and heightened geopolitical uncertainty.

Gold shot up to 4,621.38 US dollars an ounce at Monday’s close, another record high, up against 4,504.56 US dollars on Friday.

Glencore gained 3.5% as the copper price gained, and on further reflection of a potential tie-up with Rio Tinto.

In European equities on Monday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed down slightly while the DAX 40 ended up 0.6% in Frankfurt, setting another all-time high.

In London, Barclays fell 2.5%, after Mr Trump called for a 10% cap on credit card interest rates.

“We will no longer let the American Public be “ripped off’ by Credit Card Companies that are charging Interest Rates of 20 to 30%,” he said on Truth Social.

Niklas Kammer, senior equity analyst at Morningstar, said: “This is especially sensitive for Barclays as the UK lender has been building out its exposure to the US credit card market over the last years and has further ambitions to grow its portfolio.

“The bank will publish its new strategy in February, which we expect to partially rely on growth in Barclays’ US business.

“As this topic develops, we think it is possible that Barclays may have to fine tune its messaging for February.”

Also heading downwards, Mondi, which fell 2.5% after being downgraded by Morgan Stanley, and Ashtead Group, down 2.9% after Bank of America lowered its rating to “underperform”.

Pearson climbed 1.1% as Citi initiated coverage with a “buy” rating after a period of weak performance by media stocks.

The broker thinks the current perception of the AI risk facing Pearson’s portfolio is “overdone”, and current levels present an “attractive entry point”.

Sage rose 2.0% as UBS upgraded the accountancy software provider to “buy”.

“We see 9%-plus growth as well underpinned and AI more of an opportunity than threat,” the Swiss bank said.

But British Land fell 3.8% as chief executive Simon Carter said he was stepping down.

Analysts at JPMorgan said: “The news comes as a negative surprise to us, with uncertainty at the C-Suite level rarely welcomed by the market.

“British Land has been one of the best performers in recent periods, we think this is partly given its clear strategy. Uncertainty is likely to remain for now too.”

On the FTSE 250, well received trading updates drove Oxford Nanopore and Plus 500 up 9.4% and 5.4% respectively.

Oxford Nanopore expects full year revenue slightly ahead of previous expectations, while Plus 500 said it expects to report forecast-topping 2025 results.

Brent oil traded at 63.55 US dollars a barrel at the time of the London equities close on Monday, up from 63.42 US dollars late Friday.

The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Fresnillo, up 228.0 pence at 3,734.0p, Endeavour Mining, up 162.0p at 4,056.0p, Glencore, up 15.8p at 468.5p, Diageo, up 44.5p at 1,674.5p, and Rio Tinto, up 129.0p at 6,135.0p.

The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were British Land, down 15.8p at 397.0p, IAG, down 13.1p at 411.0p, Severn Trent, down 86.0p at 2,821.0p, Ashtead, down 162.0p at 5,432.0p and Marks & Spencer, down 8.9p at 344.1p.

Tuesday’s local corporate calendar has half year results from Warhammer owner Games Workshop plus trading statements from housebuilder Persimmon and recruiter PageGroup.

Tuesday’s global economic calendar has US inflation figures and the BRC retail sales monitor in the UK.

Contributed by Alliance News.



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Indias Net Direct Tax Collections In FY26 Rise, Grow 8.82% To Rs 18.38 Lakh Crore Till Jan 11

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Indias Net Direct Tax Collections In FY26 Rise, Grow 8.82% To Rs 18.38 Lakh Crore Till Jan 11


New Delhi: India’s net direct tax collections for the financial year 2025–26 recorded strong growth of 8.82%, reaching Rs 18.38 lakh crore as of January 11, 2026, compared with Rs 16.89 lakh crore collected during the same period last year, according to official data released by the Income Tax Department on Monday.

Gross direct tax collections stood at Rs 21.50 lakh crore, marking a 4.14% increase over the Rs 20.64 lakh crore collected in the corresponding period of FY25. Corporate tax collections rose modestly to Rs 10.47 lakh crore, while non-corporate tax collections—which include taxes paid by individuals and other entities—increased to Rs 10.58 lakh crore.

Refunds issued during the period declined sharply by 16.92% to Rs 3.12 lakh crore from Rs 3.75 lakh crore in the previous year, contributing to higher net collections. Net corporate tax collections rose to Rs 8.63 lakh crore, while net non-corporate tax collections increased significantly to Rs 9.30 lakh crore. Securities Transaction Tax (STT) collections remained stable at around Rs 44,867 crore, while collections from other taxes were marginal during the period.

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The Union Budget 2026 will be presented on February 1. Earlier, in an email interview with ANI, Sonal Badhan, Economist at Bank of Baroda, said the Union Budget 2026 is likely to target 8.5–9% growth next year and increase capital expenditure to Rs 12–12.2 lakh crore.

“We expect the government to meet its fiscal deficit target of 4.4% for FY26. For next year, we estimate the deficit ratio will be lowered by 30–40 basis points to 4–4.1%. Capital expenditure allocation will be of key interest. In the ongoing fiscal year, the government has already met around 60% of the budgeted target till November 2025,” the BoB economist said.



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Trump’s credit card rate cap plan has unclear path, ‘devastating’ risks, bank insiders say

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Trump’s credit card rate cap plan has unclear path, ‘devastating’ risks, bank insiders say


Bank executives were sent scrambling over the weekend after President Donald Trump declared late Friday that American credit card companies would be subject to a 10% cap on the interest rate they can charge customers.

The move sent shares of large banks including Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Bank of America down between 1% and 4% in early trading Monday. Companies more tightly tethered to the card industry, like Visa, Mastercard and American Express, also fell. Capital One, whose loan book is mostly from credit cards, sank nearly 7%.

Trump proposed a one-year cap on interest rates starting Jan. 20. While it’s unclear exactly how that would be enforced, the industry’s message is clear: the plan would bring unintended consequences for consumers and the American economy.

The move would make large swaths of the credit card industry unprofitable, especially tied to customers with less-than-ideal credit profiles, according to banks and analysts. The average credit card rate nationally is 19.7% as of this month, according to a weekly survey from Bankrate.com, while rates for subprime borrowers and store-specific cards are even higher.

Rather than offer loss-making products to consumers, the industry would simply stop offering access to customers with subprime credit, along with a slew of other changes around card programs including scaling back rewards, insiders say. Consumers would either spend less or rely on other forms of unsecured debt, many of which carry even higher interest rates than credit cards, they say.

“We cannot offer products at a loss; there’s no scenario where we would take our entire portfolio to 10%,” said a person with knowledge of the operations of a large bank, who asked to remain anonymous to speak candidly. “It’s not a stretch to suggest this will very quickly tank the economy.”

The drag on the economy from less spending could be more acute for airlines, retailers and restaurants, which would have to make up for lost card revenues by “potentially raising pricing” on their services, KBW analysts led by Sanjay Sakhrani and Chris McGratty said in a Jan. 11 research note.

The industry’s trade groups issued a joint statement late Friday making their case.

“Evidence shows that a 10% interest rate cap would reduce credit availability and be devastating for millions of American families and small business owners who rely on and value their credit cards, the very consumers this proposal intends to help,” the trade groups said.

(L-R) Wells Fargo CEO and President Charles Scharf, Brian Bank of America Chairman and CEO Thomas Moynihan, JPMorgan Chase Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon, Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser, State Street CEO Ronald OÕHanley, BNY Mellon CEO Robin Vince, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon and Morgan Stanley CEO James Gorman, testify during a Wall Street oversight hearing by the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs committee on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, December 6, 2023.

Saul Loeb | AFP | Getty Images

‘Opening bid?’

This isn’t the industry’s first time contending with possible price controls. A bill was introduced last year from Sen. Josh Hawley of Missouri and Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont that would limit card APRs at 10% for five years.

While that bill is stalled in Congress, a study looking at the Missouri market from the Electronic Payments Coalition found that a 10% cap on rates would mean that more than 80% of card accounts would lose access. Most accounts with credit scores below 740 would be shut, the study claimed.

Complicating matters, it is unclear to bankers how Trump’s rate cap would take place.

The most straightforward approach, through legislation in Congress, isn’t possible by the proposed Jan. 20 start date, said Tobin Marcus, head of U.S. policy at Wolfe Research.

Other enforcement means, through banking regulators including the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, are also possible. But the Trump administration has repeatedly tried to shutter that agency, and the industry has had a successful run at defeating CFPB rules in federal courts.

“I’m not aware of an authority that they can use to do this unilaterally in any kind of a sweeping way,” Marcus said. “As far as I can tell, telling them they have until Jan. 20 is an attempt to create pressure and have them do it voluntarily.”

While the exact mechanism that Trump can use to enforce an interest rate cap is unclear, card issuers now face the risk that rates could be headed lower in some form of negotiated compromise with the government, KBW’s McGratty said in an interview.

“Is 10% an opening bid?” he said. “There’s a long distance between 10% and what companies charge today.”

Americans had a collective $1.23 trillion in credit card debt as of the third quarter last year, according to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Balances have been climbing as many Americans spent down the savings they’d built up during the global coronavirus pandemic.

Correction: This story has been updated to correct the spelling of Capital One.



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Boeing 737 MAX lawsuits: Second US trial opens over 2019 Ethiopian Airlines crash; Canadian family presses damages claim – The Times of India

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Boeing 737 MAX lawsuits: Second US trial opens over 2019 Ethiopian Airlines crash; Canadian family presses damages claim – The Times of India


A US federal court in Chicago on Monday began hearing a second damages trial against Boeing over the fatal 2019 crash of an Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX aircraft, as a Canadian plaintiff sought compensation for the loss of multiple family members in the tragedy.The case has been filed by Manant Vaidya, whose sister Kosha Vaidya and parents Pannagesh and Hansini Vaidya were among the 157 people killed when Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 crashed in March 2019. Vaidya also lost his brother-in-law and two young nieces in the incident, AP reported.Jury selection in the case is expected to begin on Monday, with opening statements likely on Tuesday afternoon or Wednesday, according to court proceedings.“It is hard to believe that my entire family was wiped out in an instant incident in such a horrific way,” Vaidya said in a statement published on the website of his attorneys at Clifford Law Firm. “I still cry and my wife, Hiral, still cries when we think of the horror of the last moments of our loved ones’ lives.”The Vaidya family, which lived in Canada, was travelling to Kenya, the homeland of Kosha Vaidya, at the time of the crash.Relatives of Vaidya’s brother-in-law and nieces had filed a separate lawsuit against Boeing, which was settled out of court in July 2025.The Ethiopian Airlines crash followed a similar fatal accident involving a Lion Air 737 MAX aircraft in Indonesia in October 2018. Together, the two crashes claimed 346 lives and led to the worldwide grounding of the 737 MAX fleet. Investigations linked both incidents to the aircraft’s Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System (MCAS), a flight-stabilising software.Boeing has acknowledged responsibility for the crashes and issued apologies to the victims’ families.“Boeing is deeply sorry for the losses suffered by the families,” a company spokesperson said, adding that the company is committed to “fully and fairly compensate” the victims and has “accepted legal responsibility for the accidents.”“While we have resolved the vast majority of these claims through settlements, families are also entitled to pursue their claims through damages trials in court, and we respect their right to do so,” the spokesperson said.The trial comes weeks after a US jury in the same Chicago courthouse ordered Boeing to pay $28.45 million in damages to the family of an Indian victim of the 2019 Ethiopian Airlines crash.



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