Politics
Netanyahu’s political future at stake with Iran war: experts

With elections approaching in Israel, the war with Iran has handed Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu an opportunity to restore an image deeply scarred by October 7, 2023 Gaza attack, experts say.
But any political dividend would depend on how the conflict unfolds and how long it lasts, they say.
A day after Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was martyred in a wave of US-Israeli strikes, Netanyahu said that his close ties with Washington had enabled Israel to “do what I have long aspired to do for 40 years: to strike the terrorist regime decisively”.
The Gaza war eroded Netanyahu’s popularity. Critics have accused him of seeking to evade responsibility for the authorities’ failure to prevent the deadliest day in Israel’s history.
At 76, the leader of the right-wing Likud party is Israel’s longest-serving prime minister, with more than 18 cumulative years in office across multiple stints.
Known for his political resilience, Netanyahu has been without a parliamentary majority since the summer, amid a crisis with his ultra-Orthodox religious allies.
He is also standing trial in a long-running corruption case and has sought a presidential pardon, with US President Donald Trump repeatedly pressuring President Isaac Herzog to grant one.
‘Total victory’
Elections must be held by October 27 at the latest.
Netanyahu will call early elections, says Emmanuel Navon, a political analyst at Tel Aviv University.
“It’s obvious. He won’t wait until October given the commemoration of the October 7 anniversary,” Navon said.
“If Netanyahu was at rock bottom after the Gaza attack, he has since gradually turned the tide,” he added.
A Likud party led by Netanyahu would emerge ahead in elections held today, opinion polls suggest.
That would likely see him tasked with forming the next government, though he would still lack a majority with his current allies.
A victory over Iran could change that calculus, experts say.
“This offensive undeniably reinforces the image Netanyahu seeks to cultivate, the one associated with his ‘total victory’ slogan,” independent geopolitical analyst Michael Horowitz told AFP.
“Netanyahu wants to show that this is not a campaign slogan but a reality. It is his national agenda and his electoral strategy,” he added.
‘Iran remains Iran’
Raviv Druker, a prominent journalist on Channel 13 television, argued that Netanyahu “will try to convince people that the victory is total even if that is an illusion,” noting that “Hamas still runs Gaza, and Iran remains Iran even after Saturday’s strike”.
On the popular news website Walla, journalist Ouriel Deskal went further, suggesting Netanyahu may have chosen the timing of the hostilities to automatically delay — under a state of emergency — the March 30 deadline for passing a budget for which he has struggled to secure a majority.
Without a budget, the government would fall on April 1 and elections would be called.
In that scenario, Netanyahu would enter the campaign from a position of weakness.
By contrast “if this war against Iran is a success for Israel, it will be a political victory for Netanyahu,” Navon said.
But should the war drag on, the picture could shift dramatically, Horowitz warned.
“Public tolerance for a long war with heavy casualties, combined with a high cost of living, remains extremely low,” he said.
During the war last June, Iranian missiles killed 30 people in Israel. Since Saturday, 10 people have been killed in Iran’s retaliatory strikes.
“Israel’s victories are primarily attributed to the army and to civilian resilience, which enabled the country to wage the longest war in its history,” Horowitz noted.
“The army’s popularity is rising, not necessarily Netanyahu’s.”
Politics
US-Iran talks could be held as early as Friday, says Trump

- No fixed timeline announced for truce: source.
- Trump says US to continue blockade despite truce extension.
- Iran says talks will be held after lifting of US naval blockade.
A second round of US-Iran talks could take place as early as Friday, the New York Post reported on Wednesday, citing President Donald Trump.
“It’s possible!” Trump reportedly told the Post by text message, when asked about sources in Pakistan — which mediated the first round of talks — saying that a second round was “expected in Islamabad within the next 36 to 72 hours.”
Trump on Tuesday extended a two-week truce in the war just as it was about to expire. A digital news outlet in Pakistan reported the three-day time frame for more talks without a source or further details.
However, Reuters, citing a source, reported that no fixed timeline has been announced for any long-term extension.
The US source said Trump was willing to extend the ceasefire with Iran by another three to five days. “It is not going to be an open-ended ceasefire,” the source added.
Uncertainty continues to cloud the second round of peace talks, as Washington and Tehran remain at odds on several issues, most notably the Strait of Hormuz.
Tehran closed the strait for all traffic after the US and Israel began strikes across Iran on February 28. Apart from closing Hormuz, Tehran also launched strikes against Israel and US bases across the Middle East.
The fighting ended on April 8 when Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif announced a two-week ceasefire and invited both sides to Islamabad for talks, which concluded without a deal on a permanent end to the conflict.
Islamabad, however, continued its effort to bring both sides back to the negotiating table and ensure an extension in the ceasefire.
Ceasefire extended
Late Tuesday, US President Donald Trump announced extending the Iran ceasefire until an Iranian proposal was submitted and discussions were concluded.
Trump, in a post on Truth Social, said he was acting at the request of Pakistan to hold off attacks until Iranian leaders and representatives could come up with what he called a unified proposal.
However, Trump said the US Navy would continue its blockade of Iranian maritime trade, a measure Tehran considers an act of war.
While Washington has announced members of its delegation for the second round of talks, Tehran says it would return to the negotiating table only after the US lifts the naval blockade of its ports.
“As soon as they lift the blockade, the next round of negotiations will be held in Islamabad,” Aljazeera quoted Iran’s Ambassador to the UN Amir-Saeid Iravani as saying.
Meanwhile, Pakistani authorities said that Islamabad was in constant touch with the Iranian leadership and was pursuing the path of diplomacy and dialogue.
“Formal response from Iranian side about confirmation of delegation to attend Islamabad Peace Talks is still awaited,” Information Minister Attaullah Tarar wrote in a post on X on Tuesday.
Iran hails Pakistan’s efforts to end war
Iran’s foreign ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baqaei said on Wednesday that the Islamic republic appreciates Pakistan’s efforts to end the Middle East war, without commenting on a ceasefire extension announced by the United States.
Iranian state broadcaster IRIB reported that Baqaei was asked by journalists to comment on the truce extension, which US President Donald Trump said he approved following a request by Pakistani mediators.
“While appreciating Pakistan’s efforts to end the imposed war and establish peace”, Baqaei stressed that Tehran “is taking the necessary measures to safeguard Iran’s national interests and security”
Politics
IRGC seizes Israeli ship, second vessel for violations in Strait of Hormuz

The Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) Navy says it has intercepted and transferred to Iranian territorial waters two vessels for having committed violations in the Strait of Hormuz.
In a statement released on Wednesday, the IRGC identified the vessels as the MSC-Francesca, which it said belongs to the Israeli regime, and the Epaminodes.
The vessels, it said, were operating without authorization, committing repeated violations, tampering with navigation aid systems, and endangering maritime security in an attempt to exit the strait covertly.
“With the intelligence dominance of the forces, these vessels were identified and stopped in order to uphold the rights of the noble Iranian nation in the Strait of Hormuz,” the IRGC Navy said.
It added that the vessels have now been transferred to Iranian territorial waters for inspection of their cargo and documents.
The IRGC Navy reiterated that any attempt to disrupt the implementation of laws announced by Iran for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or any activity inconsistent with safe passage through this strategic waterway, will be continuously monitored and met with decisive and legal action against violators.
Politics
South Korean fighter pilot fined for mid-air photos that caused crash

A South Korean fighter pilot has been ordered to pay 88 million won ($59,200) in damages over a 2021 mid-air collision he caused by trying to get photos and videos of himself flying, an official report said on Wednesday.
The pilot, whose identity was withheld, wanted to capture footage of his last sortie before reassignment, according to the report by the Board of Audit and Inspection.
While travelling at 578 kilometres per hour (359 mph), he had the pilot of a second plane and another colleague take snaps of him on their phones.
In search of the perfect shot, he flipped his jet and flew close to the other aircraft, resulting in a misjudgement that caused his left stabilator — a horizontal stabiliser on a plane’s tail — to collide with its wing.
There were no casualties, but the unsanctioned move caused 878 million won in damages.
The pilot’s manoeuvre, which had not been coordinated with others in his formation, caused the aircraft to “invert up to 137 degrees so that its upper side could be captured on video”, the report published on Wednesday said.
The defence ministry initially ordered him to pay the full amount but he appealed to the board, which reduced his liability to 10% of the total repair costs.
The board took into account that other pilots had previously conducted in-flight filming, and that he had still safely commanded the flight and returned to base without causing further damage.
“Since commissioning in 2010, the individual has served for an extended period as a fighter pilot, managing aircraft safely,” the report said.
While the report did not specify what type of aircraft was involved, the Yonhap news agency said it was an F-15K.
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