Connect with us

Sports

NFL Week 9 Power Rankings: New 1-32 poll, plus the best offseason addition for every roster

Published

on

NFL Week 9 Power Rankings: New 1-32 poll, plus the best offseason addition for every roster


Week 8 of the 2025 NFL season was filled with dominant wins, as it featured the first Sunday slate with one or zero games decided by single digits since Dec. 20, 1970, per ESPN Research. That one matchup happened to be the Jets’ first victory of the season, in which they overcame a 14-point deficit with less than eight minutes remaining against the Bengals. Week 8 concluded with the Chiefs handling the Commanders on “Monday Night Football.”

How do all of these teams fit in our updated Power Rankings? We restacked the NFL heading into Week 9, which includes byes for four teams (Browns, Buccaneers, Eagles and Jets). In addition to the 1-32 rankings, our NFL Nation reporters picked the best offseason addition from each roster. They chose from 2025 draft picks, free agent signings, trade acquisitions or coach hirings. Who has made the most impact so far?

Let’s get into it with our No. 1 team, which is different from last week. Our power panel of more than 80 writers, editors and TV personalities evaluated how NFL teams stack up against one another, ranking them from 1 to 32.

Jump to a team:
ARI | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN
CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND
JAX | KC | LAC | LAR | LV | MIA | MIN
NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF
SEA | TB | TEN | WSH

Week 8 result: Beat the Titans 38-14
Week 8 ranking: 2

Best offseason addition: QB Daniel Jones

The one-year deal for Jones was characterized as competition for Anthony Richardson Sr. in the spring. In the end, it turned out to be so much more. Jones’ decision-making has helped the Colts become No. 1 in the NFL in yards per game (385.3), yards per play (6.5) and points per game (33.8). He is second behind the Cowboys’ Dak Prescott in QBR (79.3) and is completing a career-best 71.2% of his pass attempts. — Stephen Holder


Week 8 result: Bye
Week 8 ranking: 1

Best offseason addition: RG Tate Ratledge

After losing Pro Bowl center Frank Ragnow (retirement) and veteran guard Kevin Zeitler (signed with the Titans), the Lions drafted Ratledge in the second round to help navigate those offseason departures. He has started in all seven games at right guard next to All-Pro tackle Penei Sewell, and Detroit hasn’t missed a beat with the third-most points per game in the NFL (30.7). Detroit was forced to replace 40% of an offensive line that was on the field for the second-most points and touchdowns of any five-man unit in the NFL last season, per ESPN Research. — Eric Woodyard


Week 8 result: Beat the Giants 38-20
Week 8 ranking: 3

Best offseason addition: LB Jihaad Campbell

The first-round pick out of Alabama has been a contributor in Vic Fangio’s defense from the jump. Campbell has played 87% of the snaps with 45 tackles, eight QB pressures and an interception. His role shifted when Nakobe Dean recently returned from a knee injury, moving from starting inside linebacker to more of a hybrid edge player. That has come with a learning curve, but Campbell’s versatility is already proving valuable. — Tim McManus


Week 8 result: Beat the Panthers 40-9
Week 8 ranking: 6

Best offseason addition: DT Deone Walker

The fourth-round pick has turned into a valuable player for the Bills, especially given the injuries that have hit their defensive tackle position. Playing time for Walker and other defensive rookies isn’t a surprise, but he has started six games and played 51.7% of defensive plays. He is tied for the team high in tackles for loss (seven) with Ed Oliver and is third leaguewide in run stop rate (8.2%). Since Oliver is out indefinitely with a torn left biceps, the Bills will need Walker to continue stepping up. — Alaina Getzenberg


Week 8 result: Beat the Saints 23-3
Week 8 ranking: 4

Best offseason addition: WR Emeka Egbuka

The No. 19 pick has been slowed by a hamstring injury while playing when the team has been without its other top three receivers (Mike Evans, Chris Godwin Jr. and Jalen McMillan). But Egbuka’s 562 receiving yards are seventh most in the league, and all five of his touchdown grabs (tied for eighth most) came in the first five games. The rookie put together his best performance in Week 5 against the Seahawks, catching all seven of his targets for 163 yards and a touchdown. — Jenna Laine


Week 8 result: Beat the Commanders 28-7
Week 8 ranking: 7

Best offseason addition: LT Josh Simmons

Although Simmons has been away from the team since Oct. 12 because of a family situation, the first-round pick has shown he can be the Chiefs’ franchise left tackle for quarterback Patrick Mahomes. In five games, Simmons was exceptional in pass protection, allowing the Chiefs’ offense to be functional. When he returns, he could develop into a Pro Bowler. A qualified second candidate is left tackle Jaylon Moore, a four-year veteran who has played well in Simmons’ absence. — Nate Taylor


Week 8 result: Beat the Steelers 35-25
Week 8 ranking: 8

Best offseason addition: DE Micah Parsons

Parsons has been everything the Packers had hoped for — and perhaps even more — when they traded away two first-round picks plus Kenny Clark before giving Parsons a $188 million contract. Parsons not only leads the NFL in pressures (33), he has helped free up Rashan Gary (who leads the Packers with 7.5 sacks) and bring an overall energy to the Packers’ defense. Green Bay ranks sixth in the NFL in yards allowed per game (289.4). — Rob Demovsky

play

1:19

Does the road to the Super Bowl go through the Packers?

Alex Smith, Adam Schefter and Rex Ryan discuss the Packers’ young roster and their chances of reaching the Super Bowl.


Week 8 result: Bye
Week 8 ranking: 5

Best offseason addition: WR Davante Adams

The Rams retooled their receivers room this offseason, adding the veteran on a two-year, $46 million deal to pair with Puka Nacua. While Adams and quarterback Matthew Stafford have said building chemistry with a new teammate takes time, that growth showed up in the Rams’ last game before their bye. Against the Jaguars in Week 7, Adams had his most productive performance of the season with three touchdown catches in London. — Sarah Barshop


Week 8 result: Beat the Cowboys 44-24
Week 8 ranking: 11

Best offseason addition: RB J.K. Dobbins

After getting four touchdowns from rookies on Sunday, the long-term answer here could be different. But right now, fifth-year ball carrier Dobbins is third in the league at 79.3 rushing yards per game and second only to the Colts’ Jonathan Taylor in runs of at least 10 yards. Dobbins is the first Broncos running back with two 100-yard rushing games in a season since Melvin Gordon had three in 2021. And with his reliability as a pass protector and a receiver, Dobbins has checked every box. — Jeff Legwold


Week 8 result: Beat the Browns 32-13
Week 8 ranking: 12

Best offseason addition: HC Mike Vrabel

When Vrabel was hired in January as the 16th head coach in franchise history, he said: “I want to galvanize our football team. I want to galvanize this building. I want to galvanize our fans.” Consider it all galvanized. The Patriots are off to their best start since 2019; Vrabel’s clear focus on team identity and goals have resonated throughout the organization. The Pats play with “effort and finish,” as Vrabel said, and are ahead of schedule on their first goal of competing for the AFC East title, as they hold a half-game lead over the Bills. — Mike Reiss


Week 8 result: Bye
Week 8 ranking: 9

Best offseason addition: QB Sam Darnold

You could come up with a long list of home run additions that general manager John Schneider and coach Mike Macdonald made this past offseason, including offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, defensive end DeMarcus Lawrence and rookie left guard Grey Zabel. But when a team changes quarterbacks and gets the kind of play that Darnold has given Seattle, he’s the easy choice. Signed to a three-year, $100.5 million deal after the Seahawks traded Geno Smith to the Raiders, Darnold ranks sixth in Total QBR, and he’s showing that his brilliant season with the Vikings was no one-year wonder. — Brady Henderson


Week 8 result: Lost to the Texans 26-15
Week 8 ranking: 10

Best offseason addition: DC Robert Saleh

Take it from San Francisco tight end George Kittle, who has said all year that Saleh has been the Niners’ biggest addition. Through eight games, Saleh has had to earn every penny with a revamped defense that has lost star linebacker Fred Warner (ankle) and end Nick Bosa (ACL) to season-ending injuries. It hasn’t been perfect, as there is still a lack of pass rush and interceptions, but Saleh’s defense is eighth best in points allowed (20.5). It would be no surprise if Saleh is again a strong candidate in the next head coaching cycle. — Nick Wagoner


Week 8 result: Lost to the Packers 35-25
Week 8 ranking: 13

Best offseason addition: QB Aaron Rodgers

Of all the uncharacteristic offseason acquisitions, Rodgers, perhaps the most controversial addition, has been the Steelers’ most reliable. At 41 years old and two years removed from an Achilles tear, it was unclear exactly what he had left in the tank. Rodgers, though, has been a steadying leader for the offense, and he has shown flashes of vintage moves by extending the play, breaking the pocket and firing deep balls downfield. But he isn’t a cure-all for the Steelers’ offense, which converted just 1-of-10 third-down opportunities against the Packers. — Brooke Pryor

play

2:19

Rex Ryan: Steelers’ defense got old

Rex Ryan, Alex Smith and Adam Schefter discuss the Steelers’ struggling defense and how it could be detrimental to their season.


Week 8 result: Beat the Vikings 37-10
Week 8 ranking: 15

Best offseason addition: WR Keenan Allen

Allen is only technically an addition. He spent his first 11 seasons with the Chargers but was traded to Chicago for a fourth-round pick after a contract dispute prior to the 2024 season. He returned to the Bolts in early August, and he has been quarterback Justin Herbert‘s favorite target. Allen is first in the team in yards (479), receptions (48) and targets (70). He has earned the nickname “third-and-Keenan” from teammates, as he has the fifth-most first-down receptions in the NFL (31). — Kris Rhim


Week 8 result: Bye
Week 8 ranking: 17

Best offseason addition: WR/CB Travis Hunter

He’s arguably the Jaguars’ best receiver and cornerback already. Coach Liam Coen also is making it a priority to call more plays where Hunter is the No. 1 option on offense. He leads the team with 28 catches and is coming off his first 100-yard game (eight catches, 101 yards and a score against the Rams). Hunter has three pass breakups in limited work on defense, including one on third down against Davante Adams. — Mike DiRocco


Week 8 result: Lost to the Ravens 30-16
Week 8 ranking: 14

Best offseason addition: HC Ben Johnson

The Bears are a competent, well-coached football team under Johnson. The results aren’t always there, as red zone efficiency and penalties continue to be a problem. But Chicago put together a four-game win streak, and it has buy-in that feels different than other seasons. Johnson has preached accountability, which he has demonstrated in his honest reflection on decisions and calls that didn’t work. That’s a breath of fresh air as the culture shifts inside Halas Hall. — Courtney Cronin


Week 8 result: Beat the 49ers 26-15
Week 8 ranking: 21

Best offseason addition: RB Woody Marks

The fourth-round pick has been a nice addition to the offense. Marks is boom or bust at times, but when he booms, he shows explosiveness and dynamic ability in the running and passing games. He has had three catches for over 20 yards this season. The rookie out of USC has been a nice complementary player to Nick Chubb, who is more of a bruiser on early downs. Marks leads the Texans in scrimmage yards with 379. — DJ Bien-Aime


Week 8 result: Lost to the Broncos 44-24
Week 8 ranking: 16

Best offseason addition: RB Javonte Williams

Nobody could have predicted Williams would be on pace for a 1,345-yard, 17-touchdown season when the Cowboys signed him to a one-year deal. Yet, here he is. Williams has shown the ability to break some long runs and pick up the dirty yards. How he holds up over the course of the season with the usage he has so far (on track for a career-high 264 carries) will be of interest. But if teams want to play their safeties deep to defend wide receivers CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens, then the Cowboys will continue to feed Williams. — Todd Archer

play

2:58

Stephen A. to Jerry Jones: ‘You’ve got to try something’ to fix the defense

Stephen A. Smith urges Jerry Jones to strengthen the Cowboys’ defense to go along with their strong offense.


Week 8 result: Lost to the Bills 40-9
Week 8 ranking: 18

Best offseason addition: RB Rico Dowdle

Over a two-game stretch when Chuba Hubbard was injured, Dowdle set a franchise record with 473 scrimmage yards and Carolina went 2-0. For the season, the former Cowboys running back has a team-leading 551 rushing yards to go with 121 receiving yards. While the Panthers are now splitting series between Hubbard and Dowdle, the latter clearly has made more impactful plays. — David Newton


Week 8 result: Lost to the Chiefs 28-7
Week 8 ranking: 19

Best offseason addition: LT Laremy Tunsil

Washington traded away four picks, including a 2025 third-rounder and a second-rounder in 2026, to Houston for Tunsil and a fourth-round pick. He has provided the Commanders with their best tackle play since Trent Williams in 2018. Tunsil is credited with allowing three sacks, though one of those came on a play that took 3.7 seconds. Regardless, he came at a premium cost, and he is worthy of an extension with one year left on his deal, even at age 31. “I would definitely want Laremy to be my bodyguard,” Washington coach Dan Quinn said after Week 1. That remains true two months later, though a hamstring injury suffered Monday will need to be monitored. — John Keim


Week 8 result: Lost to the Chargers 37-10
Week 8 ranking: 22

Best offseason addition: RB Jordan Mason

Acquired via trade from the 49ers, Mason has proved to be a powerful and resourceful runner. He is averaging 2.02 yards after contact per carry, part of the reason his first-down rate is 28.4%, which is 11th best in the NFL and by far the highest for a Vikings running back since coach Kevin O’Connell arrived in 2022. Mason’s four rushing touchdowns might seem modest, but they are only one short of what Aaron Jones Sr. produced in all of 2024. — Kevin Seifert


Week 8 result: Beat the Bears 30-16
Week 8 ranking: 26

Best offseason addition: K Tyler Loop

The Ravens took a risk by going with a sixth-round pick to replace Justin Tucker, the NFL’s most accurate kicker at the time when Baltimore cut him amid accusations of sexual misconduct. But Loop has exceeded expectations so far, making 12 of 13 field goals (92.3%). His only miss was from 55 yards. In comparison, Tucker was 12-of-15 (80%) in his first seven games last season, which ended up as the worst of his career. Loop has struggled at times on kickoffs, and he has missed an extra point, but he has been an upgrade over Tucker on field goals to this point. — Jamison Hensley

play

1:19

Schefter: NFL to investigate Lamar Jackson’s injury status

Adam Schefter tells Pat McAfee that the Ravens will likely face some punishment over the Lamar Jackon injury report issue.


Week 8 result: Lost to the Jets 39-38
Week 8 ranking: 23

Best offseason addition: TE Noah Fant

Fant was a late addition to the Bengals’ roster because of the injuries they were dealing with at the position. But he has been a valuable asset for their offense, especially given the injury to starting quarterback Joe Burrow. Fant has 23 catches for 192 yards and two touchdowns. With Mike Gesicki on injured reserve (pectoral injury), Fant has become a very important player for Cincinnati. — Ben Baby


Week 8 result: Bye
Week 8 ranking: 24

Best offseason addition: Edge Josh Sweat

Backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett has a strong case. But since Arizona lost in both of his starts, Sweat becomes the best offseason acquisition. Sweat has made an instant impact on Arizona’s defense, which has kept the Cardinals in a number of games while the offense has struggled. He has five sacks, two forced fumbles and a batted pass. More importantly, Sweat is one of the focal points for opposing offensive coordinators to game-plan around, which opens the pass rush for everyone else. — Josh Weinfuss


Week 8 result: Beat the Falcons 34-10
Week 8 ranking: 30

Best offseason addition: CB Rasul Douglas

Douglas signed with the Dolphins just before the regular season and was thrust into a starting role after an injury to Storm Duck in Week 1. Now that he has had two months to digest Miami’s playbook, Douglas has stabilized the position for a defense that desperately needed it. He has been the Fins’ most targeted defensive back but has allowed only one touchdown this season — on a play in which Jets wideout Garrett Wilson had less than a yard of separation when the pass arrived. — Marcel Louis-Jacques


Week 8 result: Lost to the Dolphins 34-10
Week 8 ranking: 20

Best offseason addition: S Xavier Watts

Watts has been such a good complement to Pro Bowl safety Jessie Bates III that Bates has said the rookie out of Notre Dame reminds him of a younger version of himself. Watts has two interceptions and four pass breakups. He was named an NFC Defensive Player of the Week in September. Watts has been a key figure for a Falcons defense that has allowed the second-fewest yards per game (275.6) in the league. So far, he has looked like a steal as a third-round pick. — Marc Raimondi


Week 8 result: Lost to the Patriots 32-13
Week 8 ranking: 25

Best offseason addition: DT Maliek Collins

The Browns signed Collins to a two-year, $20 million deal this offseason. The 30-year-old lineman has been a perfect fit, taking advantage of the one-on-one opportunities afforded him while star pass rusher Myles Garrett faces double-teams. Collins ranks 10th in the league in pass rush win rate at defensive tackle (12.4%), and his 3.5 sacks are second most on the Browns. He also has been a valuable mentor for young players such as No. 5 pick Mason Graham. — Daniel Oyefusi


Week 8 result: Lost to the Eagles 38-20
Week 8 ranking: 27

Best offseason addition: QB Jaxson Dart

The rookie quarterback has impressed despite being 2-3 as a starter. He has injected life into a listless Giants offense that had trouble scoring the previous two-plus seasons. It’s more than just Dart’s arm. Perhaps most impressive has been his ability to avoid sacks and use his legs. Dart joined Cam Newton this week as the only quarterbacks since 1950 to have a passing and rushing touchdown in four of their first five career starts, per ESPN Research. — Jordan Raanan

play

1:09

Rich Eisen: Cam Skattebo’s ankle injury is a bummer

Rich Eisen reacts to Giants running back Cam Skattebo’s season-ending ankle injury.


Week 8 result: Bye
Week 8 ranking: 29

Best offseason addition: CB Eric Stokes

Stokes, who signed a one-year deal with Las Vegas in the offseason, has been fairly solid as a starter. In 221 coverage snaps, Stokes has allowed 11 catches for 161 yards and a touchdown on 21 targets. He has given up a passer rating of 93.6 and a completion rate of 52.4%. “He’s just a steady player… Very athletic [and] smart,” Raiders defensive backs coach Joe Woods said. “He hasn’t made a lot of plays on the ball because there haven’t been a lot of opportunities coming his way. But at the same time, he hasn’t given up a lot of plays.” — Ryan McFadden


Week 8 result: Lost to the Buccaneers 23-3
Week 8 ranking: 28

Best offseason addition: S Jonas Sanker

The rookie third-round pick had to fill in almost immediately after Julian Blackmon suffered a season-ending shoulder injury in the Saints’ Week 1 loss to the Cardinals. Sanker has been a solid addition to a team that has struggled; he has registered one interception, one fumble recovery and 38 total tackles in seven starts. Sanker’s 27 solo tackles are the most by any rookie defensive back this season. — Katherine Terrell


Week 8 result: Beat the Bengals 39-38
Week 8 ranking: 32

Best offseason addition: RT Armand Membou

Drafted with the No. 7 pick, Membou assumed a starting role in OTAs, and he hasn’t looked back while playing every offensive snap. He is excelling as a run blocker, ranking seventh out of 63 qualified tackles in run block win rate. Membou has had some hiccups in pass protection (39th in pass block win rate), but he hasn’t looked out of place. He is a steady rookie with a high ceiling. — Rich Cimini


Week 8 result: Lost to the Colts 38-14
Week 8 ranking: 31

Best offseason addition: WR Chimere Dike

Dike has been a bright spot in an otherwise dismal season for the Titans. The 2025 fourth-round pick leads the league in all-purpose yards, thanks in large part to an NFL-high 991 return yards. Without top receiver Calvin Ridley (hamstring) for the past two weeks, Dike has led the team in receiving yards. His seven receptions for 93 yards against the Colts were both career highs. He and quarterback Cam Ward have spent increased time together in the film room to improve their chemistry. — Turron Davenport



Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Sports

WATCH: Pakistan’s winning moment as Green Shirts clinch U19 Asia Cup title

Published

on

WATCH: Pakistan’s winning moment as Green Shirts clinch U19 Asia Cup title


This collage of photos shows Pakistan players and support staff celebrate after winning the U19 Asia Cup final against India at ICC Academy, Dubai, December 21, 2025. — Facebook@Asian Cricket Council

Scenes of jubilation erupted at the ICC Academy in Dubai as Pakistan thumped India in the Men’s U19 Asia Cup final on Sunday.

The Green Shirts sealed a commanding 191-run victory in the final after bowling out their arch-rivals for 156 runs.

As Ali Raza dismissed Deepesh Devendran, India’s last batter to fall, jubilant Pakistani players and support staff stormed the field, waving national flags.

Among the support staff was former Pakistan captain Sarfaraz Ahmed, who serves as the national U19 team’s mentor.

Pakistan lifted the Men’s U19 Asia Cup title courtesy of their brilliant batting, followed by a stellar bowling performance.

The game saw Pakistan set a daunting 348-run target for India, who could score 156 runs before getting bowled out in 26.2 overs.

Raza was the standout bowler for Pakistan, taking four wickets for 42 runs in his 6.2 overs, while Abdul Subhan, Mohammad Sayyam, and Huzaifa Ahsan chipped in with two each.

Batting first, Sameer Minhas’s monumental 172-run knock helped Pakistan post 347/8 in their 50 overs.

The Green Shirts got off to a decent start to their innings as their opening pair of Minhas and Hamza Zahoor (18) put together 31 runs before the latter fell victim to Henil Patel in the fourth over.

Following the early setback, Usman Khan joined Minhas in the middle, and the duo led Pakistan into a commanding position by knitting a brisk 92-run partnership for the second wicket off just 79 deliveries.

The platform-setting stand culminated in the 17th over when Khilan Patel got Usman Khan caught at long-on. The left-handed batter made a vital contribution with a 45-ball 35, featuring three fours and a six.

Minhas was then involved in another crucial partnership for Pakistan, a blistering 137-run stand for the third wicket with Ahmed Hussain, who made 56 off 73 deliveries, laced with three fours and a six.

The right-handed opener then shared a 42-run partnership with captain Farhan Yousaf until eventually being dismissed by Deepesh Devendran on the penultimate delivery of the 43rd over.

He remained the top-scorer for Pakistan with 172 off 113 deliveries, studded with 17 fours and nine sixes.

His dismissal sparked a collapse which saw Pakistan lose four more wickets, including that of captain Yousaf (19) in quick succession, and consequently brought the total down to 327-8 in 46.4 overs.

Following the slump, Mohammad Sayyam and Niqab Shafiq added valuable runs at the backend, playing unbeaten cameos of 13 and 12, respectively.

For India, Deepesh Devendran led the way with three wickets but was expensive as he conceded 83 runs in his 10 overs, followed by Henil Patel and Khilan Patel with two each, while Kanishk Chouhan could bag one.





Source link

Continue Reading

Sports

Aston Villa couldn’t be crowned Premier League champions, could they?

Published

on

Aston Villa couldn’t be crowned Premier League champions, could they?


Aston Villa are on an astonishing run of form that has catapulted them into the Premier League‘s top three: They’ve won 10 of their past 11 league games, and nine in a row across all competitions. During that span they’ve beaten league leaders Arsenal and second-place Manchester City, plus they’ve won every single league game off the back of a midweek European fixture, which is notoriously tough to do.

So with Manchester United to come this weekend and Unai Emery’s men sitting only three points off top spot, fully five clear of fourth place, people have begun to ask the question: Are Villa genuinely in the 2025-26 title race?

We might not be able to answer that fully until March or April, but here’s how they got there.

A terrible summer

The fact that Villa are third in the table is made all the more remarkable by the fact they failed to win any of their first five games this season. Over that period, they lost to Brentford and Crystal Palace, and drew with Newcastle United, Everton and Sunderland, scoring only one goal in the process.

There’s no doubt that a poor summer transfer window played a part in the sloppy start. In July, Villa were fined by UEFA for breaching its cost-control rules — the club spent too much money given the revenue they generated — and entered into a settlement agreement with European football’s governing body. The agreement mandated that the club must end the summer with a positive transfer balance, which led to the club posting a £15 million profit for the window. But not only were top players almost impossible to sign, every single player’s future at Villa was uncertain until the window shut.

The £39 million (rising to £43 million) departure of homegrown midfielder Jacob Ramsey to Newcastle United was the key to generating the required revenue, but reports suggested the dressing room was far from happy with how that deal — and the summer overall — played out. And England international defender Ezri Konsa went as far as openly saying: “It’s really killed us.”

There’s no doubt this played a huge role in Villa’s sluggish start.

Torres’ return boosts form

The turnaround began in the UEFA Europa League opener at home to Bologna, where a Villa team low on confidence struggled its way to a 1-0 win in late September. That was followed by a first Premier League victory, 3-1 over Fulham, and from there the club gained steam.

One key change was the reintroduction of Pau Torres, Villa’s best passing center back by far, to the defensive line after a spell on the bench. The Spain international is able to move the ball up the pitch more quickly than his teammates, and he’s also the best at retaining possession, which is crucial to Emery’s controlling style.

So it was a simple case of Torres bringing an element of composure to Villa’s possession, giving them enough of a platform to start improving elsewhere.

From there, the form of some key players improved. Attacker Morgan Rogers hit his stride and is now playing the best football of his career — he has five goals and three assists in his past 11 appearances — while others perked up too, notably defender Matty Cash and midfielder John McGinn, both of whom have scored important goals, and forward Emi Buendía‘s impact off the bench has been game-changing at times.

Stats tell a different story

Questions have been raised over whether Villa’s run of results is sustainable — and not only because if they were to beat Man United this weekend, Emery would become the first Villa manager in over a century to record two separate runs of 10 consecutive home wins. It’s because the underlying statistics portray the team very differently to the way the official table does.

For example, the Premier League’s expected goals differential (xGD) table has Villa in 14th place. That metric takes the club’s total xG (16.7) and subtracts their xGA (expected goals against, 21.4), which results in minus-4.7. For context, Arsenal top that table with plus-16.9, while Burnley are bottom at minus-18.0.

Even if you generously remove Villa’s terrible first five games from the sample size, Villa’s xGD is minus-0.34, which puts them 11th. It’s not gaining 30 points from a possible 33 levels of form.

So why the disparity? How have Villa piled up the points at a rate no other team can match for the past two months, sparking mutters of a title charge, but graded out as distinctly average in the data, causing analysts to sound caution?

The answer lies in the type of goals Villa have scored.

Long shooting breaks the model

An incredible 10 of Villa’s 25 Premier League goals so far have come from outside the box. That’s more than any other team in Europe this season, and at least two more than anyone else in the Premier League.

In a run of games spanning roughly 40 days, starting with Tottenham Hotspur away on Oct. 19 and ending with Wolves at home on Nov. 30, seven of their eight goals came from outside the box. This repertoire included two free kicks, a left-footed effort from right back Cash, and a rare goal from defensive midfielder Boubacar Kamara.

When questioned about this after beating Wolves 1-0, Emery framed it as a genuine tactic: “They are practicing a lot every training session and shooting like that. The first 20 minutes they defended so low so we need to shoot and be clinical. We are responding as a team tactically.”

It should be noted that this flies in the face of how the modern game has evolved over the past 15 years, as the introduction of xG has laid bare how slim the chances of scoring from range generally are.

For a start, it has led to a massive reduction in long shooting. During the 2011-12 Premier League season, 4,829 shots were taken from outside the box, but by the 2024-25 season, that number had dropped to 3,113 — a decrease of 35.5%. The average distance from which a shot is taken has also reduced from 17.9 yards to 15.8, via Opta.

Villa firing in goals from range — including an epic winner from Rogers last weekend against West Ham, rated at just 0.04 xG — has led to them outperforming their xG total by 8.3, the widest margin in the division.

Good teams and good players overperform their xG, but only to a certain degree. And probably not to this extent.

The Kansas City Chiefs of soccer?

However, xG isn’t the only place Aston Villa are running the margins pretty fine. Eight of their 10 wins have been by just a single goal, and only one result — a 4-0 home win over AFC Bournemouth — stands out as a dominant scoreline. Compare this to Arsenal, who have won six Premier League games by 2-plus goals (and beat Atlético Madrid 4-0 and Bayern Munich 3-1 in Europe) or Manchester City, who have won eight league games by 2-plus goals (and beat Real Madrid 2-1 at the Bernabéu), and it does paint a picture.

Villa rarely put teams away emphatically and are frequently forced to defend one-goal leads at the end of games. Now credit where it’s due: They are clearly excellent at this, and their success in this area is perhaps the key reason they’ve shot up the table.

Compare and contrast their composure in these scenarios to teams you’d expect to be challenging for the top five, like Newcastle United or Manchester United, and they are worlds apart. The Magpies are conceding so many late goals that manager Eddie Howe has labeled it a psychological issue, while just this month United squandered leads against West Ham and Bournemouth in the 83rd minute or later.

But these two teams serve as cautionary tales. Football is chaotic and random; one-goal leads bring jeopardy. On the balance of probabilities, a team playing out a lot of tight affairs do not win every single one — and even if they do for a spell, it can turn around very quickly.

To draw an NFL comparison, Villa very much look like the Kansas City Chiefs, who went 11-0 in one-score games in the 2024 regular season. Some of those victories were almost beyond belief, courtesy of blocked field goal attempts and spectacular final plays. They ran the margins very fine.

But the concerning part for Villa is that in the following year, the Chiefs lost their first five one-score games in a row, eventually breaking that streak with an overtime win against the Indianapolis Colts. It just shows that close games will not consistently run in your favor forever.

Will squad depth halt their charge?

Since early November, there has been an obvious uptick in Villa’s underlying creative numbers. Their xG in wins against Bournemouth (1.7), Leeds United (1.6) and Brighton (2.3) was more than fine, and the 2.1 xG they accumulated against Arsenal was the most any team has racked up against the Gunners all season — including Liverpool, Man City and Bayern.

The majority of these games were won by a single goal — in fact, Arsenal were beaten by the last kick of the game — but at least Emery’s men felt as if they were moving through the gears in attack.

In fact, they’ve achieved a remarkable amount considering striker Ollie Watkins is having a difficult season with only three goals in 16 league appearances. Though Emery has mentioned that the 29-year-old is dealing with a knee issue, which seems to be affecting his top speed and ability to get shots off.

If Villa could begin to get strong production from their No. 9 — be it Watkins, backup Donyell Malen, or a clever (and cheap) January transfer window addition — they could easily go up another gear in the final third.

Where Villa really fall short in comparison to title rivals Arsenal and Man City, though, is in squad depth. There’s a significant drop-off in quality from Rogers to the next Villa attacker; Konsa and Torres to the next center backs; and Cash to the next right back.

Compare this to Arsenal, who have two class players for every position and have already shown they can cope without star forward Bukayo Saka and midfielder Martin Ødegaard, while they also have an army of elite defenders to call upon; or Man City, whose fully rotated team boasts £40 million-plus players across the park.

Realistically, Villa will struggle to compete with this over the course of a full season — especially given they have a Europa League campaign to manage too.

Emery’s side have rebounded from tough circumstances to put themselves in a phenomenal position, but they are not a dominant team — in scoreline, in underlying numbers, even in average possession — nor are they stacked with the options you probably need to reach 80-plus points.

But that’s OK. What’s crucial for the club is they’ve put themselves at the head of the pack jostling for Champions League qualification. They’re 11 points clear of Newcastle and Tottenham Hotspur, and could go 10 clear of Man United if they beat them this weekend. If title aspirations fall by the wayside, yet UCL football is secured, most Villa fans would be OK with that.



Source link

Continue Reading

Sports

Williams’ OT magic caps Bears’ latest comeback

Published

on

Williams’ OT magic caps Bears’ latest comeback


CHICAGO — Thirteen days removed from throwing a game-sealing interception in a loss to the Green Bay Packers, Caleb Williams earned a hefty dose of redemption.

The Chicago Bears came from behind in a wild fourth-quarter rally that saw them erase a 10-point deficit, recover an onside kick and score a touchdown — all in a two-minute span — to force overtime. They beat the Packers 22-16 for their 11th win of the season when Williams launched a 46-yard pass that DJ Moore caught in the end zone to secure the walk-off win.

“I knew it was good,” Williams said of his overtime touchdown pass. “You got that belief, you got that confidence, you got that swagger as an offense. You practice well, you hit plays like that in practice. It was pretty identical to practice, and when the play gets called and the moment comes up like that, it’s time to go hit it, it’s time to go win the game.”

The play that sparked Williams’ winning throw was installed Thursday after the 24-year-old quarterback and coach Ben Johnson met one-on-one.

“I was up watching film in his office and we just kind of went over small details throughout the play, and the next day we came out and discussed it and hit it in practice,” Williams said. “Ended up working out just how we thought.”

During the first Bears-Packers meeting of the season at Lambeau Field on Dec. 7, Green Bay cornerback Keisean Nixon picked off Williams’ fourth-down throw to secure a 28-21 victory.

In the final moments of Saturday night’s meeting, Nixon was once again at the center of the action, draped over Moore as the receiver sprinted into the end zone and hauled in the pass to end the game.

“Once I saw the defense was one-on-one,” Moore said, “I knew Caleb was going to give me a chance with the ball like he did at practice, and we connected on it.”

Bears defenders watching the play unfold from the sideline had an idea where Williams would launch the ball after seeing the quarterback connect with Moore on the play two days prior. Without receivers Rome Odunze (foot) and Luther Burden III (ankle), Moore was targeted a team-high seven times and hauled in five catches for 97 yards and a touchdown.

“DJ was getting a lot of targets and a lot of deep shots [in practice],” safety Jaquan Brisker said. “To be honest, he caught it on one of our safeties, and it was on the left side. Like the same thing, going towards Halas [Hall]. I swear, when the ball was in the air, I knew he was going to catch it. It was crazy.”

Added Johnson: “I thought Caleb threw a dime in practice and DJ came down with it, and we’re hopeful that it may or may not be there, but we timed that one up right. DJ ran a great route, and Caleb threw him a great ball. I think it’s also a testament to our preparation over the course of the week. I think the coaches do a great job coming up with good ideas to put our guys in good spots and when you go out and you execute it on the practice field, it does become game-day reality for us.”

Williams leads the NFL with six comeback wins after trailing in the fourth quarter, and his six winning drives this season extend his record by any Bears starting quarterback since the AFL-NFL merger. He is the only Bears quarterback to throw a touchdown in the final 30 seconds of the fourth quarter and in overtime in franchise history.

“It was a great moment,” Williams said. “I got a lot of great moments coming up. I think it’s a signature moment for us as a team to be able to build this confidence. A signature moment for us to be able to be in the position we are with 11 wins and everything at the tip of our fingers is exactly where we want to be, I’ll put it that way.”

Saturday’s win marked the Bears’ first overtime victory since they beat the Ravens in 2017. The Bears now have six wins after trailing in the final two minutes of the fourth quarter, the most such wins in a season since the 1970 merger.

“I don’t think I have been around a team that when it’s this late in games, just they don’t bat an eye,” Johnson said. “You don’t feel any despair on the sideline from any of the phases. You might feel it in the stadium a little bit. I could feel the fans kind of coming to life again once we got a little momentum going in the fourth quarter, but our guys, they don’t miss a beat. They just keep plucking along and they know good things will come if we keep swinging away.”



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending