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No 10 denies Reeves misled public in run up to Budget

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No 10 denies Reeves misled public in run up to Budget


Downing Street has denied Chancellor Rachel Reeves misled the public about the state of the public finances in the run-up to this week’s Budget.

There were warnings ahead of the Budget that Reeves could face as much as a £20bn gap in meeting her rule of not borrowing for day-to-day spending.

But in a letter to MPs, the chairman of the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said he had told the chancellor in mid-September the gap would be much smaller.

Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch said the letter showed Reeves had “lied to the public” and should be sacked.

The weeks leading up to the Budget were dominated by speculation the chancellor would increase the rates of income tax, breaking a Labour manifesto pledge.

On 4 November, Reeves used a rare pre-Budget speech in Downing Street to warn the UK’s productivity was weaker “than previously thought” and that “has consequences for the public finances too, in lower tax receipts.”

Then, on 10 November, she told BBC Radio 5 Live: “It would, of course be possible to stick with the manifesto commitments, but that would require things like deep cuts in capital spending.”

These comments, along with her speech, fuelled speculation she needed to raise significant sums to meet her fiscal rules.

However, the Office for Budget Responsibility has now confirmed that before both of these interventions, it had told Reeves the government had in fact received higher than expected tax receipts, which offset the impact of the productivity downgrade.

That meant she had a surplus to meet both of her fiscal rules.

In a letter to the Commons Treasury select committee, OBR chairman Richard Hughes revealed that he told the chancellor on 17 September that the public finances were in better shape than widely thought.

The letter also reveals that on the 31 October the OBR the Treasury it was on course to meet both of the chancellor’s fiscal rules.

But Reeves continued to indicate that she was likely to increase income tax rates.

In her Downing Street press conference, she said: “It is already clear that the productivity performance…is weaker than previously thought.”

She added: “What I want people to understand ahead of that Budget, is the circumstances we face.”

However, the Treasury then backed away from increasing income tax rates, with government sources claiming this was because of better than expected forecasts from the OBR.

It has now emerged the OBR forecasts did not change significantly in the run up to the Budget.

Conservative shadow chancellor Sir Mel Stride said: “We now know the truth.

“Rachel Reeves spent the months leading up to the Budget claiming she would need to make difficult choices because of a downgrade in the economic forecasts that was not of her making.

“She even let it be known she was considering raising income tax rates.”

He claimed it was “all a smokescreen,” adding: “It appears the country has been deliberately misled.

“In doing so, some people may even have faced higher mortgage rates thanks to the impact on markets from Labour’s chaotic briefings.”

Asked whether Reeves had misled the public and the financial markets, the PM’s spokesperson said: “I don’t accept that.”

He added: “As she [Reeves] set out in the speech that she gave here (Downing Street), she talked about the challenges the country was facing and she set out her decisions incredibly clearly at the Budget.”

He added the government had increased the headroom for the Treasury to meet the fiscal rules, which would creates “certainty and stability for business”.



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India’s $5 Trillion Economy Push Explained: Why Modi Govt Wants To Merge 12 Banks Into 4 Mega ‘World-Class’ Lending Giants

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India’s  Trillion Economy Push Explained: Why Modi Govt Wants To Merge 12 Banks Into 4 Mega ‘World-Class’ Lending Giants


India’s Public Sector Banks Merger: The Centre is mulling over consolidating public-sector banks, and officials involved in the process say the long-term plan could eventually bring down the number of state-owned lenders from 12 to possibly just 4. The goal is to build a banking system that is large enough in scale, has deeper capital strength and is prepared to meet the credit needs of a fast-growing economy.

The minister explained that bigger banks are better equipped to support large-scale lending and long-term projects. “The country’s economy is moving rapidly toward the $5 trillion mark. The government is active in building bigger banks that can meet rising requirements,” she said.

Why India Wants Larger Banks

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Sitharaman recently confirmed that the government and the Reserve Bank of India have already begun detailed conversations on another round of mergers. She said the focus is on creating “world-class” banks that can support India’s expanding industries, rising infrastructure investments and overall credit demand.

She clarified that this is not only about merging institutions. The government and RBI are working on strengthening the entire banking ecosystem so that banks grow naturally and operate in a stable environment.

According to her, the core aim is to build stronger, more efficient and globally competitive banks that can help sustain India’s growth momentum.

At present, the country has a total of 12 public sector banks: the State Bank of India (SBI), the Punjab National Bank (PNB), the Bank of Baroda, the Canara Bank, the Union Bank of India, the Bank of India, the Indian Bank, the Central Bank of India, the Indian Overseas Bank (IOB) and the UCO Bank.

What Happens To Employees After Merger?

Whenever bank mergers are discussed, employees become anxious. A merger does not only combine balance sheets; it also brings together different work cultures, internal systems and employee expectations.

In the 1990s and early 2000s, several mergers caused discomfort among staff, including dissatisfaction over new roles, delayed promotions and uncertainty about reporting structures. Some officers who were promoted before mergers found their seniority diluted afterward, which created further frustration.

The finance minister addressed the concerns, saying that the government and the RBI are working together on the merger plan. She stressed that earlier rounds of consolidation had been successful. She added that the country now needs large, global-quality banks “where every customer issue can be resolved”. The focus, she said, is firmly on building world-class institutions.

‘No Layoffs, No Branch Closures’

She made one point unambiguous: no employee will lose their job due to the upcoming merger phase. She said that mergers are part of a natural process of strengthening banks, and this will not affect job security.

She also assured that no branches will be closed and no bank will be shut down as part of the consolidation exercise.

India last carried out a major consolidation drive in 2019-20, reducing the number of public-sector banks from 21 to 12. That round improved the financial health of many lenders.

With the government preparing for the next phase, the goal is clear. India wants large and reliable banks that can support a rapidly growing economy and meet the needs of a country expanding faster than ever.



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Stock market holidays in December: When will NSE, BSE remain closed? Check details – The Times of India

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Stock market holidays in December: When will NSE, BSE remain closed? Check details – The Times of India


Stock market holidays for December: As November comes to a close and the final month of the year begins, investors will want to know on which days trading sessions will be there and on which days stock markets are closed. are likely keeping a close eye on year-end portfolio adjustments, global cues, and corporate earnings.For this year, the only major, away from normal scheduled market holidays in December is Christmas, observed on Thursday, December 25. On this day, Indian stock markets, including the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and National Stock Exchange (NSE), will remain closed across equity, derivatives, and securities lending and borrowing (SLB) segments. Trading in currency and interest rate derivatives segments will continue as usual.Markets are expected to reopen on Friday, December 26, as investors return to monitor global developments and finalize year-end positioning. Apart from weekends, Christmas is the only scheduled market holiday this month, making December relatively quiet compared with other festive months, with regards to stock markets.The last trading session in November, which was November 28 (next two days being the weekend) ended flat. BSE Sensex slipped 13.71 points, or 0.02 per cent, to settle at 85,706.67, after hitting an intra-day high of 85,969.89 and a low of 85,577.82, a swing of 392.07 points. Meanwhile, the NSE Nifty fell 12.60 points, or 0.05 per cent, to 26,202.95, halting its two-day rally.





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A Silent Threat Looms Over India’s Big Industries – Is Growth In Danger?

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A Silent Threat Looms Over India’s Big Industries – Is Growth In Danger?


New Delhi: As Indian exporters were already dealing with the heavy impact of tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump, a new threat has come the fore. A report by global consulting firm BCG warns that India’s industries linked to exports and bound by international rules are now at risk from climate change. The most vulnerable sectors include aluminium, iron, and steel, which could face big losses in profits, disruptions in operations and long-term challenges to their sustainability if prompt action is not taken.

BCG Managing Director and Senior Partner Sumit Gupta, who is also Asia-Pacific leader for climate & sustainability, told PTI that according to the Climate Risk Index 2026, India ranks among the top 10 countries most exposed to extreme weather conditions.

“The cost of ignoring climate change for India could be enormous,” he said, referring to the findings released at COP30.

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Citing data from the Reserve Bank of India and the World Economic Forum 2024, he explained that by 2030, extreme climate events could threaten 4.5% of India’s GDP, and by the end of the century, losses could range between 6.4% and more than 10% of national income if climate risks are not addressed.

Direct Impact On Companies

Gupta highlighted how the climate threats directly affect businesses. Extreme weather can destroy physical infrastructure such as roads and bridges, reduce workers’ hours and hamper overall productivity.

Regions with higher climate vulnerability may experience delays in project execution, and investment potential could decline as uncertainty grows.

Earnings Under Threat

BCG’s estimates suggest that globally, climate-related risks could put 5% to 25% of companies’ EBITDA at risk by 2050. Indian businesses are increasingly recognising the severity of the challenge, understanding that climate change threatens not only profits but also the long-term stability of their operations.

If India wants to protect its economy and exports, he advised, taking action on climate change is urgent and necessary.



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