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Oil industry complains about delay in raising margins | The Express Tribune

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Oil industry complains about delay in raising margins | The Express Tribune


Points out 50% increase in margins must come into force from mid-Dec 2025, as agreed by ECC


ISLAMABAD:

The Oil Companies Advisory Council (OCAC) has expressed serious concern over failure of the regulator to implement the government’s decision to raise margins of oil companies and over call for full recovery of investment in digitisation.

In a letter to the Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (Ogra) chairman, OCAC pointed to the absence of a notification for 50% increase in margins of oil marketing companies (OMCs), approved by the Economic Coordination Committee (ECC), for motor spirit (MS) and high-speed diesel (HSD). “As per our understanding, Rs0.61 per litre (out of a total of Rs1.22) was intended to take effect from December 15, 2025, with the remaining 50% linked to the achievement of digitisation targets.”

During the above-stated meeting held on January 14, 2026, the industry was informed that the federal cabinet had advised linkage of the entire increase in margins with 100% digitisation. “While the industry remains fully committed to digitisation, this revised linkage has effectively deferred implementation of even the already-approved immediate increase, thereby placing an additional financial strain on OMCs,” it said. “OMCs continue to operate under a regulated margin framework that has remained stagnant for over two years and does not reflect escalating costs related to operations, financing, compliance and mandatory digitisation initiatives.” OCAC requested Ogra to plead the industry’s case, in coordination with the Ministry of Energy (Petroleum Division), before the cabinet for immediate notification and incorporation of 50% of the approved increase in margin, with effect from December 15, 2025.

Digitisation cost recovery

OCAC recalled that it had already shared the digitisation cost recovery mechanism through a letter dated January 12, 2026. To ensure timely, transparent and equitable recovery of digitisation investments, “it is proposed that a dedicated escrow-type account titled “Digitisation Fund” be created in the MS and HSD price structure, similar to the existing statutory levies (petroleum levy and climate support levy).

The proposed mechanism provides for milestone-based reimbursements, ensuring funds are released against verified implementation, including due compensation of the significant investments already made by the OMCs in digitisation, it said. Under the mechanism, OCAC added that the combined margin of Rs2.56 per litre for the OMCs and dealers was proposed to be included in the price structure as a separate line item, split equally between MS and HSD, ie, Rs1.28 per litre.

It asked Ogra and the Petroleum Division to obtain approval of the ECC for the inclusion of that separate line item and exercise joint oversight over the operation of the fund. It suggested that the account may be maintained as a savings account, with returns further supporting the digitisation initiatives.

The oil industry body also called for immediate reimbursement, within 15 days of the establishment of the mechanism, covering both capital and operational costs. It underlined the need for the recovery of investment in auto tank gauging (ATG) systems already installed at retail outlets and the contribution made by the OMCs to the Raahguzar App as well as the contributions made by the OMCs and refineries to the track and trace system. OCAC proposed setting an initial milestone for the installation of ATGs at 10 retail outlets per OMC, with reimbursement to be initiated within 15 days of the receipt and verification of requisite documentation.

It suggested the continuation of the mechanism until 2030, in line with the digitisation timelines submitted by the OMCs and extension of the mechanism beyond completion for maintenance and future technological upgrades. In the event the above mechanism is not adopted, OCAC proposed structured and ring-fenced recovery through the inland freight equalisation margin (IFEM), by incorporating the approved per-litre digitisation cost into each OMC’s notified cost structure. “In such a case, timely fortnightly recovery and reconciliation would need to be ensured by Ogra.”

The industry lobby emphasised early finalisation of the above matters, given their critical importance to the financial viability, regulatory compliance and uninterrupted supply operations of the OMCs.



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Donald Trump to unveil home buying plan involving retirement funds

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Donald Trump to unveil home buying plan involving retirement funds


US President Donald Trump is set to announce a plan that would let Americans use their retirement savings for down payments on homes.

National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, who hinted at the plan on Friday, offered few details about how withdrawals from US workplace retirement accounts – known as 401(k)s – would work.

“Suppose that you put 10% down on a home, and then you take 10% of the equity of the home and put it in as an asset in your 401(k). Then your 401(k) will grow over time,” Hassett said on Fox Business.

Trump will present a “final plan” at the Davos World Economic Forum next week, he added.

The White House did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the upcoming proposal, including the tax implications. Currently, employees who opt to withdraw money from retirement accounts typically incur fees and taxes.

The anticipated 401(k) plan is the latest in a slew of recent housing affordability proposals as Trump’s administration faces growing public pessimism about its handling of the economy.

Home affordability remains high on the list of Americans’ concerns. Trump has in recent weeks sought to allay voter anxiety ahead of midterm elections later this year, announcing a series of proposals aimed at addressing the high cost of housing.

Daryl Fairweather, the chief economist at Redfin, said using retirement funds for down payments won’t solve the housing affordability crisis. But it could help some people meet their current financial needs, and better position themselves for retirement.

“It doesn’t really drift that far from the purpose of 401(k)s, which is to encourage people to save money for these big expenses that they may not have the discipline to save for,” Fairweather said.

She compared it to a pandemic-era temporary policy that allowed people to access funds from their retirement accounts for down payments with fewer penalties.

Still, she said it would be concerning if people were to start draining their 401(k)s in order to buy a home. That home could eventually lose its value, putting them in a worse financial position.

Last week, Trump said he would move to ban big corporate investors from buying single-family homes, in a bid to make housing more affordable for Americans. That pledge bolstered an idea that has been circulating for years, though some analysts question the extent to which a ban would affect prices.

Jason Richardson, senior research director for the National Community Reinvestment Coalition, said that proposal and this latest plan, “sound good but don’t actually address the core affordability and supply problems in housing”.

Only about 55% of Americans have retirement accounts, of which only a subset are 401(k)s, according to government estimates. Low income workers are the least likely to have access to the plans.

“This isn’t a targeted assistance program for people who need help with down payments – it’s giving people who already have substantial retirement savings more purchasing power, which will likely just drive home prices up further,” he wrote in an email.

Trump also recently directed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-backed housing finance firms, to buy $200bn (£149.4bn) worth of mortgage bonds. The move, he claimed, would push down mortgage rates.

An increase in purchases could boost demand for the so-called mortgage-backed securities, which could in turn help lower mortgage rates for borrowers.

The average rate on a 30-year mortgage fell below 6% for the first time in nearly three years following his announcement – “and that’s not with the help of the Fed,” Trump said during a speech in Michigan this week, referring to the Federal Reserve. The US central bank’s benchmark interest rate can indirectly affect mortgage rates.

On Friday, Hassett promoted Trump’s move to order bond purchases.

“We’ve seen a pretty big reaction to the announcement, and I think that actually makes us all feel better, because the truth is that fewer people are buying homes right now than we’ve seen pretty much in my lifetime,” he said.

But housing economists have cautioned that the bond purchases might not push mortgage rates substantially lower in the long run.

“The key now is the timing and cadence of these purchases, which will determine whether the impact is healthy or introduces volatility into the mortgage market,” said Jeff DerGurahian, head economist at loanDepot, a mortgage lender.



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Novo Nordisk shares rise 8% after Wegovy obesity pill has ‘solid’ launch

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Novo Nordisk shares rise 8% after Wegovy obesity pill has ‘solid’ launch


A pharmacist displays a box of Wegovy pills at a pharmacy in Provo, Utah, Jan. 15, 2026.

George Frey | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Shares of Novo Nordisk rose more than 8% on Friday after early prescription data showed an encouraging start to the U.S. launch of the company’s new GLP-1 pill for obesity.

In a Friday note, TD Cowen analysts called it a “solid start” for the first-ever weight loss pill, but said “one data point does not make a trend.” They cautioned that they need to see more data to fully assess early demand for the Wegovy pill, which officially launched Jan. 5 after winning approval in late December. 

Still, the initial data is a boost to the Danish drugmaker’s hopes of winning back more share from its chief rival, Eli Lilly, this year in the booming obesity and diabetes drug market. Eli Lilly won the majority market share in early 2025 and is trailing closely behind Novo Nordisk in the pill space, as it prepares for the upcoming launch of its own oral drug for obesity.

In a Friday note, Leerink Partners analyst David Risinger said around 3,100 prescriptions for the Wegovy pill were filled in the first week of the launch, citing IQVIA data for the week ending Jan. 9. In the first week of the commercial launch of Eli Lilly’s popular obesity injection, Zepbound, around 1,300 prescriptions were filled, and roughly 8,000 were filled in the second week, he noted. That injection won U.S. approval in late 2023. 

The TD Cowen analysts cited somewhat different data published by Symphony through Bloomberg.

The analysts said around 4,290 prescriptions were filled for Novo Nordisk’s pill during its first full week of launch, with the majority being for the starting dose of the drug. They added that the data from their source or IQVIA likely don’t include prescriptions through Novo Nordisk’s direct-to-consumer pharmacy or its telehealth partners. 

The analysts said that compares with the roughly 1,900 prescriptions filled for Zepbound during its first full week on the market.

Assuming the Symphony data is accurate, the pill “is already outstripping its injectable counterparts at the same stage of their launch,” TD Cowen analyst Michael Nedelcovych wrote in the note. A more direct comparison between the pill and the injections can be made based on available data early next week, though the figures may not prove more useful for another two to three quarters, he added. 

Nedelcovych said he wants to see the full picture on the direct-to-consumer channel, which holds “significant promise” for the pill’s launch. 

Demand could also shift once Eli Lilly’s pill, orforglipron, enters the market in the next few months, he added.

While Novo Nordisk’s drug has a head start, it is a peptide medication with dietary requirements — no food or drink for 30 minutes after taking the pill with water — that may hinder uptake. Eli Lilly’s pill is a small-molecule drug and not a peptide, meaning it does not have those restrictions. 



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Hassett pivots to possible ‘Trump cards’ amid credit card interest rate battle with banks

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Hassett pivots to possible ‘Trump cards’ amid credit card interest rate battle with banks


Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council, speaks to members of the media outside the White House in Washington, DC, US, on Friday, Oct. 24, 2025.

Francis Chung | Bloomberg | Getty Images

White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett said Friday that large U.S. banks could voluntarily provide credit cards to underserved Americans as a means to address President Donald Trump’s affordability push.

A week ago, Trump called for banks to cap credit card interest rates at 10%, an idea that has been roundly rejected by industry executives and their lobbyists this week.

Now, Hassett, who is director of the National Economic Council, is floating a different plan, this one more narrowly focused on consumers who don’t have credit access but have the income to justify credit lines.

“They could potentially voluntarily provide for people who are in that sort of sweet spot of not having financial leverage very much because they don’t have access to credit, but they have enough income and stability in their lives so they’re worthy of credit,” Hassett told Fox Business host Maria Bartiromo.

“Our expectation is that it won’t necessarily require legislation, because there will be really great new ‘Trump cards’ presented for folks that are voluntarily provided by the banks,” he said.

The comments could indicate that the administration is downgrading its efforts for broad changes to the card industry that would be difficult to enact and that could hit consumer spending and the economy.

This week, bankers discussing fourth-quarter results said that rather than offering cards at a 10% interest rate, as Trump has said should happen by Jan. 20, the banks would simply close many customers’ accounts.

Hassett’s statement came in response to a question about whether bankers would be forced to comply with Trump’s rate cap, a move that would probably require new legislation.  

The administration has been talking with “CEOs of many of the big banks who think that the president’s onto something,” Hassett said.

A major credit card issuer and a bank lobbyist representing big lenders told CNBC that they haven’t yet had any discussions with the administration about the “Trump card” concept.



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