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Pound climbs as miners help FTSE 100 nudge higher

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Pound climbs as miners help FTSE 100 nudge higher



The FTSE 100 made modest headway on Monday, supported by fresh gains in mining stocks as gold and silver prices hit new highs.

The FTSE 100 index closed up 5.41 points, 0.1%, at 10,148.85.

The FTSE 250 ended 34.13 points higher, 0.2%, at 23,351.66, and the Aim All-Share closed up 5.74 points, 0.7%, at 828.49.

Miners Fresnillo, Antofagasta and Endeavour led blue-chip risers, up 6.7%, 5.3% and 4.0%, amid strength in metals prices.

Gold was quoted at 5,095.11 dollars an ounce on Monday, after hitting another record high, and up from 4,984.07 dollars on Friday.

Meanwhile, the price of silver leapt 10%, pushing well above the 100 dollar an ounce landmark it hit late on Friday.

Russ Mould at AJ Bell noted: “In less than 18 months bullion has more than doubled in value – buoyed by central bank demand, global turmoil, dollar weakness, and the diminished appeal of other popular defensive assets.”

Tom Stevenson, investment director at Fidelity International, said the yellow metal is the “ultimate risk-off safe haven – and investors have found plenty to worry about so far this year.”

“With government bonds – the traditional safe haven – falling out of favour as concerns mount about the high levels of borrowing around the world… gold has become the go-to for risk averse investors,” he pointed out.

The latest moves came amid increased uncertainty in the US with Mr Mould noting the odds of another US government shutdown have increased as Democrats say they will block the federal spending package over the fallout from the Trump administration’s immigration crackdown.

Wells Fargo said the odds of a government shutdown starting on January 31 have risen sharply.

“Polymarket traders price the odds of a shutdown starting this Saturday at roughly 80%… which strikes us as reasonable based on what we know now,” the broker said.

“Should another extended shutdown occur, it would leave the FOMC in a tricky spot.

“The lack of visibility that arises from receiving limited economic data could thrust an already divided FOMC into a period of stasis.

Fed officials lamented the lack of clarity on inflation during the last shutdown. We expect they would again use this argument to delay additional cuts.”

The political uncertainty plus speculation of intervention to support the yen sparked further dollar weakness.

ING noted widespread discussion late on Friday that the Federal Reserve started asking banks in New York about their position sizes in USD/JPY, akin to a “rate check”, where a central bank might be preparing the market for physical intervention.

“That the Fed was allegedly doing this and not making clear that this activity was purely on behalf of Japanese authorities”, has led to “understandable suggestions that the US might be on the verge of joint intervention with Japan,” ING said.

The pound was quoted higher at 1.3704 dollars at the time of the London equities close on Friday, compared to 1.3567 dollars on Thursday.

The euro stood at 1.1884 dollars, higher against 1.1758 dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading at 153.99 yen, lower from 157.99 yen.

Kathleen Brooks at XTB said in the short term, a stronger yen means a weaker dollar, which is inflationary for the US.

“This is a good way to inflate away some of the US’s debt pile, however, it may cause a big headache for the Federal Reserve.

“The central bank will meet this week, and we expect yen intervention to be a major topic up for discussion, along with the future of Fed independence.”

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged on Wednesday after three successive cuts.

“The January FOMC meeting is likely to be uneventful, with no change to the fed funds rate, only minor changes to the statement, and few hints about the future policy path,” analysts at Goldman Sachs said.

Goldman thinks the next cut will be in June, with one more in September.

In European equities on Monday, the Cac 40 in Paris closed down 0.2%, while the Dax 40 in Frankfurt ended up 0.1%.

In New York, financial markets were higher at the time of the London equity market close.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.4%, the S&P 500 was 0.5% higher, as was the Nasdaq Composite.

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.22%, trimmed from 4.25% on Friday.

The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was quoted at 4.81%, narrowed from 4.84%.

Back in London, a report showed short-term inflation expectations increased in January.

According to the latest Citi/YouGov inflation expectation survey year-ahead expectations increased to 3.8% from 3.6% on a single-month basis.

This reverses the last two months of prospective disinflation in the series and brings it to the highest level since October 2025.

On a three-month rolling basis, however, year-ahead expectations fell to 3.7% from 3.8% thanks to the 4.2% reading in October falling out of comparison.

“This move is explicable, given recent data, but it will continue to keep the inflation expectation argument alive for monetary policy despite recent moderation in these series,” analysts at Citi said.

On the FTSE 100, 3i fell 4.9% as RBC Capital Markets downgraded to “underperform” from “sector perform”.

The broker thinks the private equity and venture capital firm’s key investment, discount retailer Action, is “at risk of moving into a period of diminishing returns” because of macro-economic pressures on its customers and increased maturity and competition in its major markets.

On the FTSE 250, Spire Healthcare rose 18% after confirming it is in early-stage discussions for a potential buyout.

The London-based private healthcare company named Bridgepoint Advisers and Triton Investment Advisers as two suitors with whom it had communicated so far.

The Takeover Code gives Bridgepoint and Triton until February 21 – unless an extension is granted – to declare a firm intention to make an offer.

Ninety One soared 8.4% as Bank of America raised to “buy” from “underperform”, while Costain climbed 7.0% after striking a new agreement with the trustees of its defined-benefit pension scheme.

Costain said the deal clears the way for increased shareholder returns, including a £20 million share buyback this year.

The Maidenhead-based construction and engineering firm also intends to almost double its cash dividend payments in 2026 from 2025, starting with the final dividend for 2025.

Brent oil traded lower at 65.43 dollars a barrel on Monday, down from 65.76 dollars late on Friday.

The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Fresnillo, up 280.00p at 4,448.00p, Antofagasta, up 191.00p at 3,775.00p, Endeavour Mining, up 176.00p at 4,542.00p, Segro, up 22.40p at 752.00p and Pershing Square Holdings, up 96.00p at 4,646.00p.

The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were 3i, down 160.0p at 3,129.0p, Autotrader, down 19.4p at 549.0p, Experian, down 97.0p at 2,932.0p, BT Group, down 5.45p at 182.8p and BAE Systems, down 54.0p at 1,973.0p.

Tuesday’s global economic calendar sees the start of the two-day Federal Open Market Committee meeting and US house price data.

Tuesday’s UK corporate calendar has trading statements from accountancy software provider Sage, boot maker Dr Martens and betting operator Evoke.

– Contributed by Alliance News



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Education Budget 2026 Live Updates: What Will The Education Sector Get From FM Nirmala Sitharaman?

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Education Budget 2026 Live Updates: What Will The Education Sector Get From FM Nirmala Sitharaman?


Union Education Budget 2026 Live Updates: Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present the Union Budget 2026–27 on February 1, with a strong focus expected on the Education Budget 2026, a key area of interest for students, teachers, and institutions across the country.

In the previous budget, the Bharatiya Janata Party government announced plans to add 75,000 medical seats over five years and strengthen infrastructure at IITs established after 2014. For 2025, the Centre had earmarked Rs 1,28,650.05 crore for education, a 6.65 percent rise compared to the previous year.

Meanwhile, the Economic Survey 2025–26, tabled in the Parliament of India, points to persistent challenges in school education. While enrolment at the school level is close to universal, this has not translated into consistent learning outcomes, especially beyond elementary classes. The net enrolment rate drops sharply at the secondary level, standing at just over 52 per cent.

The survey also flags concerns over student retention after Class 8, particularly in rural areas. It notes an uneven spread of schools, with a majority offering only foundational and preparatory education, while far fewer institutions provide secondary-level schooling. This gap, the survey suggests, is a key reason behind low enrolment in higher classes.

Stay tuned to this LIVE blog for all the latest updates on the Education Budget 2026 LIVE.



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LPG Rates Increased After OGRA Decision – SUCH TV

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LPG Rates Increased After OGRA Decision – SUCH TV



The Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (Ogra) has increased the price of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). According to a notification, the price of LPG has risen by Rs6.37 per kilogram. Following the increase, the price of a domestic LPG cylinder has gone up by Rs75.21. The revised prices have come into effect immediately. 

The rise in LPG prices has added to the inflationary burden on household consumers.



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Budget 2026: Fiscal deficit, capex, borrowing and debt roadmap among key numbers to track – The Times of India

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Budget 2026: Fiscal deficit, capex, borrowing and debt roadmap among key numbers to track – The Times of India


Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman is set to present her record ninth straight Union Budget, with markets closely tracking headline numbers ranging from the fiscal deficit and capital expenditure to borrowing and tax revenue projections, as India charts its course as the world’s fastest-growing major economy.The Budget will be presented in a paperless format, continuing the practice of recent years. Sitharaman had, in her maiden Budget in 2019, replaced the traditional leather briefcase with a red cloth–wrapped bahi-khata, marking a symbolic shift in presentation.Here are the key numbers and signals that investors, economists and policymakers will be watching in the Union Budget for 2025-26 and beyond:

Fiscal deficit

The fiscal deficit for the current financial year (FY26) is budgeted at 4.4 per cent of GDP, as reported PTI. With the government having achieved its consolidation goal of keeping the deficit below 4.5 per cent, attention will turn to guidance for FY27. Markets expect the government to indicate a deficit closer to 4 per cent of GDP next year, alongside clarity on the medium-term debt reduction path.

Capital expenditure

Capital spending remains a central pillar of the government’s growth strategy. Capex for FY26 is pegged at Rs 11.2 lakh crore. In the upcoming Budget, the government is expected to continue prioritising infrastructure outlays, with a possible 10–15 per cent increase that could take capex beyond Rs 12 lakh crore, especially as private investment sentiment remains cautious.

Debt roadmap

In her previous Budget speech, the finance minister had said fiscal policy from 2026-27 onwards would aim to keep central government debt on a declining trajectory as a share of GDP. Markets will look for a clearer timeline on when general government debt-to-GDP could move towards the 60 per cent target. General government debt stood at about 85 per cent of GDP in 2024, including central government debt of around 57 per cent.

Borrowing programme

Gross market borrowing for FY26 is estimated at Rs 14.80 lakh crore. The borrowing number announced in the Budget will be closely scrutinised, as it signals the government’s funding needs, fiscal discipline and potential impact on bond yields.

Tax revenue

Gross tax revenue for 2025-26 has been estimated at Rs 42.70 lakh crore, implying an 11 per cent growth over FY25. This includes Rs 25.20 lakh crore from direct taxes—personal income tax and corporate tax—and Rs 17.5 lakh crore from indirect taxes such as customs, excise duty and GST.

GST collections

Goods and Services Tax collections for FY26 are projected to rise 11 per cent to Rs 11.78 lakh crore. Projections for FY27 will be keenly watched, especially as GST revenue growth is expected to gather pace following rate rationalisation measures implemented since September 2025.

Nominal GDP growth

Nominal GDP growth for FY26 was initially estimated at 10.1 per cent but has since been revised down to about 8 per cent due to lower-than-expected inflation, even as real GDP growth is pegged at 7.4 per cent by the National Statistics Office. The FY27 nominal GDP assumption—likely in the 10.5–11 per cent range—will offer clues on the government’s inflation and growth outlook.

Spending priorities

Beyond the headline aggregates, the Budget will also be scanned for allocations to key social and development schemes, as well as spending on priority sectors such as health and education.Together, these numbers will shape expectations on fiscal discipline, growth momentum and policy support as India navigates a complex global economic environment.



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