Last Updated:October 27, 2025, 13:23 IST

‘Demand conditions across rural and urban India strengthened with…GST reforms and the festive season,’ the finance ministry says in latest Monthly Economic Review.

Despite global economic uncertainties and trade disruptions, India’s economy has continued to gather strength, supported by robust domestic demand, strong manufacturing and services activity, and contained inflation, according to the finance ministry’s Monthly Economic Review for September 2025 released on October 27.

“Amidst…uncertain global outlook, India’s economy continues to gain momentum. Demand conditions across rural and urban India strengthened with the implementation of the GST reforms and the festive season, coinciding with industry reports signalling robust growth in sales, particularly in sectors such as automobiles. On the supply side, the manufacturing and services sectors expanded healthily. Taking into account the higher-than-anticipated growth in Q1 FY26 and steady upward trends visible in Q2 FY26, India’s growth forecasts for FY26 have been upgraded,” the finance ministry said in the report.

The report noted that economic activity worldwide has remained steady over the past few months, despite adverse trade policy disruptions. As a result, global economic growth this year is now expected to fare better than initially feared. This is reflected in the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) upward revision of the global growth forecast for 2025 to 3.2 per cent in October 2025, compared with 3 per cent in July 2025 and 2.8 per cent in April 2025. Several transitory factors, such as a lower effective tariff rate in the US and frontloading of trade, have contributed to propping up growth. However, this resilience masks underlying structural weaknesses which are coming to the fore, leaving projections for global growth in 2026 broadly unchanged since July 2025.

The IMF now expects India’s real GDP to grow 6.6% in FY26, while the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) projects an even higher 6.8% growth, reflecting upgrades of 20 and 30 basis points, respectively.

Inflation Under Control, Price Stability Expected to Continue

The report highlighted that inflation remains well within control, aided by continued deflation in food categories. Retail headline inflation eased to 1.54% in September 2025, bringing the Q2 FY26 average to 1.7%.

Core inflation (excluding food and fuel) stood at 4.6% in September, with prices of non-food items staying stable. The ministry said, barring any adverse weather events or supply chain shocks, price stability is likely to prevail.

The RBI expects inflation to average 1.8% in Q3 FY26, with a slight uptick in Q4 FY26 and Q1 FY27 as base effects fade.

RBI Measures Support Liquidity and Credit Flow

The finance ministry credited the RBI’s liquidity management for ensuring adequate credit availability to support growth. The transmission of monetary policy into money and credit markets remains effective, reflecting the central bank’s calibrated approach.

It added that the RBI’s recent regulatory and development policies demonstrate a “balanced response” to evolving macroeconomic conditions — combining prudence with reforms aimed at strengthening banks, boosting credit flow, simplifying forex management, and internationalising the Indian Rupee.

External Trade Remains Resilient

India’s external sector has also shown resilience despite a volatile global trade environment. Total exports of goods and services grew 4.4% year-on-year in the first half of FY26 to reach USD 413.3 billion.

While merchandise exports rose 3%, services exports expanded 6.1% during the same period. Core merchandise exports, excluding petroleum and gems & jewellery, grew a strong 7.5%, underscoring the competitiveness of India’s manufacturing base.

Labour Market, Reforms, and Innovation Drive Growth

The government’s emphasis on skill development and job creation has helped stabilise the labour market in H1 FY26, with rising labour force participation and employment growth in both industry and services.

The introduction of GST 2.0 is expected to further stimulate consumption and investment, creating a multiplier effect on employment and demand.

The report also highlighted the government’s focus on research and innovation to boost global competitiveness. The Promotion of Research & Innovation in Pharma-MedTech Sector (PRIP) scheme, launched by the Department of Pharmaceuticals, will provide around ₹11,000 crore in support for R&D projects. The initiative aims to transform India’s Pharma-MedTech sector into a globally competitive, innovation-driven ecosystem by funding early-stage research and promoting flexible collaborations focused on public health priorities.

Outlook: Growth Momentum to Sustain

The finance ministry said the combination of macroeconomic stability, regulatory reforms, and ongoing structural initiatives is expected to have a positive multiplier effect on economic activity. These efforts, it said, will support domestic demand, enhance resilience, and help sustain India’s growth momentum despite a challenging global environment.

“Looking ahead, the lower GST rate is expected to support a positive demand outlook by reducing the tax burden on consumers and businesses, stimulating consumption and investment across sectors and boosting employment generation in the economy. Moreover, a strong performance in the industries and services sector, along with a stable labour market, will further enhance domestic demand. Nevertheless, global uncertainties warrant caution and will continue to affect external demand, presenting downside risks to the growth outlook,” the ministry said.

The implementation of various growth-enhancing structural reforms and government initiatives, including GST 2.0, is expected to mitigate some of the negative impacts of these external challenges, it added.

Mohammad Haris

Haris is Deputy News Editor (Business) at news18.com. He writes on various issues related to personal finance, markets, economy and companies. Having over a decade of experience in financial journalism, Haris h…Read More

Haris is Deputy News Editor (Business) at news18.com. He writes on various issues related to personal finance, markets, economy and companies. Having over a decade of experience in financial journalism, Haris h… Read More

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Last Updated:October 27, 2025, 10:42 IST

Jayesh Logistics IPO: Unlisted shares of Jayesh Logistics Ltd are currently trading at Rs 127 apiece in the grey market, against the upper IPO price of Rs 122, a GMP of 4.10%.

Jayesh Logistics IPO Day 1: The initial public offering (IPO) of Jayesh Logistics Ltd opened on Monday, October 27. The Rs 28.63-crore SME IPO will remain available for public subscription for three days till Wednesday, October 29. Till 10:29 am on the first day of bidding on Monday, the IPO received a 0.17x subscription, garnering bids for 2,86,000 shares as against the 16,71,000 shares on offer.

Its retail category has received a 0.20x subscription, while the NII (non-institutional investor) quota has received a 0.38x subscription.

Jayesh Logistics IPO Price & Lot Size

The price band of the IPO has been fixed in the range of Rs 116 to Rs 122 apiece. The lot size for the issue is 1,000. It means a retail investor will have to apply for a minimum of 1,000 shares (a lot) and in multiple thereof. The minimum investment required is Rs 2,44,000, on the upper price of the IPO.

Jayesh Logistics IPO GMP Today

According to market observers, unlisted shares of Jayesh Logistics Ltd are currently trading at Rs 127 apiece in the grey market, against the upper IPO price of Rs 122. It means a grey market premium (GMP) of 4.10%, indicating mild listing gains for investors as of now.

The GMP is based on market sentiments and keeps changing. ‘Grey market premium’ indicates investors’ readiness to pay more than the issue price.

The IPO will be listed on both the NSE Emerge on November 3.

Jayesh Logistics IPO: More Details

The IPO, which is entirely a fresh issue of 23.47 lakh shares, will close for subscription on October 29, 2025, with allotment expected on October 30. The company’s shares are proposed to be listed on the NSE SME platform on November 3, 2025.

The price band for the issue has been fixed at Rs 116-Rs 122 per share, with a lot size of 1,000 shares. The minimum investment for retail investors is Rs 2,44,000 (for two lots or 2,000 shares at the upper band), while HNIs are required to apply for a minimum of three lots (3,000 shares), amounting to Rs 3,66,000.

Indcap Advisors Pvt Ltd is the book-running lead manager, Kfin Technologies Ltd. serves as the registrar, and Giriraj Stock Broking Pvt Ltd is the market maker for the issue.

Financially, the company reported a revenue jump of 27%, while profit after tax (PAT) surged 128% between FY24 and FY25, reflecting improved operational performance.

Founded in May 2011, Jayesh Logistics Limited is a full-service logistics solutions provider with a strong presence in cross-border cargo movements across the Indo-Nepal Corridor and the Nepal hinterland.

Mohammad Haris

Haris is Deputy News Editor (Business) at news18.com. He writes on various issues related to personal finance, markets, economy and companies. Having over a decade of experience in financial journalism, Haris h…Read More

Haris is Deputy News Editor (Business) at news18.com. He writes on various issues related to personal finance, markets, economy and companies. Having over a decade of experience in financial journalism, Haris h… Read More

Read More

The Department of Pension & Pensioners’ Welfare under Ministry of Personnel, PG & Pensions has issued clarification regarding coverage of offices for payment of gratuity to the Central Government Servant.

The Department of Pension and Pensioners’ Welfare (DoPPW) had issued OM on 30 May 2024 enhancing the maximum limit of the gratuity from Rs 20 lakhs to Rs 25 lakhs to the central government civilian employees covered under Central Civil Services (Pension) Rules, 2021 and the Central Civil Services (Payment of Gratuity under National Pension System) Rules, 2021.

DoPPW said that it keeps receiving references/RTI applications etc seeking clarification whether the above referred OM/payment of gratuity under CCS (Pension) Rules is applicable on societies, banks, ports trusts, RBI, PSU, autonomous bodies, Universities State Governments etc and if not under which rules these organisations are governed.

“It is stated that Department of Pension & Pensioners’ Welfare (DoPPW) is the nodal Department for formulation of policies relating to pension and other retirement benefits of Central Government civil employees covered under the Central Civil Services (Pension) Rules, 2021 and Central Civil Services (Payment of Gratuity under National Pension System) Rules, 2021. These rules are not applicable on types of organisations as mentioned in para 2 above. It is further stated that any query on the subject including one i.e. under which rules such organisations are governed should be addressed to the concerned organisation / concerned administrative Ministry/Department.”

The OM clarified that enhanced gratuity does not apply to societies, banks, ports trusts, RBI, PSU, autonomous bodies, Universities State Governments etc and if not under which rules these organisations are governed. It implied that only those central government civil servants who fall under the Central Civil Services (Pension) Rules, 2021 or the Central Civil Services (Payment of Gratuity under National Pension System) Rules, 2021 will receive a maximum gratuity of up to Rs 25 lakh.