Business
RBI Raises India’s GDP Growth Forecast To 6.8% For 2025-26
New Delhi: The RBI has raised its projection of India’s GDP growth rate to 6.8 per cent for 2025-26 from 6.5 per cent earlier, as the implementation of several growth-inducing structural reforms, including streamlining of GST, is expected to offset some of the adverse effects of the external headwinds, Reserve Bank Governor Sanjay Malhotra said on Wednesday.
He pointed out that India’s GDP recorded a robust growth of 7.8 per cent in Q1:2025-26, driven by strong private consumption and fixed investment. On the supply side, growth in gross value added (GVA) at 7.6 per cent was led by a revival in manufacturing and steady expansion in services. Available high-frequency indicators suggest that economic activity continues to remain resilient. Rural demand remains strong, riding on a good monsoon and robust agriculture activity, while urban demand is showing a gradual revival, the RBI Governor added.
“Taking all these factors into account, real GDP growth for 2025-26 is now projected at 6.8 per cent, with Q2 at 7.0 per cent, Q3 at 6.4 per cent, and Q4 at 6.2 per cent,” Malhotra explained. He also said that the global economy has been more resilient than anticipated in 2025, with robust growth in the US and China.
The outlook, however, remains clouded amidst elevated policy uncertainty. Inflation has remained above their respective targets in some advanced economies, posing fresh challenges for central banks as they navigate the shifting growth-inflation dynamics. Financial markets have been volatile. The US dollar strengthened after the upward revision of US growth numbers for the second quarter, and treasury yields hardened recently, tracking changes in policy rate expectations. Equities have remained buoyant across several advanced and emerging market economies.
The RBI Governor further stated that revenue expenditure of the Union and state governments registered robust growth during the fiscal year so far (April-July). Investment activity, as suggested by healthy growth in construction indicators, i.e., cement production and steel consumption in July-August, is holding up well even though production and import of capital goods witnessed some moderation. Recovery in the manufacturing sector continues while services activity is sustaining its momentum.
Looking ahead, an above normal monsoon, good progress of kharif sowing and adequate reservoir levels have further brightened prospects of agriculture and rural demand. Buoyancy in the services sector, coupled with steady employment conditions, is supportive of demand, which is expected to get a further boost from the rationalisation of goods and services tax (GST) rates. Rising capacity utilisation, conducive financial conditions, and improving domestic demand should continue to facilitate fixed investment, he observed.
However, ongoing tariff and trade policy uncertainties will impact external demand for goods and services. Prolonged geopolitical tensions and volatility in international financial markets caused by risk-off sentiments of investors also pose downside risks to the growth outlook, the RBI Governor added.
Business
LSEG boosts returns for shareholders amid activist investor pressure
The London Stock Exchange Group has unveiled plans for a £3 billion share buyback amid pressure from an activist investor and as artificial intelligence fears have hammered the stock.
LSEG said it would follow £2.1 billion in buybacks made last year with another £3 billion by February next year, on top of a hike in dividend payouts.
Details of the pledge to step up returns for investors came as it reported underlying operating profits of £3.51 billion for 2025, up 10.8% or 14.7% higher on a constant currency basis.
On a bottom line basis, pre-tax profits jumped 56.5% to £1.97 billion for 2025.
Shares in the group rose as much as 5% in Thursday morning trading, in a welcome increase after the stock has been battered in recent weeks by global investor concerns over the impact of AI on its firm and data companies more widely.
Shares in the firm, which makes a significant chunk of its earnings from selling access to markets data, have slumped by nearly a third in the past year.
Activist investor Elliott Management has also built up a stake in the firm earlier this month and has reportedly been pushing for more share buybacks as it has held talks with LSEG bosses.
In the face of the recent shares slump, chief executive David Schwimmer said recent results showed “another year of very strong financial performance”.
He said: “In the fourth quarter alone, major financial institutions signed long-term contracts worth £1.9 billion to access our leading data and workflow.”
“With our LSEG Everywhere data strategy, we are positioning ourselves as the partner of choice for licensed, trusted data as the use of AI in decision-making scales – and we are seeing very positive signs of adoption,” he added.
It outlined new performance guidance for 2027 to 2029, with aims to deliver “mid to high single digit” growth in total income and further increase profitability.
Despite taking a significant stake in LSEG, the Financial Times newspaper reported earlier this week that Elliott has made assurances to the UK government over its intentions for LSEG as speculation mounted it would look to push for a break-up of the firm or for it to switch its listing to New York.
Business
Rolls-Royce makes £1 billion more profit after major defence orders
Rolls-Royce has revealed its annual profit surged by £1 billion and upgraded its outlook for the years ahead, following major military aircraft orders and soaring demand for powering data centres.
The engineering giant said its business divisions were in a good place to benefit from “key global trends” over the coming years.
It reported an underlying operating profit of £3.5 billion for 2025, a jump of 40% from the £2.5 billion made the prior year.
Underlying revenues surpassed £20 billion over the year, up about a 10th on 2024.
This was driven by profit and sales growth across its civil aerospace, defence, and power businesses.
Rolls-Royce said demand for its defence products was strong and it secured major orders during 2025.
This included contracts worth more than £1.5 billion with the UK’s Ministry of Defence and the US’s Department of War for EJ200 and AE 2100 engines to power military aircraft.
New orders for the Eurofighter aircraft engines from Italy, Germany and Spain, as well as export agreements from Turkey, will drive production into the 2030s, it said.
Furthermore, Rolls-Royce said it was benefiting from growing demand for power generation, driven by data centres with revenues up by more than a third.
Rolls-Royce said it was now expecting underlying operating profits to increase to between £4.9 billion and £5.2 billion by 2028 following the strengthened financial performance in 2025.
This is significantly higher than the £3.6 billion to £3.9 billion range that it had previously been targeting.
Chief executive Tufan Erginbilgic said growth would not have been possible “before our transformation”, with the business making £600 million worth of cost savings since 2022.
“With our new capabilities and mindset, we have navigated challenges from supply chain to tariffs, and delivered a strong performance in 2025, all while we built the foundations for significant growth for years to come,” he said.
“Based on our 2026 guidance, we expect to deliver underlying operating profit within the prior mid-term guidance range two years earlier than planned.
“Beyond the mid-term we continue to see significant growth from existing businesses as well as from new business opportunities.”
Business
RBI’s Rs 25,000-Crore Switch Auction On March 2nd And Its Impact On Bond Markets, Government Debt Strategy | Explained
Last Updated:
RBI Switch Auction On March 2: The Reserve Bank of India will conduct a government securities switch auction worth Rs 25,000 crore on March 2 between 10:30 AM and 11:30 AM

In the latest exercise, all securities, having maturities in FY27, are being replaced with bonds maturing after FY32.
RBI Switch Auction On March 2: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will conduct a government securities switch auction worth Rs 25,000 crore on March 2 between 10:30 AM and 11:30 AM, with results to be declared the same day and settlement scheduled for March 4. The move marks the third such operation this month and is aimed at smoothing India’s future debt repayment profile.
What is a switch auction?
A switch auction is a debt management tool through which the government exchanges bonds that mature soon with bonds that mature later. Instead of repaying investors in cash when near-term securities mature, the government offers them longer-dated securities. This effectively postpones repayment obligations without increasing total debt.
In the latest exercise, all securities, having maturities in FY27, are being replaced with bonds maturing after FY32, according to RBI data.
Why is RBI conducting it now?
The key trigger is the heavy redemption pressure expected in FY27, when government securities worth about Rs 5.47 lakh crore are scheduled to mature. By replacing these with bonds maturing after FY32, the authorities are spreading repayment obligations across future years. This reduces refinancing risk and prevents sudden spikes in borrowing needs.
How does it help the government?
India has already budgeted gross market borrowing of Rs 17.2 lakh crore. Large redemptions in a single year would force the government either to borrow more or use fiscal resources for repayment. Switch auctions smooth this maturity profile, making debt servicing more predictable and fiscally manageable.
What has happened so far this month?
Before this latest announcement, the RBI conducted two switch auctions in which securities worth Rs 84,804 crore were bought back and replaced. The repeated use of this tool signals a proactive debt-management strategy rather than a reactive measure.
Why markets watch switch auctions closely
Bond investors track such operations because they affect liquidity, yield curves and supply of long-term securities. Extending maturities can reduce pressure on near-term yields while increasing supply at the long end, influencing pricing across the sovereign curve.
The broader takeaway
The latest switch auction is part of a deliberate strategy to manage India’s rising debt stock more efficiently. By pushing repayments further into the future and avoiding bunching of maturities, policymakers aim to maintain stability in government borrowing costs and ensure smoother fiscal operations in coming years.
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February 26, 2026, 11:11 IST
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