Business
Rivian’s AI, autonomy impress Wall Street, but EV and capital concerns remain
Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe at the company’s first “Autonomy and AI Day” on Dec. 11, 2025, in Palo Alto, California.
Lora Kolodny | CNBC
Rivian Automotive impressed Wall Street on Thursday with its plans for artificial intelligence, automation and an internally developed silicon chip, but significant challenges involving demand and capital remain for the electric vehicle maker.
Despite Wall Street analysts expressing some optimism following Rivian’s first “Autonomy and AI Day,” the company’s stock fell 6.1% to close Thursday at $16.43 per share. But shares recovered Friday to close at $18.42, up 12.1%
While the event didn’t cause many analysts to change ratings or price targets, Needham raised its price target on Rivian by 64% to $23 per share. The firm did so on the tech announcements and potential for future licensing deals, as well as higher-than-consensus expectations on deliveries next year of the company’s new midsize R2 SUV.
“RIVN signaled a shift from an [automaker] adopting autonomy to one leveraging AI to build end-to-end autonomy,” Needham analyst Chris Pierce said in a Friday investor note.
The company’s stock had ramped up heading into the AI Day, but many analysts believed the announcements from the event were already “priced in.” Shares also fell as OpenAI made its own AI announcement Thursday, revealing its most advanced model yet.
“We attended Rivian’s Autonomy & AI Day yesterday in Palo Alto and came away mostly impressed with the strategic direction outlined by management,” Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu said Friday in an investor note. “However, the stock’s weakness seems warranted given the run-up since earnings and lack of a major AI partnership/deal announcement.”
Rivian’s announcements included a proprietary chip, RAP1, designed for “physical AI,” namely autonomous driving; an evolved software architecture, or “brains” of the vehicle; a new AI assistant; and a road map for getting to “personal L4,” or fully self-driving personally owned vehicles.
The latter begins later this month with an update involving its hands-free driving system, followed by plans to continue to expand capabilities until vehicles reach full autonomy in the years ahead. Rivian did not disclose a time frame for the full autonomy or potential robotaxi fleet autonomous vehicles.
Leading up to the event, Rivian shares were up more than 30% to $17.50. Despite those gains, shares remain well off the levels of the company’s IPO of $78 per share in 2021.
Barclays analyst Dan Levy and others said while Rivian’s technology announcements, including the surprise proprietary chip, were impressive, the company remains a “show me” story amid more challenging market conditions.
“With RIVN facing a tougher path to breakeven on core vehicle sales alone, we believe with enhanced AV/AI capabilities RIVN is further paving the path to additional software/service revenues, which would be margin accretive,” Levy said Friday in an investor note. “To be clear, there is certainly a ‘show me’ element for RIVN on its capabilities.”
Challenges include slumping EV demand following the end of up to $7,500 tax credits in September, lack of other support under the Trump administration and internal struggles at the company involving products and capital.
Several analysts noted the adoption of advanced driver assistance systems remains low across the industry, even at U.S. EV leader Tesla, and Rivian is continuing to play catch-up to other companies that have offered such systems for years.
Shares of “pure EV” plays Tesla, Rivian and Lucid in 2025.
Rivian founder and CEO RJ Scaringe and other executives argued that the company’s vertical integration of in-house capabilities including software, AI, vehicle platforms and other technologies will enable the automaker to be more efficient, quicker and better than others.
“AI is enabling us to create technology and customer experiences at a rate that is completely different from what we’ve seen in the past,” Scaringe said during the event.
Such arguments, as well as the automaker’s prior $5.8 billion joint venture software deal with Volkswagen, have led Wall Street to price Rivian’s software business higher than its core of producing and selling EVs, given market conditions.
A $12 price target for Rivian shares from Morgan Stanley, which recently downgraded the company to underweight, includes $7 for software and services and $5 for its core automotive business. Several analysts added that Rivian might be able to license or sell its newest technologies, including chips.
“RIVN is developing a suite of hardware and software offerings to remain competitive in an Auto 2.0 world. However, several risks remain around demand, potentially limiting data capture needed to reach higher levels of autonomy,” Morgan Stanley’s Andrew Percoco said in a Friday note.
Morgan Stanley raised concerns about autonomy adoption rates, lackluster EV demand ahead of Rivian’s new “R2” vehicle next year and a prolonged path to profitability as reasoning for the rating confirmation.
Rivian R2 is showcased at the company’s first Autonomy and AI Day showcasing developments in self-driving technology, in Palo Alto, California, Dec. 11, 2025.
Carlos Barria | Reuters
RBC Capital Markets analyst Tom Narayan agreed: “The advancements enhance Rivian’s product offering but do not address ongoing concerns around liquidity and R2/R3 profitability.”
Rivian continues to lose billions of dollars annually, despite significant cost reductions and gains in software revenue thanks to its deal with VW.
Rivian ended the third quarter with $7.7 billion in total liquidity, including nearly $7.1 billion in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments that Scaringe has said position the company “really well” for the R2 launch.
The R2 midsize SUV is crucial for Rivian — especially since it’s a major market in the U.S. With expectations of a $45,000 starting price, it is anticipated to broaden Rivian’s customer base and be a proof-point for the company’s efforts regarding profitability and cost savings.
Rivian’s current R1 pickup truck and SUV consumer models start at more than $70,000. It also builds electric delivery vans, largely for its biggest shareholder, Amazon, that start at around $80,000.
“Profitability pressure will likely intensify as Rivian rolls out its ~$45K R2 platform in the highly competitive mid-size SUV segment,” Narayan said. “While targeting a lower price point could increase market reach, the R1 platform’s struggles with profitability despite being nearly double the price of the R2 raise.”
Shares of Rivian, with a $22.5 billion market cap, are rated hold with a $15.43 per share price target, according to average ratings and estimates compiled by FactSet.
— CNBC’s Michael Bloom contributed to this report.
Business
D-St blues! Sensex sheds 1.5K, biggest drop on a Budget day – The Times of India
At a time when global markets are witnessing high volatility due to geopolitical uncertainties, the hike in securities transaction tax (STT) on derivatives trades hit investor sentiment on Dalal Street on the Budget day. This in turn led to a sharp sell-off that pulled the sensex down by nearly 1,500 points—its biggest points loss on a Budget day—to close at 80,773 points. The sell-off also left investors poorer by Rs 9.4 lakh crore, the biggest Budget day loss in BSE’s market capitalisation.The day’s trading was marked by high volatility. The sensex rallied over 400 points as FM started her speech, fell about 1,100 points after the STT hike proposal was announced, partially recovered by mid-session to trade 600 points down on the day and then sold-off to close below the 81K mark for the first time in four months.On the NSE, Nifty too treaded a similar path to close 495 points (2%) lower at 24,825 points. Fund managers and market players feel the day’s sell-off was overdone, compounded by the absence of most institutional players since it was a Sunday. “The market’s reaction (to the hike in STT rates) was a bit overdone, although the decision itself was unexpected,” said Taher Badshah, President & Chief Investment Officer, Invesco Mutual Fund. “I think markets should settle down in 2-3 days.” Badshah said the Budget was in line with govt’s set path of the past few years, showing a conservative approach to setting targets.“The revenue and expenditure targets for FY27 are achievable. And since the rate of inflation is lower now, the nominal GDP growth rate of 10% may turn out to be on the higher side as inflation normalises during the year,” the top fund manager said. In Sunday’s market, of the 30 sensex stocks, 26 closed in the red. Among index constituents, Reliance Industries, SBI and ICICI Bank contributed the most to the day’s loss. Buying in software services majors Infosys and TCS cushioned the slide. In all, 2,444 stocks closed in the red compared to 1,699 that closed in the green, BSE data showed.STT hike aimed at curbing F&O speculation The decision to raise securities transaction tax (STT) for trading in equity derivatives means trading futures & options (F&O) will be more expensive from April 1. STT on futures trading rises from 0.02% to 0.05% now, and on options premium and exercise of options to 0.15% from 0.1% and 0.125% respectively. This could more than double statutory costs of trading F&O contracts.While the move is to curb excessive speculation by retail traders who mostly suffer losses, investors sold stocks of those companies that derive a large portion of their turnover from this segment. Stock price of Angel One crashed nearly 9%, BSE crashed 8.1%, Billionbrains Garage Ventures that runs the Groww trading platform, lost 5.1% and Nuvama Wealth Management lost 7.3%. STT hike follows a Sebi survey that showed that 91% of the retail investors lost money in the F&O market with average loss per investor surpassing Rs 1 lakh per year. Institutional and some high net worth players took home most of the profits from the segment.18% GST on brokerage for FPIs removedThe Budget proposed to do away with 18% GST charged on the brokerage that foreign portfolio investors pay in India. Among the host of changes to the GST laws that the finance minister proposed, one was abolishing clause (b) of sub-section (8) of section 13 of the Integrated Goods and Services Tax Act, 2017. This is being “omitted so as to provide that the place of supply for ‘intermediary services’ will be determined as per the default provision under section 13(2) of the IGST Act,” the Budget proposal said.
Business
Buying property from NRIs? Time to lose the TAN – The Times of India
Buying property from an NRI? Worried about obtaining TAN? Not anymore. To relax the compliance burden, the Budget has proposed that resident individuals and HUFs need not have a Tax Deduction and Collection Account Number (TAN) if they are purchasing a property from a non-resident Indian (NRI). The amendment will take effect from Oct 1, 2026.Under the proposed framework, resident individuals or HUFs can report the tax deducted at source (TDS) by quoting PAN, as is done when the transactions are between two residents. Presently, if a person buys an immovable property from a resident seller, the person is not required to obtain TAN to deduct tax at source. However, where the seller of the immovable property is a non-resident, the buyer is required to obtain TAN to deduct tax at source.Ameet Patel, partner at Manohar Chowdhry & Associates, said this used to be a detailed process. “At present, if a resident were to purchase an immovable property from an NRI, there is no separate relaxation regarding compliance with TDS responsibilities. As a result, in such cases, the buyer needs to obtain a TAN, register on the portal, and then deduct TDS u/s. 195, and pay to the govt. Under section 195, as with all other regular TDS sections, a quarterly e-TDS statement is required. A buyer would need professional help for all this.”Hinesh Doshi, CA, welcomed the move. “There used to be an unnecessary compliance burden due to this. While the process to obtain TAN is simple, people used to obtain TAN for just one transaction. So, this is a good riddance.”
Business
Harry Styles and Anthony Joshua among UK’s top tax payers
The former One Direction member-turned-solo artist appears on the Sunday Times list for the first time.
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