Business
SBP holds policy rate at 10.5% amid Gulf war | The Express Tribune
State Bank of Pakistan. Photo: File
KARACHI:
The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP)’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has decided to maintain the policy rate unchanged at 10.5% following its meeting on March 9, 2026. The decision aligns closely with market expectations and recent analyst surveys amid heightened regional geopolitical tensions.
The hold comes as the second MPC meeting of the calendar year 2026, following the January 26 meeting, where the rate was also kept steady at 10.5% despite earlier expectations of easing.
The latest stance reflects caution over potential imported inflation pressures from surging global energy prices, triggered by the US-Iran tensions that have driven Brent crude up sharply to around $108 per barrel. Following the suit, the Pakistani government also increased petrol prices by Rs55 per litre, bringing the new price to Rs321.17 per litre.
A pre-MPC survey by Topline Securities (released March 6, 2026) captured strong consensus for status quo: 92% of respondents had anticipated no change to the policy rate, a notable shift from the January poll, where many had expected cuts.
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Key factors cited included a 25% spike in Brent oil prices and corresponding global diesel price jumps of 37-49%, raising concerns for oil-import-dependent Pakistan.
62% of survey participants expected the regional turmoil to persist for 2-5 weeks. Market reactions showed caution, with 58-85 bps increases observed in 6-month T-bill and KIBOR yields leading up to the decision.
Looking ahead, 60% foresaw the policy rate remaining at 10% (or close to current levels) by June 2026, while 58% projected average CPI inflation around 7% and PKR/USD stability in the 280-285 range. However, prolonged conflict could exacerbate currency pressures, fuel inflation, and potentially force future rate adjustments upward if imported cost pressures intensify.
This cautious pause is seen as support for ongoing macroeconomic stability efforts, building on prior rate reductions (including the 50 bps cut to 10.5% in December 2025), while allowing time to monitor energy price dynamics, domestic inflation trends, and external account resilience.
The SBP emphasised in its previous many PMC statements a balanced approach to safeguarding price stability while nurturing sustainable growth recovery.
Business
Govt hikes petrol, diesel prices by nearly Rs27 per litre – SUCH TV
The federal government announced a Rs26.77 per litre hike in the price of petrol and high-speed diesel each on Friday, according to a notification issued by the Petroleum Division.
The new prices will be effective from April 25, 2026 for a week, the notification stated.
Following the increase, the price of HSD has jumped from Rs353.42 to Rs380.19, while the petrol price now stands at Rs393.35.
The government has been reviewing petroleum prices every Friday night following the now-paused US-Israel war on Iran, which began on February 28.
In the previous weekly review, the prime minister announced a reduction of Rs32.12 per litre in the price of high-speed diesel, while the petrol price remained unchanged.
The government jacked up petrol and diesel prices despite oil prices falling globally on Friday after it appeared a second round of Middle East talks was back on, bolstering prospects for an end to a war that has crippled energy shipments from the Gulf.
Oil prices had been climbing earlier as investors worried about a lack of progress in ending the Middle East crisis, with Tehran keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed and the US maintaining a blockade of Iranian ports.
But they dropped on reports that Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi was to arrive in Islamabad on Friday night.
Brent crude, the international benchmark contract, fell back below $100 a barrel.
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Business
US justice department drops probe into Fed chairman Jerome Powell
Powell’s term is nearing its end and the US Senate is considering Trump’s nominee for his replacement, Kevin Warsh. A key Republican, Thom Tillis, has withheld his support for Warsh unless the Trump administration would drop its investigation into Powell.
Business
Intel bags big gains! Chipmaker’s shares jump 26% on blockbuster results; how Trump admin benefits – The Times of India
Intel share price soared sharply on Friday after the chipmaker delivered a first-quarter performance that exceeded market expectations. And the win was not just for the chipmaker, but also the whole of US!The stock climbed 26.7% during trading on Friday, marking what could be its strongest single-day gain since 1987. Momentum continued after the closing bell, with shares rising a further 20% in after-hours trading as investors reacted to signs of a sustained turnaround driven by artificial intelligence.Intel reported revenue of $13.58 billion (€11.6bn) for the quarter, ahead of the $12.3 billion (€10.5 bn) forecast and up 7.2% from a year earlier. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.29, far exceeding expectations of $0.01.A key contributor to this performance was the company’s Data Centre and AI (DCAI) division, which delivered revenue of $5.05 billion (€4.2bn), up 22.4% year-on-year and well above analyst estimates of $4.41 billion (€3.77bn). The results indicate strong demand for Intel’s Xeon 6 processors and Gaudi 3 AI accelerators, particularly among enterprise clients and cloud service providers.Chief executive Lip-Bu Tan pointed to a broader shift in artificial intelligence usage as a major factor behind the growth. He said, “the next wave of AI will bring intelligence closer to the end user, moving from foundational models to inference to agentic.” He added, “This shift is significantly increasing the need for Intel’s CPUs and wafer and advanced packaging offerings.”The company also issued an upbeat outlook for the second quarter, forecasting revenue in the range of $13.8 billion (€11.8billion) to $14.8 billion (€12.6billion), surpassing investor expectations of $13 billion (€11.1billion).
But how is Washington winning?
The rally has had a direct impact on the US administration’s investment in Intel. In 2025, during a period of severe financial strain for the company, the administration of Donald Trump acquired a 9.9% stake in a move aimed at stabilising the business. The government invested $8.9 billion (€7.8bn) at a share price of $20.47 (€18.01), with $5.7 billion (€5bn) of that amount coming from previously approved but unpaid grants, according to the Euro News.At the time, Intel was facing multi-billion dollar losses and operational challenges, prompting concerns over its viability. As part of the intervention, the company cancelled planned factory projects in Germany and Poland, redirected focus towards US-based manufacturing, and reduced its global workforce by 25%, cutting around 25,000 jobs.Following the latest jump, Intel’s shares are now trading at $81.3 (€71.5), representing an increase of nearly 300% since the government first took its stake. The sharp rise highlights how the company’s improved financial performance has translated into substantial gains for the US administration.
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