Sports
The Playbook: Lineup locks, Shadow Reports for Week 10
Welcome to The Playbook for Week 10, which kicks off Thursday with the Raiders at the Broncos.
This column features score projections, over/unders, win probabilities, and, of course, easily digestible fantasy advice for seasonlong leagues and DFS. This guide should help you with all sorts of decision-making, including sit/start, last-minute waiver adds and lineup choices.
Additionally, we have folded the Shadow Reports, previously a separate column, into the game-by-game breakdowns here. Using our play-by-play data, we’re able to identify defensive schemes and where each wide receiver and cornerback lines up on each play. By tracking these WR/CB matchups, including potential shadow situations, we can offer the best projections, rankings, sit/start advice and waiver wire suggestions each week.
All of this advice is centered on 12-team PPR leagues with relatively standard scoring and lineup settings (1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 flex, 1 K, 1 D/ST), although I’ll often mention “shallow” or “deep” leagues for some starters. The charts show all players who have been projected for at least 6.0 fantasy points this week, as well as all D/STs. “Matchup” is automatically determined using a proprietary metric that factors in raw and volume-adjusted fantasy points allowed to each position by the opposing defense this season.
(Editor’s note: Projections and rankings will align almost perfectly, but sometimes when a projection is close, a player might be ranked slightly higher or lower because of other factors, including upside or risk. This column is subject to updates during the weekend, although at the very minimum, rankings will be updated on the site and projections will always be updated inside the game leading up to kickoff.)
LV-DEN | ATL-IND | NYG-CHI | BUF-MIA | BAL-MIN | CLE-NYJ | NE-TB
NO-CAR | JAX-HOU | ARI-SEA | LAR-SF | DET-WAS | PIT-LAC | PHI-GB
Projected score: Broncos 28, Raiders 15
Lineup locks: Ashton Jeanty, J.K. Dobbins, Courtland Sutton, Brock Bowers
Fantasy scoop: Troy Franklin has seen eight-plus targets in three straight games and now trails Sutton by only one (65-64) for the team lead. Of course, Sutton has been substantially more productive, turning his usage into a 38-566-4 receiving line (13.4 fantasy PPG), compared to a 37-385-4 line for Franklin (11.6 PPG). Franklin’s 58% catch rate and 6.0 yards per target have him sitting 40th among receivers in yards despite ranking 17th in targets.
Franklin sits top eight at the position in both end zone targets and air yards, which provides him with plenty of upside, but the problem is that his two big games (24-plus fantasy points in both) have not been enough to offset his seven dud weeks (under 13.0 in all of them, averaging 7.6 PPG). Franklin does have a good Week 10 matchup (more on that in a second), but he remains a very boom/bust flex.
Shadow Report: Upgrade Denver’s receivers against a struggling Raiders pass defense that overhauled its secondary last week. Starting perimeter corner Kyu Blu Kelly was replaced by third-round rookie Darien Porter and primary slot Darnay Holmes was replaced by undrafted rookie Greedy Vance and more three-safety looks. The result was the Jaguars’ shorthanded receiver room putting up 185 yards, the second most the Raiders have allowed to a WR room this season. The Raiders now sit top five on the season in catches, yards and fantasy points allowed to receivers. Sutton, Franklin, Marvin Mims Jr. and Pat Bryant should be upgraded.
Over/under: 43.2 (11th highest)
Win probability: Broncos 89% (Highest)
Projected score: Colts 29, Falcons 20
Lineup locks: Daniel Jones, Jonathan Taylor, Bijan Robinson, Drake London, Michael Pittman Jr., Tyler Warren, Kyle Pitts Sr.
Fantasy scoop: Pitts a lineup lock? It’s not hard to justify, considering (A) his recent usage (B) two top tight ends on a bye and (C) a terrific Week 10 matchup. Pitts has handled seven-plus targets in three straight games and sits top five among tight ends in routes, target share, targets and catches. He hasn’t seen enough goal line work (one TD and one end zone target), but he’s still 11th at the position in fantasy PPG.
Pitts, who has 13-plus fantasy points in three of his past five outings, will face a Colts defense that sits top five in targets, catches, yards and fantasy points to tight ends. Indianapolis has allowed one TD and 19-plus fantasy points to tight ends in four straight, including 20-plus-point efforts by Oronde Gadsden II and Trey McBride.
Shadow Report: Jaylon Jones made his 2025 debut on Sunday and successfully shadowed DK Metcalf. Jones aligned against Metcalf on 22 of his 33 routes, including 21 of 23 on the perimeter. Pittsburgh’s top receiver was held to 6 yards on four targets, totaling 2.6 fantasy points. It’s possible Jones shadows London this week as Sauce Gardner gets acclimated to the Colts’ scheme, but either way, London will have his hands full against the Colts’ new-look perimeter corner situation. The Colts have allowed the second-most receptions and eighth-most fantasy points to receivers, but the recent improvements suggest this will be a tough assignment for London and Darnell Mooney.
Over/under: 49.3 (7th highest)
Win probability: Colts 80% (3rd highest)
Projected score: Bears 28, Giants 27
Lineup locks: Jaxson Dart, D’Andre Swift, Wan’Dale Robinson, Rome Odunze
Fantasy scoop: In the Giants’ first full game without Cam Skattebo, the duo of Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Devin Singletary formed a near-even backfield committee. Singletary surprisingly led the way, handling eight carries and two targets on 31 snaps (16 routes). Tracy managed five carries and four targets on 25 snaps (14 routes).
Tracy was expected to operate as the lead back (as he did most of last season), but especially after Singletary outplayed him (51 yards to Tracy’s 37), we need to plan as if this will be a near-even split for the time being. Week 10 presents a solid matchup against a Bears defense that is allowing 5.0 yards per carry (fifth highest) to RBs. Both backs are best viewed as flex options, with Tracy the slightly preferred option.
Shadow Report: If Paulson Adebo returns from injury this week, he’s a candidate to shadow Odunze. New York’s top corner traveled with Terry McLaurin in Week 1 (McLaurin scored 4.7 fantasy points), A.J. Brown in Week 6 (14.0) and, prior to leaving injured, Courtland Sutton in Week 7 (8.9, prior to Adebo’s departure). New York continues to struggle against receivers (top seven in catches, yards and fantasy points allowed), so while Odunze’s ceiling would be limited in this scenario, he remains a fantasy starter. Note that if Adebo remains out (not to mention No. 2 CB Cor’Dale Flott), this will be a plus matchup across the board for the Chicago passing game.
Shadow Report: Upgrade the Giants’ wide receivers against a Chicago pass defense that has allowed the third-most fantasy points to receivers. After surrendering 17-plus fantasy points to three Bengals receivers Sunday, the Bears have allowed 13 TDs (second most) and 9.8 yards per target (second highest) to the position. Chicago remains very short-handed at corner with Jaylon Johnson and Kyler Gordon on IR, which sets up Robinson, Darius Slayton and Ray-Ray McCloud III with a terrific matchup against Tyrique Stevenson, Nahshon Wright, Nick McCloud and C.J. Gardner-Johnson.
Over/under: 55.2 (Highest)
Win probability: Bears 56% (11th highest)
Projected score: Bills 30, Dolphins 20
Lineup locks: Josh Allen, De’Von Achane, James Cook III, Jaylen Waddle
Fantasy scoop: Dalton Kincaid continues to break math, having played just 44% of Buffalo’s offensive snaps and yet to clear six targets in a game, but still sitting eighth in TE fantasy points thanks to four touchdowns. Of course, Kincaid’s production has been a bit boom or bust, as he has scored 14.8-plus fantasy points four times but fewer than 10 three times. Kincaid has reached 100 receiving yards in two of his past three outings, but those games bookended a 1-23-0 receiving line in Week 8.
Kincaid’s efficiency (12.5 yards per target) and scoring (four TDs despite an expected total of 1.6) are unsustainable, and he can’t be expected to continue producing top-10 numbers in yardage and TDs while ranking 25th among tight ends in targets. Kincaid’s role in Buffalo’s high-scoring offense is enough to keep him in the TE1 discussion, but he’s more of a fringe play than a solid starter. He has some added appeal this week against a Miami defense that allowed him a 5-66-1 showing when these teams met in Week 3.
Shadow Report: Christian Benford is a candidate to shadow Waddle this week. Buffalo’s top corner has shadowed top receivers throughout the season, including Tyreek Hill when these teams met in Week 3. Hill is, of course, done for the season, leaving Waddle as Miami’s clear top wideout. Buffalo hasn’t been overly effective against receivers, and both Waddle (14.9) and Hill (15.9) put together solid fantasy days in the first meeting. With receivers Benford has shadowed averaging a strong 16.9 fantasy PPG, Waddle can be started as usual.
Over/under: 50.5 (4th highest)
Win probability: Bills 84% (2nd highest)
Projected Score: Ravens 28, Vikings 23
Lineup locks: Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry, Justin Jefferson, Zay Flowers, Jordan Addison
Fantasy scoop: Mark Andrews scored two touchdowns in Jackson’s return from injury last week. That allowed the veteran tight end a solid 16.6 fantasy points, but the problem is that he was targeted only three times. Andrews now has three or fewer targets in five of eight games and is averaging a lowly 4.1 per game on the season. He has also fallen short of 35 yards in all but one game.
Andrews isn’t the fantasy force he was prior to 2024 and, much like last season, he’s best viewed as an extremely TD-dependent fringe TE1. However, he does have some added appeal this week against a Vikings defense that has allowed 18-plus fantasy points to Oronde Gadsden II and Sam LaPorta over the past two weeks.
Shadow Report: Nate Wiggins is a candidate to shadow Jefferson this week. Baltimore’s top perimeter corner traveled with Nico Collins when the game was competitive in Week 5, Davante Adams full-time in Week 6 and part-time against Rome Odunze and Jaylen Waddle over the past two weeks. Those four receivers averaged 13.9 fantasy PPG in their game against the Ravens, with three clearing 14 points. Baltimore’s defense is headed in the right direction, but even with Wiggins on the other side, Jefferson can be started as usual.
Over/under: 50.5 (5th highest)
Win probability: Ravens 67% (9th highest)
Projected score: Browns 19, Jets 18
Lineup locks: Quinshon Judkins, Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson
Fantasy scoop: When we last saw the Browns (Week 8), Harold Fannin Jr. posted a 6-62-1 receiving line on eight targets, which worked out to a career-high 18.4 fantasy points. Fannin has produced 15-plus fantasy points in two of his past three games, though he’s been under 11.5 in five of his past seven. Fannin’s recent success coincided with missed action by David Njoku and Cedric Tillman, both of whom are expected to play in Week 10. Fannin’s 18.6% target share and strong play are enough to keep him in the TE1 mix, but with Njoku also involved and the Browns struggling with offensive efficiency, the rookie certainly carries risk.
Shadow Report: The Jets traded Sauce Gardner on Tuesday, which is notable considering that, with Gardner often shadowing opponents’ top receivers, secondary receivers have thrived against the Jets. In fact, even with Gardner playing well, the Jets have allowed the fourth-highest EPA against the pass.
Jerry Jeudy, who was likely to draw shadow coverage from Gardner had he not been dealt, and Cedric Tillman (if he returns from IR) can now be upgraded in this matchup. Of course, Jeudy has yet to score a touchdown or clear 11.6 fantasy points in a game this season and he was held without a single catch (albeit while shadowed by Christian Gonzalez) in his most-recent game. Even with the better matchup, he’s best left on benches.
Over/under: 37.4 (Lowest)
Win probability: Browns 51% (Lowest)
Projected score: Patriots 25, Buccaneers 23
Lineup locks: Drake Maye, Bucky Irving, Emeka Egbuka, Stefon Diggs
Fantasy scoop: With Rhamondre Stevenson sidelined last week, TreVeyon Henderson was the Patriots’ lead back. The rookie played 51 snaps (75%), totaling 14 carries and six targets. Terrell Jennings, the only other back to see the field, added 11 carries (one for a TD) and one target on 17 snaps. Henderson played fairly well, posting career highs in touches (18), yards (87) and fantasy points (12.7). Henderson has found the end zone once in nine games but has 75-plus yards in consecutive games.
If Stevenson returns this week, Henderson will revert to no more than a bench option. However, if Stevenson remains out, Henderson will be a viable RB2 against a Bucs defense that has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to RBs, with most of that damage coming in the passing game (a strength for Henderson).
Shadow Report: Christian Gonzalez is a candidate to shadow Egbuka this week. New England’s standout corner traveled with Jerry Jeudy in Week 8 (Jeudy had zero catches) and Drake London in Week 9 prior to leaving injured (London scored 25.5 fantasy points prior to Gonzalez’s departure, though two TDs were against Marcus Jones). Though London’s big game should provide some optimism for Egbuka’s outlook, it’s worth noting that this was the first instance this season of a receiver reaching 18 fantasy points against New England. Of course, like London, Egbuka will escape to the slot at times, so he won’t see Gonzalez full time. Egbuka remains on the WR1 radar.
Over/under: 48.2 (8th highest)
Win probability: Patriots 56% (12th highest)
Projected score: Panthers 23, Saints 16
Lineup locks: Rico Dowdle, Chris Olave, Tetairoa McMillan
Fantasy scoop: There was a clear changing of the guard in the Carolina backfield on Sunday. After two straight weeks on the short end of a committee, Dowdle took over as the feature back in Week 9, totaling 25 carries and three targets on 40 snaps. Chuba Hubbard, meanwhile, was reduced to five carries and one target on 11 snaps.
Despite facing a tough Packers run defense, Dowdle produced 130 yards and two TDs on 25 carries, adding 11 yards on three targets. Dowdle has scored 28-plus fantasy points in his past three games as Carolina’s lead back. He’s now very much a lineup lock and has a solid Week 10 matchup against a New Orleans defense that has allowed the seventh-most yards to RBs. Hubbard is safe to drop, though he is a fine insurance stash.
Over/under: 38.8 (13th highest)
Win probability: Panthers 75% (5th highest)
Projected score: Texans 23, Jaguars 19
Lineup locks: Travis Etienne Jr., Nico Collins
Shadow Report: Expect Thomas to draw shadow coverage from Derek Stingley Jr. this week. When these teams met in Week 3, Stingley shadowed Thomas on all five of his perimeter routes prior to leaving injured. Kamari Lassiter then took over and shadowed Thomas on his final 19 perimeter routes. Thomas was held in check, totaling 55 yards on six targets. Stingley has also shadowed Davante Adams (7.2 fantasy points in the game), Mike Evans (10.6) and Courtland Sutton (10.0).
This is a tough assignment, not only for Thomas, but for the entire Jaguars receiver room — including newcomer Jakobi Meyers. Houston has surrendered the second-fewest fantasy points, the lowest catch rate (54%) and only four TDs to the position. Thomas, who has been held to 12.0 or fewer fantasy points in seven of eight games and was targeted only five times last week, is no more than a WR3.
Over/under: 42.2 (12th highest)
Win probability: Texans 71% (6th highest)
Projected score: Seahawks 26, Cardinals 21
Lineup locks: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Marvin Harrison Jr., Trey McBride
Fantasy scoop: Seattle returned from its Week 8 bye with a bit of a tweak to its running back deployment. Kenneth Walker III played a season-high 54% of the offensive snaps in Week 9 and totaled 11 carries and two targets. That compared favorably to Zach Charbonnet (eight carries and one target on 18 snaps), who had out-snapped Walker in five of their prior six games together this season.
Despite the promotion, Walker was held below 10 fantasy points for the fourth game in a row and hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 3. Charbonnet, meanwhile, has five TDs in seven games, but he’s averaging 2.9 yards per carry and has cleared 12.4 fantasy points in a game only once. Walker remains the better play of the two, but he’s no more than a fringe RB2.
Over/under: 46.9 (10th highest)
Win probability: Seahawks 70% (7th highest)
Projected score: Rams 28, 49ers 22
Lineup locks: Christian McCaffrey, Kyren Williams, Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, Jauan Jennings, George Kittle
Fantasy scoop: Jennings isn’t all the way back, but he’s getting close. The Niners’ top receiver posted a 4-41-1 receiving line this past Sunday, and his 14.1 fantasy points were his most since he scored 19.9 in Week 2. Jennings hasn’t cleared 45 yards in a game since that Week 2 effort, but he’s seen a healthy 24.7% target share during his past three outings. That’s nearly identical to his 24.9% share when he was fantasy’s No. 24 scoring receiver last season. Jennings is a fine WR2/3 play this week, and it’s possible he’ll be even more productive once Brock Purdy is back under center.
Over/under: 49.7 (6th highest)
Win probability: Rams 70% (8th highest)
Projected score: Lions 29, Commanders 22
Lineup locks: Jahmyr Gibbs, David Montgomery, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Deebo Samuel, Sam LaPorta
Fantasy scoop: With Jayden Daniels out for the foreseeable future, Marcus Mariota will work as the Commanders’ starting quarterback. The dual-threat quarterback has played over half the snaps in five games since joining Washington and has averaged a healthy 18.7 fantasy PPG in those outings. Mariota threw for multiple touchdowns in three of the games and ran for at least 20 yards in all five (35.6 average).
Mariota’s play is enough to make him a streaming option when the matchup is right, though he’s not the best choice this week against a Detroit defense that has allowed the fifth-lowest EPA against the pass while also ranking top five in INTs and sacks. Daniels’ absence means we’re downgrading the Washington offense, especially considering that no Commander skill player is averaging more than 12.5 fantasy PPG during Mariota’s three 2025 starts. Samuel is the only lineup lock, primarily because Terry McLaurin remains out.
Shadow Report: The Commanders have allowed the second-most receiving yards, sixth-most fantasy points and 11 TDs (seventh most) to receivers. And that was prior to losing Marshon Lattimore to a torn ACL. Washington’s struggling defense is good news for Detroit’s passing game, and we’re obviously upgrading St. Brown and Jameson Williams against Mike Sainristil, Jonathan Jones and Trey Amos.
Over/under: 51 (3rd highest)
Win probability: Lions 75% (4th highest)
Projected score: Chargers 26, Steelers 22
Lineup locks: Justin Herbert, Jaylen Warren, Ladd McConkey, DK Metcalf, Oronde Gadsden II
Fantasy scoop: Metcalf was held to a season-low 2.6 fantasy points Sunday. Metcalf, who matched a season low with four targets, has been shadowed in four games and struggled in all four, posting 12.3 points in Week 1 (Sauce Gardner), 12.2 points in Week 3 (Carlton Davis III), 8.0 points in Week 7 (DJ Turner) and 2.6 points in Week 8 (Jaylon Jones). That’s accounted for half of Metcalf’s games, though he’s scored 16-plus fantasy points in three of his other four outings and the exception was a tough matchup against Seattle.
Metcalf might not be shadowed this week, but he’s set to face a Los Angeles defense that has allowed just four TDs and the sixth-fewest fantasy points to receivers. Metcalf has been way too dependent on touchdowns (he’s 39th among receivers in targets but seventh in TDs), which makes him a boom/bust fantasy start. He’s a fringe WR2 against the Chargers.
Shadow Report: Upgrade Chargers receivers against a Steelers defense that has allowed the most targets, catches, yards and fantasy points to receivers. Pittsburgh has allowed 50-plus fantasy points to the opposing WR room in three of its past five outings, which includes 55.4 to the Colts in Week 9. McConkey, Keenan Allen and Quentin Johnston should see a boost in volume and production here in Week 10. All are viable fantasy starters.
Over/under: 48 (9th highest)
Win probability: Chargers 65% (10th highest)
Projected score: Eagles 26, Packers 26
Lineup locks: Jalen Hurts, Josh Jacobs, Saquon Barkley, A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Romeo Doubs, Dallas Goedert
Fantasy scoop: Tucker Kraft (knee) is done for the season, which means a larger role for Luke Musgrave, who was actually selected one round earlier than Kraft in the 2023 draft. With Kraft departing Sunday’s game early, Musgrave stepped in and played 48% of the offensive snaps — his highest usage since Week 3 of last season. He was targeted three times and caught all three for 34 yards.
Musgrave hasn’t produced double-digit fantasy points in any game since his rookie season and, even in a larger role moving forward, he is unlikely to produce consistent TE1 numbers. While he’s not the worst speculative bench add (especially if you rostered Kraft), he shouldn’t be in Week 10 lineups against an Eagles defense that has allowed only one TD, the third-fewest fantasy points and a league-low 4.8 yards per target to tight ends.
Over/under: 51.6 (2nd highest)
Win probability: Eagles 52% (13th highest)
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In pairs short program defined by miscues, two U.S. teams land in top 10
Germany’s Minerva Fabienne Hase and Nikita Volodin deliver an error-free routine for the lead heading into Monday’s free skate.
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Sturla Holm Lægreid wins third Olympic medal after tearful cheating confession goes viral
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Sturla Holm Lægreid may have had one of the most bizarre Olympics moments of all time, revealing he had an affair on his now ex-girlfriend, but his time at the 2026 Milan Cortina Games continues to go well regardless.
The Norwegian biathlete went viral for a tearful confession, saying that he cheated on his ex-girlfriend and regretted it after winning bronze during the 20-kilometer biathlon.
But Lægreid has won two medals since, including his third on Sunday when he captured silver in the men’s 12.5-kilometer biathlon pursuit.
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Sturla Holm Laegreid, of Norway, reacts after he won bronze as teammate Ingrid Landmark Tandrevold comforts him after the men’s 20-kilometer individual biathlon race at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Anterselva, Italy, Tuesday, Feb. 10, 2026. (AP Photo/Andrew Medichini)
It’s been quite the week for Lægreid, though, as he explained through a levy of tears that he has had the “worst week of his life” due to the weight of what he did in his love life.
“Six months ago, I met the love of my life and the most beautiful and kindest person in the world,” he said after his event to NRK in Norway. “Three months ago, I made my biggest mistake and cheated on her, and I told her about a week ago.”
NORWEGIAN OLYMPIAN REGRETS REVEALING AFFAIR AFTER WINNING MEDAL: ‘NOT THINKING CLEARLY’

Sturla Holm Laegreid of Team Norway competes in the Men’s 20km Individual on day four of the Milano Cortina 2026 Winter Olympic games at Anterselva Biathlon Arena on Feb. 10, 2026 in Antholz-Anterselva, Italy. (Michael Steele/Getty Images)
He was crying and hugging friends after the race, and followed his initial comments with more during a news conference.
“It was the choice I made,” he said about revealing the information on the broadcast. “We make different choices during our life, and that’s how we make life,” he told a room full of reporters. “So, today I made a choice to tell the world what I did, so maybe, maybe there is a chance she will see what she really means to me. Maybe not.”
Lægreid said one day later he “deeply regrets” revealing that very personal detail about his life on live television, exposing a private matter in one of the most public ways possible.
“I am not quite myself these days and not thinking clearly,” he said in a statement on Wednesday. “My apologies go to Johan-Olav (Botn), who deserved all the attention after winning gold. They also go to my ex-girlfriend, who unwillingly ended up in the media spotlight. I hope she is doing well. I cannot undo this, but I will now put it behind me and focus on the Olympics. I will not answer any further questions about this.”
Lægreid remained in headlines throughout the week, though it was due to his performance at the Milan Cortina Games, securing a bronze medal on Friday in the men’s 10km sprint.

Gold medalist Martin Ponsiluoma of Team Sweden, Silver medalist Sturla Holm Laegreid of Team Norway and Bronze medalist Emilien Jacquelin of Team France celebrate after the Men’s Biathlon 12.5km Pursuit on day nine of the Milano Cortina 2026 Winter Olympic games at Anterselva Biathlon Arena on Feb. 15, 2026 in Antholz-Anterselva, Italy. (Alexander Hassenstein/Getty Images)
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The Norwegian is a six-time world champion, and though this is something entirely different in terms of adversity, he is clearly still performing well not the biggest world stage in Italy this week.
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What the soccer world can learn from FA Cup heroes Macclesfield
MACCLESFIELD, England — Sam Heathcote is out on the field, handing out training bibs on a cold January morning. He’s no stranger to this: At 28 years old, he has been a footballer all his adult life, plying his trade in English soccer’s lower leagues. His proudest moment came a few weeks ago when he helped Macclesfield, a sixth-tier semiprofessional club, defy all odds in the FA Cup to knock out Premier League side Crystal Palace.
It was one of those magical days in football — an all-time Cinderella story — and it’s really hard to overestimate how unprecedented that result was. There were 117 places between Macclesfield and Palace in the English soccer pyramid when they met on Jan. 10, and Palace were the tournament’s defending champions. Never before during 154 years of the FA Cup — a competition, just like NCAA’s March Madness, known for its “David vs. Goliath” upsets — had a result delivered such a shock. Fans had streamed onto the field at the final whistle; players were paraded on shoulders. It was a scene that everyone at Macclesfield replayed in their heads again and again.
Those memories were fresh for Heathcote on this brisk morning, although it’s not the kind of training session you would expect. It’s on a concrete pitch at a grade school just outside of Manchester, and all the players in the session are 10 years old. Most of Macclesfield’s squad have second jobs: There is a property developer, a lawyer, a podcaster and a gym owner. Their captain, Paul Dawson, supplements his wages packing boxes for a friend’s candle company.
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Heathcote, their 6-foot-2, no-nonsense center back, is a gym teacher, and on this particular morning, his day job is in session.
“Aubrey, everyone’s gone for red. You’ve gone for orange,” Heathcote says to one of the children.
“I like the color orange!” Aubrey, seemingly unaware of soccer’s strict two-color system, replies.
“Well, fair enough,” Heathcote says as Aubrey sticks resolutely to orange. Life comes at you fast as a semiprofessional footballer.
Macclesfield’s 15 minutes of fame is not over yet. The upset victory meant they won a place in the FA Cup fourth round and a date with Premier League side Brentford on Monday (Stream live on ESPN+). The question is whether they can do it all over again.
Brentford can learn a lot from Palace, whose manager, Oliver Glasner, said afterwards that his players “never showed up.” But what can they and other teams learn from Macclesfield?
LESSON 1: Find a purpose
If one person in the small town of Macclesfield were to teach a class on resilience, the football club’s 48-year-old owner, Robert Smethurst, would be a good place to start. He bought the club six years ago, just as it went out of business. English soccer’s pyramid can be a cruel system and Macclesfield had been on the losing end for years, tumbling down the league pyramid as unpaid tax bills and debts of £190,000 ($258,554 USD) piled up, causing players to go on strike.
Despite growing up 8 miles from the club’s stadium, Moss Rose, Smethurst had never been a fan of the team, nor had he ever been to see a game. He never realized the scale of the problem: Debt collectors had already taken pretty much anything of value. There was no kitchen equipment. Copper pipes were removed. There was a gap where an air-conditioning unit had been. The playing squad had left. Why did he do it?
The truth is, Smethurst doesn’t actually remember buying the club. Macclesfield was on its knees, but so was he. After selling his online car business for more than £10 million ($13.6 million) a couple of years prior, he felt he’d lost any sense of purpose.
“Being bored at 12 o’clock, what do you do? I opened a bottle of wine,” Smethurst tells ESPN. “For me, that then got worse. It went into addiction. I was drinking more and more and losing the person I was.”
It was a friend of Smethurst’s who had spotted Macclesfield, recently out of business, on a real estate website called Rightmove. Without much thought — and in a cloud of his alcoholism — he asked his solicitor to send a £500,000 ($680,267) offer.
“I can’t really remember it because I just thought it was fun for me,” Smethurst says, barely paying a second thought to it until he got a call days later to say the sale had gone through. That’s when reality hit.
“I was like, ‘What the hell have I bought?'” he says. “When I finally came round a little bit, came to have a look at it — I’d never even seen it — I realized that it had been ripped apart. The whole place was just s—.”
If the stadium was bad enough, the club’s wider predicament was even worse. After going out of business, a club has to be recreated, starting at the very foot of English soccer’s pyramid system. Forget the sixth-tier where they are now. Macclesfield Town were entered into the North West Counties Football League — the ninth and final tier — where attendances often rank in the low hundreds.
Smethurst’s drinking didn’t stop until a year later. “I put myself into recovery,” he says. He did the steps, learned more about why he drank and realized he had a purpose that he was leaving unfulfilled. Around the same time, he was diagnosed with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD).
“I went into recovery and kind of came out there with a great mindset,” he says. “I was really fighting for my life, but also wanting to make a difference … Everything that I’ve done with the club was about: ‘How can I build something special after recovery? How can I change people’s lives?’
“I started on that journey. I spent about £4 million ($5.4 million) of my own money doing it all up, new pitches, new bars, a gym for the community, all that kind of stuff.”
Macclesfield earned three promotions in four seasons, winning three league titles along the way. The trophies are proudly on display inside the club bar. They did so, primarily, by being the biggest spenders in each of those divisions. Anyone you speak to in Macclesfield will readily cite the club’s facilities and Smethurst’s financial backing as the primary reason for going from the ninth tier to beating Crystal Palace.
Smethurst is the first to admit that the club’s relative financial might got them through the first three divisions. Now that they’ve found their level in the sixth tier, it is the town’s togetherness — and outside investment — that can take them further.
“People like the fans can come and talk to me and access and come and meet me in the office,” he says. “I’ve been out for a coffee with fans before. It’s a different thing. We’re all in this together. I’m accessible to everybody. If anybody wants to come and talk to me, they can. If they want to take my number, they can. If they’re worried about anything, they can call me.”
LESSON 2: You always have each other
John Rooney should really have been worrying about the tactics board. It was an hour before the FA Cup clash with Palace, and Rooney, brother of Manchester United legend Wayne Rooney, taking his first steps into football management at Macclesfield, was worried about something else entirely.
The team gathered in the home dressing room, but one player’s locker was left empty. It was for their 21-year-old striker Ethan McLeod, who died in a road traffic collision on Dec. 16 — just one week after Macclesfield got the dream draw to face Palace, and less than a month before the big game.
Rooney had spoken to McLeod’s parents the night before the Palace game. McLeod’s father had wished the team luck and said they would be in attendance. Now, as the team counted down the minutes to kickoff, Rooney was worried that passing on that message would add too much pressure.
“I was questioning myself, do we tell them or do we not?” Rooney tells ESPN.
Ultimately, he decided against it. The grief was still fresh. Rooney knew his players genuinely wanted to win it for Ethan, whose image looks over the pitch at Moss Rose and whose number was retired. That kind of message could wait until after the game.
The incident happened on a Tuesday night after a last-gasp 2-1 win over Bedford Town FC. McLeod, who had just started to get a run in the team, was an unused substitute.
“Something I’ll never forget that will live with me for a long, long time is the selflessness that he had,” striker Danny Elliott, Macclesfield’s top scorer, says. “He was a striker, I’m a striker. For most of the season, I think it’s fair to say that he was kind of second to me. That night against Bedford, he didn’t actually get on the pitch, but I scored a winning goal in the last minute. As a 21-year-old striker, I know that I would have probably been a bit disappointed to not get on the pitch, but he was the first person to come and celebrate with me. He was really happy for me.”
McLeod would typically have travelled back with the rest of the squad on the team bus, but on this occasion, it was easier for him to drive back to his hometown, Wolverhampton. He got in his car and drove ahead. The team bus left minutes later, but was soon held up in standstill traffic. When they passed the incident, they realized it was a major crash. They didn’t give it much more thought until Rooney, who returned home at 6 a.m. in part due to the traffic, got a call to say it was McLeod’s car in the fatal collision.
Rooney, who had now been awake for nearly 24 hours, decided his players should hear the news from him. He called them all, one by one.
“The players were breaking down on the phone, and after that, I’d pick the phone up, tell someone else and — and then someone else,” Rooney recalls.
“I can’t imagine how difficult that must have been for him,” Elliott said of his manager. “I have the utmost respect for him. That was actually his birthday as well, so I can’t imagine what that must have been like.”
The following night, the team met at their Moss Rose stadium in the club bar and sat for hours. “We sat in the room and cried together for a few hours,” Elliott says. “But also, the beautiful thing about football is that it continues.”
Macclesfield canceled their game the following weekend to, as Elliott put it, “grieve as a group.” They lost two of their next three games. The FA Cup third-round date would be the fourth.
LESSON 3: Ignore the odds
All Crystal Palace’s players had to do was look to their left to see the warning sign. It was written on the side tunnel, the last they would have seen before they stepped out onto the field for the FA Cup tie. It read, in capital letters: “DREAM. BELIEVE. ACHIEVE. AGAINST ALL ODDS.”
Maybe Palace players never paid much notice. The pitch had been freshly thawed from a snowstorm days earlier. Macclesfield captain Dawson, on top of his job at the candle company and youth coaching, made time to help club staff shovel snow off the pitch earlier that week for a league game — much to the ire of his manager, Rooney.
“I was on the shovel until the gaffer rang me,” Dawson says. “He wasn’t very happy. I told him that I was just sat on the tractor all day, which I hadn’t. I just lied.”
Dawson’s hard work had paid off, but it still would have been below the standards that Premier League teams are used to. Before the game, Dawson walked out onto the field and met his opposing captain, England international Marc Guéhi (who would sign for Manchester City later in January). Dawson later told British radio station TalkSport: “Franny [our assistant coach Francis Jeffers] turned around to Marc and he goes, ‘Pitch all right for you?’ He replied, ‘No, not a bit of me this.’ From that moment on I thought, ‘You know what? There’s something here for us.'”
As it turned out, it was Dawson who scored the game’s opening goal. He had been bleeding from his head just eight minutes into the tie from a clash with Palace defender Jaydee Canvot, meaning he donned a bandage around his forehead for the rest of the game. When Macclesfield were awarded a free kick 30 yards from Palace’s goal, Heathcote helped him rearrange the dressing before the ball was floated into the box, which Dawson duly headed home.
“I have to be honest, I’ve watched it several times. I don’t actually remember it happening,” Dawson says. “When a big moment like that happens, it just erases from your memory. I don’t really remember much of the game until I’ve watched it back.”
Scenes in the dressing room 🍾
Macclesfield FC players and staff sing Adele’s Someone Like You after their FA Cup victory over Crystal Palace 🎶 pic.twitter.com/by44M82ZFx
— Football on TNT Sports (@footballontnt) January 10, 2026
What happened next only added to the Cinderella story. Macclesfield went in at halftime with their highly unlikely 1-0 lead, and manager Rooney told his team to calm down: If they just didn’t concede in the second half, then they would pull off the upset. You can imagine the shock when forward Isaac Buckley-Ricketts made it 2-0 in the 61st minute, prodding the ball past the Palace goalkeeper.
There was still time for Palace to spoil the party. Macclesfield’s two-goal lead was cut in half after a free kick from Palace winger Yéremy Pino, whose £26 million ($35 million) transfer fee last summer is 26 times larger than Macclesfield’s entire player expenditure. When that proved too little, too late, the customary fan pitch invasion followed. Soon, Dawson was hoisted onto two fans’ shoulders.
“The next minute I was in the air. My calf had a cramp!” he says. “I was trying to stretch it, but everyone kept patting me and singing.”
Dawson reunited with his teammates in the changing room, McLeod’s spot still vacant. They linked arms and sang Adele’s “Someone Like You.” McLeod’s parents came to join the celebrations, and Rooney passed on the message he had agonized about before the game.
“I will always remember that they were part of this day with us,” Rooney says. “To have his family around to be part of that day with us meant a lot to me.”
Opta, the leading data provider in world soccer, have a live global power ranking of 13,000 teams across world football. Palace were 19th prior to that FA Cup clash; Macclesfield were 6,879th — around the same level as Mons Calpe, who are third in the Gibraltar Premier League, and similar to Ghanaian minnows WaleWale Catholic Stars FC.
Next up in their FA Cup odyssey is Brentford, another Premier League side who, at the time of writing, are ranked 13th in Opta’s system. Macclesfield were the first team to beat a club five leagues above them. Lightning would have to strike twice for it to happen again.
But who would bet against it?
“I’m a football fan. My whole life has been football, so the Premier League for me is what I always watch,” Rooney says. “We know lots about them … Listen, we’re not going to be naïve. We’ll treat them like any other game, like we did with Crystal Palace.
“As we do with teams in our own league, we treat every team with respect, and I’m sure they’ll treat us with that respect as well.”
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