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The Playbook: Lineup locks, Shadow Reports for Week 3

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The Playbook: Lineup locks, Shadow Reports for Week 3


Welcome to The Playbook for Week 3, which kicked off Thursday with the Dolphins at the Bills.

This column features score projections, over/unders, win probabilities, and, of course, easily digestible fantasy advice for seasonlong leagues and DFS. This guide should help you with all sorts of decision-making, including sit/start decisions, last-minute waiver adds and lineup choices.

Additionally, we have folded the Shadow Reports, previously a separate column, into the game-by-game breakdowns here. Using our play-by-play data, we’re able to identify defensive schemes and where each wide receiver and cornerback lines up on each play. By tracking these WR/CB matchups, including potential shadow situations, we can offer the best projections, rankings, sit/start advice and waiver wire suggestions each week.



All of this advice is centered on 12-team PPR leagues with relatively standard scoring and lineup settings (1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 flex, 1 K, 1 D/ST), although I’ll often mention “shallow” or “deep” leagues for some starters. The charts show all players who have been projected for at least 6.0 fantasy points this week, as well as all D/STs. “Matchup” is automatically determined using a proprietary metric that factors in raw and volume-adjusted fantasy points allowed to each position by the opposing defense this season.

(Editor’s note: Projections and rankings will align almost perfectly, but sometimes when a projection is close, a player might be ranked slightly higher or lower because of other factors, including upside or risk. This column is subject to updates during the weekend, although at the very minimum, rankings will be updated on the site and projections will always be updated inside the game leading up to kickoff.)


ATL-CAR | GB-CLE | HOU-JAX | CIN-MIN | PIT-NE | LAR-PHI | NYJ-TB
IND-TEN | LV-WAS | DEN-LAC | NO-SEA | DAL-CHI | ARI-SF | KC-NYG | DET-BAL


Projected score: Packers 24, Browns 15

Lineup locks: Josh Jacobs, Tucker Kraft

Fantasy scoop: Quinshon Judkins made his pro debut in Week 2 and played more than expected. The second-round rookie soaked up 10 carries and three targets on 19 snaps. Game script allowed Jerome Ford to lead the Cleveland backfield in snaps (35) for the second week in a row, but he was limited to six carries to go along with his six targets. Dylan Sampson crashed back to earth after a strong Week 1, totaling four carries and three targets on 17 snaps. Judkins played well (71 yards), and his role only figures to increase, although Ford appears to be a real threat for passing down work, with Sampson also likely to chip in here or there. Judkins might work his way into the RB2 mix at some point soon, but he’s safest as a fringe flex this week against a Packers defense that has held opposing backs to 2.4 yards per carry (second lowest) so far this season.

Over/under: 38.7 (Lowest)
Win probability: Packers 81% (2nd highest)


Projected score: Colts 24, Titans 19

Lineup locks: Jonathan Taylor, Tony Pollard, Calvin Ridley, Tyler Warren

Shadow Report: Michael Pittman Jr. is a candidate to draw shadow coverage from L’Jarius Sneed. Sneed shadowed Courtland Sutton when he was on the field in Week 1, then full-time shadowed Davante Adams on his perimeter routes in Week 2. Both Sutton (granted, Sneed was limited in that game) and Adams put together strong stat lines, but a healthy Sneed is one of the game’s top cover corners, so this matchup is not to be completely disregarded. Pittman doesn’t draw shadows as often as some No. 1 receivers, although Pat Surtain II did travel with him at times in Week 2, which helps explain his 4-40-0 receiving line. Pittman is already a fringe flex option, so he’s safest left on your bench in Week 3.

Over/under: 42.6 (12th highest)
Win probability: Colts 69% (6th highest)


Projected Score: Vikings 21, Bengals 20



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Aggies topple final 1-seed to clinch volleyball title

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Aggies topple final 1-seed to clinch volleyball title


KANSAS CITY, Mo. — No. 3 seed Texas A&M showed the “grit” it has displayed throughout the NCAA Division I women’s volleyball tournament in Sunday’s final, beating No. 1 seed Kentucky 3-0 to capture the program’s first national championship.

In the first all-SEC title-game showdown, the Aggies trailed by as many as six points in the first set and were down a set point. A kill by redshirt sophomore Kyndal Stowers tied the game at 24-24. A block by Ifenna Cos-Okpalla gave the Aggies a set point. And a Stowers kill sealed it.

The Aggies never trailed the rest of the way.

“As soon as we got within two, I was like, ‘Oh no’ for them,” Texas A&M coach Jamie Morrison said. “They should know better on this team. This team is not going to back down.”

The Aggies had a string of upsets just to make it to the title game, starting with a regional semifinal reverse sweep of No. 2 seed Louisville, followed by a regional final upset against previously undefeated No.1 Nebraska. Texas A&M continued its upset streak by sweeping No. 1 Pitt 3-0 in the semifinals before claiming the national title against Kentucky.

“I just said [to my team], ‘We’ve been here before. We’ve been there twice. I brought up the Louisville match,” Morrison said of his team’s first-set deficit. “We talked about Louisville being down 0-2. We talked about Nebraska. We said, ‘Hey, we’ve been here.’ … I just said, ‘It’s going to take one or two points, start to get firing, they’re going to be there.'”

In the second set, the Aggies held a consistent lead over the Wildcats, finishing 25-15 after an attack error by Kentucky. Texas A&M held onto its lead in the third set and clinched the title when senior middle blocker Cos-Okpalla’s kill brought the score to 25-20.

After leading her team with 11 kills, Texas A&M senior Logan Lednicky fought back tears as she looked back at her four-year career in College Station. The 6-foot-3 opposite hitter credited the nine seniors on her team for helping build this program.

“I was pretty emotional all day today just knowing that no matter the outcome of this game, it would be my last getting to represent A&M on my chest,” Lednicky said. “Being able to do this with these girls, end with [the trophy], end like this, I just can’t even believe it.”

Stowers, who had 10 kills in the title match, claimed the Most Outstanding Player award. The transfer from Baylor medically retired because of concussions before transferring to Texas A&M. Stowers had 17 kills against Louisville, 25 against Nebraska and 16 against Pitt.

“A year ago today, I sat on my couch and watched some good friends of mine actually win this game,” Stowers said of Penn State’s victory over Louisville. “Now, to be living that is genuinely surreal. It was a journey to get here. Good days; bad days. It took this guy sitting next to me [Morrison] believing in me after not playing volleyball for over a year and a half, to take me on his roster and coach me every single day.”

Throughout the NCAA tournament, Texas A&M credited its “grit.” The Aggies were two points away from elimination in the regional semifinals against Louisville. Since that upset, the Aggies outscored their opponents 317-276.

“It’s a testament to the work we put in in the practice gym and just generally in all of our careers,” Lednicky said after the semifinals. “It’s been a long time coming for us, a lot of work put into this moment.”

Kentucky had won four matches in a row against Texas A&M, including a four-set victory Oct. 8. Wildcats coach Craig Skinner pointed to A&M’s passing as the difference.

“They handled our serve really well early,” Skinner said. “Our serving pressure didn’t allow them to get in sync when we were down at College Station [in October]. Today, they were in sync.

“Credit their first contact with their passers of [Ava] Underwood, [Addi] Applegate, [Emily] Hellmuth and Stowers of really doing a good job of providing [Maddie] Waak opportunities to set their whole offense. It was a difficult thing to try and score points on defense.”



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Patriots vs. Ravens (Dec 21, 2025) Live Score – ESPN

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Transfer rumors, news: Real Madrid, Man City, Liverpool eye Bayern star Olise

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Transfer rumors, news: Real Madrid, Man City, Liverpool eye Bayern star Olise


Bayern Munich‘s Michael Olise is wanted by a host of other top European clubs, while Manchester United will be made to wait for Brighton & Hove Albion midfielder Carlos Baleba. Join us for the latest transfer news and rumors from around the globe.

Transfers home page | Men’s summer grades | Women’s grades

TOP STORIES

Thiago Silva, 41, joins Porto until end of the season
Amorim: Man Utd focused on long-term needs in Jan.
American coach Matarazzo hired by Real Sociedad

TRENDING RUMORS

Real Madrid, Manchester City, and Liverpool are interested in Bayern Munich winger Michael Olise, according to Christian Falk. The three clubs are reported to be among several teams keen on the 24-year-old, with the Reds potentially looking to him as a future successor for Mohamed Salah. A move to secure Olise from the Bundesliga champions is expected to be difficult, as the France international has a contract at the Allianz Arena until the summer of 2029. Olise has scored nine goals and provided 11 assists in 23 matches so far this season.

– Brighton & Hove Albion will dismiss all offers for Manchester United target Carlos Baleba until 2027, according to The Times. While the Seagulls are open to moving on from the 21-year-old midfielder in the future, they are set to stand firm next summer amid interest from Old Trafford. United are still expected to make multiple signings in midfield, and they could pivot to either Crystal Palace‘s Adam Wharton, 21, or 23-year-old Nottingham Forest star Elliot Anderson.

– An enquiry has been sent to Barcelona by Aston Villa regarding goalkeeper Marc-André ter Stegen, Mundo Deportivo reports. The Premier League club are concerned about recent back problems that No. 1 Emiliano Martínez has suffered, and Villa believe the 33-year-old Germany international could be a strong replacement. Ter Stegen is keen to play regular first-team football to bolster his chances of being the No. 1 for Germany at the FIFA World Cup, with Girona and clubs in the Saudi Pro League also looking at him. Argentina goalkeeper Martínez was prepared to leave Villa for Manchester United last summer, but a concrete bid never materialised.

– Real Madrid are “actively considering” letting attacking midfielder Franco Mastantuono leave on loan in January, Calciomercato reports. The 18-year-old wants to play more regularly ahead of the World Cup amid hopes of being selected by Argentina, but he has struggled so far to garner frequent minutes for manager Xabi Alonso. It is said that Los Blancos would have no interest in agreeing to a permanent deal away from the Bernabéu, while no clubs in the Serie A have made an approach for him despite reports.

– Multiple clubs are keeping tabs on the situation of Manchester United attacking midfielder Jadon Sancho, according to TEAMtalk. Borussia Dortmund are interested in bringing the 25-year-old back for a third spell at the club, while Monaco and Como have also held talks with his representatives. Sancho is on loan at Aston Villa this season, and the Old Trafford hierarchy don’t plan to bring him back, but Villa intend to keep him for the remainder of his loan rather than open up the possibility of a switch in January. He has made 13 appearances across all competitions this season.

EXPERT TAKE

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Will Salah’s Liverpool situation impact his performances for Egypt?

Ed Dove wonders if a fresh Mohamed Salah will give Egypt their best shot at AFCON glory in recent years.

OTHER RUMORS

– Bournemouth winger Antoine Semenyo is prioritising a move to Liverpool over Manchester City. (Guardian)

– Bayern Munich, Liverpool and Borussia Dortmund are interested in FC Midtjylland forward Franculino Dju. (Christian Falk)

– Borussia Dortmund defender Niklas Sule is on the radar of AC Milan. He is set to become a free agent in the summer. (Nicolo Schira)

– Bayern Munich are weighing up a move for Hoffenheim striker Fisnik Asllani, and there is a release clause in the 23-year-old’s contract that allows him to be signed for a fee of €30m. (Christian Falk)

– Colorado Rapids are closing in on a move to sign Lens midfielder Hamzat Ojediran. (Foot Mercato)

– FC Dallas are close to reaching an agreement with Mjallby AIF for winger Herman Johansson. (Florian Plettenberg)

– Everton, Sunderland, and West Ham have been offered the chance to sign Roma striker Artem Dovbyk. (Nicolo Schira)

– Inter Milan are the latest team looking at Krasnodar midfielder Eduard Spertsyan. He has previously been linked with Manchester City. (Tuttosport)

– An approach for Eintracht Frankfurt striker Elye Wahi is being weighed up by OGC Nice. (Foot Mercato)

– Sassuolo are among the teams interested in Genoa attacking midfielder Valentin Carboni, who is on loan from Intern Milan. (Corriere dello Sport)

– On-loan Roma left-back Kostas Tsimikas could return to Liverpool in January. (Nicolo Schira)

– Clubs in Saudi Arabia and China are looking at former Liverpool defender Tiago Ilori, who is currently a free agent. (Rudy Galetti)



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