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Trump unlikely to win Nobel Peace Prize, but who will?

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Trump unlikely to win Nobel Peace Prize, but who will?


US President Donald Trump gestures during an event in this undated image. — Reuters
US President Donald Trump gestures during an event in this undated image. — Reuters

The Norwegian Nobel Committee in Oslo will bring the suspense to an end when it announces the winner on Friday at 11:00am (0900 GMT).

The backdrop is bleak: the number of armed conflicts worldwide involving at least one state has never been as high as in 2024, since Sweden’s Uppsala University started its global conflict database in 1946.

Trump has repeatedly said he deserves the prestigious prize for resolving “eight conflicts”, but experts predict he will not be the committee’s choice — at least not this year.

“No, it will not be Trump this year,” Swedish professor Peter Wallensteen, an expert on international affairs, told AFP.

“But perhaps next year? By then, the dust will have settled around his various initiatives, including the Gaza crisis,” he added.

Numerous experts consider Trump’s “peacemaker” claims to be exaggerated and express concerns over the consequences of his “America First” policies.

Donald Trump insists he deserves the prize for resolving ‘eight conflicts’, a claim which experts doubt.

“Beyond trying to broker peace for Gaza, we have seen policies that actually go against the intentions and what’s written in the will of (Alfred) Nobel, notably to promote international cooperation, the fraternity of nations and disarmament,” said Nina Graeger, who heads the Peace Research Institute of Oslo.

For Graeger, the list of Trump’s actions not aligned with the ideals of the Nobel Peace Prize is long.

Trump has withdrawn the US from international organisations and multilateral treaties, launched trade wars against allies and enemies alike, threatened to take Greenland from Denmark by force, ordered the National Guard into US cities and attacked universities’ academic freedoms as well as freedom of expression.

Donald Trump gestures during an event in this undated image. — AFP
Donald Trump gestures during an event in this undated image. — AFP

“We take the complete picture into account,” explained Jorgen Watne Frydnes, chair of the five-member committee awarding the peace prize.

“The whole organisation or the complete personality of that person matters, but what we first and foremost look at is what they have been actually achieving for the sake of peace,” he said.

Uncontroversial pick?

This year, 338 individuals and organisations have been nominated for the peace prize, with the list kept secret for 50 years.

Tens of thousands of people are eligible to propose candidates, including lawmakers and cabinet members of all countries, former laureates, certain university professors and Nobel committee members.

The committee’s chair said its five members would take everything into account when awarding the prize

In 2024, the award went to Japan’s atomic bomb survivors’ group Nihon Hidankyo for its efforts to ban nuclear weapons.

With no clear favourite this year, several names have been doing the rounds in Oslo ahead of Friday’s announcement.

Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms — a network of volunteers risking their lives to feed and help people enduring war and famine 1 have been mentioned, as has Yulia Navalnaya, the widow of Kremlin critic Alexei Navalny, and the Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights election watchdog.

The Nobel committee’s choices in recent years have demonstrated “a return to more micro things, somewhat closer to classical ideas of peace”, with a focus on “human rights, democracy, freedom of the press and women”, said Halvard Leira, the director of the Norwegian Institute for International Affairs.

Japan’s atomic bomb survivors’ group Nihon Hidankyo won the 2024 award for its efforts to ban nuclear weapons

“My hunch would probably just perhaps be for a not that controversial candidate this year,” he said.

The Nobel committee could also choose to reaffirm its commitment to a world order currently being challenged by Trump by giving the prize to United Nations Secretary General Antonio Guterres, or a UN body like its refugee agency UNHCR or the Palestinian relief agency UNRWA.

It could also give the nod to international tribunals such as the International Court of Justice or the International Criminal Court, or champion press freedoms currently under attack by giving it to the Committee to Protect Journalists or Reporters Without Borders.

But the committee could also do as it has done many times before and pick a completely unexpected winner.





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Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi lands in Pakistan ahead of renewed US talks

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Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi lands in Pakistan ahead of renewed US talks



Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi touched down in Islamabad on Friday night amid expectations of renewed engagement between Iran and the United States to end the Middle East conflict.

FM Araghchi will hold meetings with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Senator Ishaq Dar during the visit.

The Iranian delegation was received by Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Senator Mohammad Ishaq Dar, Chief of Defence Forces (CDF) and Chief of Army Staff (COAS) Field Marshal Asim Munir, along with other senior officials upon arrival in Islamabad, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs said in a statement.

During the visit, the Iranian FM will hold meetings with Pakistan’s senior leadership to discuss the latest regional developments as well as ongoing efforts for regional peace and stability, it added.

Earlier today, Iranian state media reported that Araghchi will depart on Friday (today) for a tri-nation tour that includes visits to Islamabad, Muscat and Moscow.

“The purpose of this visit is to hold bilateral consultations and discuss current developments in the region, as well as the latest situation in the war imposed by the United States and the Israeli regime against Iran,” the state news agency IRNA said.

Meanwhile, US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner will head to Pakistan on Saturday for a new round of talks with Iran on ending the war, the White House said.

“I can confirm Special Envoy Witkoff and Jared Kushner will be off to Pakistan again tomorrow morning to engage in talks,” White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt told Fox News on Friday.

Leavitt said that Vance remained ready to fly to Pakistan but will not for now. “Everyone will be on standby to fly to Pakistan if necessary,” she said.

A US logistics and security team is already present in the federal capital ahead of the potential second round of peace talks, sources said.

They said that the development was the result of pivotal conversations conducted by Pakistan’s mediation team.

The talks would come more than two weeks after Vice President JD Vance held the first round of talks with Iranian representatives in Pakistan.

The development emerged shortly after Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar urged continued dialogue and engagement to resolve disputes between the US and Iran, saying the diplomatic process was essential for advancing regional peace and stability.

DPM Dar made the remarks during a phone call with Araghchi, in which they also discussed the ongoing US-Iran ceasefire, according to a statement issued by the Foreign Office.

DPM Dar and Araghchi also exchanged views on the ongoing diplomatic efforts being pursued by Islamabad in the context of US-Iran engagement.

The Iranian FM lauded Pakistan’s consistent and constructive role in facilitating peace talks between the US and Iran.

A second round of talks between Tehran and Washington faced ambiguity after both sides failed to agree on their respective measures in and around the Strait of Hormuz.

Tehran blocked the waterway after the US and Israel launched attacks across Iran on February 28. Apart from closing Hormuz, Tehran also launched strikes against Israel and US bases across the Middle East.

Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif mediated a two-week ceasefire between the two sides on April 8 and then facilitated the first round of talks in Islamabad on April 11.

However, the talks concluded without a deal on a permanent end to the conflict.

Following an inconclusive first round of talks, US President Donald Trump announced a US naval blockade of Iranian ports.

Iran declared Hormuz open on April 17, citing a ceasefire agreement between Lebanon and Israel. However, it closed the strait the following day due to the US blockade of Iranian maritime trade, a measure Tehran considers an act of war.

Despite the hostilities on both sides, Islamabad continued its diplomatic outreach to bring Tehran and Washington back to the table and extend the two-week ceasefire.

Hours before the expiry of the ceasefire on April 22, US President Donald Trump announced extending the truce until an Iranian proposal was submitted and discussions were concluded.

In a post on Truth Social, the US president said he was acting at the request of Pakistan to hold off attacks until Iranian leaders and representatives could come up with what he called a unified proposal.



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Russian general hails Iran’s ‘shining example’ of defense against US-Israeli aggression

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Russian general hails Iran’s ‘shining example’ of defense against US-Israeli aggression



The first deputy head of the Main Directorate of International Military Cooperation of the Russian Defense Ministry says Iran demonstrated a “shining example” of defense during the recent illegal US-Israeli war of aggression.

“Iranian Armed Forces showed to the world a shining example of their firm resolve to defend their country’s interests,” Major-General Yevgeny Ilyin said during a ceremony in Moscow on Thursday, marking Iran’s National Army Day.

Iranian forces, he added, stand ready to deliver a proper and proportionate response to emerging challenges and threats.

The Russian military official said the Islamic Republic of Iran Army, with its steadfastness and courage, has protected the country’s defense and security and turned into a reliable guarantor for the nation’s independence and stability.

The unprovoked US-Israeli aggression on Iran began on February 28 with airstrikes that assassinated senior Iranian officials and commanders.

Iranian armed forces unleashed 100 waves of successful retaliatory strikes against sensitive and strategic American and Israeli targets throughout the region.

On April 8, forty days into the war, a Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire went into effect but the first round of Tehran-Washington negotiations failed to reach an agreement.

Referring to the strategic partnership pact signed between Iran and Russia, Ilyin said that both states have maintained their cooperation in many fields.

Iran-Russia defense relations are multifaceted, encompassing areas from the deep sea to space, he added.

The military official also reiterated Russia’s resolve to implement previous agreements with Iran and continue working on plans for bilateral military cooperation.

During the ceremony, Iran’s military attaché to Russia Sadeq Rezaei Moqaddam said Iranian Armed Forces have always been committed to moral principles and differentiated between military and civilian targets.

On the contrary, he said, the US and the Israeli regime perpetrated horrible war crimes by killing 170 students and teachers at an elementary school in the city of Minab, and targeting the Iranian Dena destroyer which was returning home from a naval drill in India.

The attacks on civilian infrastructure and educational centers represent the enemies’ strategic failure to deal a blow to the will of the Iranian nation, Rezaei Moqaddam asserted.

The perfect coordination of the Army units and other forces caused the aggressors to step back and thwarted their calculations, he said.

He further stressed that enhanced technical and military cooperation between the Iranian and Russian armed forces not only guarantees the national security of both nations, but is also the main pillar to safeguarding stability in Eurasia and countering unilateralism and organized international crimes.



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Witkoff and Kushner headed to Pakistan for Iran talks, White House says

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Witkoff and Kushner headed to Pakistan for Iran talks, White House says



US President Donald Trump’s special envoy Steve Witkoff and son-in-law Jared Kushner will travel to Islamabad on Saturday morning for talks with Iran mediated by Pakistan, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said in an interview with Fox News.

“Everyone will be on standby to fly to Pakistan if necessary, but first, Steve and Jared will be going over there to report back to the president, the vice president and the rest of the team,” Leavitt said on the Fox News show “America Reports.”

Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi was expected in the Pakistani capital Islamabad on Friday to discuss proposals for restarting peace talks with the United States.



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