Business
UK inflation: What is the rate and why are prices still rising?


Prices in the UK rose by 3.8% in the 12 months to July, driven by higher air fares, as well as increases in the cost of food.
It means inflation remains above the Bank of England’s 2% target.
The Bank moves interest rates up and down to try to keep inflation at that level, and has cut interest rates five times since August 2024.
What is inflation?
Inflation is the increase in the price of something over time.
For example, if a bottle of milk costs £1 but is £1.05 a year later, then annual milk inflation is 5%.
How is the UK’s inflation rate measured?
The prices of hundreds of everyday items, including food and fuel, are tracked by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This virtual “basket of goods” is regularly updated to reflect shopping trends, with virtual reality headsets and yoga mats added in 2025, and local newspaper adverts removed.

The ONS monitors price changes over the previous 12 months to calculate inflation.
The main inflation measure is called the Consumer Prices Index (CPI), and the latest figure is published every month.
CPI was 3.8% in the year to July 2025, up from 3.6% in the 12 months to June. The July 2025 figure is the highest recorded since January 2024, when the rate was 4.0%.

The Bank also considers other measures such as “core inflation” when deciding whether and how to change rates.
This doesn’t include food or energy prices because they tend to be very volatile, so can be a better indication of longer term trends.
Core CPI was 3.8% in the 12 months to July, up slightly from 3.7% recorded in the year to June.
Why are prices still rising?
Inflation has fallen significantly since hitting 11.1% in October 2022, which was the highest rate for 40 years.
But that doesn’t mean prices are falling – just that they are rising less quickly.
Inflation soared in 2022 because oil and gas were in greater demand after the Covid pandemic, and energy prices surged again when Russia invaded Ukraine.
It then remained well above the 2% target partly because of higher food prices.
These continue to be a significant factor in the current inflation figures.
Inflation for food and non-alcoholic beverages was 4.9% in the year to July, up from 4.5% in the year to June.
Beef, sugar, chocolate, instant coffee and fruit juice saw significant price rises.
But the main factor driving the July inflation figure was higher air fares, which saw the largest July increase since the ONS began collecting that data on a monthly basis in 2001.
In addition, fuel prices fell only slightly between May and June 2025, compared to a larger drop in the same period in 2024.
Why does putting up interest rates help to lower inflation?
When inflation was well above its 2% target, the Bank of England increased interest rates to 5.25%, a 16-year high.
The idea is that if you make borrowing more expensive, people have less money to spend. People may also be encouraged to save more.
In turn, this reduces demand for goods and slows price rises.
But it is a balancing act – increasing borrowing costs risks harming the economy.
For example, homeowners face higher mortgage repayments, which can outweigh better savings deals.
Businesses also borrow less, making them less likely to create jobs. Some may cut staff and reduce investment.
In recent months inflation has remained above the Bank’s target at the same time as the economy has remained relatively flat and the jobs market has softened.
Therefore, the Bank has chosen to cut rates, despite high inflation, in an attempt to encourage people to spend more and get businesses to invest and create jobs to boost the economy.
What is happening to UK interest rates and when will they go down again?
The Bank of England began cutting rates in August 2024, and made five cuts to bring the rate down to 4%.
Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey had said that future cuts will be made gradually and carefully.

The August interest rate decision was extremely close, with the committee voting 5-4 to cut rates by a quarter percentage point.
It followed an unprecedented second vote by the Bank’s policymakers, as one economist wanted a larger cut of half a percentage point.
This suggests future interest rate decisions could also be finely balanced.
Inflation is now expected to peak at 4% in September, the Bank said in its latest Monetary Policy Report. That is twice the Bank’s target rate and above the 3.8% high it predicted in its previous report in May.
A further interest rate cut had been expected at the Bank’s meeting in November, but analysts are now less sure this will happen given the closeness of the August vote.
The Bank also has to consider the wider global economy. Mr Bailey has repeatedly warned about the unpredictable impact of US tariffs, and conflict in Israel and Iran has also created uncertainty.
Are wages keeping up with inflation?

Annual average regular earnings growth was 5.7% for the public sector and 4.8% for the private sector.
Meanwhile, separate ONS figures showed the number of vacancies fell again to 718,000 for the May to July period, marking three continuous years of falling job openings.
The unemployment rate was 4.7% in the three months to July – the same as the three months to April.
This marked the highest level of unemployment since June 2021, and is also likely to factor into the Bank of England’s decision whether to cut rates again.
What is happening to inflation and interest rates in Europe and the US?
The US and EU countries have also been trying to limit price increases.
The inflation rate for countries using the euro was 2.1% in August, according to an early estimate.
In June 2024, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its main interest rate from an all-time high of 4% to 3.75%, the first fall in five years.
By July 2025, after several further cuts, its key rate stood at 2%.
Inflation in the US held steady at 2.7% in July, remaining above the US central bank’s 2% target.
After a string of cuts in the latter part of 2024, the US central bank again chose not to change rates at its July 2025 meeting, the fifth hold in a row.
That leaves its key interest rate unchanged in a range of 4.25% to 4.5%.
The Federal Reserve has repeatedly come under attack from President Trump, who wants to see further interest rate cuts.
Business
Google avoids break-up but must share data with rivals

Lily JamaliNorth America Technology Correspondent, San Francisco and
Rachel ClunBusiness reporter, BBC News

Google will not have to sell its Chrome web browser but must share information with competitors, a US federal judge has ordered.
The remedies decided by District Judge Amit Mehta have emerged after a years-long court battle over Google’s dominance in online search.
The case centred around Google’s position as the default search engine on a range of its own products such as Android and Chrome as well as others made by the likes of Apple.
The US Department of Justice had demanded that Google sell Chrome – Tuesday’s decision means the tech giant can keep it but it will be barred from having exclusive contracts and must share search data with rivals.
Google had proposed less drastic solutions, such as limiting its revenue-sharing agreements with firms like Apple to make its search engine the default on their devices and browsers.
On Tuesday, the company indicated that it viewed the ruling as a victory, and said the rise of artificial intelligence (AI) probably contributed to the outcome.
“Today’s decision recognizes how much the industry has changed through the advent of AI, which is giving people so many more ways to find information,” Google said in a statement after the ruling.
“This underlines what we’ve been saying since this case was filed in 2020: Competition is intense and people can easily choose the services they want,” the statement continued.
The tech giant had denied wrongdoing since charges were first filed against it in 2020, saying its market dominance is because its search engine is a superior product to others and consumers simply prefer it to others.
Last year, Judge Mehta ruled that Google had used unfair methods to establish a monopoly over the online search market, actively working to maintain a level of dominance to the extent it broke US law.
But in his decision, Judge Mehta said a complete sell-off of Chrome was “a poor fit for this case”.
Google will also not have to sell off its Android operating system, which powers most of the world’s smartphones.
The company had argued that off-loading parts of its operations, such as Android, would mean they would effectively stop working properly.
“Today’s remedy order agreed with the need to restore competition to the long-monopolized search market, and we are now weighing our options and thinking through whether the ordered relief goes far enough in serving that goal,” Assistant Attorney General Abigail Slater wrote on X after the ruling.
Shares in Alphabet, Google’s parent company, jumped by more than 8% after the ruling.
Smartphone-makers such as Apple, Samsung and Motorola will also benefit.
Before the ruling, Google paid such firms billions of dollars to exclusively pre-load or promote the tech company’s products.
It was revealed at trial that Google paid more than $26bn for such deals with Apple, Mozilla and others in 2021.
Now, Google will not be allowed to enter into any exclusive contracts for Google Search, Chrome, Google Assistant or the Gemini app.
It means phone manufacturers will be free to pre-load or promote other search engines, browsers or AI assistants alongside Google’s.
Gene Munster, managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management, said the ruling was “good news for big tech”.
“Apple also gets a nice win because the ruling forces Google to renegotiate the search deal annually,” he said on X.
Judge Mehta’s ruling “doesn’t seem to be as draconian as the market was expecting,” said Melissa Otto, head of research at S&P Global Visible Alpha.
With Google’s search operation expected to generate close to $200bn this year, and tens of billions of that expected to go to distribution partners it is a win-win for the major corporate players involved in the case, Ms Otto said.
The decision is not the end of the tech giant’s court battles.
Later this month, Google is scheduled to go to trial in a separate case brought by the justice department where a judge found the company holds illegal monopolies in online advertising technology.

Business
Thames Water unveil £20.5 billion action plan to revive struggling water firm

The creditors of Thames Water have set out plans on how they would deliver £20.5 billion of investment to turn around the troubled supplier’s performance as they look to secure a rescue of the firm.
The supplier’s main creditors – led by a team of 15 investors called the London & Valley Water consortium – have pledged to “fix the foundations” of Thames Water with the mammoth spending proposal put forward to regulator Ofwat.
They are promising an increased focus on improving Thames Water’s poor pollution performance and record on leaks, with targets to cut sewage spills by at least 135 a year.
Thames Water – the UK’s biggest water supplier with around 16 million customers – is on the brink of nationalisation as it struggles under a mountain of debts.
The creditors are looking to secure backing for their plans to avoid Thames Water being put into a temporary special administration regime (SAR), which would effectively wipe out their investments.
Their spending proposals would see them work within the £20.5 billion investment allowance set by Ofwat in its final determination on Thames Water spending and bill rises.
Household bills would not rise by more than the regulator has already approved over the next five years, the group stressed.
But it said the plans would need “billions of pounds of new funding” from the consortium.
It remains in talks over a rescue deal of the supplier that would see them pump in new cash, but ask for leniency in how it is regulated.
The creditors hope to put forward updated plans on a funding deal and debt overhaul for Thames Water within the next couple of weeks.
Mike McTighe, chairman designate of the London & Valley Water consortium, said: “Over the next 10 years the investment we will channel into Thames Water’s network will make it one of the biggest infrastructure projects in the country.
“Our core focus will be on improving performance for customers, maintaining the highest standards of drinking water, reducing pollution and overcoming the many other challenges Thames Water faces.
“This turnaround has the opportunity to transform essential services for 16 million customers, clean up our waterways and rebuild public trust.”
The creditors are the bondholders who now effectively own Thames Water after the High Court approved a financial restructuring earlier this year through a loan of up to £3 billion to ensure it can keep running until the summer of 2026.
The firms involved – which include US and UK investment firms such as Aberdeen, Elliott Management and BlackRock – submitted an initial financial plan in June to overhaul £17 billion of Thames Water’s debts, including investing another £3 billion in new equity and a further £2 billion of funding.
But they also asked for leniency on performance targets and compliance, warning that a “regulatory reset” was needed for the utility, or its performance would likely worsen.
The latest investment plans would see the group commit to spending £9.4 billion on sewage and water assets over the next five year, up 45 per cent on current levels.
Of this, £3.9 billion would be spent on upgrading the worst performing sewage treatment sites, £1.2 billion on helping deliver high-quality drinking water and £2.7 billion on stopping sewage spill incidents.
Longer term proposals would see 1,000km of water mains replaced over the coming decade, with £545 million targeted to replace around 370km by 2030.
Thames Water’s current management has previously said it would need over £24 billion of investment allowance for the next five years and to increase bills by more than Ofwat had agreed.
The government appointed insolvency specialists FTI Consulting last month to step up contingency planning in case the supplier collapses.
A possible rescue deal with US private equity giant KKR collapsed in May, but the government has stressed its preference is for a “market-based solution” rather than a costly temporary nationalisation.
Business
High-caffeine energy drinks to be banned for under-16s in England – Streeting

High-caffeine energy drinks will be banned for under-16s in England to prevent harm to children’s health, the Government has said.
The plan will make it illegal to sell energy drinks containing more than 150mg of caffeine per litre to anyone under 16 across all retailers, including online, in shops, restaurants, cafes and vending machines.
Lower-caffeine soft drinks – such as Coca‑Cola, Coca‑Cola Zero, Diet Coke and Pepsi – are not affected, and neither are tea and coffee.
However, high-caffeine energy drinks such as Red Bull, Monster, Relentless and Prime would all breach the limit.
Major supermarkets including Tesco, Sainsbury’s, Waitrose, Morrisons and Asda have already stopped sales of the drinks to youngsters, but the Department of Health said research suggests some smaller convenience stores are still selling them to children.
According to ministers, a ban could prevent obesity in up to 40,000 children and will help prevent issues such as disrupted sleep, increased anxiety and lack of concentration, as well as poorer school results.
Around 100,000 children are thought to consume at least one high-caffeine energy drink every day.
Health and Social Care Secretary Wes Streeting said: “How can we expect children to do well at school if they have the equivalent of a double espresso in their system on a daily basis?
“Energy drinks might seem harmless, but the sleep, concentration and wellbeing of today’s kids are all being impacted while high sugar versions damage their teeth and contribute to obesity.
“As part of our plan for change and shift from treatment to prevention, we’re acting on the concerns of parents and teachers and tackling the root causes of poor health and educational attainment head on.
“By preventing shops from selling these drinks to kids, we’re helping build the foundations for healthier and happier generations to come.”
A newly-launched consultation will now run for 12 weeks to gather evidence from experts in health and education as well as retailers, manufacturers, local enforcement leaders and the public.
Drinks containing more than 150mg of caffeine per litre must already carry warning labels stating they are not recommended for children.
Gavin Partington, director general of the British Soft Drinks Association, said firms do not market or promote the drinks to under-16s.
He added: “Our members have led the way in self-regulation through our long-standing energy drinks code of practice.
“Our members do not market or promote the sale of energy drinks to under-16s and label all high-caffeine beverages as ‘not recommended for children’, in line with and in the spirit of this code.
“As with all Government policy, it’s essential that any forthcoming regulation is based on a rigorous assessment of the evidence that’s available.”
According to the Department of Health, up to one in three children aged 13 to 16, and nearly a quarter of children aged 11 to 12, consume one or more high-caffeine energy drink every week.
Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson said: “This Government inherited a scourge of poor classroom behaviour that undermines the learning of too many children – partly driven by the harmful effects of caffeine-loaded drinks – and today’s announcement is another step forward in addressing that legacy.”
Professor Steve Turner, president of the Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health, said: “Paediatricians are very clear that children or teenagers do not need energy drinks.
“Young people get their energy from sleep, a healthy balanced diet, regular exercise and meaningful connection with family and friends.
“There’s no evidence that caffeine or other stimulants in these products offer any nutritional or developmental benefit, in fact growing research points to serious risks for behaviour and mental health.
“Banning the sale of these products to under-16s is the next logical step in making the diet of our nation’s children more healthy.”
Carrera, from the youth-led group Bite Back, which campaigns for changes to the way unhealthy foods are made, marketed and sold, said: “Energy drinks have become the social currency of the playground – cheap, brightly packaged, and easier to buy than water.
“They’re aggressively marketed to us, especially online, despite serious health risks.
“We feel pressured to drink them, especially during exam season, when stress is high and healthier options are hard to find.
“This ban is a step in the right direction, but bold action on marketing and access must follow.”
Amelia Lake, professor of public health nutrition at Teesside University, said: “Our research has shown the significant mental and physical health consequences of children drinking energy drinks.
“We have reviewed evidence from around the world and have shown that these drinks have no place in the diets of children.”
Barbara Crowther, of the Children’s Food Campaign at Sustain, an alliance of food, farming and health organisations, said the drinks were “branded and marketed to appeal to young people through sports and influencers, and far too easily purchased by children in shops, cafes and vending machines”.
Professor Tracy Daszkiewicz, president of the Faculty of Public Health, said: “Mounting evidence shows us that high-caffeine energy drinks are damaging the health of children across the UK, particularly those from deprived communities who are already at higher risk of obesity and other health issues.
“We welcome this public health intervention to limit access to these drinks and help support the physical and mental wellbeing of our young people.”
James Lowman, chief executive of the Association of Convenience Stores, said: “The majority of convenience stores already have a voluntary age restriction in place on energy drinks, and will welcome the clarity of regulation on this issue.
“Our members have a long-standing track record of enforcing age restricted sales on different products, but it is essential that the Government effectively communicates the details of the ban to consumers to avoid the risk of confrontation in stores.”
-
Tech7 days ago
Review: Google Pixel 10 Series
-
Sports7 days ago
New Zealand rugby player Shane Christie, who suffered multiple concussions, dies aged 39 – SUCH TV
-
Tech6 days ago
Top CDC Officials Resign After Director Is Pushed Out
-
Fashion6 days ago
Portugal Jewels Chiado boutique nominated for two global design awards
-
Fashion6 days ago
ICE cotton futures fall for 2nd consecutive day on strong crop outlook
-
Sports7 days ago
New-look Pac-12 extends CW deal through 2031
-
Fashion7 days ago
Israel’s Delta Galil posts $470 mn Q2 sales, updates 2025 guidance
-
Sports6 days ago
Dolphins GM Chris Grier says fans threatened his family in string of vile emails after team’s lackluster year