Sports
USMNT transfer grades: Analyzing every American move in the summer window
It seems as if it has been a successful summer for the U.S. men’s national team.
Well, not on the field and definitely not off the field either, but what I mean is this: Two of the biggest questions hanging over the team for the past two seasons were: Will Gio Reyna ever play professional soccer again? And will Matt Turner ever play professional soccer again?
At long last, the USMNT’s presumptive starting goalkeeper and theoretical starting attacking midfielder have clear paths toward playing time after both players finally and permanently switched clubs this summer. While we probably do read a little too much into how club situations impact national team performance, these were the two moves most directly connected with the state of the USMNT. Such is the talent of both players that they really just needed to play — somewhere — to reassert their status within the national team.
At least, that’s what we thought. After the announcement of coach Mauricio Pochettino’s latest roster, which contains a nearly even split between MLS- and Europe-based players, it’s difficult to understand what actually raises your profile in the eyes of the former Tottenham manager. Less than a year out from the World Cup, only a handful of players seem to be locks — not just to start next summer, but to even make the roster.
Rather than putting a bowl of lemons on my desk and trying to put myself in Pochettino’s head, though, I’m going to try to assess the state of transfer movement among the USMNT in the same way I did last summer: by grading all of the major moves based on two factors — what they mean for a given player’s professional career and what they mean for the future of the USMNT.
(Players are listed in order of their estimated transfer values on the site Transfermarkt. All transfer data is also via Transfermarkt.)
– Transfer window winners and losers: Which clubs improved?
– Men’s transfer grades: What moves mean across Europe
– NWSL transfer grades: USWNT moves and a record fee
Real Betis to Atletico Madrid, €24 million
Grade: A
What it means for the player: It’s really kind of amazing that this move happened, and no one really seems to care all that much. Atletico Madrid are one of the best teams in the world. They lost to Real Madrid on penalties in the Champions League last season. Their coach is Diego Simeone, one of the best managers on the planet. The team hasn’t finished outside of the top four in LaLiga since 2012, and it has won two league titles over that stretch.
Outside of Christian Pulisic‘s move to Chelsea and maybe Weston McKennie‘s transfer to Juventus, this is the biggest move ever made by an American soccer player. Atletico Madrid pay competitive wages with just about any other club in the world, and is competitive in one of the two most competitive leagues in the world, year after year. And the team signed Cardoso to be one of its starting midfielders at only 23 years old.
Atletico have been bad to start this season, but Cardoso has started all three matches. We’ll see if he’s actually capable of playing for a team with Atletico’s ambitions over the long run — he has been steady, not spectacular, so far in his career — but he’s presumably getting paid a lot of money and he’s pushing his athletic ability as far as he can. Those two things are the whole point of playing professional soccer.
1:40
Gomez: Johnny Cardoso to Atletico Madrid is career-changing
Herculez Gomez reacts to Johnny Cardoso’s move to Atletico Madrid after the USMNT midfielder completes the transfer for a reported fee of €30M
What it means for the USMNT: It might not … mean anything? Despite being on the Gold Cup roster, Cardoso barely played. Some of that was injury, but a bigger part of it was poor play in the friendlies leading up to the tournament. And if Cardoso couldn’t get on the field for what seemed like it was the USMNT’s B-minus or C team this past summer, then why would he stand a chance when the player pool is at full strength?
At the same time, can Pochettino really ignore Cardoso if he’s playing for Atletico every week? I know he hasn’t played all that well in friendlies, but this doesn’t seem like the kind of player you write off after a couple of exhibition matches. When a guy is playing for Atletico Madrid every week and he’s also behind multiple MLS players on the USMNT depth chart, someone is making a massive player-identification error.
PSV to Bayer Leverkusen, €35 million
Grade: B
What it means for the player: This just feels right. Although he never played a huge minutes load in either of his two seasons with PSV, Tillman was incredibly productive whenever he did play during the club’s back-to-back title runs.

The question for any attack-minded player in the Eredivisie is: Can he do it once the space disappears and the defenders actually start defending? And it’s especially true for a player in Tillman’s position. He’s not a winger, but he’s also not a true attacking midfielder, or a true central midfielder: He’s a floating, off-ball-running 8.5 or something. These are the kinds of roles that can exist on a dominant team in the Dutch league, but there tend to be more demanding constraints once you move to one of Europe’s Big Five leagues.
But the Bundesliga is the most similar of the Big Five to the Netherlands, so it makes sense from a stylistic progression. Leverkusen has been a top-10-to-15 team in the world over the past two seasons, and Tillman is essentially replacing Florian Wirtz, who moved to Liverpool for €125 million over the summer.
That said, the club just fired manager Erik ten Hag after three matches. There’s suddenly a lot more uncertainty around this move than there was a couple of weeks ago.
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USMNT’s Tillman admits ‘mixed feelings’ over swapping PSV for Leverkusen
USMNT midfielder Malik Tillman talks to ESPN after confirming his switch from PSV to Bundesliga side Bayer Leverkusen.
What it means for the USMNT: Unlike at PSV, there’s now a world where Tillman falls out of favor and doesn’t get on the field all that much this season. That was true before Ten Hag was sacked, and it’s even more true with whoever replaces him. But still, he was the team’s most expensive transfer ever, so he should get quite a long leash. If he doesn’t play after the club invested so much into his arrival, that’ll say more about Tillman’s actual quality as a player than anything.
Milan to Atalanta, €4 million (loan)
Grade: B-
What it means for the player: He’d arrived in Milan when Billy Beane & Co. were calling the shots, but they’re not there anymore, and the club is all over the place. Milan are signing undervalued young players, overvalued old players, and everyone in between. They’re also on their third coach since the start of last season, and the uber-conservative Max Allegri doesn’t seem like a great fit for a player such as Musah, who’s at his best when he’s able to take risks in the midfield. Getting out of Milan is probably a good thing.
The Atalanta situation is a little murkier than it has been in the past; Gian Piero Gasperini left for Roma in the offseason after nine years in charge. He has been replaced by Ivan Juric, who was fired by Roma less than one season into the job and then took over midway through Southampton’s doomed last-place Premier League campaign. Atalanta hired him, presumably, because he used to be one of Gasperini’s assistants.
The club is, at least, one of the more experimental and forward-thinking groups in Italy; Musah should have plenty of opportunities to play. And given that there’s a make-it-permanent option in the deal, Atalanta are not incentivized to play someone else on a long-term deal ahead of him, either.
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Yunus Musah explains Gold Cup absence
Yunus Musah explains why he missed the Gold Cup for the U.S. Men’s National Team.
What it means for the USMNT: Some of the consternation about Musah’s career has been overblown. He’s only 22, and he has started more than 30 games for a club that was in the Champions League in each of the previous two seasons. But the situation in Milan was completely unstable, and there’s no reason to think that Atalanta should be any worse. If he’s going to have a breakout season, it’s more likely to happen in Bergamo.
Juventus to Marseille, loan, €1 million
Grade: C
What it means for the player: He’s taking a step down in team and league quality, but presumably he’s going to play more often — and do so in his preferred position. At least, that’s what I initially thought.
At Juventus, he was a spot starter at wing back. He played along the back line in his first match with Marseille, then he started the second match at left wing, only to be bumped back to left back in their most recent game.
Juventus always did seem a step too far for Weah — at least if he wanted to be a consistent starter in attack. Marseille should give him a chance to show that he’s able to be a solid starter in a major European league. He has never played 2,000 minutes in a domestic league season, but he at least has a chance to do that under Roberto De Zerbi.
The bigger issue with a temporary move to Marseille is that the culture at the club seems as if it might be toxic. Players are fighting with one another and the club is releasing videos where De Zerbi embarrasses another player in the middle of practice and tells him to “call his agent” because it’s time for him to find a new club. The club thought choosing to share this publicly made them look good.
In a World Cup year, Weah’s playing time could rely on Marseille being something they haven’t been in a while: stable.
What it means for the USMNT: It was always a little strange that one of the USMNT’s starting wingers wasn’t even playing as a winger for his club team. For all the risks with the state of things at Marseille, that’s probably outweighed by Weah getting plenty of potential minutes — and some of them on the wing — at a Champions League club.
Eintracht Frankfurt to Colorado Rapids, €7 million
Grade: C
What it means for the player: He’ll get to play more, and he’ll probably get a decent little raise going from Frankfurt to a designated player in MLS. But ultimately, I’m not sure it really matters that much? If he lights it up in MLS, teams in Europe will still want him since he’s still a few years away from his prime. And if he doesn’t light it up in MLS, then guess what? He wasn’t going to make it in Europe anyway.
What it means for the USMNT: I guess I could see people getting upset about this if Aaronson was the only young American currently playing in Europe, but like we just talked about: There’s literally a player starting for Atletico Madrid who probably wouldn’t make the World Cup roster if the tournament started next week.
In their statement about the move, Frankfurt said that Aaronson wanted the transfer, in part, because this was a World Cup year. And while Pochettino’s most recent roster certainly suggests that playing well in MLS is viewed in equal or better light to playing well in Europe, I’m not sure this one moves the needle much in either direction.
Borussia Dortmund to Borussia Monchengladbach, €4 million
Grade: B-
What it means for the player: If we grade this on a broader scale, that letter would be close to an “F”. There was a time where Reyna wasn’t just the most exciting USMNT prospect; no, he was genuinely one of the most exciting prospects in world soccer. He was supposed to be the next dude at Dortmund. After Erling Haaland and Jadon Sancho, it was going to be Reyna and Jude Bellingham. Now, one of them stars for Real Madrid, and the other one is moving teams for less than the Rapids paid to sign Brenden Aaronson‘s brother.
After starting 23 league matches as a 17-year-old in 2020-21, Reyna has started 16 games in the four combined seasons since. So, he just needed to go anywhere remotely competitive where he might be able to get some consistent minutes. And Gladbach fit the bill. They’re not going to be in a relegation fight, they’re not going to be in a title race, and they’re in the one league that Reyna knows. It’s as good of a spot as any for him to try to revive his career.
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Gio Reyna responds to USMNT omission
Gio Reyna speaks to Herculez Gomez about his omission from Mauricio Pochettino’s latest USMNT roster.
What it means for the USMNT: It’s hard to see this as anything but a positive. How much of Reyna’s issues at Dortmund were his own issues, and how much of it came down to a club that has lost its way over the past couple of years? We should find out pretty quickly. If he plays this season, he’s on the roster and probably starting next summer. If not, then who knows when we might see him in a U.S. shirt again.
Charlotte FC to Derby County, €6.9 million
Grade: B-
What it means for the player: He’ll get a chance to fight it out in a Championship relegation battle — at some point. Agyemang is out for the start of the season after undergoing hernia surgery.
Presumably he’s getting a nice raise at Derby, and he’ll get to test himself at a higher level. Now, I wouldn’t call Derby the most stable environment. They had two managers last season, when they avoided relegation by three points, and it wasn’t that long ago that they were employing Wayne Rooney as a player-manager.
Agyemang, in other words, could be playing in League One in less than a year. But just seven years ago, the guy was playing Division III NCAA soccer for the Eastern Connecticut Warriors. If Derby was his best option among European suitors, then I can’t begrudge him wanting to challenge himself.
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Is Agyemang to Derby County the right move for the USMNT striker?
Shaka Hislop discusses Patrick Agyemang’s move to Derby County and reveals what he need to improve in his transition to English football.
What it means for the USMNT: The injury makes this more of a TBD, but I’m not convinced that Pochettino doesn’t view Agyemang as the USMNT’s current starting striker. So, there’s suddenly a great deal of uncertainty there. Had he stayed in MLS, Agyemang would’ve received plenty of game time and been given every chance to make the World Cup roster. The move to Derby, combined with his injury, at least opens up the possibility that Agyemang doesn’t get on the field much this season.
Lyon to New England Revolution, loan
Grade: C+
What it means for the player: Presumably, that brings an end to Turner’s European career. After establishing himself as the best goalkeeper in MLS history, Turner ended up starting only 17 total matches over his three seasons in England.
During those 17 starts with Nottingham Forest in the 2023-24 season, he conceded six more goals than expected from the shots he faced, per Stats Perform’s post-shot expected goals model. For comparison, he conceded 28 goals fewer than expected in his five previous seasons with the Revolution. In England, pretty much every reasonably difficult shot he faced turned into a goal:

Yes, Turner is technically on loan from Lyon, who technically paid an €8 million fee to Nottingham Forest to acquire him this summer, but that’s a player being used for financial engineering. You don’t sign a 31-year-old for that much money and then immediately loan him out if you actually expect him to ever play for your team.
What it means for the USMNT: They’ll get to see if Turner actually still is the best American goalkeeper. Presumably, he is, but there’s really no way to know when that player barely ever plays over a three-season stretch. And well, he already has started four league games for the Revolution — four more than he played over the past year and a half.
FC Koln to Southampton, €8 million
Grade: B
What it means for the player: While Downs is trading a first division for a second division, he’s likely getting a pay raise at Southampton. He’s joining a club that gives tons of playing time to young players. He’s playing for a coach, Will Still, who guided another young American striker, Folarin Balogun, to his own breakout season in France. Plus, Koln and Southampton — a newly promoted Bundesliga side and a newly relegated Championship club — are probably at about the same level.
At Southampton, he’ll still get to play in a competitive league and for a team that’s likely to be competing for automatic promotion. It has been only limited bench appearances so far, but he has been dangerous in the 90-something minutes he has been given.
What it means for the USMNT: There’s not much of a difference between the two club situations. Pochettino likes him somewhat; Downs made the most recent roster. He’s unlikely to be a significant contributor next summer, but Southampton is a decent spot for his longer-term development.
Sports
José Mourinho rejects ‘soap opera’ links to Real Madrid vacancy
Benfica coach José Mourinho has shut down “soap opera” rumours of a potential return to Real Madrid this summer.
Madrid parted company with Xabi Alonso last week after he had less than eight months in charge and appointed Álvaro Arbeloa, coach of Madrid’s reserves, as his replacement.
Asked about speculation in Spain that Madrid are looking to bring him back for the 2026-27 campaign, Mourinho said following Benfica’s 2-0 win at Rio Ave on Saturday: “Don’t count on me for soap operas. There are many good soap operas, but they take too long.
“Then you miss an episode or two and you lose track. Don’t count on me, I don’t watch soap operas.”
Mourinho, 62, guided Madrid to a LaLiga title, and Copa del Rey and Spanish Supercup triumphs during his three seasons (2010-13) with the Spanish giants.
The former Chelsea and Manchester United manager took the reins at Benfica in September and has a contract until June 2027.
– Marcus Rashford scores, Jude Bellingham jeered – the latest at Real Madrid, Barcelona
– Kylian Mbappé only trails Cristiano Ronaldo in race to 50 LaLiga goals
Benfica, third in the Primeira Liga, 10 points adrift of leaders FC Porto, play at Juventus in Wednesday’s Champions League before hosting Mourinho’s former club Real Madrid on Jan. 28.
Sports
NFL playoffs: Divisional round questions, overreactions
The NFL divisional round began with an incredible game in Denver on Saturday. The Bills and Broncos went to overtime, but the Broncos emerged after hitting a 23-yard field goal to win it in the extra frame. But it came at a cost; quarterback Bo Nix went down because of an ankle injury. The second game was more one-sided, as the Seahawks blew out the 49ers on Saturday night.
Sunday began with the Patriots’ win over the Texans, with New England capitalizing on four C.J. Stroud interceptions. To cap the weekend, the Rams beat the Bears on Sunday night in a wild overtime stunner.
What are the main lessons and takeaways from each divisional round matchup, and what’s next for these teams? We asked national NFL reporter Dan Graziano and NFL analyst Ben Solak to help size up every matchup from the second round and look forward from all angles. For each divisional round game, Solak is answering one big remaining question, and Graziano is judging the legitimacy of one potential overreaction.
Let’s jump in, making sense of Matthew Stafford‘s current play, Caleb Williams‘ place in the 2024 draft class, Stroud’s performance, the Patriots’ defense, the Seahawks’ great roster, the 49ers’ decimated roster, the Nix injury news and the Bills’ playoff woes.
Jump to:
LAR-CHI | HOU-NE
SF-SEA | BUF-DEN

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‘The Bears would be in the NFC Championship Game if they’d drafted Drake Maye instead of Caleb Williams.’ Overreaction?
YES, OVERREACTION! C’MON! Sure, Maye’s team is still playing and Williams’ team isn’t. And sure, part of the reason is Williams’ overtime interception that cost the Bears a chance at a game-winning field goal and gave the Rams the opportunity to win it. The variance on Williams can be maddening. He had the lowest completion percentage of any qualified quarterback in the NFL this season. His game still needs refining. But c’mon, did you see that touchdown throw that sent the game to overtime?
Caleb Williams is the reason we watch sports. This is not hyperbole. You can tell me you watch because you bet on it, or because you play fantasy, or because you were born into the particular fandom of a particular team and enjoy suffering and celebrating with like-minded individuals. Any and all of that might be true. But on a fundamental level, the reason we watch sports is to be amazed by what human beings can accomplish when they explore or exceed the limits of human potential. Williams crystallizes all of this.
Yes, Matthew Stafford and the Rams won the game. But what I’ll remember is that Sean McVay didn’t trust Stafford to make a third-down throw when one would have put away the game in the final minutes of regulation, and that Williams made one of the most incredible, impossible fourth-down passes of all time a few moments later to tie the score and send the game to OT. Williams simply can do things other people cannot.
Maye is awesome — a wonderful, wonderful young player with a bright future ahead of him that might include a Super Bowl title in his second year as a pro. He might have a better career than Williams. But if you’re a Bears fan, you aren’t wishing your team had Maye instead. Heck, Maye has taken 10 sacks and fumbled six times in two playoff games so far. It’s not like he’s immune to mistakes. Williams obviously isn’t, either, and he’ll be kicking himself that he didn’t get it done Sunday night when the chance was in front of him. But I come out of this weekend thinking I want to watch every game Williams plays again because when he plays, anything is possible.
If you’re a Bears fan, the fact that anything is possible is a massive win, especially at quarterback, where your team has struggled to find an answer for literally more than a century. You’re bummed your team’s season is over, but you cannot wait until next season because you know you have an absolute star at the most important position. Hopefully, we get to see Maye and Williams play Super Bowls against each other in the future, and we get to debate this for years to come.
In the meantime, I don’t think either team is regretting its pick. And the Bears might have the most fun and exciting player in the NFL. — Graziano
The lingering question: Why is Stafford in a funk — and can the Rams get him out of it?
Here’s the good news: The Rams have won two playoff games, both on the road. That’s hard to do. Here’s the bad news: They look like they’re barely hanging on.
Stafford had a dropback success rate of 31.8% in this game — easily his worst in any game this season. His previous low was 41.2%. The game against the Panthers last week was his fifth lowest by success rate. On a down-to-down basis, the Rams’ passing game feels like it’s reeling. Give credit to the defenses the Rams have faced. The Panthers and Bears did a great job packing the intermediate zones and forcing the Rams to attempt more passes outside the numbers. The Bears blitzed off the edge all night, moving the generally immobile Stafford off his spot and forcing him to throw from adjusted platforms. But there’s no doubt that Stafford looks off.
0:17
Rams advance to NFC championship with walk-off FG in OT
Harrison Mevis makes a 42-yard field goal to give the Rams a 20-17 win vs. the Bears.
After a pristine first drive that looked like the promise of a classic Rams terminator game, he mislocated open throws to receivers in the flats, minimizing YAC and creating incompletions. Even his one-on-one shots fell uncatchable more often than they were even within contestable range. The aging veteran started the season questionable because of his back, and it looks like the season is really catching up to him. Most players are dealing with some degree of lingering pain and injury at this point in the season, but for a veteran quarterback with back concerns, the impact is magnified.
It’s tough to believe Stafford will suddenly rediscover his midseason form in a third matchup with a Seahawks defense that gave him a ton of trouble in the first matchup and enough trouble in the second. The Rams’ passing game has enough star power elsewhere (see: Nacua, Puka) that they don’t need Stafford to consistently play at an MVP level to have success, but the margins will be extremely thin against that Seahawks D — and would be thin again should they draw the Broncos or Patriots defenses in a Super Bowl. It’s hard to trust this Rams’ passing attack moving forward. — Solak
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‘The Texans need to wait at least another year before extending C.J. Stroud.’ Overreaction?
No, not an overreaction. Stroud got it together in the second half Sunday, especially considering he was playing without top wide receiver Nico Collins, starting tight end Dalton Schultz got hurt and the Texans have no run game whatsoever. But he was catastrophically bad in the first half, throwing four interceptions and putting his team into a hole from which even its stifling defense could not extract it. This performance came six days after Stroud fumbled five times and turned the ball over three times in a wild-card-round victory over the Steelers that was closer in the fourth quarter than it should have been.
This season’s Texans, who rolled into Foxborough on a 10-game win streak and with a defense playing as well as any defense east of Seattle, had a golden opportunity. A win would have advanced them to their first AFC Championship Game next Sunday against a banged-up Broncos team that’s going to be playing without its starting quarterback. Sunday was a wet, snowy, sloppy game in which the Patriots had plenty of their own turnover problems and surely could have been beaten by a team that did a better job of holding on to the ball. But the Texans were not that team, and whatever legitimate excuses Stroud might have had available to him, he played horribly. You can make a strong case that he’s the reason Houston lost.
As the No. 2 pick in the 2023 draft, Stroud is now eligible for a contract extension for the first time. To be clear: I have not heard one single indication that the Texans are planning to do anything other than extend Stroud as soon as they can. That’s almost certainly what will happen. But are we 100 percent sure it should?
Stroud’s rookie season was a revelation. And he has led the Texans to the second round of the playoffs in each of his three seasons so far. They believe they have a true franchise quarterback. But after throwing 26 touchdown passes and only five interceptions (counting playoffs) as a rookie, he has now thrown a combined 42 touchdowns and 26 interceptions (counting playoffs) in the two seasons since then. The Texans changed offensive coordinators after Stroud’s second season, in which he was sacked 52 times, and he did see improvement this season. But he still wasn’t up to his rookie-year standards, and this season will be remembered for his postseason meltdown.
I’m not saying Stroud is no good. He’s 24 years old. His rookie season might have set too high a standard for him to live up to in his second and third years. And he could recover from Sunday and have a Hall of Fame career. All I’m saying is, there’s no reason to hurry here. Stroud is signed through 2026, and the Texans have a team option for 2027 that’s a no-brainer to pick up. They could theoretically franchise-tag him in 2028 and 2029 if needed. Why not give it another year and see how he recovers from this and what improvements he makes to get back to playing the way he did as a rookie?
Teams rush into these deals far too often (hello, Dolphins!) and end up regretting them. I’m just not understanding the need to rush a Stroud extension after what we saw Sunday (and last Monday) and while Houston still has at least four more years of team control. — Graziano
The lingering question: Are we properly rating this Patriots defense after two dominant playoff performances?
A quick look at the stats: Against the Texans, the Patriors had 3.3 yards per play allowed and five takeaways. They pressured Stroud on 36% of his dropbacks, and he was 2-for-14 on those plays. Texans running backs had 18 carries for 31 yards — this, one week after the Chargers’ backs had 12 carries for 30 yards in the wild-card round. The Patriots have given up one touchdown across two playoff games, and it was a 27-yard drive off a Drake Maye turnover.
The Patriots’ defense has experienced a revitalization over the postseason in large part because of the players who have returned from injury: Milton Williams, Khyiris Tonga, Robert Spillane and Harold Landry III all sat out time at the end of the regular season, and the run defense in particular has hugely benefited from the return to health in the front seven. But the Patriots have also played two remarkably below-average offensive lines, especially for playoff contenders. The Chargers’ interior has been an issue all season, and the Texans’ offensive line had barely scraped together passable play in the second half of the season before injuries caught up to them in this Patriots game.
0:42
C.J. Stroud throws his 4th INT of the game
Carlton Davis III picks off C.J. Stroud again as the Patriots come away with their fourth interception of the first half vs. the Texans.
I have no doubt that the Patriots’ defense is a strong unit and has benefitted from more health, but I am also certain that they’ve drawn a particularly soft schedule of opposing offensive trenches, which has allowed them to dictate game state easily. The truth of the Patriots’ defense is somewhere in the middle, but it’s hard to tell exactly where. This isn’t particularly meaningful for next week, as the Patriots draw a much better offensive line in the Broncos … but New England will also see a backup quarterback in Jarrett Stidham following the injury to Bo Nix. The Patriots’ defense should have a huge advantage in that game based on quarterback play alone.
But as we potentially enter a Super Bowl run for the Patriots, we’ll be faced with a tough challenge: riddling out exactly how good this defense is playing relative to the offenses it has faced. And that also goes for the regular season. Much has been made of the Patriots’ easy schedule for weeks now. Again, I’m certain this is a good unit. But how good? Good enough to beat the Seahawks if the offense has a terrible day against the uproarious Seattle defense? Good enough to stop the high-flying offense of the Bears or Rams? Even as we wrap up Week 20, it’s a unit I’m not sure I fully appreciate, which makes estimating exactly how dominant this Patriots team is somewhat tricky. — Solak
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‘The Seahawks had the best offseason of any team.’ Overreaction?
No, not an overreaction. The Seahawks went into the 2025 offseason intent on and expecting to sign Geno Smith to a contract extension. When it became apparent to them that Smith wasn’t interested in extending his deal at their numbers, they traded him to the Raiders and signed Sam Darnold. Say what you will about Darnold, but the 2025 Seahawks went 14-3 — same record as Darnold’s 2024 Vikings — and now he has a home game Jan. 25 in the NFC Championship Game.
Seahawks GM John Schneider went about his offseason the same way he would have had he landed his first choice at quarterback. He signed DeMarcus Lawrence. He signed Cooper Kupp because he’s a better blocker at this point than Tyler Lockett. He drafted Nick Emmanwori in the second round. Schneider freaking loves the second round. Even as someone who likes to see players get as much money as they can and wishes the top QBs would push harder to move the market upward for others, I still have to appreciate a philosophy like Seattle’s approach: “Do we have to pay our quarterback $50-plus million per year if he still hasn’t shown he’s that guy?”
A Seahawks employee told me after the team’s wild Week 16 victory over the Rams, “We’re trying to win championships here,” and the Seahawks obviously are living that. Seattle has lost three games all season, and the margins were four, three and two points. Two of those losses were to division rivals, one of which they eliminated Saturday. Is Darnold the second coming of Joe Montana? No. Of John Elway? No. Of Patrick Mahomes? No. But the Seahawks decided, at some point, that they intend to be the example of how to win a championship without paying great quarterback money to a pretty good quarterback because there’s a championship-caliber roster around him.
Kudos to the Seahawks for treating the QB portion of their offseason the way they would have treated any other portion of it. They didn’t get the player they wanted, but they knew they could still win with this quarterback because of everything else they do well. Hiring Mike Macdonald as head coach was a last offseason move, not a this offseason move, but it was still one that impacted their approach to this offseason. And here they still are. — Graziano
The lingering question: Will the 49ers be NFC favorites with a healthy team next season?
It’s too early to say, of course. But spin it forward for me. The Seahawks will likely be the favorite, barring some catastrophic injury between now and then. The Rams could be up there, as well, especially if they finish the NFC playoffs strong … but Matthew Stafford‘s career longevity is always going to be a question that hurts them in the futures markets. Meanwhile, the 49ers still have most of their main players under contract.
Trent Williams‘ contract is expiring, and the offensive line clearly needs help across the board. Wide receiver is a little thin with the Brandon Aiyuk situation unclear and Jauan Jennings approaching free agency. But that young defense, which was hammered by injuries this season, will return Nick Bosa and Fred Warner. And Yetur Gross-Matos and Jordan Elliott are the only two expiring contracts there. This group will benefit from postseason experience next season and will presumably add to the pass rush.
Of course, the 49ers will see if they get through the offseason without losing defensive coordinator Robert Saleh, who was key to their surprising success despite all the injuries. Saleh has interviewed with the Titans and Ravens already and is a deservedly hot name on the head coaching circuit. If he gets a job, San Francisco will be forced back on the defensive coordinator carousel.
0:16
Seahawks pick off Brock Purdy in 3rd quarter
Brock Purdy tries to throw down the middle, but gets intercepted by the 49ers’ Ernest Jones IV.
It’s also worth noting that the 49ers, who had a very easy schedule entering this season, will play a third-place schedule next season despite their postseason appearance. With only a few moves in offseason housekeeping and a regression to the mean in injury luck, the Niners should be considered a deep NFC playoff team once again. — Solak
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‘The Broncos are done without Bo Nix.’ Overreaction?
No, not an overreaction. The Broncos barely won Saturday’s game. Buffalo had to turn the ball over five times — including once in overtime — or else Nix might not have broken his ankle in the first place. And certainly, without Nix’s clutch play in the fourth quarter and overtime, Denver wouldn’t have won and advanced to a home AFC Championship Game.
But now? You want me to believe the Broncos are going to beat Houston or New England with Jarrett Stidham at quarterback? And even if they do, does anyone believe they can then win the Super Bowl? I’m sorry, Jarrett, but it just doesn’t feel to me like this Broncos team is good enough to pull a 2017 Eagles and win this thing without their starting quarterback.
The Broncos have a good defense, yes. We know this about them. But they weren’t super awesome Saturday against a Bills team that moved the ball extremely well between turnovers, and they haven’t been elite in the way that defenses such as Seattle and Houston have been — at least not over the second half of this season. The Broncos do run the ball better than most think, but c’mon. We all watched this game. The Bills handed the Broncos 10 points at the tail end of the first half, then three more at the start of the second, and Buffalo still had a fourth-quarter lead that Nix found a way to overcome. Nix isn’t a perfect player, but what he can do with his legs and what he can do in the clutch are separating factors that Stidham just doesn’t offer.
The Broncos defense is going to have to play the game of a lifetime next week — even if it’s against Houston’s inconsistent offense — if it wants to lug this team into the Super Bowl. And even if it collects a bunch of turnovers and sneaks into the big game, Denver is then going to have to beat a team that has had two weeks off and likely still has its starting quarterback.
It’s a shame. It would have been fun to see what Sean Payton and this Broncos team could have done. Payton could have been the first coach to win the Super Bowl with two different teams. But in the wake of the Nix injury news, all of that is a lot harder to imagine. — Graziano
The lingering question: Why do the Bills keep losing in the postseason?
I have no idea. What is there to say? The Bills turned the football over five times, and no team that turns the ball over five times deserves to be in the game at all. Josh Allen‘s end-of-half fumble to let the Broncos go up 20-10 was an inexcusable mistake. He was stripped to start the second half to give Denver an even bigger lead. He threw a pick immediately off a key defensive takeaway.
It felt like Allen was digging the hole, and then as always, Allen was the one to pull the Bills back out. But there were too many misses. Allen failed to connect with Khalil Shakir on a third-and-8 screen in the red zone that could have allowed him to score, and he missed an open Dawson Knox at the end of regulation on a throw that could have walked the game off. Allen was simultaneously one of the biggest reasons the Bills were still in that game, while also being one of the biggest reasons they fell short.
The Bills have now made it to seven consecutive postseasons with Allen at the helm, which means they’ve suffered seven postseason losses. There’s really no unifying factor on the field, though. Wide receiver talent was a big deal in this game; Allen was 0-for-9 throwing 20-plus yards downfield, and downfield production is often a receiver stat. The pass rush has been an issue and was again in this game; Nix was pressured on 20% of his dropbacks, and the Bills needed to send blitzes to get home. Defensive back depth was also a big deal; two of Nix’s three touchdowns came targeting backup defensive backs.
0:19
Wil Lutz sends Broncos to AFC Championship Game on winning FG in OT
Wil Lutz nails the game-winning field goal in overtime to send the Broncos to the AFC Championship Game.
Still, when you’ve lost seven playoff games, there are some obvious unifying factors — coach Sean McDermott, GM Brandon Beane and Allen. The Bills’ triumvirate has been in place for the better part of a decade and has yet to get over the hump. Whether fair or unfair, the buck stops at the top, and the fact that the Bills have failed to make a Super Bowl in Allen’s tenure despite seven postseason appearances is an enormous failure.
If the Bills make changes, I’d totally get it. If they don’t, I’d totally get it, too. They’ve been so close so many times. What a devastating loss. — Solak
Sports
Texans’ Azeez Al-Shaair talks fine for pro-Palestinian message on eye tape: ‘It’s bigger than me’
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Houston Texans pass rusher Azeez Al-Shaair spoke out about the fine he received for wearing a pro-Palestinian message across his eye tape during a playoff win against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Al-Shaair talked to reporters outside his locker in the wake of the Texans’ loss to the New England Patriots on Sunday. He was hit with a fine of $11,593 for having “Stop the genocide” emblazoned across the tape, according to ESPN.
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Azeez Al-Shaair of the Houston Texans during the national anthem before the wild-card playoff game against the Steelers at Acrisure Stadium on Jan. 12, 2026, in Pittsburgh. (Cooper Neill/Getty Images)
He told the media he was aware what he did would garner a fine.
“I knew that that was a fine. I understood what I was doing … I was told that if I wore that in the game, I would be pulled out the game,” he said, via ESPN. “I think that was the part that I was confused about because I understood that was a fine but I never seen Stef (Stefon Diggs) get pulled out of a game for having eye tape with writing on it.
“At the end of the day, it’s bigger than me, the things that are going on. If it makes people uncomfortable, imagine how those people feel. I think that’s the biggest thing. I have no affiliation, no connection to these people other than the fact that I’m a human being. If you have a heart and you’re a human being and you see what’s going on in the world, you check yourself real quick. Even when I’m walking off this field, that’s the type of stuff that goes on in my head. I check myself when I’m sitting here crying about football when there’s people who are dying every single day.”
The NFL rulebook states in Rule 5, Section 4, Article 8 what players are allowed and not allowed to wear on game days. The rule states, “Throughout the period on game-day that a player is visible to the stadium and television audience (including in pregame warm-ups, in the bench area, and during postgame interviews in the locker room or on the field), players are prohibited from wearing, displaying, or otherwise conveying personal messages either in writing or illustration, unless such message has been approved in advance by the League office.

Azeez Al-Shaair of the Houston Texans exits the field during the playoff game against the Steelers at Acrisure Stadium on Jan. 12, 2026, in Pittsburgh. (Cooper Neill/Getty Images)
“The League will not grant permission for any club or player to wear, display, or otherwise convey messages, through helmet decals, arm bands, jersey patches, mouthpieces, or other items affixed to game uniforms or equipment, which relate to political activities or causes, other non-football events, causes or campaigns, or charitable causes or campaigns. Further, any such approved items must be modest in size, tasteful, non-commercial, and non-controversial; must not be worn for more than one football season.”
Al-Shaair has supported Palestinians in the past, including wearing “Free Palestine” cleats for the NFL’s “My Cause My Cleats” campaign during the 2024 season.
Al-Shaair had “Free” written on one side of his shoes in the colors of the Palestinian flag. On one shoe, “Surely to Allah we belong and to Him we will all return,” was written. On the side of his other shoe, he included the number of Palestinians reportedly killed and wounded in their war with Israel.
The shoes were for the Palestine Children’s Relief Fund, which he also supported in 2023.
“I feel like it’s something that’s trying to be almost silenced,” Al-Shaair told the Houston Chronicle at the time. “On either side, people losing their life is not right. In no way, shape, or form am I validating anything that happened, but to consistently say that because of [Oct. 7] innocent people [in Gaza] should now die, it’s crazy.

Azeez al-Shaair of the Houston Texans shakes hands with Aaron Rodgers of the Steelers after their playoff game at Acrisure Stadium on Jan. 12, 2026, in Pittsburgh. (Joe Sargent/Getty Images)
“[Other people] try to make a disconnect and dehumanize people over there. And it’s like, they’re human beings. Being a Muslim, we see everybody the same; Black, White, Spanish, whatever you are; you can be orange, like, we’re all human beings.”
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Al-Shaair was also part of the Athletes for Ceasefire organization.
Fox News’ Ryan Morik contributed to this report.
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