Fashion
Vietnam Q4 growth seen at 7.2% as momentum eases: UOB
Looking ahead, UOB forecasts Vietnam’s GDP growth to ease further to about 7 per cent in 2026 as the boost from export front-loading diminishes.
The Vietnamese dong is also expected to underperform regional peers, with UOB projecting the USD-VND exchange rate at 26,300 in the first quarter of 2026, gradually strengthening to 25,900 by the end of the year, said Vietnamese media reports quoting UOB.
Vietnam’s economy is forecast to grow 7.2 per cent in Q4 2025, taking full-year expansion to about 7.7 per cent, according to UOB.
The growth is expected to ease in 2026 to around 7 per cent as export front-loading fades.
Strong exports, manufacturing and domestic demand supported 2025 performance, though high export dependence and productivity challenges remain key risks.
Suan Teck Kin, executive director of global economics and markets research at UOB, said Vietnam’s strong 2025 performance places it among ASEAN’s fastest-growing economies, supported by manufacturing strength, robust exports, improving domestic consumption and public investment. He noted that supply-chain realignments linked to US–China tensions have benefitted Vietnam, with the US now accounting for around 30 per cent of total exports.
Meanwhile, Suan cautioned that Vietnam’s heavy reliance on exports increases vulnerability to a global slowdown, particularly weaker US demand. Rising wages without corresponding productivity gains could also weigh on competitiveness, underscoring the need for continued infrastructure investment, skills development and market diversification in 2026.
Vietnam’s exports rose 16.8 per cent year on year in January–October 2025, building on the strong growth seen a year earlier. Exports to the US jumped 28.1 per cent, aided by the lowering of reciprocal tariffs to a global base rate of 10 per cent, which prompted buyers to advance orders.
Vietnam’s trade surplus narrowed to $18.7 billion by October from $22.4 billion in 2024, reflecting higher imports of raw materials and components amid strong export demand. Manufacturing output rose 10.8 per cent in the first nine months of 2025, up from 9.4 per cent a year earlier, while four consecutive PMI readings above 50 signalled continued expansion, said UOB.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (SG)
Fashion
South Indian cotton yarn under pressure on weak demand
In the Mumbai market, cotton yarn prices remained unchanged as the loom sector slowed production. Although spinning mills are looking to raise their selling rates, they have not found sufficient demand. A Mumbai-based trader told Fibre*Fashion, “Power and auto looms are facing limited fabric buying from the garment industry. Export prospects are still unclear. Domestic demand is also insufficient to support any price rise. Mills are comfortable with falling cotton prices, while buyers remain silent on yarn purchases.”
In Mumbai, ** carded yarn of warp and weft varieties were traded at ****;*,***–*,*** (~$**.**–**.**) and ****;*,***–*,*** per * kg (~$**.**–**.**) (excluding GST), respectively. Other prices include ** combed warp at ****;***–*** (~$*.**–*.**) per kg, ** carded weft at ****;*,***–*,*** (~$**.**–**.** per *.* kg, **/** carded warp at ****;***–*** (~$*.**–*.**) per kg, **/** carded warp at ****;***–*** (~$*.**–*.**) per kg and **/** combed warp at ****;***–*** (~$*.**–*.**) per kg, according to trade sources.
Fashion
Bangladesh–US tariff deal may have limited impact on India
Bangladesh is already among the top suppliers of apparel to the US, particularly in basic knit and woven categories such as T-shirts, trousers and sweaters. A tariff advantage, even if modest, could sharpen its price competitiveness in high-volume, price-sensitive segments dominated by mass retailers.
The proposed Bangladesh–US trade understanding offering near zero-tariff access for garments has sparked debate in India’s textile sector.
While Bangladesh may gain a price edge in basic apparel, industry leaders believe the effective advantage could be limited to 2–3 per cent due to raw material dependence, capacity constraints and logistics costs.
However, Indian industry leaders argue that the net gain for Bangladesh may be restricted to around 2–3 per cent in effective competitiveness. They point to structural constraints, including Bangladesh’s heavy reliance on imported raw materials. A significant share of its fabric and yarn requirements is sourced from China and India, limiting flexibility in rules-of-origin compliance if strict value-addition conditions are attached to the deal.
Capacity limitations in spinning, weaving and man-made fibre processing are also seen as bottlenecks. While Bangladesh has built scale in garmenting, its upstream integration remains narrower than India’s diversified fibre-to-fashion base. Indian exporters emphasise that integrated supply chains offer advantages in speed, customisation and smaller batch production.
Logistics and lead times may further temper expectations. Distance from major US ports, coupled with infrastructure pressures and global shipping volatility, could offset part of the tariff benefit. In contrast, Indian suppliers have been investing in port connectivity, digital compliance systems and flexible production models to strengthen reliability.
Industry representatives also highlight that US buyers are increasingly factoring in sustainability, traceability and geopolitical risk. India’s growing adoption of renewable energy in textile clusters, compliance with global standards and broader product depth may help it retain strategic sourcing partnerships.
While some diversion of orders in basic categories cannot be ruled out, exporters believe the overall impact will be incremental rather than disruptive. The consensus view is that tariff preference alone is unlikely to override considerations of scale, compliance, diversification and long-term supply-chain resilience.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (KUL)
Fashion
US lawmakers introduce Last Sale Valuation Act to end customs loophole
“This bill protects Louisiana workers and American businesses, ensuring loopholes don’t hold them back,” Dr Cassidy said in a press release.
US Senators Bill Cassidy and Sheldon Whitehouse have introduced the Last Sale Valuation Act to close the ‘first sale’ customs loophole that lets importers underpay duties.
The bipartisan bill would base tariffs on final sale values, strengthen US Customs enforcement and curb duty evasion.
Supporters say it will protect American manufacturers, workers and federal revenue.
If passed, the bipartisan measure would grant clearer enforcement authority to US Customs and Border Protection (CBP), streamline valuation reviews and reduce disputes over documentation, while curbing mis-invoicing and related-party pricing schemes linked to tariff evasion and illicit financial activity.
The legislation has drawn support from the American Compass, the Coalition for a Prosperous America and the Southern Shrimp Alliance.
“Cassidy’s ‘Last Sale Valuation Act’ strengthens customs valuation by assessing duties on the final transaction value of goods entering the US,” said Mark A DiPlacido, senior political economist at the American Compass, adding that closing the judicially created ‘first sale’ loophole would reduce duty evasion, simplify enforcement and increase customs revenue.
Jon Toomey, president of the Coalition for a Prosperous America, said the bill is “an important first step in restoring customs integrity,” ensuring duties are paid on the true commercial value of imported goods and helping level the playing field for American manufacturers and workers.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (CG)
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