Business
United Airlines’ summer earnings and profit outlook top estimates, but revenue falls short
A United Airlines Boeing 737-MAX 8 aircraft departs at San Diego International Airport en route to New York on Aug. 24, 2024.
Kevin Carter | Getty Images
United Airlines on Wednesday forecast higher-than-expected earnings for the fourth quarter after a rocky start to 2025.
The carrier expects to earn between $3 and $3.50 a share for the last three months of the year, compared with analysts’ estimate of $2.86 a share.
United has been expanding its flying capacity, while its rivals have scaled back some of their growth plans after a glut of flights weighed on fares this year. The airline increased capacity 7% in the third quarter over last year. Unit passenger revenue for the three months ended Sept. 30 fell 3.3% for domestic travel and 7.1% for international. Sales from its lucrative loyalty program rose 9%.
CEO Scott Kirby on an earnings call on Thursday that the carrier expects earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization from the loyalty program to double by the end of the decade.
“We’re just beginning to realize the full potential of the loyalty program,” he said.
In an interview last month, Kirby defended the airline’s growth plan and said the carrier was winning loyal customers through its network, new technology like complimentary inflight Wi-Fi, refreshed cabins and new lounges.
“Those investments over almost a decade, combined with great service from our people, have allowed United to win and retain brand-loyal customers, leading to economic resilience even with macro economic volatility through the first three quarters of the year and significant upside as the economy and demand are improving in the fourth quarter,” Kirby said in a release Wednesday.
Still, for the third quarter, United beat earnings expectations, although its revenue fell short of estimates.
Here is what United Airlines reported for the quarter that ended Sept. 30 compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on estimates compiled by LSEG:
- Earnings per share: $2.78 adjusted vs. $2.62 expected
- Revenue: $15.23 billion vs. $15.33 billion expected
United’s third-quarter revenue was $15.23 billion, up 2.6% from $14.84 billion last year. Net income fell 1.7% to $949 million or $2.90 a share. Adjusting for one-time items including debt, among other things, United posted income of $909 million or $2.78 a share.
The carrier is vying with Delta Air Lines to win over more affluent travelers who splurge on seats, and it has expanded its global network with far-flung destinations like Greenland and Mongolia. United said in the third quarter, its premium-cabin revenue, which includes first class and other, roomier seats, rose 6%. United’s sales from no-frills basic economy 4% year over year.
In the spring and early summer, United and other carriers trimmed their earnings forecasts they made at the start of the year, after passenger demand dipped amid on-again, off-again tariffs, and an oversupply of flights weighed on airfare.
Business
NPS Gets A Major Overhaul In 2025: What The New Rules Mean For Your Retirement Money?
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In 2025, a sweeping set of reforms by the Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority (PFRDA) has been announced to make NPS more attractive, flexible, and investor-friendly.
Non-government subscribers with an NPS corpus of more than Rs 12 lakh can now withdraw up to 80% of their savings as a lump sum, with only 20% mandatorily allocated to an annuity.
The National Pension System (NPS) has been largely used for tax savings. In 2025, a sweeping set of reforms by the Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority (PFRDA) has been announced to make NPS more attractive, flexible, and investor-friendly.
Here’s a simple breakdown of what has changed.
Higher lump-sum withdrawals at retirement
One of the most significant changes is the higher cash withdrawal limit. Non-government subscribers with an NPS corpus of more than Rs 12 lakh can now withdraw up to 80% of their savings as a lump sum, with only 20% mandatorily allocated to an annuity. Earlier, 40% had to be annuitised, a provision that often reduced post-retirement returns.
New withdrawal slabs for smaller NPS corpus
PFRDA has introduced a new withdrawal framework based on corpus size, offering greater flexibility to investors with lower balances.
Subscribers with a corpus below Rs 8 lakh can withdraw 100% of the amount as a lump sum. Those with a corpus between Rs 8 lakh and Rs 12 lakh can choose between phased withdrawals using Systematic Unit Redemption (SUR), partial lump-sum withdrawal combined with annuity purchase, or higher lump-sum withdrawal depending on subscriber category.
Systematic Unit Redemption (SUR) introduced
A key structural reform is the introduction of Systematic Unit Redemption, which allows subscribers to withdraw their NPS corpus gradually over a minimum period of six years. This enables a steady post-retirement income stream without locking funds into an annuity.
Investment age limit extended to 85 years
Subscribers can now remain invested in NPS until 85 years of age, up from the earlier limit of 75. This benefits investors who want to delay withdrawals or continue compounding their retirement corpus beyond the traditional retirement age of 60.
More flexibility in partial withdrawals
Before turning 60, NPS subscribers can now make up to four partial withdrawals, compared with three earlier, with a minimum gap of four years. Withdrawals of up to 25% of own contributions are allowed for specified purposes such as education, marriage, home purchase and medical emergencies.
After 60, subscribers who continue investing can make partial withdrawals with a minimum gap of three years between transactions.
Multiple schemes under one NPS account
Non-government subscribers can now hold multiple schemes under a single PRAN, allowing them to diversify across fund managers and investment strategies without opening separate accounts.
100% equity option for long-term investors
From October 2025, private, corporate and self-employed subscribers can invest up to 100% in equities under the Multiple Scheme Framework, up from the earlier cap of 75%. This option is designed for younger investors with long time horizons who can tolerate higher volatility.
Switching between MSF schemes, however, is restricted for the first 15 years or until age 60.
NPS can now invest in gold, REITs and IPOs
NPS equity schemes are now permitted to invest in gold and silver ETFs, REITs, equity AIFs and IPOs. The combined exposure to these assets is capped at 5% of the equity allocation, offering diversification without excessive risk.
Scheme A discontinued: What subscribers must do
Subscribers invested in Scheme A, which focused on alternative assets such as infrastructure, must switch to Scheme C or Scheme E by December 25, 2025. The scheme is being phased out due to low participation and liquidity challenges.
Other investor-friendly changes
Several additional reforms have further improved NPS attractiveness. These include removal of the five-year lock-in for non-government subscribers, permission to pledge NPS corpus to obtain loans (up to 25% of own contributions), and enhanced tax benefits for NPS Vatsalya contributions under Section 80CCD(1B).
Clearer exit and family protection rules
Exit rules have also been streamlined. Subscribers who renounce Indian citizenship can withdraw their entire corpus. In the event of death, nominees or legal heirs receive 100% of the corpus if no annuity has been purchased. Interim relief provisions have also been introduced for cases where a subscriber is legally declared missing.
December 19, 2025, 16:15 IST
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Business
India’s Net Direct Tax Collection Rises 8% To Rs 17.04 Lakh Crore On Higher Corporate Tax Mop-Up
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Net corporate tax collection during the period (April 1, 2025, to December 17, 2025) stands at about Rs 8.17 lakh crore, up from Rs 7.39 lakh crore in the same period of FY25.
India’s gross direct tax collection, before adjusting refunds, stood at over Rs 20.01 lakh crore so far this fiscal year, a 4.16 per cent growth over the year-ago period.
India’s net direct tax collection has increased 8 per cent to over Rs 17.04 lakh crore in the ongoing financial year so far, on higher corporate tax mop-up. Net corporate tax collection during the period (April 1, 2025, to December 17, 2025) stood at about Rs 8.17 lakh crore, up from Rs 7.39 lakh crore in the same period of FY25.
Refund issuances fell 13.52 per cent to over Rs 2.97 lakh crore between April 1 and December 17.
The country’s non-corporate tax, including individuals and HUFs, mop-up so far this fiscal year stood around Rs 8.46 lakh crore, up from about Rs 7.96 lakh crore in the same period last year.
Securities Transaction Tax (STT) collection stood at Rs 40,194.77 crore so far this fiscal year, marginally higher than Rs 40,114.02 crore in the year-ago period.
India’s gross direct tax collection, before adjusting refunds, stood at over Rs 20.01 lakh crore so far this fiscal year, a 4.16 per cent growth over the year-ago period.
In the current fiscal year, the government has projected its direct tax collection at Rs 25.20 lakh crore, up 12.7 per cent year-on-year. The government aims to collect Rs 78,000 crore from STT in FY26.
Rohinton Sidhwa, partner at Deloitte India, said, “Tax refunds issuance has dropped much below last year, while overall tax collection has grown marginally at 4%. The drop in refunds is being attributed to a higher amount of screening of any fraudulent refund claims. Holding back refunds also accelerates litigation that the tax department can ill afford. Overall, the corporate advance tax increase signals good corporate earnings. Non- corporate advance tax collections have, however, declined possibly on the back of rate cuts for individuals given in the previous Budget.”
December 19, 2025, 12:49 IST
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Business
Government borrowing higher than expected after winter fuel payments U-turn
Borrowing fell last month to its lowest November level for four years but was still higher than expected as figures for the year so far were pushed higher due to the Government’s U-turn on winter fuel payments.
Official figures showed borrowing stood at £11.7 billion last month, £1.9 billion less than in November last year and the lowest for that month since 2021 thanks to a sharp fall in debt interest payments.
But the figure was more than the £10.3 billion expected by most economists and the £8.6 billion forecast in March by the UK’s independent fiscal watchdog, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR).
The OBR’s monthly forecasts from the budget on November 26 are not available until mid-January, according to the ONS.
Borrowing for the eight months of the financial year so far was £132.3 billion, £10 billion higher than the same period a year ago and £16.8 billion higher than the OBR forecast in March.
This was partly due to an extra £1.8 billion of spending on winter fuel payments after the Government U-turned on its previous decision to severely restrict payments through means testing, instead opting to give the payout to all pensioners except those earning above £35,000 a year.
This helped drive an upward revision to borrowing for the seven months to October by £3.9 billion.
ONS senior statistician Tom Davies said: “Despite an increase in spending, this month’s borrowing was the lowest November for four years.
“The main reason for the drop from last year was increased receipts from taxes and National Insurance contributions.”
November’s figure was pushed lower thanks to falling debt interest payments on borrowing, down by £200 million year-on-year to £3.4 billion and the lowest November level for six years.
Public sector net debt, including the Bank of England, reached £2.93 trillion at the end of November, which is around 95.6% of gross domestic product (GDP) and 0.3 percentage points more than a year ago, although remains at levels last seen in the early 1960s.
Elliott Jordan-Doak, senior UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said there was “very little Christmas cheer for the Chancellor” in the latest borrowing figures.
He added: “Ms Reeves has staked much fiscal credibility on chunky tax increases in the back end of the forecast period. But we think today’s figures further illustrate the shaky foundations of that gamble.
“Revenues continue to underperform, and the smorgasbord approach of tax increases relies on distortionary tax increases with uncertain yields.
“We also have serious doubts about the Government’s ability to follow through on the raft of spending cuts announced in the Budget.”
Chief Secretary to the Treasury James Murray said the debt interest payments underscored the need to bring borrowing down.
He said: “£1 in every £10 we spend goes on debt interest – money that could otherwise be invested in public services.
“That is why last month the Chancellor set out a Budget that delivers on our pledge to cut debt and borrowing.”
Martin Beck at WPI Strategy said “confidence remains the missing ingredient”.
“A clear and credible pro-growth strategy from the Government – and an end to the pervasive gloom surrounding the UK economy – may matter just as much for the public finances as the fine print of future tax and spending plans,” he said.
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