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ICE cotton stays weak as dollar falls; WASDE report awaited

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ICE cotton stays weak as dollar falls; WASDE report awaited



ICE cotton futures remained bearish and slipped yesterday ahead of USDA’s World Supply and Demand (WASDE) report. Traders were cautiously waiting for the release to assess the demand and supply outlook. However, weakness in the US dollar offered slight support and limited the decline in US cotton prices.

ICE March 2026 cotton futures settled at 64.53 cents per pound, down 0.28 cents or 0.43 per cent. New contract-low closes were recorded for December 2025, March 2026, May 2026, and July 2026 for the second consecutive session.

ICE cotton futures remained weak ahead of WASDE report, with March 2026 settling lower and several contracts hitting new lows.
A softer US dollar offered limited support, while market caution persisted amid weak demand and muted buying.
US government’s reopening and recent export sales data had little impact, and analysts expect higher supply estimates as December’s first delivery date approaches.

The dollar fell to a two-week low, improving foreign buying interest, while Wall Street’s sharp decline and fading expectations of rate cuts added to overall market caution.

Total volume traded today stood at 94,153 contracts, while yesterday’s cleared volume of 115,071 contracts ranked as the eighth-highest on record.

The US government reopened after a 43-day shutdown, with most federal services resuming, and cotton prices remaining flat. Loan programmes will offer temporary relief to growers.

USDA export net sales for the week ending September 25 were 200,600 bales, including 199,500 Upland bales and 1,100 Pima bales for the 2025–26 season. This was the last weekly US cotton sales report issued before the shutdown.

Market sentiment remains under pressure as sellers are not realising profits despite competitive pricing, and demand is expected to stay muted.

Market analysts said the upcoming USDA report may show higher supply and a slight reduction in export projections. The December contract remained under pressure as the first delivery date approaches on November 21.

This morning (Indian Standard Time), ICE cotton for December 2025 was trading at 62.93 cents per pound (up 0.03 cent), cash cotton at 60.40 cents (down 0.40 cent), the March 2026 contract at 64.56 cents (up 0.03 cent), the May 2026 contract at 65.76 cents (up 0.06 cent), the July 2026 contract at 66.85 cents (up 0.04 cent), and the October 2026 contract at 67.33 cents (down 0.26 cent). A few contracts were unchanged from their previous close, with no trading recorded so far today.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (KUL)



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Fashion

Higher energy costs to slow India FY27 growth to 6.5%: ICRA

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Higher energy costs to slow India FY27 growth to 6.5%: ICRA



India’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth is expected to moderate to 6.5 per cent in fiscal 2026-27 (FY27) from the projected 7.5 per cent in FY26 owing to the adverse impact of elevated energy prices and concerns around energy availability, according to ICRA Ratings.

While trends in high frequency indicators for January-February 2026 appear favourable, the heightened uncertainty around the duration of the Middle East conflict casts a shadow on the near-term macroeconomic outlook for India amid high import dependency for items like crude oil, natural gas and fertilisers, it noted.

India’s FY27 GDP growth is likely to slow to 6.5 per cent from the projected 7.5 per cent in FY26 owing to the impact of higher energy prices and concerns around energy availability, ICRA Ratings said.
The heightened uncertainty around the duration of the Iran war casts a shadow on the near-term macroeconomic outlook for India.
If the conflict lasts longer, the adverse effects could widen across sectors.

If the conflict lasts for an extended period, the adverse implications of the same could widen across sectors, amid an uptick in input costs and the consequent impact on profitability of the India corporate sector.

Amid the projected uptrend in the consumer price index-based inflation in FY27 with risks tilted to the upside, ICRA Ratings expects an extended pause on the policy rates by the central bank’s monetary policy committee in the fiscal despite the anticipated softening in the GDP growth. However, it expects the Reserve Bank of India to continue to intervene on the liquidity front during FY27.

The available data for January–February FY2026 indicate a positive trend across most non-agricultural indicators, with the year-on-year performance of 12 out of 18 indicators improving compared to the third quarter of FY26, while the remaining six deteriorated.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)



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Indonesia’s apparel exports at $8.7 bn; 56% shipments to US

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Indonesia’s apparel exports at .7 bn; 56% shipments to US




Indonesia’s apparel exports rose modestly to $8.705 billion in 2025 from $8.316 billion in 2024, reflecting gradual recovery.
The US remained dominant, accounting for over 56 per cent of shipments, highlighting growing market dependence.
While Japan, South Korea and Europe offered stability, exports stayed concentrated in key products and segments.



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Methanol jumps nearly 150% as oil surge disrupts markets

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Methanol jumps nearly 150% as oil surge disrupts markets




Methanol prices in India have surged nearly 150 per cent from pre-Iran–US tension levels, tracking a sharp rise in crude oil and tightening global energy markets.
Hormuz disruption risks, limited rerouting capacity, rising freight and insurance costs, and constrained imports are fuelling volatility, with prices seen approaching ₹90 per kg.



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