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What Budget rumours are doing to the FTSE 100

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What Budget rumours are doing to the FTSE 100


Banking stocks gave the FTSE 100 a lift on Tuesday amid rumours that the sector will be spared a tax hit in Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ budget.

The FTSE 100 index closed up 74.62 points, 0.8 per cent, at 9,609.53.

The FTSE 250 ended up 205.83 points, 1.0 per cent, at 21,617.41, and the AIM All-Share closed up 4.93 points, 0.7 per cent, at 742.09.

High street lenders Lloyds Banking Group rose 3.8 per cent, NatWest Group climbed 3.7 per cent and Barclays advanced 2.4 per cent.

It came as the Financial Times said that Ms Reeves is unlikely to impose further tax hikes on UK banks, calming fears that they could be hit.

The chancellor will deliver the budget statement to Parliament around 12.30pm on Wednesday, after Prime Minister’s Questions.

The FTSE 100 index closed up 74.62 points, 0.8 per cent, on Tuesday (PA Archive)

It is likely to contain further hefty tax increases as Ms Reeves looks to cover the expected fiscal deficit and seek a higher buffer against future economic shocks.

An extension to the freeze on personal tax allowances, a mansion tax, increases in betting duties, and changes to salary sacrifice schemes are all likely to form part of a smorgasbord approach to tax policy.

But economists are less sure that this scatter-gun approach is the right path to follow.

Citi’s Callum McLaren-Stewart called the smorgasbord approach “politically palatable, but economically problematic”.

Kallum Pickering at Peel Hunt said a “haphazard patchwork of smaller anti-growth tax increases” would be a “bad outcome”.

Ahead of the budget, the pound was quoted higher at US$1.3183 at the time of the London equities close on Tuesday, compared to $1.3104 on Monday.

Rachel Reeves will deliver her speech on Wednesday

Rachel Reeves will deliver her speech on Wednesday (Kirsty O’Connor/Treasury)

The yield on the UK 10-year gilt was down by 5 basis points at 4.49 per cent.

Reports also suggest that the chancellor may announce a stamp duty holiday for new listings on the London Stock Exchange.

Hargreaves Lansdown’s Emma Wall said this would be a “welcome boost” for the UK stock market which has been “losing out” to New York for initial public offers in recent years.

Currently, investors have to pay 0.5 per cent stamp duty tax when they buy shares, but this is expected to be waived for new listings for up to three years.

In European equities on Tuesday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed up 0.8 per cent, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt ended 1.0 per cent to the good.

Stocks in New York were mixed after Monday’s stellar gains.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.7 per cent, the S&P 500 index was up 0.2 per cent, but the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.2 per cent.

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The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.01 per cent, narrowed from 4.05 per cent. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was quoted at 4.65 per cent, trimmed from 4.69 per cent.

After the data vacuum caused by the American government shutdown, investors weighed a hefty batch of new figures on the health of the US economy.

Reports were mixed with US producer price growth steady year-on-year in September, while a retail sales rise was tamer than forecast on-month.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, producer prices rose 2.7 per cent on-year in September, in line with August’s rise and meeting the FXStreet-cited consensus estimate.

Separately, the Census Bureau reported US retail sales rose 0.2 per cent in September from August, shy of the FXStreet-cited forecast of a 0.4 per cent rise. In August, sales rose 0.6 per cent from July.

In addition, a report from the Conference Board showed consumer confidence in the US weakened in November, hitting its second-lowest level since April.

The CME FedWatch tool now places an 83 per cent chance of a quarter-point cut at December’s Federal Reserve meeting.

The data weighed on the dollar. The euro stood higher at $1.1569 on Tuesday, against $1.1525 on Monday. Against the yen, the dollar was trading lower at 156.13 yen compared to 156.91 yen.

Back in London, Beazley fell 9.2 per cent as analysts said a planned US$500 million investment to build out a new Bermuda platform will mean a “material” step down in share buyback expectations.

The Lloyds of London insurer announced the news alongside mixed trading results in the first nine months of 2025.

But RBC Capital Markets said the “key new news” was the $500 million capital to be set aside to set up in Bermuda.

Beazley said the investment supports growth from 2026 onward and “supports our expansion into the alternative risk transfer market”.

But UBS thinks this puts a share buyback at the year-end “at risk”, and if there still is one, it could be of a lesser amount than the broker’s US$700 million estimate.

Faring better, Kingfisher rose 6.0 per cent after raising profit guidance for the second time in three months.

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The DIY retailer, which owns the B&Q, Screwfix, Castorama and Brico Depot brands, now expects full-year adjusted pretax profit between £540 million to £570 million.

In September, Kingfisher upgraded its profit outlook to the “upper end” of the previously guided range of £480 million to £540 million.

On the FTSE 250, AO World jumped 1.5 per cent as it raised its profit forecast after reporting “continued positive trading”.

The Bolton, England-based consumer electronics seller in September upped its profit view to a £45 million to £50 million range.

Since then, AO World said it has seen “continued positive trading”, and it now expects pre-tax profit “around the top” of the outlook range.

But Baltic Classifieds slid 2.2 per cent as JPMorgan double-downgraded it to “underweight” from “overweight”.

The broker thinks online classifieds players will have to “materially” increase their efforts to maintain their gatekeeper position by delivering “undisputable, top-notch, now AI-driven search experiences and relevant information to compete with GenAI agents and new aggregators”.

Brent oil was quoted at 61.71 dollars a barrel at the time of the London equities close on Tuesday, down from $62.90 late on Monday.

The oil price fell amid reports that Ukraine has agreed to the terms of a peace deal with US representatives, although additional reports suggested Russia may block any modified plan.

Gold was quoted at 4,132.40 dollars an ounce, up against $4,097.64.

The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Airtel Africa, up 19.2p at 314.80p, Kingfisher, up 17.5p at 309.9p, Burberry, up 52.5p at 1,168.5p, Barratt Redrow, up 15.5p at 393.9p and Lloyds Banking Group, up 3.3p at 90.6p.

The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Beazley, down 79p at 781p, Intertek, down 278p at 4,592, Pearson, down 21.8p at 985.2p, BAE Systems, down 31p at 1,621p and Compass, down 41p at 2,408p.

Wednesday’s economic calendar has the UK budget, the Beige Book in the US and an interest rate call in New Zealand overnight.

Wednesday’s UK corporate calendar has half-year results from property developer Helical, equipment hire firm Speedy Hire, and celebration cakes retailer Cake Box.



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Electricity bills targeted in planned shakeup to energy pricing

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Electricity bills targeted in planned shakeup to energy pricing



The war in the Middle East has brought renewed attention to Britain’s vulnerability to energy price shocks.



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Gadkari urges shift to 100% ethanol blending, flags energy security and import risks – The Times of India

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Gadkari urges shift to 100% ethanol blending, flags energy security and import risks – The Times of India


Road transport and highways minister Nitin Gadkari

India should aim for 100 per cent ethanol blending in the near future to strengthen energy self-reliance, road transport and highways minister Nitin Gadkari said on Tuesday. He said that vulnerabilities in oil supplies due to the ongoing crisis in West Asia have made it essential for the country to reduce dependence on imports.Speaking at the Indian Federation of Green Energy’s Green Transport Conclave, Gadkari said, “In the near future, India should aspire to achieve 100 per cent ethanol blending… Today, we are facing an energy crisis due to the war in West Asia, so it is necessary for us to become self-reliant in the energy sector,” as quoted by PTI.India currently allows vehicles to run on E20 petrol, which contains 20 per cent ethanol, with minor engine modifications to avoid corrosion and related issues. In 2023, PM Modi launched petrol blended with 20 per cent ethanol. Countries such as Brazil have already achieved 100 per cent ethanol blending.Gadkari noted that India imports 87 per cent of its oil requirements, adding, “We import fossil fuels worth Rs 22 lakh crore, which is also causing pollution… so we need to work on increasing production of alternative fuel and bio-fuel.”On future energy solutions, he stressed the importance of green hydrogen but pointed out challenges in cost and transport. “Transport of hydrogen fuel is a problem. Also, we need to produce 1 kg of hydrogen at $1 dollar, to make India an exporter of energy,” he said, adding that hydrogen production from waste should be explored.The minister also emphasised the role of a circular economy in generating employment opportunities. While calling for reduced reliance on petrol and diesel vehicles, he clarified, “But we can not force people to stop buying petrol and diesel vehicles.”Addressing concerns about E20 fuel, Gadkari said the petroleum sector is lobbying against the move. He also urged automobile manufacturers to prioritise quality over cost to expand into new markets.Last year, Gadkari dismissed criticism against E20 (ethanol-blended petrol), saying a “paid” social media campaign is being run to “target me politically.” He said Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers and Automotive Research Association of India have shared their findings on ethanol blending in petrol. He added that India’s ethanol programme has benefited farmers, noting that ethanol made from maize has helped them get better prices and led to gains of Rs 45,000 crore.



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Spike in petrol thefts after Iran war pushed up fuel prices

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Spike in petrol thefts after Iran war pushed up fuel prices



One petrol retailer says he is experiencing about five drive-offs a week at each forecourt, costing him thousands.



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