Fashion
UK budget mildly deflationary; debt to climb past 106%: Fitch
The rating agency said the government’s latest fiscal package is broadly in line with projections made when it affirmed the UK at ‘AA-’/Stable in August but said that the path to consolidation is becoming more challenging.
Fitch Ratings has deemed the budget marginally deflationary, sees debt rising above 106 per cent of GDP by 2027.
The agency said the UK budget broadly aligns with its August deficit projections but signals of rising implementation risks due to back-loaded tax measures and tight spending plans.
New taxes total £26 billion (~$34.37 billion) by FY29, while social spending rises further.
Fitch said the budget’s new tax measures represent £26 billion (~$34.37 billion), or 0.7 per cent of GDP, by fiscal 2029 (FY29), with threshold freezes contributing £8 billion (~$10.57 billion). New Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) data show general government net borrowing projections 0.2 percentage points (pp) higher on average in 2026–2028 than in March, before falling 0.2 points in 2029, Fitch Ratings said in a release.
Fiscal data since summer remain broadly in line with Fitch’s forecast for the general government deficit to narrow by 0.6 pp in 2025 to 5.3 per cent of GDP and then to 4.4 per cent in 2027, around 0.7 points slower than the government’s new targets.
The agency highlighted material uncertainty around implementation, particularly given the challenging expenditure consolidation outlined in June’s Spending Review, which the budget largely preserves. Real-terms public-sector current spending growth has been tightened further in FY29 to zero, averaging 1.2 per cent in FY26–FY28 compared with 3.4 per cent in FY24–FY25.
Fitch noted that many tax measures are highly back-loaded, coming into effect closer to mid-2029, the latest possible timing of the next general election. A large portion of the tax plan also consists of numerous smaller measures, making the overall impact less transparent than the broader income tax rise the government signalled before the budget. Options to raise further revenue are politically constrained by 2024 election pledges not to increase personal income tax, VAT or National Insurance.
Still, Fitch said Chancellor Rachel Reeves is demonstrating firmer commitment to the fiscal rule than recent predecessors. Last year’s decision to shorten the rolling forecast horizon from five to three years from 2026 has reduced the scope to delay real fiscal adjustment. Aligning fiscal plans more closely with three-year spending reviews also makes it harder to rely on unrealistic spending cuts to fill fiscal gaps.
Budget headroom has increased from £12 billion to £22 billion, around 0.6 per cent of GDP, but Fitch said this remains limited and constrains efforts to improve policy predictability.
Revenue projections have been reshaped by a £16 billion downgrade in expected tax receipts due to lower OBR productivity assumptions, reducing average GDP growth in 2026–2029 by 0.3 pp to 1.5 per cent. Upward revisions to inflation and wage growth more than offset this decline. The OBR’s updated medium-term GDP growth outlook is now closer to Fitch’s trend estimate of 1.4 per cent, of which total factor productivity contributes only 0.3 points.
Although sustained high nominal gilt yields represent a significant fiscal risk, the UK’s long average debt maturity of 13.7 years helps contain projected debt-interest requirements, which Fitch expects to rise modestly to 7.4 per cent of revenue in 2027 from 7 per cent in 2024.
Fitch projects modest GDP outperformance in the near term compared with its August forecast of 1.2 per cent for 2025, although a weakening labour market poses a small downside risk to its 1.2 per cent projection for 2026. The agency judges the budget as marginally deflationary and expects inflation to fall to 2.4 per cent by end-2026.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (HU)
China will step up building a higher-level China-Vietnam community with a shared future that carries strategic significance, Chinese President Xi Jinping said while holding talks with visiting Vietnamese President To Lam.
China and Vietnam are accelerating efforts to navigate bilateral trade towards a more balanced and sustainable course.
President Xi Jinping recently held talks with visiting Vietnamese President To Lam.
During the visit, Vietnamese Minister of Industry and Trade Le Manh Hung called for a restructuring of production, trade and supply chains alongside stronger investment cooperation.
Xi said both countries should work together in their modernisation drive, accelerate the alignment of development strategies and prioritise infrastructure connectivity.
While meeting Chinese Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao during the state visit, Vietnamese Minister of Industry and Trade Le Manh Hung called for a restructuring of production, trade and supply chains alongside stronger investment cooperation.
Wang said both sides should focus on implementing the high-level common perceptions, including raising bilateral trade turnover to $500 billion in future.
Hung urged China to expand imports of Vietnamese goods, broaden the list of products eligible for tariff preferences and further open its market. He also called for the mutual recognition of quarantine results for agro-forestry-fishery products, facilitation of Vietnamese exports via cross-border e-commerce, and expansion of Vietnam’s trade promotion offices across Chinese localities, according to a Vietnamese news agency.
China will continue to support Vietnam in setting up additional trade promotion offices, following those already established in Chongqing, Hangzhou and Haikou, Wang responded.
China also expressed readiness to support Vietnam’s stronger exports through cross-border e-commerce, encouraging greater visibility of the Vietnam National Pavilion on Chinese e-commerce platforms beyond JD.com to better promote Vietnamese products to Chinese consumers.
China has consistently been Vietnam’s largest trading partner and second-largest export market, while Vietnam continues to be China’s biggest trading partner in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)
British actors Simone Ashley and Tom Blyth star alongside models Alva Claire, Babacar N’Doye and Sacha Quenby and a cast of synchronised swimmers and divers.
Burberry’s High Summer 2026 campaign captures Britain’s nostalgic lido culture through a sunlit film featuring Simone Ashley and Tom Blyth.
Blending heritage check with pastel tones, the collection spans swimwear, relaxed tailoring, raffia bags and lightweight layers, evoking effortless, poolside summer style.
Directed by Francis Plummer, the campaign reflects a warm, communal British summer mood.
The campaign film is directed by Francis Plummer and shot by photographer Ryan McGinley. The cameras move from loungers to diving boards, catching mid-air dives and friends stretched out in the hazy afternoon light. Before long, the best spots by the pool are claimed with a Burberry towel. Summer has begun. The film is underscored by the TONE remix of ‘Beating’ by Tirzah.
‘A lido holds a particular kind of nostalgia for the British. The moment the sun comes out, we make the most of the weather. We wanted to bring to life a warm summer’s day spent in and around the water’s edge with friends.’ said Daniel Lee Chief Creative Officer, Burberry.
Key styles
The High Summer 2026 collection features the Burberry Check in heritage-inspired sand beige and pastel shades of aubergine purple and cornflower blue.
The iconic Burberry Check bikini is the beach essential, alongside matching swimsuits and men’s swim shorts trimmed with check.
Poolside separates include tops, skirts and shirts cut from cotton voile, plus cover-up dresses woven with a tonal Burberry Check and deckchair-inspired stripes. Ruffled trims and ties at the neckline capture the floaty, effortless feel of the collection. Festival
tank tops in ribbed cotton jersey are trimmed with check straps, while looks are wrapped in lightweight wool silk scarves.
For men, collared shirts and shorts are tailored to relaxed lines and finished with fresh interpretations of the Burberry Check, from textural weaves to intricate embroidered designs. The co-ord set is crafted from lightweight cotton poplin printed with a playful seahorse pattern in honeysuckle pink.
The classic cotton piqué polo shirt comes in a spectrum of vivid and neutral colours. Burberry Check is subtly placed at the placket and trims the collar of T-shirts in soft cotton jersey.
Lightweight hooded jackets are ideal for cooler evenings and unexpected showers, the new-season designs woven in aubergine purple and cornflower blue check.
In shoes, the new Knight Runner sneakers offer a streamlined, low-profile shape for summer. Sandals are elevated in the form of the whipstitched leather Baez and check-trimmed suede Urchin styles, while Burberry Check slides and Pavilion sandals are made for the beach.
Lightweight Margate bags are handcrafted in Madagascar from locally sourced raffia palm leaves, dyed in signature sand beige Burberry Check. Accessories include crocheted bucket hats and wraparound sunglasses, designed to shield from the sun.
Note: The headline, insights, and image of this press release may have been refined by the Fibre2Fashion staff; the rest of the content remains unchanged.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (JP)
Everything to know about venue, guest list, dress, more
Secretary Doug Burgum expects Teddy Roosevelt’s induction into Pro Football Hall of Fame: report
Ariana Grande teases new era after ‘Eternal Sunshine’ with cryptic video
-
Politics1 week agoIndian airlines hit hardest after Dubai limits foreign flights until May 31
-
Entertainment6 days agoPalace left in shock as Prince William cancels grand ceremony
-
Politics1 week agoChinese, Taiwanese will unite, Xi tells Taiwan opposition leader
-
Sports6 days agoThe case for Man United’s Fernandes as Premier League’s best
-
Business6 days agoUK could adopt EU single market rules under new legislation
-
Entertainment1 week agoDua Lipa hits major career high ahead of wedding with Callum Turner
-
Business1 week agoThe FAA wants gamers to apply for air traffic control jobs
-
Sports1 week agoLamar Jackson hits back at critics with faithful message on social media