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India-Nepal Trade Poised To Double In Next Five Years: Report

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India-Nepal Trade Poised To Double In Next Five Years: Report


New Delhi: Strengthening business linkages and sustained investment flows between India and Nepal are expected to drive bilateral trade into a new growth phase, with volumes likely to double by 2030, according to an article in Nepalese media.

Bilateral trade remains the most visible and measurable pillar of India–Nepal economic relations, reflecting both geographic proximity and deep-rooted interdependence. India accounts for over 64 per cent of Nepal’s total trade, underscoring its centrality to Nepal’s external economic engagement and supply chains. In FY 2024–25, total bilateral trade reached approximately USD 8.7 billion, reaffirming India’s position as Nepal’s largest trading partner by a wide margin.

India’s exports to Nepal stood at about USD 7.4 billion, dominated by petroleum products, machinery, vehicles, pharmaceuticals, food items, and construction materials, which are critical to Nepal’s consumption and infrastructure needs. Nepal’s exports to India, valued at nearly USD 1.3 billion, mainly include electricity, agricultural products, iron and steel items, and manufactured goods.

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This robust trade structure underscores both the extent of economic integration and the significant potential for diversification, value addition, and more balanced growth of Nepal’s export basket in the coming years. With growing business and investments, the trade trajectory is expected to enter a new phase, with bilateral trade doubling over the next five years, according to the article in the Nepal Aaja news portal.

The article also highlights that India–Nepal bilateral investments reflect a deepening economic partnership anchored in geographical proximity, historical trust, and growing strategic convergence. Indian companies constitute the largest source of foreign direct investment in Nepal, accounting for roughly 30–35 per cent of Nepal’s total FDI stock.

Cumulative Indian investment is estimated at USD 750–800 million, with operational investments of nearly USD 670 million spread across more than 150 Indian ventures. These investments span key sectors such as hydropower, manufacturing, banking, insurance, telecommunications, cement, tourism, education, and hospitality, making India a critical driver of Nepal’s industrialisation and services-sector expansion.

Indian public and private enterprises have played a particularly transformative role in Nepal’s hydropower sector by combining capital, technology, and assured power off-take arrangements, thereby strengthening Nepal’s energy security while creating long-term commercial returns for Indian firms. Indian banks and insurance companies have contributed to financial deepening and stability, while joint ventures in manufacturing and tourism have generated employment, skills, and local value addition.

This investment synergy is reinforced by India’s broader development partnership initiatives, which support infrastructure creation, cross-border connectivity, and capacity building, thereby lowering investment risks and enhancing economic integration. Together, investment flows and development finance are knitting the two economies into a closely interconnected economic space with shared long-term interests, the article points out.

Energy cooperation has emerged as a transformative pillar of India–Nepal relations, redefining Nepal’s role in the regional economy. Nepal possesses vast hydropower potential, estimated at over 40,000 MW of economically viable capacity. In recent years, concerted efforts by both governments have enabled Nepal to transition from a net importer of electricity to a growing exporter.

In fiscal year 2024–25, Nepal exported approximately NPR 17–18 billion (about USD 130 million) in electricity, with the majority sold to India. Long-term power trade agreements envisage Nepal exporting up to 10,000 MW of electricity to India over the coming decade.

This energy partnership provides Nepal with a stable source of export revenue while supporting India’s clean energy transition and regional grid stability. The integration of power markets has also positioned India as a transit country for Nepal’s electricity exports to third countries, further enhancing regional economic cooperation, the article added.



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Asda boss rejects profiteering claims as petrol price tops 150p

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Asda boss rejects profiteering claims as petrol price tops 150p



Motorists are facing higher fuel prices ahead of Easter break due to the conflict in the Middle East, the RAC says.



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E-cheques coming soon? RBI unveils Payments Vision 2028, plans wider oversight of digital players – The Times of India

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E-cheques coming soon? RBI unveils Payments Vision 2028, plans wider oversight of digital players – The Times of India


The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Friday unveiled its ‘Payments Vision 2028’ document, outlining a roadmap that includes exploring electronic cheques, expanding regulatory oversight to digital platforms, and strengthening safeguards in the fast-growing payments ecosystem, PTI reported.The central bank said it will examine the introduction of e-cheques to combine the advantages of paper instruments with the speed and reliability of digital payments. “To leverage the unique benefits of paper-based instruments and the speed and reliability of electronic payments, and cater to new business use cases, the introduction of electronic cheques in India shall be explored,” the RBI said.Alongside, the RBI is considering widening the regulatory ambit to include entities such as e-commerce marketplaces and centralised platforms that play a growing role in facilitating digital transactions.“In addition, e-commerce marketplaces and centralized platforms have been assuming significant responsibilities that could have implications on the orderly functioning of the payments ecosystem. These aspects shall be examined in detail and, if required, the scope of direct regulations shall be extended to cover such entities,” the document said.The vision document also proposes allowing users to enable or disable transactions across digital payment modes, similar to controls available for card transactions.To address fraud risks, the RBI is exploring a “shared responsibility framework” under which both the issuing bank and the beneficiary bank would share liability in cases of unauthorised digital transactions.The central bank also plans to review cheque design and security features, introduce a Domestic Legal Entity Identifier (DLEI) framework for better transaction traceability, and bring in a Cyber Key Risk Indicators (KRI) framework for non-bank payment system operators.Other initiatives include exploring white-label solutions in the Aadhaar Enabled Payment System (AePS), developing interoperability in the Trade Receivables e-Discounting System (TReDS), and introducing a ‘Payments Switching Service’ to ease customer migration across platforms.The RBI said it will also review the cross-border payments ecosystem to improve efficiency and streamline authorisation processes, alongside publishing periodic reports on global and domestic payment trends.Additionally, the central bank aims to enhance access to payment data and reimagine the card payments ecosystem by promoting secure tokenisation, improved transparency in pricing, and greater choice for users and merchants.



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FTSE 100 ends down as oil rises while Iran war remains in deadlock

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FTSE 100 ends down as oil rises while Iran war remains in deadlock



Blue chips in London outperformed European and US peers on Friday, but closed marginally lower, as oil prices rose once more amid few signs of progress in ending the Iran war.

“The simple fact is that sentiment is likely to stay negative for as long as the Strait of Hormuz remains unsafe for shipping and controlled by Iran,” commented David Morrison, senior market analyst at Trade Nation.

The FTSE 100 closed down just 4.82 points at 9,967.35. The FTSE 250 ended down 331.32 points, 1.6%, at 20,964.75, and the AIM All-Share closed down 13.43 points, 1.9%, at 705.63.

For the week, the FTSE 100 rose 0.5%, the FTSE 250 fell 1.8% and the AIM All-Share Index fell 1.7%.

On Thursday, US President Donald Trump issued a 10-day extension on his deadline for Tehran to open the Strait of Hormuz or face the destruction of its energy assets.

But with Iran maintaining a hold on the Straits, Mr Trump’s announcement largely failed to lift the mood for markets.

“Traders are now discounting the daily torrent of posts and incoherent press conferences from the White House, as the war rages on,” said Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB.

“Investors are facing the facts: the Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed and it does not appear that there is a real end in sight to the war.”

Mr Trump has insisted Iran wanted “to make a deal” to end the war engulfing the region, but the Iranian side has indicated no let-up in reprisal attacks against Israel and targets across the Gulf.

Kuwait said on Friday its main commercial port was damaged in a drone attack.

Iran’s Tasnim news agency said the country has responded to Washington’s 15-point plan to end the war and was awaiting a reply.

Reports also suggested the US is weighing up sending up to 10,000 additional troops to the Middle East, fuelling speculation that Washington may be preparing for a potential ground operation in Iran.

The Wall Street Journal reported that the move would provide Mr Trump with “more military options”.

Amid the impasse, the oil price’s upward trajectory resumed.

Brent oil was higher at 111.63 US dollars a barrel on Friday afternoon, from 108.80 dollars late on Thursday.

In European equities on Friday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed down 0.9%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt ended 1.4% lower.

“Trump’s 10-day Taco (Trump always chickens out) has had a less profound impact compared with Monday’s five-day reprieve, with equities losing ground in Europe despite the president’s decision to once again postpone strikes on key energy infrastructure. Instead, there is a real concern that we could see escalation through the use of boots on the ground,” said Joshua Mahony at Scope Markets.

Stocks in New York were lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 1.1%, the S&P 500 index was 1.0% lower, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.4%.

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury widened to 4.42% on Friday from 4.40% on Thursday. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury stretched to 4.95% from 4.94%.

The pound fell to 1.3288 US dollars on Friday afternoon from 1.3338 dollars at the equities close on Thursday. Against the euro, sterling fell to 1.1554 euros from 1.1563 euros a day prior.

The euro stood lower against the greenback at 1.1521 dollars from 1.1534 dollars. Against the Japanese yen, the dollar was trading higher at 160.10 yen compared to 159.65 yen.

Supporting the FTSE 100, AstraZeneca rose 3.4% after reporting positive phase three results for its chronic obstructive pulmonary disease treatment, tozorakimab.

The company said the drug delivered “significant and highly clinically meaningful” reductions in exacerbations in two replicate trials, Oberon and Titania.

The Bank of America said the data was a “pleasant surprise” after failed trials at Roche and Sanofi for similar drugs.

Cambridge-based AstraZeneca is the FTSE 100’s most valuable company, worth about £223 billion.

The firm sees peak sales for tozorakimab of 3-5 billion dollars, while the current Visible Alpha consensus is 1.2 billion dollars.

3i rallied by 1.0%, after slumping 18% on Thursday amid disappointing like-for-like growth at its main investment, Dutch discount retailer Action.

JPMorgan said lower guidance for flat margins and lower like-for-like sales at Action “than we were expecting, was disappointing.”

Nonetheless, JPM said Action remains a “leading compound growth story” and “3i now offers a cheap way in”.

Elsewhere, the rising gold price boosted Fresnillo and Endeavour Mining, up 0.6% and 1.9% respectively.

Gold rose to 4,517.90 dollars an ounce on Friday from 4,383.70 dollars at the same time on Thursday.

NatWest rose 0.9% as Deutsche Bank raised its share price target to 840p from 730p.

“NatWest has unfairly derated in our view,” analyst Robert Noble said.

In the debit column, Metlen Energy was the biggest faller, down 8.6%.

The Athens-based energy and metallurgy company said auditors PricewaterhouseCoopers have requested more time to complete work on its 2025 financial statements, its first as a dual-listed company in London and Athens.

The group now expects to release results on April 9, a nine-day delay, and reiterated guidance for earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation of around £750 million.

Housebuilders were once more under pressure. The Bank of America cut price targets by 20% across the sector and lowered pre-tax profit forecasts by 7% through 2026 to 2028, with sector earnings per share expectations now 6% below consensus.

Barratt Redrow fell 4.7%, Persimmon 3.9% and Taylor Wimpey 1.7%.

The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were: AstraZeneca, up 472.0p at 14,302.0p; Endeavour Mining, up 80.0p at 4,262.0p; Rio Tinto, up 115.0p at 6,545.0p; Reckitt Benckiser, up 90.0p at 5,164.0p; and Glencore, up 6.4p at 538.4p.

The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were: Metlen Energy & Metals, down 3.0p at 31.75p; Barratt Redrow, down 12.6p at 255.7p; Babcock International, down 57.0p at 1,155.0p; Persimmon, down 43.0p at 1,075.0p; and Autotrader, down 17.5p at 447.3p.

Monday’s global economic calendar has UK mortgage approvals data at 7am BST. German and Italian inflation figures are also due, along with the Dallas Fed manufacturing index in the US.

Monday’s local corporate calendar has full-year results from Artisanal Spirits, Aoti and RTW Biotech.

In Europe, daylight saving time starts on Sunday, and clocks go forward by one hour.

Contributed by Alliance News



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