Connect with us

Fashion

UK GDP expected to grow 1.4% in 2026: Goldman Sachs Research

Published

on

UK GDP expected to grow 1.4% in 2026: Goldman Sachs Research



Goldman Sachs Research expects ‘another mixed year’ for the UK economy, which is expected to grow at 1.4 per cent this year—up from around 1 per cent in 2025, according to a report by the company’s senior UK economist James Moberly and chief European economist Jari Stehn.

They predict that the labour market will keep weakening, but also anticipate a boost to the economy from a significant cooling of inflation and further rate cuts from the Bank of England (BoE).

Goldman Sachs Research expects ‘another mixed year’ for the UK economy, which is expected to grow at 1.4 per cent in 2026—up from around 1 per cent in 2025.
It expects the unemployment rate to rise to 5.3 per cent by March, and then stabilising.
Consumption is expected to grow at 1.3 per cent in 2026 versus 0.7 per cent in 2025.
The fiscal position looks less vulnerable than some other European nations.

The UK labour market weakened significantly in 2025 as slow economic growth and the increase in national insurance contributions weighed on employment. A recent rise in layoffs points to ‘further labour market softening ahead’, according to Moberly and Stehn.

Goldman Sachs Research expects the unemployment rate to rise to 5.3 per cent by March. But as growth picks up towards potential, it sees the unemployment rate stabilising for the remainder of this year, the report says.

Given rising slack in the job market, lower headline inflation, and a smaller increase in the national living wage, the company’s economists expect wage growth to normalise this year. Private sector regular pay growth slowed to 3.8 per cent from around 6 per cent over the last 12 months, and the team forecasts further cooling to 3.1 per cent by the end of 2026.

Consumer spending in the UK is low, and the household savings rate is elevated. “Real disposable income growth is likely to remain weak in coming quarters given wage growth moderation, elevated mortgage rates, and a larger fiscal drag on household incomes,” Moberly and Stehn write.

The team’s models suggest that the savings rate will likely decline this year as interest rates fall and consumption catches up with recent increases in real inflation-adjusted incomes.

Consumption is expected to grow at 1.3 per cent in 2026 versus 0.7 per cent last year.

The team anticipates further progress on inflation in the coming months given unwinding base effects.  Goldman Sachs Research projects headline inflation to decelerate to 2.1 per cent in the second quarter this year.

The fiscal trajectory, political risk, and efforts to boost economic growth are likely to be key areas of focus this year, according to the company.

“Our analysis suggests that the UK’s fiscal position looks less vulnerable than some other European countries, notably France,” Moberly and Stehn add.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)



Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Fashion

Kanuk ventures beyond Québec, setting off from Italy to expand worldwide

Published

on

Kanuk ventures beyond Québec, setting off from Italy to expand worldwide


Published



January 16, 2026

What an honour for Italy at Pitti Uomo 109! For the first time, Canadian clothing brand Kanuk is stepping beyond Québec to reach the rest of the world. President Elisa Dahan confirmed as much to FashionNetwork.com. “Yes, it’s true. If we exclude an episode in the United States a few years ago, this is the first time we are presenting ourselves outside our province. I mean truly outside Québec: we had never really begun to develop beyond Québec towards a global dimension- not even in the rest of Canada. And since we are a fashion brand rooted in outerwear, of course we’re starting with Italy.”

Kanuk, Fall-Winter 2026/27

Kanuk, a play on the slang nickname for Canadians (Canucks), has the snowy owl as its emblem. “We chose it because it never migrates; it always stays in Québec, no matter the temperature. It feels tailor-made for the philosophy of comfortable, welcoming Canadian country living,” Dahan points out. “A bit like us so far: we were founded in 1974 in a small workshop in Montréal with the mission of creating outerwear suited to Québec’s particular climate and lifestyle, and today we offer a total look.”

With a lifestyle focus, Kanuk is inspired by the spirit of rural Canadian life- farm-to-table family traditions, a distinctive generational heritage, and outdoor pursuits- while applying uncompromising artisanal standards to production. In the Autumn/Winter 2026/27 Heritage Collection, featuring 30 men’s and 30 women’s styles in a range of colours, the brand expands its ready-to-wear with new jumpers, knit sets, wool pieces, corduroy outerwear, and increased use of Kanuk’s signature sherpa, designed to complement its parkas. The colour palette reflects the season’s defining landscapes: warm earth tones, leafy greens, deep browns, and the muted golds of Canada’s transforming trees.

Kanuk, Fall-Winter 2026/27
Kanuk, Fall-Winter 2026/27

With two mono-brand stores, one in Montréal and the second just opened in Québec City- “attracting strong tourist traffic,” according to the president- Kanuk sees e-commerce “performing very well and accounting for about a third of the business; but don’t forget that right now we are only distributed in about 30 major stores in Québec. The sky is the limit for what we can achieve from now on,” she smiles.

Elisa Dahan is very confident that Kanuk’s products will be highly appreciated in Europe, “because in Europe the weather starts one way during the day and can shift in the evening and at night- sometimes in the opposite direction- so you need functional versatility, style and lasting durability in what you wear: precisely Kanuk’s attributes, with its timeless pieces and 3-in-1 models with removable layers,” she says.

Elisa Dahan at Pitti Uomo 109 with Kanuk products
Elisa Dahan at Pitti Uomo 109 with Kanuk products – G.B. – FashionNetwork.com

Kanuk is not only apparel but also accessories, including gloves, scarves, and a super-plush bag, once again featuring the snowy owl. These designs are intended especially for cold climates. Across both the product range and the Canadian brand’s revenue- which rose by double digits last fiscal year- menswear and womenswear are split evenly, 50/50. Accessories account for 10% of turnover.

After Pitti Uomo 109, where she forged many connections with buyers, agents, and distributors, Elisa Dahan aims over the next two to three years to expand the brand into a strong network of quality retailers across Europe. “I’m not interested in quantity; ours is a beautiful brand with a lot of potential, but it needs to be surrounded by the right brands; for me, location is the most important factor to get right, and the business results will follow,” says the Kanuk president, who is also open to launching pop-ups or temporary stores in winter resorts as well as summer destinations, in Italy and beyond.

This article is an automatic translation.
Click here to read the original article.

Copyright © 2026 FashionNetwork.com All rights reserved.



Source link

Continue Reading

Fashion

Japan’s Fast Retailing names Francesco Risso as GU creative director

Published

on

Japan’s Fast Retailing names Francesco Risso as GU creative director



As part of its corporate direction to strengthen the global presence of Group brand GU, Fast Retailing is pleased to announce the appointment of Francesco Risso as GU’s Creative Director. In this role, Risso will shape the brand’s creative direction as it enters its next phase of growth. His debut collection for GU is scheduled for Fall/Winter 2026.

Alongside his appointment at GU, Risso, who helmed the UNIQLO and Marni collection in 2022, will develop a new collaboration line with UNIQLO, set to launch in 2026.

Further details on both initiatives will be announced at a later date.

Fast Retailing has appointed Francesco Risso as creative director of GU to strengthen the brand’s global presence.
Risso will lead GU’s creative direction, with his debut collection set for fall/winter 2026.
He will also develop a new collaboration line with Uniqlo launching in 2026, following his earlier Uniqlo and Marni project.

Italian-born designer Francesco Risso studied fashion in Florence, New York, and London. He spent a decade at Prada, developing a rigorous approach to narrative and craft while gaining extensive design experience. From 2016 to 2025 he served as Creative Director at Marni, shaping a boldly original vision for the house inspired by music, art, and cultural exploration. A passionate educator, Risso has held guest positions at the world’s top art and design schools.

Note: The headline, insights, and image of this press release may have been refined by the Fibre2Fashion staff; the rest of the content remains unchanged.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (RM)



Source link

Continue Reading

Fashion

Saks bonds worth just 1 cent hand hedge funds a painful lesson

Published

on

Saks bonds worth just 1 cent hand hedge funds a painful lesson


By

Bloomberg

Published



January 16, 2026

At first glance, Saks looked like exactly the kind of mess hedge funds love. Just months after the company borrowed $2.2 billion to finance its takeover of rival Neiman Marcus, the newly formed luxury retail powerhouse was already running short on cash. Creditors spooked by the pace of the slide rushed for the exits, offering the bonds for less than 40 cents on the dollar.

Saks bonds’ value dropped to just 1 cent – REUTERS/Angelina Katsanis

Bargain hunting hedge funds gleefully took the debt off their hands. This was, after all, a marquee name with valuable brands, prime real estate, big-name backers, and a business that executives said just needed a bit more time to steady itself. Firms including Pentwater Capital Management and Bracebridge Capital jumped in, chasing the promise of eye-popping returns.

Much is still to be determined in the wake of Saks’ bankruptcy this week, including any recovery for its creditors. Yet in the meantime, the episode is shaping up to be a painful lesson in the dangers of trying to catch a falling knife. The bonds that distressed-debt shops snapped up on the cheap are now being bid at less than 1 cent, according to broker runs. The hundreds of millions in extra financing they provided, which sits higher in the repayment pecking order, isn’t faring much better, changing hands around 10 cents.

Through Saks’ Chapter 11 filing, a clearer picture has emerged of a company that quickly veered off plan. Targets were missed, savings failed to materialise, cash drained at a rapid clip, and fixes meant to stop the bleeding never did. Bonds with roughly $486 million of face value held by Pentwater are now quoted at pennies on the dollar, as are about $257 million held by Bracebridge.

“This was a ticking time bomb, and the fuse was lit the day the merger was consummated,” said Mark Cohen, the former director of retail studies at Columbia Business School. “I’ve never seen anything go bad this fast; I don’t know that anyone has.”

A representative for Saks declined to comment beyond the company’s bankruptcy filing. Pentwater and Bracebridge declined to comment. Even after the staggering declines, Saks’ biggest creditors aren’t ready to throw in the towel.

In its bankruptcy filing, the company said it had secured roughly $1.75 billion in post-petition financing, including $1.5 billion from a group of senior secured bondholders betting a second act could yet salvage the retailer- and their own fortunes, possibly by converting battered debt positions into significant equity stakes. 

Some will also collect fees for helping arrange the financing. What’s more, the structure of the post-bankruptcy financing Saks has lined up could allow certain debtholders to realise better returns on the company’s outstanding bonds than where they’re currently trading, some investors suggested.

Pentwater and Bracebridge are among those putting up more money, according to people with knowledge of the matter.

Whether it’s enough to turn around a company that burned through more cash than it generated last year remains to be seen. Perennially late payments have “damaged trust” with Saks’ suppliers, the retailer said in bankruptcy documents, and while new management is working to repair those relationships, some vendors may decide to take their business elsewhere.

The company is also facing stiff objections from unsecured creditors, including Amazon.com Inc., that are seeking to block access to the new financing package. The tech giant, which previously acquired a $475 million preferred equity stake in the luxury retailer, recently called its investment in Saks “presumptively worthless.” Other equity holders including Rhone Capital and Insight Partners also suffered significant losses, separate people familiar with the situation said.

Representatives for Amazon and Insight Partners didn’t respond to requests for comment. Rhone Capital declined to comment.

Some investors who opted not to participate in the latest debtor-in-possession financing were concerned that the rescue could echo other recent misfires. They pointed to First Brands Group, the bankrupt auto-parts supplier whose lenders put up more than $1 billion post bankruptcy, only to watch their super-senior bonds crater in value as the company burned through the cash and signalled it would need even more money.

With rescue financing, “you get a lot of structuring fees, an above-market interest rate, liens on the best collateral, an equity cushion below you, with the added upside that you’re in control as the restructuring process plays out,” said Rishi Goel, the global head of distressed debt at Aegon Asset Management. 

“But it’s got to be structured correctly. The equity value below you has to be real,” Goel said. “If you’re misled, or the business is worth less than you thought or becomes worse than you thought, the value can dry up quickly.”

For now, Saks has said that stores under all its brands are open. A number of creditors say they are confident that new management, led by former Neiman Marcus Chief Executive Officer Geoffroy van Raemdonck, can steer the company through bankruptcy and, once it emerges, make its portfolio of luxury department stores profitable.

Not everyone is convinced. “The rationale for putting these two businesses together made no sense form the get go, and it’s hard to believe that these deep-pocketed masters of the universe fell for it,” Cohen said.



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending