Business
IMF Urges US to Ease Trade Curbs, Warns on Rising Debt Risks – SUCH TV
The International Monetary Fund on Wednesday called on the United States to work constructively with trading partners and pursue coordinated efforts to reduce trade restrictions, as it released its latest review of the world’s largest economy.
The findings cover the first year of President Donald Trump’s second term, during which his administration introduced sweeping tariffs aimed at reducing the US trade deficit and boosting domestic manufacturing.
However, the IMF noted that the stop-start nature of the tariffs has disrupted supply chains and unsettled financial markets.
The report was prepared before the Supreme Court of the United States struck down many of Trump’s earlier tariffs last week.
Since that ruling, the administration has imposed a new 10% global tariff under a separate legal authority, with the possibility of raising it to 15%.
Call for Coordinated Trade Approach
The IMF urged Washington to address concerns about unfair trade practices through cooperation rather than unilateral measures.
“Where trade and investment measures, including tariffs and export controls, are put in place for national security reasons, such policies should be applied narrowly,” the Fund said.
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said the institution shares US concerns about the size of the trade and current account deficit, calling the gap “too big,” but emphasised the importance of coordinated solutions.
Debt and Stability Concerns
The IMF also flagged rising US public debt as a growing stability risk.
While the likelihood of sovereign stress remains low, the upward trajectory of the debt-to-GDP ratio and increasing short-term borrowing pose potential risks for both the US and the global economy.
Georgieva noted that continued growth in public debt “remains a major issue” that policymakers must address.
Growth Outlook
Despite trade uncertainty, the IMF projects US GDP growth of 2.6% in 2026, up from 2.2% last year.
The Fund described the economy as “buoyant” but cautioned that trade policy uncertainty could weigh more heavily on economic activity than anticipated.
The review was conducted as part of the IMF’s regular “Article IV” consultation process.
The Fund had previously raised concerns in 2024 about rising trade restrictions and increasing public debt under earlier administrations.
Business
Britain ‘mustn’t cut ourselves off from China trade opportunities’, CBI chief warns
The UK must not “cut ourselves off” from trade opportunities in China despite security and business risks, the head of the Confederation for British Industry has warned.
CBI chief Rain Newton-Smith highlighted that British businesses see increased trade with Chinese firms as an opportunity to drive growth.
Her remarks came as business leaders were questioned by MPs on Parliament’s Business and Trade Select Committee regarding the UK’s economic relationship with China.
Last December, Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer admitted China poses security threats to the UK but urged for greater business ties.
Ms Newton-Smith, chief executive of one of the UK’s largest business groups, was positive about the Government’s engagement with China.
“You can’t have a growth strategy without a strategy for China,” she said.
“China has the biggest contribution to global growth, is the third largest trading partner, and the world’s largest consumer market.
“The UK is second largest exporter of trade and services.
“We are mindful as all businesses are of security risks but it is really important that we have a strategy towards China.
“This Government has increased the economic engagement with China and including business within this does help us as a country.”
She added: “If we think about the future economy, there is a huge market in China and I think we mustn’t cut ourselves off from some of the opportunities there, even if in some areas there are difficult conversations and negotiations that need to be had.”
Peter Burnett, chief executive of the China-Britain Business Council, told the committee: “There are risks associated with technology advancement, AI, industrial development that they need to assess.
“Increasingly you will find them saying that they need to engage more in China to understand those risks and to develop some of the technologies along some of those risks themselves.”
Business
Air fares soar by nearly a quarter, research shows
The consultancy Teneo says airspace restrictions caused by the conflict have forced airlines to reroute many flights.
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Business
Us-India Trade Talks: US–India trade deal: Where do talks stand & what to expect – explained – The Times of India
Fresh negotiations between India and the United States are underway in Washington, DC this week, with officials indicating that a long-running effort to seal a bilateral trade agreement is nearing completion.A senior US official, responding to queries on the progress of the talks, said, “The Trump administration and India continue to have positive and productive discussions towards a finalised trade deal.” The negotiations come as Indian representatives visit the American capital for discussions scheduled from April 20 to 22, marking a renewed push to conclude the first phase of the agreement.People familiar with the matter suggested that only a handful of issues remain unresolved. “Most of it is almost done,” one official said on condition of anonymity, adding, “There aren’t many loose ends left.” The current round is expected to concentrate on closing these remaining gaps, with much of the agreement already worked out.The Indian side is being led by Darpan Jain, Additional Secretary in the Department of Commerce, accompanied by officials from the customs department and the ministry of external affairs. On the US side, Brendan Lynch, Assistant US Trade Representative for South and Central Asia, is heading the negotiations under the Office of the US Trade Representative.The timing of the talks follows recent developments in the US tariff structure. After the US Supreme Court struck down reciprocal tariffs imposed under the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act, the US administration introduced a temporary flat 10% tariff on all countries for 150 days starting February 24. These changes had earlier delayed a planned February meeting between the chief negotiators, with discussions now resuming under the revised framework.In addition to tariff-related matters, negotiators are also expected to address two Section 301 investigations initiated by the US Trade Representative. India has contested these probes, seeking their withdrawal and arguing that the notices lack adequate justification.The ongoing discussions build on a framework for an interim agreement announced on February 7, which outlined reciprocal and mutually beneficial trade measures. The framework reaffirmed a commitment to broader bilateral trade agreement (BTA) negotiations launched by US President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Narendra Modi on February 13, 2025, aimed at enhancing market access.US Ambassador to India Sergio Gor described the visit of the Indian delegation as a significant step towards finalising the deal. In a post on X, he said, “The Indian trade delegation will be arriving in Washington this week. A great step to finalise our bilateral trade deal. A win-win for both nations!”Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal also indicated that the first tranche of the agreement is close to completion. “We have almost finalised our free trade agreement, the first tranche of the bilateral trade agreement with them. We are trying to close the Ts and dots on that and work out what would be the mechanism by which India can get a preferential access, market access in the US market compared to our competitors,” he said at the India-Korea Business Forum in New Delhi.He added, “We have almost finalised the first tranche of bilateral trade agreement with them… We are trying to work out what would be the mechanism on which India would get a preferential access in the US market compared to our competitors. The team will be discussing this while they are in Washington.”With senior officials from both sides now engaged in discussions and most substantive issues already settled, expectations are building that an announcement on the proposed agreement could follow soon.
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