Fashion
ICE cotton recovers on short covering, gains capped by macro worries
ICE cotton futures recovered due to technical buying and short covering on yesterday. Although, gains were capped by stronger US dollar and persistent inflation worries driven by rising global energy prices which continued to weigh on market sentiment throughout the session. US dollar also made US cotton purchase expensive for overseas buyers.
The most traded May 2026 contract settled at 67.62 cents per pound, up 0.44 cent. The market indicated recovery despite underlying macroeconomic pressure. During the session, the contract touched an intraday low of 66.65 cents, marking its lowest level since March 16, reflecting early weakness before recovery.
The strengthening US dollar index added further pressure, as it makes US cotton more expensive for international buyers, thereby reducing export competitiveness.
The trading session remained highly volatile and mixed, with prices dipping initially and then recovering due to technical buying and short covering.
Technically, the market is showing signs of stabilisation as the May contract has managed to close above its 200-day moving average in 5 out of the last 7 sessions, which is considered a supportive signal for trend recovery.
Trading activity remained subdued with total volume at 52,002 contracts, the lowest in nearly one month, indicating reduced participation and lack of strong conviction among traders. As per ICE data released on March 23, the certified stock of deliverable No.2 cotton remained unchanged at 115,640 bales, indicating a neutral supply-side factor with no fresh pressure from inventories.
Market direction was influenced by uncertain geopolitical developments, particularly conflicting signals around US–Iran diplomacy and fluctuations in crude oil prices, which impacted broader commodity sentiment.
Rising crude oil and energy prices are increasing concerns that inflation will remain elevated, which could spread across commodities and impact cotton pricing dynamics.
According to market analysts, the inflation is unlikely to decline significantly, and sustained higher costs may start affecting cotton demand globally.
Elevated energy prices are expected to increase costs across the entire cotton supply chain, including production, processing, and transportation, which may reduce mill buying interest.
Financial markets have shifted expectations, now indicating no interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, whereas earlier there were expectations of at least two rate cuts before escalation of Middle East tensions.
Although US President Donald Trump postponed planned strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure, market participants remained sceptical about any quick resolution to Middle East tensions, keeping uncertainty elevated.
The recent upward movement in cotton prices towards 68–69 cents followed by a pullback is being viewed as a normal technical correction, after a sharp rally over the past few weeks.
This morning (Indian Standard Time), ICE cotton for May 2026 was traded at 68.26 cents per pound (up 0.64 cent), cash cotton at 65.62 cents (up 0.44 cents), the July 2026 contract at 70.31 cents (up 0.54 cent), the October 2026 contract at 71.77 cents (up 0.46 cent), the December 2026 at 72.61 cents (up 0.33 cent) and the March 2027 contract at 73.60 cents (up 0.25 cent)). A few contracts remained at their previous closing levels, with no trading recorded so far today.
ICE cotton futures rebounded on technical buying and short covering, with the May 2026 contract settling at 67.62 cents/lb.
However, gains were capped by a stronger US dollar and inflation concerns linked to rising energy prices.
Low trading volumes and geopolitical uncertainty kept sentiment cautious despite signs of technical stabilisation.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (KUL)
Fashion
China rolls out tariff cuts on Congo imports from April 1
The measure implements tariff reduction commitments made under the ‘Early Harvest Arrangement of the Agreement on Economic Partnership for Shared Development’ between the two countries.
China will implement preferential tariff rates on selected imports from the Republic of the Congo starting April 1 under the Early Harvest Arrangement of their economic partnership agreement.
The move announced by the Customs Tariff Commission, is aimed at fulfilling tariff reduction commitments, enhancing bilateral trade cooperation and advancing long-term economic ties between the two countries.
The commission said the move is in line with China’s tariff law and reflects the country’s continued efforts to expand opening-up and strengthen trade ties with African partners.
Officials stated that the preferential tariff treatment will help deepen bilateral economic and trade cooperation and support the development of a higher-level community with a shared future between China and the Republic of the Congo.
The Early Harvest Arrangement, signed in November 2025, marked the first such agreement of its kind between China and an African country, paving the way for broader market access and phased tariff reductions.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (JP)
Fashion
More risk from Iran war to Bangladesh, Pakistan, Sri Lanka: S&P Global
These countries are particularly vulnerable to rising oil prices and potential supply disruptions, it noted in a recent article.
The Iran war poses a greater risk to Bangladesh, Pakistan and Sri Lanka, and to a lesser extent Laos, due to their high dependence on imported energy and limited reserves, S&P Global Ratings said.
These countries are particularly vulnerable to rising oil prices and potential supply disruptions.
All four governments are likely to see significant credit metric deteriorations, if the conflict is prolonged.
In our base case scenario, the war is unlikely to have a material impact on our sovereign ratings on these countries, but a more prolonged price and supply shock in global energy markets could cause more pronounced credit damage.
Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and Bangladesh are showing signs of economic recovery. The three countries have made progress, but sustained high energy prices and potential disruptions to trade and remittances could derail their fragile economies.
S&P Global Ratings believes the higher-income Asia-Pacific (APAC) economies are better placed to weather temporary disruptions to oil and gas supply from the Middle East.
Even where they are highly dependent on imported energy, they generally have more significant oil reserves to meet the shortfall in imports. They also have financial resources to acquire available supply in the spot oil and gas markets to secure needed energy, the rating agency noted.
Lower-income economies in the region do not enjoy such flexibility. The sovereign ratings on some may face pressure if the supply disruption persists longer than our assumptions. Bangladesh, Laos, Pakistan and Sri Lanka are among this group. These economies have one thing in common: a high dependence on imported energy products.
The Middle East war is likely to have a more severe impact on these economies, due to their fuel import bills, and generally weaker fiscal and external reserves to withstand supply shortages and high oil prices.
Among the four sovereigns, Laos is likely to fare better due to the dominance of hydropower in its energy mix.
Bangladesh, with government revenues at only around 9 per cent of gross domestic product, has fewer options to cap electricity and fuel prices through fiscal means.
All four governments are likely to see significant credit metric deteriorations, through inflation and currency channels, if the Middle East conflict is prolonged. However, the impact on the agency’s ratings on these sovereigns may be limited, as the generally low rating levels have already captured a significant share of the risks.
S&P Global Ratings’ base case for the Middle East war assumes that elevated hostilities will persist into early April, with the Strait of Hormuz facing material disruptions.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)
Fashion
EU Parliament members set conditions for lowering tariffs on US items
On July 27, 2025, in Turnberry, Scotland, US President Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen reached a deal on tariff and trade issues, outlined in a joint statement published on August 25.
EU Parliament members have adopted their position on two proposals implementing the tariff aspects of the EU-US Turnberry trade deal.
The texts, if agreed with EU members, will eliminate most tariffs on US industrial goods and offer preferential market access for many US seafood and agricultural goods.
The members strengthened the proposed suspension clause, and introduced ‘sunrise’ and ‘sunset’ clauses.
The texts, if agreed with EU member states, will eliminate most tariffs on US industrial goods and provide preferential market access for a wide range of US seafood and agricultural goods, in line with the commitments made in summer 2025 between the EU and the United States.
The MEPs strengthened the proposed suspension clause, which would allow the tariff preferences with the US to be suspended under a number of conditions.
For instance, the Commission would be able to propose suspending all or some trade preferences if the US were to impose additional tariffs exceeding the agreed 15-per cent ceiling, or any new duties on EU goods, a release from the Parliament said.
The suspension clause could also be activated if the US undermines the objectives of the deal, discriminated against EU economic operators, threatened member states’ territorial integrity, foreign and defence policies, or engaged in economic coercion, it noted.
The MEPs have introduced a ‘sunrise clause’ that means the new tariffs would only become effective if the US respects its commitments. These conditions include the US lowering its tariffs on EU products with a steel and aluminium content below 50 per cent, to a tariff of maximum 15 per cent.
Furthermore, for EU products with a steel and aluminium content of above 50 per cent, unless the US reduces its tariffs to a maximum of 15 per cent, EU tariff preferences for US exports of steel, aluminium and their derivative products would cease to apply six months after the entry into application of the regulation.
The members also agreed on an expiry date for the main regulation on March 31, 2028. This could only be extended via a new legislative proposal, to be submitted following a thorough impact assessment of the effects of the regulation.
The European Commission would be tasked with monitoring the impact of the new rules and would be able to suspend the new tariffs temporarily, should US imports reach a level that could cause serious harm to EU industry.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)
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