Business
Mortgage rates drop to 3-year low ahead of Fed meeting
Mortgage rates dropped sharply Tuesday, as investors in mortgage-backed bonds seemed to buy in ahead of a widely expected rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
The average rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage dropped 12 basis points from Monday to 6.13%, according to Mortgage News Daily. That is the lowest level since late 2022.
“The overall set-up is reminiscent of September 2024 when rates were doing the same thing for the same reasons ahead of Fed meeting with a virtual 100% chance of a rate cut,” said Matthew Graham, chief operating officer of Mortgage News Daily. “Back then, mortgage rates moved paradoxically higher after the Fed rate cut. The same thing could happen this time, but it’s by no means guaranteed.”
It also follows historical trends. In a video podcast for CNBC’s Property Play, Willy Walker, CEO of commercial real estate firm Walker & Dunlop said there have been similar trends in the past.
“If you go back to 1980 and the nine Fed rate cut periods over that 45-year period, the ones where the Fed cuts in a recessionary environment end up pulling down the long end of the curve, pull down the 10-year, pull down the 5-year,” Walker said. “In those where it’s not a recession, which is like right now, it does not impact long-term rates. And so as much as I’m expecting us to see at least a 25 basis point cut, and then probably another 25 basis point cut, even if you take 50 basis points out of the short end of the curve, I don’t expect it’s going to impact the long end of the curve very much.”
He added that he thinks yields are well below where they will be two or three weeks from now.
“I don’t try to predict where rates are going, but I think people … might buy on the rumor and sell on the news. I think you probably see the 10-year sell off a little bit after the Fed actually announces their 25 basis point cut,” Walker said.
Business
Heineken to boost British pubs with £44 million investment before World Cup
Heineken has announced a substantial investment exceeding £44 million into hundreds of its pubs across the UK, a move expected to create approximately 850 jobs.
The Dutch brewing giant’s Star Pubs operation, which manages 2,350 sites nationwide, is undertaking this significant financial commitment despite a challenging period for the pub sector.
The industry has faced considerable pressure over the past year, grappling with escalating labour costs and increases in national insurance contributions.
Concurrently, consumer spending has been constrained by concerns over inflation and rising unemployment, further impacting pub revenues. However, pubs did receive additional business rates support from the government last month, aimed at alleviating some of these financial burdens.
Lawson Mountstevens, managing director of Star Pubs, indicated that the investment strategy is partly designed to bolster revenues and help the group navigate the recent “sustained increases in running costs”.
This year, £44.5 million will be allocated to upgrades for 647 pubs. A notable 108 of these venues are earmarked for particularly significant cash injections, with each transformation costing at least £145,000.
Heineken clarified that while the majority of its pubs are group-owned, they are independently operated by local licensees. A key focus for this investment, particularly in the lead-up to the 2026 football World Cup, will be on sports-focused venues.
The pub firm and brewer has a history of significant investment in British pubs, having pumped £328 million into the sector since 2018. Work has already commenced at 52 locations, including eight projects dedicated to reopening boarded-up pubs that have endured lengthy closures.
Mr Mountstevens also urged the government to reduce the tax burden on pubs, arguing it would ease cost pressures and foster further job creation within the industry.
He stated: “We can only do so much; the root-and-branch reform of business rates that the industry has been calling for over many years is urgently required, as well as a lowering of the burden of taxation on pubs, including VAT and beer duty.”
He concluded with a direct appeal: “We are calling on the Government to support us in bringing out the best in the Great British pub.”
Business
GameStop makes $55.5bn takeover offer for eBay
GameStop’s boss Ryan Cohen says he sees potential to make eBay a much bigger rival to Amazon.
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Business
US denies Iranian report warship was struck by missiles
It comes as the US said on Monday it will begin to help “guide” vessels out of the Strait of Hormuz.
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