Business
Boost for renters as market ‘at best for six years’
Rent prices are going up much more slowly than before, in good news for millennials, Gen Z-ers and everyone else struggling with housing costs.
Amid general gloom about the property market – house prices are falling and mortgage costs are going up – Zoopla says competition to land a rented home is at its lowest for six years.
The price of rent is going up 1.9 per cent year-on-year, down from 2.8 per cent before, leaving the average monthly rent at £1,319.
That is down to an increase in supply of rental properties, though there does seem to be a fresh north-south divide emerging.
Zoopla, a leading property website, says enquiries per property have dropped from 6.5 to 4.8 in the four weeks to March 1 compared to a year ago and now sit at more than half of the peak figures seen in 2022 and 2023.
Crucially, wages are rising faster than rental prices.
But in London, the rental market remains incredibly tough due to a lack of supply.
Tom Bill, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank, said: “More balance has returned across the UK but in the capital, where renting is twice as common, there is still a notable lack of supply in many areas that is pushing rents higher.
“Some landlords have already sold due to extra red tape and taxes while others are waiting to see how disruptive the Renters Rights Act is when it comes into force in May. With tougher green regulations also coming down the line, further upwards pressure on rents cannot be ruled out.”
In some UK cities, rent prices are actually falling. Zoopla thinks that is partly due to lower immigration.
The latest ONS estimates reveal net migration into the UK peaked at 944,000 people in the year to March 2023 and this has slowed to 204,000 in the year to June 2025.
Until the war in Iran began, mortgages were getting cheaper. That has also helped renters get home loans which has freed up the number of homes for rent.
The annual rent for the average property outside of London is now 33.5 per cent of the annual income for a single person. This is an improvement from 2023 where the ratio was highest in 20 years at 35 per cent.
Rental growth remains stronger in the more affordable markets in Northern England and Scotland, with certain cities seeing increases of 3-4 per cent.
Liverpool and Newcastle saw growth of 4.6 per cent and 4.5 per cent respectively.
In contrast, several cities across the Midlands and Southern regions are seeing lower or even negative price growth, with Bristol growing at 0.8 per cent and Cambridge at just 0.1 per cent.
In Birmingham (-0.7 per cent) and Nottingham (-0.8 per cent) rents are falling. In London, rents are growing at a relatively low 1.7 per cent, with the average rent now sitting at £2,187.
Richard Donnell, executive director at Zoopla, said: “Market conditions for renters are the best they have been for six years. The rental market is moving back towards balance as demand cools and more homes become available to rent. Renters are facing less competition for homes and slower rent increases than in recent years. Localised changes in demand and supply are resulting in rents falling in some cities but this will be only a short lived trend.”
Unfortunately, supply remains well below pre-pandemic levels, which means increasing the number of rental homes remains key to improving affordability for the UK renters over the long term.
Harry Watts, lettings director at London agent Douglas & Gordon said: “We’re seeing a more mixed picture on the ground in central and south west London.
“While the market has become more balanced compared with the 2022–23 peak, applicant registrations are still up 18 per cent so far this year versus the same period last year, which points to continued underlying demand for well located, good quality homes.
“At the same time, as we move closer to the Renters Reform Act, we’re seeing more tenants being asked to move at points in the year when they would not typically expect it. In many cases, this appears linked to landlords reassessing their position and, in some instances, choosing to sell, which is becoming more prevalent.
“And even where rental growth is cooling, there is a clear affordability ceiling. Over the past couple of years, tenant incomes have struggled to keep pace with pricing, so correctly priced homes let well, while anything ambitious is taking longer and facing sharper negotiation.”
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Business
Shell strikes £12.1 billion deal to buy Canadian energy firm
Shell has agreed a 16.4 billion US dollar (£12.1 billion) deal to buy Canadian energy firm ARC Resources in a bid to boost its gas production and reserves.
The British energy giant said the acquisition will strengthen its resource base “for decades to come”.
It will also strengthen the business’s presence in North America, where it already operates gas plants.
The deal will combine ARC’s more than 1.5 million net acres of land with Shell’s approximately 440,000 in the Montney gas resource in Canada.
It will increase Shell’s production growth rate from 1% to 4% through to 2030, compared with 2025, according to the firm.
Shell’s chief executive Wael Sawan said acquiring the “high quality, low-cost” energy business “strengthens our resource base for decades to come”.
He added: “We are accessing uniquely positioned assets and welcoming colleagues that bring deep expertise which, combined with Shell’s strong basin level performance, provides a compelling proposition for shareholders.
“This establishes Canada as a heartland for Shell while furthering our strategy to deliver more value with less emissions.”
Shell has been carrying out a new growth strategy focused on extracting more oil and gas, moving from a focus on green energy and reducing spending on renewables.
It hopes the shift will support production targets and drive greater returns for investors.
The announcement comes a few weeks after Shell said it had cut its gas production outlook for the first quarter of 2026 after being affected by the conflict in the Middle East.
The energy giant trimmed its guidance for integrated gas production after volumes from Qatar were particularly affected during recent attacks.
The deal will see ARC’s shareholders receive 8.20 Canadian dollars (£4.50) and about 0.4 Shell shares for each ARC share.
Including about 2.8 billion US dollars (£2.1 billion) in debt that Shell will take on, the acquisition is valued at about 16.4 billion US dollars (£12.1 billion).
It is expected to complete in the second half of 2026, subject to shareholder, court and regulatory approvals.
Business
BP profits more than double as oil trading booms amid Iran war
BP has come under fire after revealing profits more than doubled in the first three months of the year, thanks to the soaring cost of crude caused by the Iran war.
Chief executive Meg O’Neill praised the quarter as sending the firm “in the right direction” and “strengthening the balance sheet” – but critics have labelled the energy giant’s revenues as “horrifying” as “millions suffer the fallout” from war.
The FTSE 100 firm revealed its preferred profit measure – underlying replacement cost profit – surged by over 130% to a better-than-expected $3.2bn (£2.4bn) in the first quarter, up from $1.38bn (£1.02bn) a year earlier and $1.54bn (£1.13bn) in the previous three months. Most analysts had expected first-quarter profits of $2.67bn (£1.97bn).
Campaigners accused the group of profiting at the expense of households, who have seen fuel prices rocket at the pumps and are set to see energy bills jump higher once more when the price cap is next updated on July 1.
The price of oil has risen from the mid-$60s range in February to over $100 now, spiking close to $120 several times during the course of the Iran war.
Patrick Galey, head of news investigations at campaigning organisation Global Witness, said: “It is horrifying to see BP’s profits grow as millions suffer the fallout from the US-Israel war on Iran. Unfortunately we’ve been here before – when Russia invaded Ukraine four years ago we saw big oil firms make bumper profits from spiralling fuel costs.
“As oil prices drive up bills once again, it’s clear that fossil fuel companies don’t enhance affordability or energy security, they make life worse. They destroy the climate, push up the cost of living, and rake in billions in profit while innocent civilians die.
“It’s well overdue that we make oil companies pay for the damage their doing. If they broke it, they need to fix it. It’s clear they can afford to. BP profits, we all pay.”
Mike Childs, head of science, policy and research at Friends of the Earth, added: “Just as we saw in 2022 following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, fossil fuel giants are quids in when global instability drastically inflates fuel prices.
“But again, it’s ordinary people who pay the price when soaring energy prices threaten to plunge the UK into an even deeper cost-of-living crisis.”
The End Fuel Poverty Coalition called for a windfall tax on firms profiting from the Iran-related energy crisis.
The campaign group’s co-ordinator Simon Francis said: “These astronomical profits are a startling reminder that when conflict drives up the price of oil and gas, energy companies profit and households pay.”
BP’s new chief executive Meg O’Neill, who took over at the helm on April 1, said the group was ensuring fuel supplies are met across the UK.
She said: “The teams across BP are playing their part to keep oil, gas and refined products flowing during an incredibly challenging time – focused on maintaining safe, reliable and cost-efficient operations.”
She added: “We are working with customers and governments to get fuel where it’s needed, helping minimise disruption and the impact it can have on people’s lives.”
Ms O’Neill took over from Murray Auchincloss, who himself served only two years in the role after succeeeding Bernard Looney’s three-year tenure. Prior to the recent regular changes, Bob Dudley spent a full decade in the job up to 2020.
BP have struggled with strategy direction and the transition to clean energy, first doubling down on their green plan before an abrupt about-face turn.
In share price terms, the results saw BP rise 2.5 per cent in early trading on Tuesday, adding to a surge of more than 28 per cent in the past three months alone, as investors watched a soaring oil price and predicted the profits to come.
“In February, BP announced it was halting share buybacks as weak oil prices hurt profitability. How times change,” said Freetrade’s investment writer, Duncan Ferris.
“The firm has been among the best-performing supermajors since the escalation of conflict in Iran. Higher oil prices, and the opportunities they offer to the company’s traders, have breathed life into a stock battered by faltering low-carbon projects and investor unrest.”
Oil prices have raced higher since the US-Israel war on Iran started on February 28 and are now more than 60% up so far this year.
Brent crude reached close to 120 dollars a barrel at one stage and, despite falling back, is still above the 100 dollars level as peace talks falter and amid fears over a looming global energy supply crisis.
BP’s update showed its customers and products division – including its oil trading unit – reported profits of 2.5 billion (£1.84 billion), compared with 1.4 billion dollars (£1.03 billion) in the previous quarter and just 103 million dollars (£76.2 million) a year ago as traders were able to capitalise on highly volatile oil prices.
Additional reporting by PA
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