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Britain sliding ‘into economic crisis’ over £85bn sickness bill, ex-John Lewis boss warns

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Britain sliding ‘into economic crisis’ over £85bn sickness bill, ex-John Lewis boss warns


Emer MoreauBusiness reporter

Getty Images Commuters walking in shadow next to a glass building.Getty Images

The number of sick and disabled people out of work is putting the UK at risk of an “economic inactivity crisis” that threatens the country’s prosperity, according to a new report.

There were 800,000 more people out of work now than in 2019 due to health conditions, costing employers £85bn a year, according to the review by former John Lewis boss Sir Charlie Mayfield.

The problem could worsen without intervention, but Sir Charlie, who will lead a taskforce aimed at helping people return to work, said this was “not inevitable”.

The move has been broadly welcomed, but some business groups said Labour’s Employment Rights Bill included some disincentives to hiring people with existing illnesses.

One in five working age people were out of work, and not seeking work, according to the report, which was commissioned by the Department for Work and Pensions but produced independently.

Without intervention, another 600,000 people could leave work due to health reasons by the end of the decade.

Sir Charlie said sickness cost employers £85bn a year through issues including lost productivity and sick pay, but it also cost the broader economy.

“Work is generally good for health and health is good for work,” he told BBC Breakfast.

He added that the rise in sickness was being driven by a “surge” in mental health issues among young people and muscular skeletal issues, aches and joint pain in older people that was leading them to leave work.

“For employers, sickness and staff turnover bring disruption, cost and lost experience,” he said. “For the country, it means weaker growth, higher welfare spending and greater pressure on the NHS.”

Illness-related inactivity costs the UK economy £212bn annually, by some estimates, or nearly 70% of income tax, through lost output, increased welfare payments and additional burdens on the NHS.

The independent Office for Budget Responsibility has forecast that the bill for health and disability benefits for working age people alone is set to rise to about £72.3bn in 2029-30.

People could be encouraged to stay in work if health is viewed as “a shared responsibility between employers, employees and health services”, he said.

Sir Charlie added his taskforce would work with GPs who say they find it difficult to judge whether or not a person is suitable to work while they are ill, but are asked to issue sick notes by patients.

The report comes as the government tries to move ahead with its Employment Rights Bill – which some businesses say will stifle growth.

The proposed new law includes a right to guaranteed hours and cracks down on zero-hour contracts without the offer of work.

Retailers understand the importance of supportive workplaces, chief executive of the British Retail Consortium Helen Dickinson said, adding that many already invest in programmes to support workers with ill health or disabilities.

However, she said the government’s goals and its policies, such as the Workers Rights Bill, were “at odds with one another”.

“While encouraging employers to invest in workforce health and provide flexibility, they risk making it more difficult,” she said.

“In its current form, the Employment Rights Bill would make it harder for retailers to continue offering as many crucial flexible roles.”

Chancellor Rachel Reeves is also aiming to guarantee paid work to young people who have been out of a job for 18 months.

Those who do not take up the offer could face being stripped of their benefits.

‘I want to find a job’

Loz Sandom has mental and physical health conditions which has made it difficult to find a job, and the last time they worked was a year ago.

“I am willing to do the work, and I want to. I want to find a job,” said the 28-year-old, who has a degree in illustration and has previously worked as a digital marketing executive.

With support from the charity Scope, Loz is looking for an employer willing to accommodate the adjustments they would need in a workplace.

Loz said that part of the challenge was employers did not realise they had “a duty to provide reasonable adjustments”.

A female presenting person with dark rimmed glasses, a nose piercing, and hooped earings, and shortish dark hair - they are sitting being interviewed in a computer room

“It’s such a shame because they’re missing out on so many fantastic disabled people that can do fabulous jobs.

“And I’m not blaming employers entirely. They need support as well,” Loz added. “There are things that can be put in place to help employers, help save people.”

Responding to the report, the government announced a major partnership with over 60 companies, many of them large employers, to “tackle the rising tide of ill-health that is pushing people out of work”.

The companies include Tesco, Google UK, Nando’s and John Lewis.

Over the next three years, they will “develop and refine workplace health approaches” which aim to “reduce sickness absence, improve return-to-work rates, and increase disability employment rate”.

The government is aiming to develop these changes into a voluntary certified standard by 2029.

Speaking to the BBC, Work and Pensions Secretary Pat McFadden said the report was a “win-win for employees and employers because it’s aimed at keeping people with sickness issues or developing disability issues in work”.

“That’s in the interests of employers because these are good experienced staff and it’s in the interests of employees too because most people want to stay in work if they possibly can.”

The Resolution Foundation think tank’s chief executive Ruth Curtice said: “The review has accurately identified a culture of fear, a dearth of support and structural barriers to work as key challenges to overcome in turning the tide for Britain’s economic inactivity problem – which is currently trending in the wrong direction.”

The CIPD, which represents HR professionals, welcomed the government’s vision for a preventative approach to illness in the workplace.

But its chief executive Peter Cheese said: “The report’s success will depend on the extent to which these recommendations are understood by business in driving positive outcomes and backed by policy makers at a national and regional level.”

Dr Roman Raczka, president of the British Psychological Society, welcomed a shift towards “rehumanising the workplace” but noted that “not everyone will be clinically well enough to be considering a return to employment”.

“While being in employment can improve a person’s mental health and wellbeing in certain circumstances, it is vital that we should adopt a thoughtful approach to those too sick to work.

“The workplace itself can be a root cause of poor mental health.

“Those signed off with sickness, deserve timely access to safe and compassionate care, with support from psychologically informed mental health professionals.”

With additional reporting from Erica Witherington

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Wegovy pill approved by US FDA for weight loss

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Wegovy pill approved by US FDA for weight loss


The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has approved a pill version of the weight-loss drug Wegovy, according to pharmaceutical giant Novo Nordisk.

It is the first pill of its kind to receive approval from the regulator, marking a new era for weight-loss drugs.

Wegovy’s Danish makers Novo Nordisk said the once-daily pill was a “convenient option” to the injectable and would provide the same weight loss as the shot. It comes after Wegovy was approved by the FDA specifically for weight loss.

Others like Ozempic, which has similar weight-loss effects, were primarily approved for the treatment of Type 2 diabetes.

The BBC has contacted the FDA for comment.

The Wegovy pill showed an average weight loss of 16.6% during Novo Nordisk’s trials, the firm said on Monday.

A third of around 1,300 participants experienced 20% or greater weight loss in the same trial, it added.

The pill is expected to be launched in the US in early January 2026.

“Patients will have a convenient, once-daily pill that can help them lose as much weight as the original Wegovy injection,” said Mike Doustdar, the firm’s chief executive.

The pill version of Wegovy could give Novo Nordisk’s sales a boost after a challenging year which saw its shares slide as it warned over its profits.

The company has faced intense competition in the weight-loss market from rival drugmakers like Eli Lilly.

Novo Nordisk’s shares rose by almost 10% in after-hours trade in New York after the announcement.



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FDA approves first GLP-1 pill for obesity from Wegovy maker Novo Nordisk

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FDA approves first GLP-1 pill for obesity from Wegovy maker Novo Nordisk


The logo of pharmaceutical company Novo Nordisk is displayed in front of its offices in Bagsvaerd, on the outskirts of Copenhagen, Denmark, Nov. 24, 2025.

Tom Little | Reuters

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration on Monday approved the first-ever GLP-1 pill for obesity from Wegovy maker Novo Nordisk, a landmark decision that health experts say could open up treatment access to more patients.

Novo Nordisk said it expects to launch the pill in early 2026. The Danish drugmaker said starting in early January, the starting dose of 1.5 milligrams will be available in pharmacies and via select telehealth providers with savings offers for $149 per month.

That’s the same price that cash-paying patients can access the starting dose of the pill on President Donald Trump’s direct-to-consumer website, TrumpRx, under a deal Novo Nordisk struck with his administration last month. Trump’s site also launches in January.

Novo Nordisk did not say how much higher doses of the drug would cost, but said additional information on coverage and savings options for eligible patients will be available at that time as well.

Shares of Novo Nordisk gained roughly 9% in extended trading Monday.

The FDA’s approval also clears the pill for use to reduce the risk of major cardiovascular events, such as death, heart attack or stroke, in adults with obesity and established cardiovascular disease, according to Novo Nordisk. That’s consistent with the approval label of the company’s blockbuster weight loss drug Wegovy, which shares the same active ingredient, semaglutide.

The move gives Novo Nordisk a head start over chief rival Eli Lilly, which is currently the dominant player in the market and is racing to launch its own obesity pill. Pills are the next battleground for the two drugmakers, which established the booming GLP-1 space that some analysts say could be worth roughly $100 billion by the 2030s.

Wall Street thinks there’s plenty of room for pills in the market, with Goldman Sachs analyst saying in August that pills could capture a 24% share — or around $22 billion — of the 2030 global weight loss drug market.

“What we’ve learned through years of research is that having an oral option really kind of opens up, activates and motivates different segments to seek treatment,” Dave Moore, Novo Nordisk’s executive vice president of U.S. operations, told CNBC ahead of the approval. “To have that conversation with their doctor to see if this is something that might be right for them.”

“That’s what we’re excited about — to be able to give people an option and make sure we have access and ease of access like we have been doing with our injections,” he continued.

The approval is based on a phase three trial that followed more than 300 adults with obesity but not diabetes.

In that study, a 25-milligram dose of Novo Nordisk’s oral semaglutide helped patients lose up to 16.6% of their weight on average after 64 weeks, according to results from the trial presented at a medical conference in 2024. That weight loss was 13.6% when the company analyzed all patients regardless of whether they stopped the drug.

The pill appears to be slightly more effective than an experimental oral drug from Eli Lilly, which is still waiting for FDA approval.

But unlike Novo Nordisk’s pill, Eli Lilly’s treatment is not a peptide medication. That means it is absorbed more easily by the body and does not require dietary restrictions. People who take Novo Nordisk’s pill have to wait 30 minutes before eating or drinking each day.

Moore said the prices of the pill get costs closer to what some people are paying for unapproved, compounded versions of branded GLP-1s, some of which are still being illegally mass marketed and sold in the U.S.

Patients flocked to the cheaper copycats when Ozempic and Wegovy were in short supply over the last two years due to skyrocketing demand, or if they didn’t have insurance coverage for the costly treatments. During FDA-declared shortages, pharmacists can legally make compounded versions of brand-name medications. But the agency earlier this year determined that the shortage of semaglutide is over, barring the practice in most cases.

“It continues to be alarming and disturbing for us,” Moore told CNBC, referring to illegitimate ingredients that are imported into the U.S. illegally and used by some compounding pharmacies to create copycat versions of GLP-1s.

This is breaking news. Please refresh for updates.



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Why Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders might opt for Paramount’s offer — and why they might not

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Why Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders might opt for Paramount’s offer — and why they might not


Ted Sarandos, CEO of Netflix and David Zaslav, CEO of Warner Bros. Discovery.

Mario Anzuoni | Mike Blake | Reuters

Hours before Warner Bros. Discovery agreed to sell its studio and streaming assets to Netflix, Ted Sarandos, the co-CEO of Netflix, called WBD CEO David Zaslav to inform him Netflix wouldn’t be bidding any higher.

WBD shareholders now have a chance to call Sarandos’ bluff.

WBD shareholders have until Jan. 8 to tender their shares to Paramount for $30 in cash, though that deadline may be artificial. Paramount can extend it all the way to WBD’s annual meeting, which hasn’t been set yet but this year took place June 2.

If Paramount acquires 51% of outstanding WBD shares, it would control the company, even though the WBD board already agreed to sell the company’s studio and streaming assets to Netflix. Both Netflix and Paramount can use the coming days and weeks to speak with WBD shareholders to gauge whether they’d like to take Paramount’s offer or stick with the board’s recommendation to sell to Netflix.

To tender or not to tender, that is the question. There are sound arguments for both sides. The decision also presents a game theory element for shareholders who may simply want a bidding war rather than caring about the right buyer.

To tender

David Ellison, CEO of Paramount Skydance, exits following an interview at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., December 8, 2025.

Brendan Mcdermid | Reuters

Paramount’s bid is also all cash, while Netflix’s bid includes 16% equity with a so-called “collar,” which means shareholders won’t know exactly how much Netflix stock they’ll actually receive until the deal closes.

As for regulatory approval, Paramount has played up arguments that a combined Netflix and HBO Max streaming business would be anticompetitive. Netflix has more than 300 million global paying customers. The idea of the largest streamer buying HBO Max has already raised concerns with politicians, including President Donald Trump, who said there may be a “market share” issue with a Netflix deal.

While Paramount would combine Paramount+ with HBO Max, Paramount+ has about 80 million subscribers, presenting less of a risk to competition.

The second, more nuanced argument to tender is to maximize upside even if the assets ultimately go to Netflix.

Ellison has already made it known Paramount’s $30-per-share offer isn’t best and final. Tendering could cause Netflix to come back with a higher offer, which may then prompt Paramount to raise its bid as well.

GAMCO Investors chairman and CEO Mario Gabelli told CNBC earlier this month “the notion of Company A and Company B having a bidding war — that’s what we like as part of the free market system.”

He added last week that while he was previously leaning toward tendering his shares to Paramount, “the most important part is to keep it in play.”

Not to tender

Other shareholders may believe, in contrast, that not tendering is the best way of jumpstarting a bidding war. If Paramount sees that it’s not getting traction with shareholders as the annual meeting gets closer, it may raise its bid to get more shareholders on board.

There are additional reasons not to tender. Shareholders may want the Netflix and Discovery Global equity portion of the Netflix proposal.

In a WBD filing last week, the company said a mystery “Company C” proposed to acquire Discovery Global and its 20% stake in WBD’s streaming and studios business for $25 billion in cash. That bid was rejected by the WBD board as “not actionable.”

Still, the mystery bid suggests there may be an interested buyer in all of Discovery Global if it gets spun out, which could result in far more than $1 per share, according to Rich Greenfield, an analyst at LightShed Partners. That’s a good reason not to tender, he said, because it makes the Netflix offer much more valuable than Paramount’s bid.

Ensuring WBD splits Discovery Global is also the safe play for shareholders in case regulators block a Paramount-WBD merger, Greenfield said. Since the Paramount deal is for all of WBD, including CNN, Ellison’s bid — which includes roughly $24 billion from Middle Eastern sovereign funds — may run into regulatory and political hurdles, Greenfield noted.

“You want the split to happen,” Greenfield said in an interview. “If the Paramount deal doesn’t get regulatory approval, now you’ve prevented the split from happening. You’re stuck in 2027 with declining cable networks, and you haven’t spun them off. Does the U.S. really want a company funded by more Middle Eastern money than money from the Ellisons owning CNN?”

‘Where’s Poppa?’

WBD’s board has argued part its reasoning for rejecting Paramount’s $30-per-share bid was its concern with financing, noting more funding comes from Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds than the Ellison family, which has committed about $12 billion.

Paramount altered the terms of its deal Monday to help address funding concerns. Oracle founder Larry Ellison, the father of David and one of the world’s five wealthiest people, agreed to provide “an irrevocable personal guarantee of $40.4 billion of the equity financing for the offer and any damages claims against Paramount,” should the existing financing fall through, Paramount said in a statement.

Paramount also said Monday it will publish records confirming the Ellison family trust “owns approximately 1.16 billion shares of Oracle common stock and that all material liabilities of the Ellison family trust are publicly disclosed.” Paramount has said the family trust will backstop the financing. WBD’s board had previously argued the trust is an “opaque entity,” preferring a direct commitment from the Ellisons.

Notably, even with the Monday announcement, the Ellisons haven’t increased their personal equity investment, which still stands at $12 billion. Internally, some WBD executives have cited the 1970 Carl Reiner movie “Where’s Poppa?” when speaking about the bid, according to a person familiar with the matter. WBD has pushed for the Ellisons to commit more personal money to the deal.

Still, a WBD shareholder may not care where the funding is coming from as long as it’s there. The three SWFs involved in the deal are the Saudi Arabian Public Investment Fund (PIF), Abu Dhabi’s L’imad Holding Company and the Qatar Investment Authority (QIA). The PIF and QIA, in particular, are known institutions that have contributed billions of dollars to other U.S.-based deals.



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