Business
Business news live – Pound climbs against the dollar, FTSE 100 hits new record high
House prices on the rise again – but one property type is bucking the trend
Nationwide data shows prices are up 0.5 per cent month to month, keeping annual prices rising at 2.2 per cent.
But the statistics show there are major differences in price changes between the north and south of the UK, as well as in the property type.
Semi-detached properties rose 3.4 per cent over the last 12 months, while detached (2.5 per cent) and terraced (2.4 per cent) saw slightly slower price rises. The cost of flats continues to decline, seeing average prices fall by 0.3 per cent.
Karl Matchett1 October 2025 16:00
Business and Money live – 1 October
Morning all, new economic data this week continues to paint a general picture of slow, perhaps grudging, growth in multiple areas – but not manufacturing.
We saw in GDP data that it had been hit in the second quarter and more numbers today back that up.
Karl Matchett1 October 2025 10:50
Manufacturing falls in ‘worrying news’ for industry
The latest data on UK manufacturing PMI from S&P shows a September slowdown, hot on the heels of ONS’ data showing the sector fell in the second three months of the year.
Rob Dobson, director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said: “The final Manufacturing PMI results provide further worrying news for the health of UK industry.”
Commenting on what it might mean going forward, Mike Thornton, head of industrials at RSM UK, said: “The latest fall in manufacturing activity in September was another blow for the sector, showing a continued downward trend rather than a seasonal dip in August.
“The output index has dropped to 45.7, the lowest level since March, signalling a sharp slowdown in production levels as weak demand, falling new orders and subdued export activity continue to weigh heavily on the sector.
“This sustained contraction suggests manufacturers are scaling back operations to mitigate deteriorating market conditions, with little sign of a rebound in the short term. Businesses should therefore expect a stagnant outlook for the remainder of the year.”
Karl Matchett1 October 2025 10:58
UK business confidence plunges to lowest level on record
Business confidence slumped to its lowest level on record last month amid concerns over soaring costs, according to a new survey of company bosses.
Data from the Institute of Directors (IoD) showed that firms said higher labour costs has been the biggest contributor to growing pessimism about the economy.
The industry group’s monthly economic confidence index, which measures business leader optimism about the prospects of the UK economy, posted a minus 74 reading for September.
It marked a significant decline from minus 61 and struck the lowest level since the index was launched more than nine years ago.
Karl Matchett1 October 2025 11:02
Pound strengthens against the dollar after government shutdown
The US government is now in shutdown, with the two parties not managing to agree a funding plan.
While stock markets have generally not reacted too much to this outcome – futures show the S&P 500 down about 0.5 per cent – the dollar has weakened further.
That means you are right now getting more for your money if you are heading to the US.
£1 is now $1.3465, up almost 0.2 per cent today.
It was slightly higher earlier and we can expect a little more movement across the day.
At the start of the year it was $1.2521 – it’s up more than 7.3 per cent since then.
Karl Matchett1 October 2025 11:20
FTSE 100 surges to new record high
The City is cheering new FTSE 100 highs today, as the benchmark index topped 9,400 points for the first time ever.
After rising 0.7 per cent this morning, it’s currently around 9,414 points.
The highest risers include pharma trio AstraZeneca (up 6.1%), Hikma (3.6%) and GSK (2.5%).
“AstraZeneca, Hikma and GSK rallied after Donald Trump announced plans to launch a government-run website for consumers to buy drugs directly from manufacturers. It looks like investors are regaining confidence in the pharma sector following recent uncertainty around pricing and tariffs. More clarity on both points is helping to regain investors’ interest,” explained Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.
Karl Matchett1 October 2025 11:40
Greggs sales growth cools after July heatwave deters consumers
Greggs has revealed its sales rose in recent months but blamed unusually hot July weather and a tough consumer backdrop for a slowdown in growth.
The high street bakery chain, with 2,675 shops in the UK, has continued to expand its sprawling estate across the country.
It reported a 6.1% increase in sales over the third quarter of 2025, compared with the same period a year ago.
On a like-for-like basis, which strips out the impact of new shop openings, sales growth across company-managed shops slowed to 1.5% year on year.
Karl Matchett1 October 2025 12:00
Key deadline approaching if you have a side hustle
Another reminder that 5 October is fast approaching – and that’s the deadline to register for self assessment if you have a side hustle and your income from it is beyond £1000.
To put that in perspective if you’re on Vinted, eBay and anywhere else – that’s only an average of £20 a week means you surpass that threshold.
Kate Steere, money expert at Finder, said: “Side hustles are becoming increasingly popular as household budgets are squeezed by inflation, but many people don’t realise they could be liable for tax even if they’re earning a relatively small amount on the side each month. All it takes is earning more than £80 a month, and you’ve exceeded the £1,000 yearly limit.
“If you’re in this boat, while you don’t need to submit your tax return until the end of January, you do need to register for Self Assessment before 5 October.
“Miss this, and you could face a failure-to-notify penalty. While you’re at it, why not give your future self a break by opening a dedicated business account? Separating your personal finances from your side hustle income will make the whole process that much smoother when it comes to filing your tax return.”
Karl Matchett1 October 2025 12:20
Young adults turn to TikTok more than uni for financial information
Credit card firm Aqua have released results of a survey of 500 young adults (18-24 year olds) and, while a small sample size, the results are eye opening.
The top financial lessons they wish they’d known earlier are ‘how to invest’ (21%), ‘how to budget’ (19%) and detail around what credit scores mean (18%).
Perhaps more notable is where they are going for this.
18-24-year-olds are more likely to turn to TikTok (22.2%) than to their university (15.8%) for financial guidance, reads the report.
Good that they are going out and trying to find the information, of course, but be wary on social media – there’s a lot of misinformed or outright incorrect stuff on there.
Always ensure you’re using reputable accounts, persons or companies if that’s where you go for info.
Aqua’s Sharvan Selvam said: “These results show that many young people feel underprepared when it comes to managing their money, especially around credit and budgeting. It’s worrying to see such high levels of stress around finances at such a formative stage in life, and it highlights the need for more practical, accessible guidance.”
Karl Matchett1 October 2025 12:40
Royal Mail to take over thousands of UK convenience stores
International Distribution Services (IDS), the firm which owns the postal service, has concluded a purchase of 49 per cent of shares in parcel company Collect+, with part of the deal meaning about 8,000 stores will now be branded Royal Mail.
It means high street stores will sell postage over the counter and customers can pay bills in person rather than only online.
The deal, which is worth £43.9m, will also see self-service kiosks installed in some shops next year, extended opening hours including weekends and evenings – plus retaining the normal operations of Collect+, which include sending and returning parcels from other carriers.
Karl Matchett1 October 2025 13:00
Business
Rolls-Royce profits soar after major UK and US defence orders
Rolls-Royce has announced a significant surge in its annual profit, climbing by £1 billion, alongside an upgraded financial outlook for the coming years.
The engineering powerhouse attributed this robust performance to substantial military aircraft orders and burgeoning demand for powering data centres.
The company reported an underlying operating profit of £3.5 billion for 2025, marking a 40 per cent increase from the £2.5 billion achieved in the previous year.
Underlying revenues also surpassed £20 billion over the period, representing approximately a tenth’s rise compared to 2024.
This impressive growth was fuelled by strong profit and sales across its civil aerospace, defence, and power divisions.
Rolls-Royce highlighted particularly strong demand for its defence products, securing major orders throughout 2025. The firm stated its various business units are well-positioned to capitalise on “key global trends” in the years ahead.
This included contracts worth more than £1.5 billion with the UK’s Ministry of Defence and the US’s Department of War for EJ200 and AE 2100 engines to power military aircraft.
New orders for the Eurofighter aircraft engines from Italy, Germany and Spain, as well as export agreements from Turkey, will drive production into the 2030s, it said.
Furthermore, Rolls-Royce said it was benefiting from growing demand for power generation, driven by data centres with revenues up by more than a third.
Rolls-Royce said it was now expecting underlying operating profits to increase to between £4.9 billion and £5.2 billion by 2028 following the strengthened financial performance in 2025.
This is significantly higher than the £3.6 billion to £3.9 billion range that it had previously been targeting.
Chief executive Tufan Erginbilgic said growth would not have been possible “before our transformation”, with the business making £600 million worth of cost savings since 2022.
“With our new capabilities and mindset, we have navigated challenges from supply chain to tariffs, and delivered a strong performance in 2025, all while we built the foundations for significant growth for years to come,” he said.
“Based on our 2026 guidance, we expect to deliver underlying operating profit within the prior mid-term guidance range two years earlier than planned.
“Beyond the mid-term we continue to see significant growth from existing businesses as well as from new business opportunities.”
Business
Gold Could Hit 7500 Per Ounce: Gold in ‘structural repricing phase’, could hit $6,000 in 12 months: Report – The Times of India
Gold’s long-term outlook remains bullish as global de-dollarisation, rising fiscal stress and escalating geopolitical tensions reshape the global financial order, according to a report by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd (MOFSL).In its latest Precious Metals Quarterly Report, the brokerage said gold prices crossed the $5,000 per ounce mark in early 2026, marking one of the strongest long-term bull phases in modern history.The firm said gold has entered a “structural repricing phase,” signalling the beginning of a new supercycle rather than a short-term cyclical rally.
Target of $6,000 in 12 months, $7,500 medium term
MOFSL expects Comex gold to settle towards $6,000 per ounce — equivalent to around Rs 1.85 lakh per 10 grams domestically — over the next 12 months. It also sees the potential for prices to move towards $7,500 per ounce in the medium term if geopolitical and fiscal pressures intensify.“The long-term outlook for gold remains positive. As global reserves gradually diversify away from dollar-centric assets and physical supply remains constrained, gold prices are likely to stay supported around and above $5,000 per ounce,” Navneet Damani, head of research, Commodities, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, said, as quoted by news agency PTI.Damani added that the current cycle is being driven not just by inflation, but by confidence — or the lack of it — in fiscal and monetary systems.
Gold rises despite positive real rates
The report highlighted that gold continued to climb even when real interest rates were positive between 2023 and 2025 — a period when prices would typically decline.This trend indicates that investors are increasingly worried about mounting global debt levels and the long-term stability of fiscal and monetary frameworks.“Gold’s strength despite positive real interest rates shows a clear shift in investor thinking. Real returns are increasingly seen as temporary and policy-driven, which reduces the cost of holding gold and strengthens its role as a safeguard against broader financial risks,” Manav Modi, analyst – commodities, MOFSL, said.
Geopolitical tensions, supply constraints add support
According to the report, rising geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe, the Middle East and Asia, along with renewed trade tensions and tariff-related disruptions, have heightened inflation and currency volatility, making gold more attractive as a neutral and reliable asset.Damani noted that as fiscal stress increases and questions emerge over monetary independence, gold’s role as non-sovereign money has gained prominence, leading to a structural shift in demand.The brokerage also pointed to tight global physical supply conditions supporting prices. Limited mine output, shrinking inventories across major exchanges and rising production costs have kept precious metal prices elevated.
Domestic demand and central bank buying
On the domestic front, rupee depreciation and strong retail demand have further supported gold prices. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen renewed inflows after years of decline, the report said.Central banks have remained consistent buyers, adding around 1,000 tonnes of gold annually for four consecutive years as part of efforts to diversify reserves and reduce reliance on dollar-based assets.Overall, MOFSL expects gold to remain well supported over the long term, driven by reserve diversification, constrained supply growth and ongoing global economic and geopolitical uncertainty.
Business
LSEG boosts returns for shareholders amid activist investor pressure
The London Stock Exchange Group has unveiled plans for a £3 billion share buyback amid pressure from an activist investor and as artificial intelligence fears have hammered the stock.
LSEG said it would follow £2.1 billion in buybacks made last year with another £3 billion by February next year, on top of a hike in dividend payouts.
Details of the pledge to step up returns for investors came as it reported underlying operating profits of £3.51 billion for 2025, up 10.8% or 14.7% higher on a constant currency basis.
On a bottom line basis, pre-tax profits jumped 56.5% to £1.97 billion for 2025.
Shares in the group rose as much as 5% in Thursday morning trading, in a welcome increase after the stock has been battered in recent weeks by global investor concerns over the impact of AI on its firm and data companies more widely.
Shares in the firm, which makes a significant chunk of its earnings from selling access to markets data, have slumped by nearly a third in the past year.
Activist investor Elliott Management has also built up a stake in the firm earlier this month and has reportedly been pushing for more share buybacks as it has held talks with LSEG bosses.
In the face of the recent shares slump, chief executive David Schwimmer said recent results showed “another year of very strong financial performance”.
He said: “In the fourth quarter alone, major financial institutions signed long-term contracts worth £1.9 billion to access our leading data and workflow.”
“With our LSEG Everywhere data strategy, we are positioning ourselves as the partner of choice for licensed, trusted data as the use of AI in decision-making scales – and we are seeing very positive signs of adoption,” he added.
It outlined new performance guidance for 2027 to 2029, with aims to deliver “mid to high single digit” growth in total income and further increase profitability.
Despite taking a significant stake in LSEG, the Financial Times newspaper reported earlier this week that Elliott has made assurances to the UK government over its intentions for LSEG as speculation mounted it would look to push for a break-up of the firm or for it to switch its listing to New York.
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