Business
Commercial real estate deal-making slows again in November
A version of this article first appeared in the CNBC Property Play newsletter with Diana Olick. Property Play covers new and evolving opportunities for the real estate investor, from individuals to venture capitalists, private equity funds, family offices, institutional investors and large public companies. Sign up to receive future editions, straight to your inbox.
For the second month in a row, heat came out of the commercial real estate market in November.
Transaction volume was 10% lower than November 2024, with just 1,800 deals overall, according to monthly data provided by Moody’s as a media exclusive to CNBC’s Property Play. It tracks the top 50 commercial real estate property sales across the U.S., in core segments of multifamily, office, industrial, retail and hotel.
October was the first month of negative year-over-year transaction volume growth since the post-Fed rate hike recovery began in early 2024, but this was not just a continuation of that trend. November transactions were even lower than November 2020, the first year of the Covid pandemic.
“This stems from the combination of higher-for-longer interest rates, policy uncertainty, a tenuous labor market, and caution on the part of CRE lenders and investors,” said Kevin Fagan, head of CRE capital market research at Moody’s. “However, market liquidity is still selectively open at two-thirds the volume of pre-pandemic, with a concentration in greater scale.”
Investors are leaning toward larger-scale acquisitions and bigger, higher-quality assets. For example, all transaction sizes dropped markedly, during the month, except those sales greater than $100 million, which were 51% higher year over year. That pushed the average deal size in November to $14.2 million, compared with an average of $12 million since the start of 2019. In addition, the majority of assets in the top 50 sales were Class A.
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“The trading this month is consistent with late-cycle barbelling, where there is a focus on durable trends, like demand for housing, logistics, and digital infrastructure,” said Fagan.
Multifamily saw the majority of November deals, recording 20 transactions, followed by office with 11 and industrial with eight.
Fagan noted that among the office deals, there is an “overall loosening,” and the market process for determining the true, fair price has become more efficient, faster and more reliable.
He also said he sees a story emerging around nearly all of the office deals in the top 50, “where the offices are either purchased for mission critical facilities, because they have some specialty use, they are conversion opportunities, or they came with discounted prices.”
Office continued to see some big discount deals, like 114 West 41st St. in New York City, bought by Axonic Capital from Clarion Partners at a 53% discount to the prior sale.
Companies are also increasingly focusing on the most essential office properties. They want more control over where they operate and how much they pay for the real estate, especially given today’s discounted prices.
Examples of that include Novartis buying a large Durham, North Carolina, campus-style facility, First Citizens buying in San Francisco, and Alo Yoga buying and occupying in Beverly Hills, California.
Medical office, which we recently reported on in this newsletter, continues to see outsized activity because of strong demand. It is not included in Moody’s core count but accounted for the top sale of November.
A $7.2 billion medical office portfolio of 296 properties in 34 states was sold by Welltower to a joint venture of Remedy Medical Properties and Kayne Anderson Real Estate. This acquisition makes the partnership the nation’s largest owner of outpatient medical buildings, with 1,104 properties in 44 states, according to a Remedy release.
Big portfolio deals like that were a defining feature of November’s report, accounting for 17 of the top 50 deals, which is an increasing trend in recent years as compared with pre-pandemic, according to Fagan.
Of course data centers, one of the hottest CRE sectors today, had a big November. The second-largest sale of the month, totaling $615 million, involved three industrial properties. SDC Capital Partners purchased 97 acres of land in Leesburg, Virginia, zoned for data center development.
Business
Comcast beats revenue, earnings expectations as broadband losses improve
Comcast topped Wall Street’s revenue and earnings estimates for the first quarter on Thursday, lifted by NBC’s sports slate in February and improving broadband customer losses.
The company said it lost 65,000 broadband customers compared with 183,000 losses in the same period last year. Heightened competition from wireless providers like Verizon and T-Mobile has led to quarterly customer losses for Comcast and its cable peers in recent years – which has weighed on these companies’ stocks in particular.
In response, Comcast in the last year has shifted its strategy and introduced more competitive pricing packages in a bid to reduce the broadband losses. The company has also leaned on its mobile business for growth, which added 435,000 new lines during the quarter. In total, Comcast now has 9.7 million mobile customers.
The company also reported 322,000 cable TV customer losses – fewer than the 427,000 in the same period last year.
Revenue for Comcast’s connectivity and platforms unit, which includes its Xfinity-branded broadband, cable TV, and mobile businesses, decreased 2% to $17.32 billion.
The company’s stock climbed as much as 8% in premarket trading.
Here’s how Comcast performed for the period compared with average analyst estimates, according to LSEG:
- Earnings per share: 79 cents adjusted vs. 73 cents expected
- Revenue: $31.46 billion vs. $30.43 billion expected
Comcast’s net income fell nearly 36% to $2.17 billion, or 60 cents per share, compared to $3.38 billion, or 89 cents a share, during the same period last year. Adjusting for one-time items including amortization and investments, Comcast reported earnings per share of $0.79.
Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization were down roughly 17% to $7.93 billion.
Comcast’s overall revenue increased roughly 5% to $31.46 billion for the quarter.
Revenue got a boost from Comcast’s NBCUniversal, which aired a slate of sports – including the Super Bowl, Winter Olympics and NBA All-Star Weekend, during the quarter – that the company coined as “Legendary February.”
The media business, which is made up of NBCUniversal, recorded a nearly 61% increase in revenue to $7.28 billion during the quarter. Excluding the Olympics and Super Bowl – which provided significant boosts to advertising sales – revenue for the unit was up about 13%.
Live sports remains the highest rated programming on traditional TV and streaming, and beckon the most advertising dollars. The Super Bowl, in particular, breaks records annually when it comes to its pricey commercial spots. NBC received an average $8 million per 30-second ad, CNBC reported.
Domestic advertising for the media unit was up 135% to $3.45 billion for the quarter. Excluding the Super Bowl and Winter Olympics, it was up 4.7% to $1.54 billion.
NBC’s sports roster also helped lift streaming service Peacock during the quarter. Peacock subscribers increased 12% year over year to 46 million. Peacock nearly doubled revenue to $2.1 billion compared to the same period last year. The streamer recorded a quarterly loss of $432 million compared to a loss of $215 million in the prior year period.
Adjusted EBITDA for the media segment decreased to a loss of $426 billion due to higher operating expenses related to the costs associated with the Winter Olympics and Super Bowl, as well as the cost of the NBA rights.
NBCUniversal is part of the overall content and experiences segment, which also includes the film studio and theme parks – each of which saw sales climb year-over-year.
Revenue for the film studio was up 21% to $3.43 billion, while Universal theme parks revenue increased 24% to $2.33 billion. The theme parks were boosted by the opening of Epic Universe last May.
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Business
Oil surges past 4% as Iran keeps Hormuz locked – SUCH TV
At around 8.25 am, the benchmark US oil contract, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) climbed 4.06% to US$96.73 per barrel.
International oil benchmark Brent North Sea crude rose 3.62% to US$105.63. Both eased back in the following minutes.
Oil prices have soared since Israel and the US attacked Iran on Feb 28, and they have kept inching up due to the uncertainty over whether war will resume.
As the clock ticked for a return to the war that has engulfed the region, US President Donald Trump had said Tuesday he would maintain the truce to allow more time for Pakistani-brokered peace talks.
Iran said it welcomed the efforts by Pakistan but made no other comment on Trump’s announcement.
Wall Street stocks gained ground following President Trump’s unilateral ceasefire extension in the Iran war.
All three major US stock indexes advanced, with tech shares helping to put the Nasdaq out front, while gold advanced and the dollar edged higher.
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq reached record closing highs.
“Despite the energy shock and headlines that have inundated investors, the macroeconomy, corporate fundamentals, and consumer spending remain strong,” said Bill Merz, head of capital markets research at US Bank Wealth Management in Minneapolis.
“Investors are taking the stance that the Strait of Hormuz will open before too much damage is inflicted on the global economy.”
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards seized two vessels for maritime violations just hours after Trump agreed to extend the ceasefire until negotiations are concluded.
About a fifth of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies normally pass through the strait.
US stocks, initially battered by the war, have since made a full recovery, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq having reached all-time closing highs in recent sessions.
But geopolitical uncertainty lingers, and a prolonged period of elevated oil prices remains a threat.
About two-thirds of the S&P 500 companies that have reported quarterly earnings since the beginning of April have voiced concerns about energy prices in their analyst conference calls, according to a Reuters review of transcripts.
“Anytime there’s a global event like the conflict in the Middle East, and it grabs so many headlines and captures attention, it will crop up in earnings commentary,” Merz added. “But we’re not seeing it significantly impact behaviour yet.”
First-quarter earnings season is well underway amid lofty expectations. Analysts currently estimate year-on-year S&P 500 earnings growth of 14.4% for the January-March period, according to the most recent LSEG data.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 341.27 points, or 0.69%, to 49,490.52, the S&P 500 +gained 73.90 points, or 1.05%, to 7,137.91, and the Nasdaq Composite was up 397.60 points, or 1.64%, to 24,657.57.
European shares ended lower for the third straight session as the Middle East strife continued to weigh on markets and investors assessed a raft of corporate earnings.
Dozens of international firms have withdrawn guidance or signalled price hikes since the war began.
MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe rose 4.52 points, or 0.42%, to 1,070.98.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index fell 0.35%, while Europe’s broad FTSEurofirst 300 index fell 8.58 points, or 0.35%.
Emerging market stocks fell 9.41 points, or 0.58%, to 1,606.07. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan closed lower by 0.6%, to 822.27, while Japan’s Nikkei .N225 rose 236.69 points, or 0.40%, to 59,585.86.
The dollar rose amid lingering geopolitical worries.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, rose 0.26% to 98.63, with the euro down 0.32% at $1.1704.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened 0.12% to 159.56.
In cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin gained 4.13% to $78,866.74. Ethereum rose 3.48% to $2,398.37.
US Treasury yields increased, rangebound amid choppy trading.
The yield on benchmark US 10-year notes rose 1.2 basis points to 4.304%, from 4.292% late on Tuesday.
The 30-year bond yield rose 1.1 basis points to 4.9091% from 4.898% late on Tuesday.
The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve, rose 2.1 basis points to 3.8%, from 3.779% late on Tuesday.
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