Business
Evergrande: Chinese property giant delisted after spectacular fall
Business reporter, BBC News
AFP via Getty ImagesChinese property giant Evergrande’s shares were taken off the Hong Kong stock market on Monday after more than a decade and a half of trading.
It marks a grim milestone for what was once China’s biggest real estate firm, with a stock market valuation of more than $50bn (£37.1bn). That was before its spectacular collapse under the weight of the huge debts that had powered its meteoric rise.
Experts say the delisting was both inevitable and final.
“Once delisted, there is no coming back,” says Dan Wang, China director at political risk consultancy Eurasia Group.
Evergrande is now best-known for its part in a crisis that has for years dragged on the world’s second-largest economy.
What happened to Evergrande?
Just a few years ago Evergrande Group was a shining example of China’s economic miracle.
Its founder and chairman Hui Ka Yan rose from humble beginnings in rural China to top the Forbes list of Asia’s wealthiest people in 2017.
His fortune has since plummeted from an estimated $45bn in 2017 to less than a billion, his fall from grace as extraordinary as his company’s.
In March 2024, Mr Hui was fined $6.5m and banned from China’s capital market for life for his company overstating its revenue by $78bn.
Liquidators are also exploring whether they can recover cash for creditors from Mr Hui’s personal property.
At the time of its collapse, Evergrande had some 1,300 projects under development in 280 cities across China.
The sprawling empire also included an electric carmaker and China’s most successful football team, Guangzhou FC, which was kicked out of the football league earlier this year after failing to pay off enough of its debts.
AFP via Getty ImagesEvergrande was built on $300bn (£222bn) of borrowed money, earning it the unenviable title of the world’s most indebted property developer.
The rot set in after Beijing brought in new rules in 2020 to control the amount big developers could borrow.
The new measures led Evergrande to offer its properties at major discounts to ensure money was coming in to keep the business afloat.
Struggling to meet interest payments, the firm soon defaulted on some of its overseas debts.
After years of legal wrangling, the Hong Kong High Court ordered the company to be wound up in January 2024.
Evergrande’s shares had been under threat of delisting ever since because they were suspended from trading after the court order.
By that point the crisis engulfing the firm had wiped more than 99% from its stock market valuation.
The liquidation order came after the company was unable to offer a workable plan to shed billions of dollars of overseas liabilities.
Earlier this month, liquidators revealed that Evergrande’s debts currently stand at $45bn and that it had so far sold just $255m of assets. They also said they believe a complete overhaul of the business “will prove out of reach”.
The “delisting now is surely symbolic but it’s such a milestone,” Ms Wang says.
All that remains is which creditors are paid and how much they can get in the bankruptcy process, says Professor Shitong Qiao from Duke University.
The next liquidation hearing is due to take place in September.
How was China’s economy impacted?
China is facing a number of major problems, including US President Donald Trump’s tariffs, high local government debt, weak consumer spending, unemployment and an ageing population.
But experts say Evergrande’s collapse, along with the serious problems faced by other developers, has hit the country hardest.
“The property slump has been the biggest drag on the economy, and the ultimate reason why consumption is suppressed,” Ms Wang says.
Getty ImagesThis is particularly problematic as the industry accounted for about a third of the Chinese economy and was a major source of income for local governments.
“I don’t think China has found a viable alternative to support its economy at a similar scale,” Professor Qiao says.
The property crisis has led to “massive layoffs” by heavily-indebted developers, Jackson Chan from financial markets research platform Bondsupermart says.
And many real estate industry employees that kept their jobs have seen big pay cuts, he adds.
The crisis is also having a major impact on many households as they tend to put their savings into property.
With housing prices dropping by at least 30%, many Chinese families have seen their savings fall in value, says Alicia Garcia-Herrero, chief economist for Asia Pacific at French bank Natixis.
This means they are less likely to spend and invest, she adds.
In response, Beijing has announced a raft of initiatives aimed at reviving the housing market, stimulating consumer spending and boosting the wider economy.
They range from measures to help new home owners and support the stock market to incentives to buy electric cars and household goods.
Despite the hundreds of billions of dollars Beijing has poured into the economy, China’s once-blistering growth has eased to “around 5%”.
While most Western countries would be more than happy with that, it’s slow for a country that saw growth of more than 10% a year as recently as 2010.
Is the property crisis over yet?
In short, probably not.
Even as Evergrande continues to grab headlines, several other Chinese property firms are still facing major challenges.
Earlier this month, China South City Holdings was handed a winding up order by Hong Kong’s High Court, making it the biggest developer to be forced into liquidation since Evergrande.
Meanwhile, rival real estate giant Country Garden is still trying to secure a deal with its creditors to write off more than $14bn of outstanding foreign debt.
After a series of postponements, its next High Court liquidation hearing in Hong Kong is due to take place in January 2026.
“The whole property sector has been in trouble. More Chinese property firms will collapse,” Professor Qiao says.
AFP via Getty ImagesWhile the Chinese government has taken a number of measures to help shore up the property market and support the economy as a whole it has not swooped in to directly bail out developers.
Mr Chan says these initiatives seem to be having a positive impact on the property market: “We think the bottom [has been reached] and it should be in a slow recovery. However, we probably don’t expect the recovery to be very strong.”
Wall Street investment giant Goldman Sachs warned in June that property prices in China will continue to fall until 2027.
Ms Wang agrees, and estimates that China’s stricken property market will “hit the bottom” in around two years when demand finally catches up with supply.
But Ms Garcia-Herrero puts it in starker terms: “there is no real light at the end of the tunnel.”
Beijing has sent a “clear message on its intention of not bailing out the housing sector,” Ms Wang adds.
The Chinese government has been careful to avoid the kind of measures that could encourage further risky behaviour by an already heavily indebted industry.
And while in the boom times, the property market was a key driver of China’s economic growth, the ruling Communist Party’s priorities now lie elsewhere.
President Xi Jinping is more focussed on high-tech industries like renewable energy, electric cars and robotics.
As Ms Wang puts it, “China is in a deep transition to a new age of development.”
Business
BP profits more than double as oil trading booms amid Iran war
BP has come under fire after revealing profits more than doubled in the first three months of the year, thanks to the soaring cost of crude caused by the Iran war.
Chief executive Meg O’Neill praised the quarter as sending the firm “in the right direction” and “strengthening the balance sheet” – but critics have labelled the energy giant’s revenues as “horrifying” as “millions suffer the fallout” from war.
The FTSE 100 firm revealed its preferred profit measure – underlying replacement cost profit – surged by over 130% to a better-than-expected $3.2bn (£2.4bn) in the first quarter, up from $1.38bn (£1.02bn) a year earlier and $1.54bn (£1.13bn) in the previous three months. Most analysts had expected first-quarter profits of $2.67bn (£1.97bn).
Campaigners accused the group of profiting at the expense of households, who have seen fuel prices rocket at the pumps and are set to see energy bills jump higher once more when the price cap is next updated on July 1.
The price of oil has risen from the mid-$60s range in February to over $100 now, spiking close to $120 several times during the course of the Iran war.
Patrick Galey, head of news investigations at campaigning organisation Global Witness, said: “It is horrifying to see BP’s profits grow as millions suffer the fallout from the US-Israel war on Iran. Unfortunately we’ve been here before – when Russia invaded Ukraine four years ago we saw big oil firms make bumper profits from spiralling fuel costs.
“As oil prices drive up bills once again, it’s clear that fossil fuel companies don’t enhance affordability or energy security, they make life worse. They destroy the climate, push up the cost of living, and rake in billions in profit while innocent civilians die.
“It’s well overdue that we make oil companies pay for the damage their doing. If they broke it, they need to fix it. It’s clear they can afford to. BP profits, we all pay.”
Mike Childs, head of science, policy and research at Friends of the Earth, added: “Just as we saw in 2022 following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, fossil fuel giants are quids in when global instability drastically inflates fuel prices.
“But again, it’s ordinary people who pay the price when soaring energy prices threaten to plunge the UK into an even deeper cost-of-living crisis.”
The End Fuel Poverty Coalition called for a windfall tax on firms profiting from the Iran-related energy crisis.
The campaign group’s co-ordinator Simon Francis said: “These astronomical profits are a startling reminder that when conflict drives up the price of oil and gas, energy companies profit and households pay.”
BP’s new chief executive Meg O’Neill, who took over at the helm on April 1, said the group was ensuring fuel supplies are met across the UK.
She said: “The teams across BP are playing their part to keep oil, gas and refined products flowing during an incredibly challenging time – focused on maintaining safe, reliable and cost-efficient operations.”
She added: “We are working with customers and governments to get fuel where it’s needed, helping minimise disruption and the impact it can have on people’s lives.”
Ms O’Neill took over from Murray Auchincloss, who himself served only two years in the role after succeeeding Bernard Looney’s three-year tenure. Prior to the recent regular changes, Bob Dudley spent a full decade in the job up to 2020.
BP have struggled with strategy direction and the transition to clean energy, first doubling down on their green plan before an abrupt about-face turn.
In share price terms, the results saw BP rise 2.5 per cent in early trading on Tuesday, adding to a surge of more than 28 per cent in the past three months alone, as investors watched a soaring oil price and predicted the profits to come.
“In February, BP announced it was halting share buybacks as weak oil prices hurt profitability. How times change,” said Freetrade’s investment writer, Duncan Ferris.
“The firm has been among the best-performing supermajors since the escalation of conflict in Iran. Higher oil prices, and the opportunities they offer to the company’s traders, have breathed life into a stock battered by faltering low-carbon projects and investor unrest.”
Oil prices have raced higher since the US-Israel war on Iran started on February 28 and are now more than 60% up so far this year.
Brent crude reached close to 120 dollars a barrel at one stage and, despite falling back, is still above the 100 dollars level as peace talks falter and amid fears over a looming global energy supply crisis.
BP’s update showed its customers and products division – including its oil trading unit – reported profits of 2.5 billion (£1.84 billion), compared with 1.4 billion dollars (£1.03 billion) in the previous quarter and just 103 million dollars (£76.2 million) a year ago as traders were able to capitalise on highly volatile oil prices.
Additional reporting by PA
Business
Strait of Hormuz blockade persists, but India’s imports of Russian oil are down from highs seen in March – here’s why – The Times of India
India’s imports of crude oil from Russia have dropped from the highs seen in March when the supply disruptions from the Middle East caused by the US-Iran war and the Strait of Hormuz closure prompted refiners to step up buys from Moscow.India’s imports of Russian crude oil have declined 20 per cent month-on-month in April to 1.57 million barrels per day, easing from the sharp surge recorded in March. The spike in March had been driven by the availability of floating cargoes during the Iran conflict, along with a temporary waiver on US sanctions. This waiver has been extended for now. Nearly all Indian refiners, except Numaligarh Refinery, are now importing Russian crude. This marks a significant shift from January, when only three refiners – namely Indian Oil, Nayara Energy and BPCL, were purchasing Russian oil after US sanctions on key Russian exporters had discouraged many buyers. Reliance resumed its Russian crude imports in February.Also Read | Iran war: Trump sanctions waiver or not – why India continues to buy Russian oil
Why are Russian crude oil imports down in April?
April volumes were affected by loading disruptions at a major Russian export terminal following a Ukrainian attack.Indian Oil Corporation remained the largest importer of Russian crude in both March and April. Between April 1 and April 26, the company imported an average of 670,000 barrels per day, accounting for roughly 42 per cent of India’s total Russian crude purchases. This was about two-and-a-half times the volume imported by Reliance Industries, which averaged 263,000 barrels per day, according to Kpler data quoted in an ET report. In March, Indian Oil had imported 589,000 barrels per day. Other major buyers in April included Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited at 136,000 barrels per day, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited at 83,000 barrels per day, Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited at 68,000 barrels per day, HPCL-Mittal Energy Limited at 66,000 barrels per day, and Nayara Energy at 28,000 barrels per day. The buyers of an additional 262,000 barrels per day could not be immediately identified.Nayara Energy’s imports dropped sharply from 315,000 barrels per day in March, largely because the Rosneft-backed refiner began a 35-day maintenance shutdown on April 9.According to Nikhil Dubey, Senior Research Analyst at Kpler, the temporary closure of the Strait of Hormuz in March prompted Indian refiners to turn to readily available floating Russian cargoes in the Indian Ocean and other regions to offset supply disruptions from the Gulf. This led to a significant jump in imports during that month.India imported nearly 2 million barrels per day of Russian crude in March, substantially higher than the 1.3 million barrels per day of India-bound cargoes loaded from Russian ports in February. The higher March arrivals were supported by floating supplies. Since Russian shipments generally take around a month to reach India, lower February loadings, which were caused by US sanctions that had curtailed Indian purchases, had an impact on subsequent arrivals.Russian crude loadings in March were estimated at around 1.5 million barrels per day, which translated into similar arrival volumes at Indian ports in April, as most of the previously available floating cargoes had already been absorbed.Dubey also noted that Ukrainian attacks on a Russian Baltic Sea terminal in March disrupted loading operations.
Business
Oil prices edge higher as Trump weighs Iran’s latest proposal to open Hormuz
Oil prices jumped on Tuesday as Donald Trump weighed Iran’s latest proposal to end the war.
The US president is unhappy with the latest Iranian proposal, a US official said on Monday. Iranian sources disclosed that Tehran’s proposal avoided addressing its nuclear programme until hostilities cease and Gulf shipping disputes are resolved.
Trump’s displeasure with the Iranian offer leaves the conflict deadlocked, with Iran shutting shipping flows through the Strait of Hormuz, which typically carries supply equal to about 20 per cent of global oil and gas consumption, and the US keeping in place its blockade of Iranian ports.
Brent crude rose to $108.13 per barrel, hovering near a three-week high, while US West Texas Intermediate went up to $96.48.
Both benchmarks are well above pre-war levels. Brent was trading at $72 before the US-Israeli war on Iran began on 28 February.
Asian stocks were broadly subdued at the opening. While MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down 0.12 per cent, hovering near the record high it touched on Monday, Nikkei fell 0.5 per cent.
The S&P 500 eked out modest gains on Monday and was on course for a nearly 10 per cent gain for April. US stock futures were 0.1 per cent higher in Asian hours.
Indian shares are set to open lower on Tuesday, with GIFT Nifty futures pointing to the benchmark Nifty 50 opening below Monday’s close of 24,092.70. Both Nifty and Sensex snapped a three-session losing run on Monday, led by a rebound in technology stocks, but the broader momentum remained constrained by unresolved tensions around the Strait of Hormuz.
Elevated oil prices are a particular headwind for India, the world’s third-largest crude importer, heightening inflation risks, pressuring economic growth and widening the country’s import bill.
Foreign portfolio investors offloaded domestic stocks worth Rs 11.5bn ($122m) on Monday, extending their selling streak to a sixth straight session.
Vessel crossings showed signs of recovery over the weekend, according to the maritime intelligence firm Windward, but analysts warned increased movement was yet to translate into a surge in oil and gas flows.
Iran reportedly offered to end its blockade of the waterway without addressing its nuclear programme, passing the proposal to Washington through Pakistani mediators. But Mr Trump has made ending Iran’s atomic programme a condition for any deal.
Central banks are also in focus this week, with the Bank of Japan, the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the European Central Bank all due to announce policy decisions. All are expected to hold rates steady, but markets will be watching closely for signals about how policymakers plan to respond to the inflationary pressure from the war.
“The BOJ is likely to stay highly sensitive to market volatility,” Fred Neumann, chief Asia economist at HSBC, told Reuters. “Our base case remains one single 25 basis point hike this year in July, but a June rate rise becomes more likely if the Strait of Hormuz is still effectively closed after mid-May.”
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