Business
Explained: Why Bitcoin is sliding — and why the pain may not be over – The Times of India
Bitcoin’s steep fall over the past few weeks has raised fears of a deeper slump, with Deutsche Bank outlining five major factors behind the decline.Analysts at the bank said they are unsure whether the cryptocurrency will stabilise soon, warning that the latest downturn is different from earlier crashes dominated by retail speculation.
Risk-off mood hits crypto
According to Decrypt, Deutsche Bank analysts said Bitcoin has been moving in line with tech stocks as global risk appetite weakens. Concerns around the broader macro environment, Donald Trump’s unpredictable trade actions, and doubts over inflated AI valuations have dragged down risk assets generally — Bitcoin included.
Hawkish Fed pressures prices
Bitcoin historically fares better when interest rates are low. However, the US Federal Reserve’s mixed messaging on whether it will cut rates again in December has hurt sentiment. This uncertainty has weighed on Bitcoin’s performance, reinforcing its sensitivity to monetary policy shifts.
Stalled Clarity Act slows adoption
The Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins (Genius) Act, passed earlier this year, boosted optimism around regulation. However, the follow-up Clarity Act, which aims to define market structure rules, has hit a wall. As per Decrypt, the delay has dampened institutional confidence and slowed adoption.
Institutional pullback after major liquidations
Institutional investors have been withdrawing following the massive $19 billion liquidation event on 10 October. As per Decrypt, Deutsche Bank analysts said that falling liquidity has made any price recovery harder. Many futures traders also exited positions, intensifying volatility.
Long-term holders cash in
After Bitcoin crossed $126,000 last month, long-time holders took profits. Around 800,000 BTC were sold in just one month — the biggest such offload since January 2024. This added further downward pressure.
A $1 trillion market wipeout
Bitcoin plunged from above $126,000 in early October to below $82,200 before recovering to around $88,500. Despite the mild rebound, nearly $5 billion has exited Bitcoin-linked investment products, and the overall crypto market cap has dropped by 24% — wiping out $1 trillion.Although often compared to gold or US treasuries, Bitcoin has behaved “more like a high-growth tech stock,” according to Deutsche Bank. The bank’s analysts wrote that Bitcoin’s correlation with the Nasdaq 100 stands at 46% this year, while its link with the S&P 500 is 42% — levels similar to the Covid-19 crisis in 2022, as per Decrypt. Gold and treasuries, meanwhile, have outperformed it.Analysts cited comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and Governor Lisa Cook, which cast doubt on expectations of a December rate cut. This uncertainty could cause further weakness, with Bitcoin’s correlation with Fed rates at -13% this year.
Liquidity shock continues to hurt the market
The October crash created a liquidity vacuum that still hasn’t fully healed. Deutsche Bank, citing Kaiko data, noted that major exchanges saw order books collapse, with “ask-side liquidity effectively absent for several minutes.” This scared off market makers and deepened the price drop. The bank said the resulting negative loop between shrinking liquidity and falling prices continues to weigh on Bitcoin.
Business
India’s $5 Trillion Economy Push Explained: Why Modi Govt Wants To Merge 12 Banks Into 4 Mega ‘World-Class’ Lending Giants
India’s Public Sector Banks Merger: The Centre is mulling over consolidating public-sector banks, and officials involved in the process say the long-term plan could eventually bring down the number of state-owned lenders from 12 to possibly just 4. The goal is to build a banking system that is large enough in scale, has deeper capital strength and is prepared to meet the credit needs of a fast-growing economy.
The minister explained that bigger banks are better equipped to support large-scale lending and long-term projects. “The country’s economy is moving rapidly toward the $5 trillion mark. The government is active in building bigger banks that can meet rising requirements,” she said.
Why India Wants Larger Banks
Sitharaman recently confirmed that the government and the Reserve Bank of India have already begun detailed conversations on another round of mergers. She said the focus is on creating “world-class” banks that can support India’s expanding industries, rising infrastructure investments and overall credit demand.
She clarified that this is not only about merging institutions. The government and RBI are working on strengthening the entire banking ecosystem so that banks grow naturally and operate in a stable environment.
According to her, the core aim is to build stronger, more efficient and globally competitive banks that can help sustain India’s growth momentum.
At present, the country has a total of 12 public sector banks: the State Bank of India (SBI), the Punjab National Bank (PNB), the Bank of Baroda, the Canara Bank, the Union Bank of India, the Bank of India, the Indian Bank, the Central Bank of India, the Indian Overseas Bank (IOB) and the UCO Bank.
What Happens To Employees After Merger?
Whenever bank mergers are discussed, employees become anxious. A merger does not only combine balance sheets; it also brings together different work cultures, internal systems and employee expectations.
In the 1990s and early 2000s, several mergers caused discomfort among staff, including dissatisfaction over new roles, delayed promotions and uncertainty about reporting structures. Some officers who were promoted before mergers found their seniority diluted afterward, which created further frustration.
The finance minister addressed the concerns, saying that the government and the RBI are working together on the merger plan. She stressed that earlier rounds of consolidation had been successful. She added that the country now needs large, global-quality banks “where every customer issue can be resolved”. The focus, she said, is firmly on building world-class institutions.
‘No Layoffs, No Branch Closures’
She made one point unambiguous: no employee will lose their job due to the upcoming merger phase. She said that mergers are part of a natural process of strengthening banks, and this will not affect job security.
She also assured that no branches will be closed and no bank will be shut down as part of the consolidation exercise.
India last carried out a major consolidation drive in 2019-20, reducing the number of public-sector banks from 21 to 12. That round improved the financial health of many lenders.
With the government preparing for the next phase, the goal is clear. India wants large and reliable banks that can support a rapidly growing economy and meet the needs of a country expanding faster than ever.
Business
Stock market holidays in December: When will NSE, BSE remain closed? Check details – The Times of India
Stock market holidays for December: As November comes to a close and the final month of the year begins, investors will want to know on which days trading sessions will be there and on which days stock markets are closed. are likely keeping a close eye on year-end portfolio adjustments, global cues, and corporate earnings.For this year, the only major, away from normal scheduled market holidays in December is Christmas, observed on Thursday, December 25. On this day, Indian stock markets, including the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and National Stock Exchange (NSE), will remain closed across equity, derivatives, and securities lending and borrowing (SLB) segments. Trading in currency and interest rate derivatives segments will continue as usual.Markets are expected to reopen on Friday, December 26, as investors return to monitor global developments and finalize year-end positioning. Apart from weekends, Christmas is the only scheduled market holiday this month, making December relatively quiet compared with other festive months, with regards to stock markets.The last trading session in November, which was November 28 (next two days being the weekend) ended flat. BSE Sensex slipped 13.71 points, or 0.02 per cent, to settle at 85,706.67, after hitting an intra-day high of 85,969.89 and a low of 85,577.82, a swing of 392.07 points. Meanwhile, the NSE Nifty fell 12.60 points, or 0.05 per cent, to 26,202.95, halting its two-day rally.
Business
North Tyneside GP says debt stress causing mental health issues
A GP says patients are presenting with mental health problems because of stress they feel over their levels of personal debt.
According to Citizens Advice, north-east England has the second highest number of people who require professional assistance with debt problems – only London is higher.
Debt charity StepChange said in 2024 the highest concentration of their clients were in the North East, with 37 clients per 10,000 adults.
Dr Kamlesh Sreekissoon, who works as a GP in North Tyneside, said people were juggling “three or four jobs” in the build up to Christmas in order to manage and subsequently struggling with their mental health.
The most common reason for personal debt as reported by Stepchange’s North East clients is a rise in the cost of living (19.3%) and a lack of control over finances (19%).
Both these statistics outstrip the UK figures of 17.7% and 17.9% respectively.
Citizens Advice said thousands of people were falling deeper into debt to meet the cost of basic essentials such as food and fuel, rather than luxuries, but that people also felt under pressure to provide for Christmas.
Dr Sreekissoon said the stress caused by the debt people faced was compounded by issues relating to their family situations.
“At this time of year you will see people juggling three or four jobs, also after caring for elderly relatives, parents, [they’re] stressed out and unfortunately struggling with their mental health,” said Dr Sreekissoon.
He said the debt his patients described was not caused by buying unnecessary things, but by simply struggling to make ends meet.
“It’s more the basics,” he said. “I see people taking on working long hours, doing two or three jobs, and just being kind of stretched out, not being able to see their kids, and that just burns people out which is really sad to see”.
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