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FTSE 100 at new peak despite fading rate cut hope

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FTSE 100 at new peak despite fading rate cut hope



London’s FTSE 100 hit a new all-time high on Wednesday, shrugging off a hot UK inflation print and fresh falls among technology stocks on Wall Street.

The FTSE 100 index closed up 98.92 points, 1.1%, at 9,288.14.

It had earlier traded as high as 9,301.19.

The FTSE 250 ended up 52.62 points, 0.2%, at 21,885.88, but the AIM All-Share finished 3.48 points lower, 0.5%, at 759.74.

Figures from the Office for National Statistics showed UK consumer price inflation picked up to 3.8% in July from 3.6% in June, exceeding FXStreet-cited market consensus expectations of 3.7%.

On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.1%, defying the consensus forecast of a 0.1% decrease but slowing from a 0.3% rise in June.

Core consumer price inflation, which excludes energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, picked up to 3.8% annually from 3.7% in June, and against consensus expectations of another 3.7% rate.

Annual service price inflation, a gauge which has been in focus in recent months, picked up to 5.0% in July from 4.7% in June, ahead of 4.8% consensus.

The ONS said that “transport, particularly air fares, made the largest upward contribution” to the July annual inflation rate, partly due to the timing of school holidays.

Barclays said the figures increase the risk that the Bank of England will hold interest rates steady for longer.

Callum McLaren-Stewart, at Citi, thinks the hurdle for a September rate cut now looks “borderline impossible” although he continues to see a cut in November as likely on the basis of fiscal contraction in the autumn budget.

But Pantheon Macroeconomics thinks sticky inflation will keep rates on hold for the rest of the year.

“The big picture remains that inflation is set to stay miles above target for the foreseeable future,” Elliott Jordan-Doak, at Pantheon, said.

Rate sensitive housebuilders bucked the upbeat mood on the FTSE 100.

Persimmon fell 0.3% and Taylor Wimpey dipped 0.5%.

In better news for the sector, average UK house prices increased by 3.7% to £269,000 in the 12 months to June, picking up from a downwardly revised 2.7% in the 12 months to May, according to ONS data.

May’s figure was revised from growth of 3.9% before, partly reflecting a change in how new build inflation is assessed.

House prices rose 3.3% in England, 2.6% in Wales, 5.9% in Scotland and by 5.5% in Northern Ireland from a year ago.

Despite the fading rate cut hopes, the pound eased to 1.3468 dollars late on Wednesday afternoon in London, compared with 1.3503 dollars at the equities close on Tuesday. The euro edged down to 1.1661 dollars, lower against 1.1669 dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading lower at 147.15 yen compared with 147.75 yen.

In Europe, the CAC 40 in Paris ended slightly lower, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt closed down 0.6%.

In New York, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.1%, the S&P 500 was 0.5% lower, and the Nasdaq Composite declined 1.2%.

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was at 4.29%, narrowed from 4.31%. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was 4.90%, trimmed from 4.91%.

Technology stocks bore the brunt of the losses on Wall Street after a report produced by a branch of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology suggested 95% of companies are getting zero return on their investment in generative artificial intelligence.

Russ Mould, at AJ Bell, noted these findings follow hot on the heels of comments from OpenAI chief executive Sam Altman that suggested investors are “over-excited” in this area.

“For now, this looks like a mild and possibly necessary correction after an extremely strong run for this space and the companies within it. Investors will be watching closely to see if AI stocks stabilise from here or the selling continues. Nvidia’s quarterly earnings next week now look even more crucial than they already were,” Mr Mould commented.

On the FTSE 100, ConvaTec gained 5.6% as the medical products supplier started a share buyback worth up to 300 million dollars.

United Utilities firmed 3.5% as Barclays upgraded to “overweight” and set a 1,535 pence share price target.

But the Nasdaq losses on Wall Street saw Polar Capital Technology Trust and Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust – both investors in the technology sector – fall 3.2% and 1.6% respectively.

On the FTSE 250, Ithaca Energy shot up 10% after reporting a big jump in half-year profit, confirming its dividend plans, and increasing its 2025 production guidance.

The North Sea-focused oil and gas company said pre-tax profit almost tripled to 146.2 million dollars in the second quarter from 52.9 million dollars a year before, as revenue more than doubled to 746.4 million dollars from 361.6 million dollars.

Average production in the first half was 123,600 barrels of oil equivalent per day, up from 53,000 a year before. Ithaca raised its full-year guidance to between 119,000 and 125,000 boe per day from between 109,000 and 119,000.

On AIM, Fevertree Drinks slumped 9.9% as Exane BNP downgraded to “underperform” with a 740p per share price target.

Elsewhere, positive trading updates supported timber distributor James Latham and fishing tackle and equipment retailer Angling Direct, up 3.2% and 6.7% respectively.

A barrel of Brent traded at 66.70 dollars late on Wednesday afternoon, up from 66.08 dollars on Tuesday. Gold firmed to 3,341.46 dollars an ounce against 3,325.33 dollars.

The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were ConvaTec Group, up 13 pence at 244.2p, United Utilities, up 39p at 1,159.5p, Unilever, up 148p at 4,692p, Cola Europacific Partners, up 200p at 6,840p and Imperial Brands, up 85p at 3,141p.

The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Polar Capital Technology Trust, down 13 pence at 388.5p, Rolls-Royce, down 33.5p at 1,026p, easyJet, down 10.2p at 508.4p, ICG, down 38p at 2,162p and Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, down 17p at 1,066p.

Thursday’s local corporate calendar has full-year results from recruiter Hays.

The global economic calendar on Thursday has a slew of composite PMI readings, UK public sector borrowing data, US weekly jobless claims figures and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index.

Contributed by Alliance News



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‘Friendly nations’ only: Iran allows India, Pakistan, 3 other countries to use Strait of Hormuz amid war – The Times of India

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‘Friendly nations’ only: Iran allows India, Pakistan, 3 other countries to use Strait of Hormuz amid war – The Times of India


Strait of Hormuz (AP photo)

Iran on Thursday said that, despite ongoing military escalation in the Middle East, it has allowed transit through the Strait of Hormuz for “friendly nations,” including India.The consulate general of Iran in Mumbai shared a statement from Iran’s foreign minister Abbas Araghchi, saying: “We have permitted passage through the Strait of #Hormuz for friendly nations, including China, Russia, India, Iraq, and Pakistan.”Araghchi’s remarks came after UN secretary-general Antonio Guterres called for the Strait of Hormuz to remain open.In a post on X, Guterres said, “The prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz is choking the movement of oil, gas, and fertilizer at a critical moment in the global planting season. Across the region and beyond, civilians are enduring serious harm and living under profound insecurity. The UN is working to minimise the consequences of the war. And the best way to minimise those consequences is clear: end the war immediately.

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‘SURPRISE FRONTS…’: After Hormuz, Iran Warns Of Shutting Down Another Key Strait; Big Declaration

The UN chief also urged US-Israel and Iran to end the ongoing military escalation.“My message to the US & Israel is that it’s high time to end the war – as human suffering deepens, civilian casualties mount & the global economic impact is increasingly devastating. My message to Iran is to stop attacking their neighbours that are not parties to the conflict,” he said.“My message to the US and Israel is that it is high time to end the war, as human suffering deepens, civilian casualties mount, and the global economic impact becomes increasingly devastating. My message to Iran is to stop attacking neighbours that are not parties to the conflict,” he said.However, for Western powers, the key oil lifeline remains the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint now increasingly volatile amid the US-Israel offensive on Iran. The strong retaliatory action by Tehran regime included the choking of key waterway in the Gulf, with fears that any disruption could effectively choke global energy flows.



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Strait of Hormuz disruptions: India buys first LPG cargo from Iran in years; tanker was initially bound for China – The Times of India

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Strait of Hormuz disruptions: India buys first LPG cargo from Iran in years; tanker was initially bound for China – The Times of India


India has faced significant disruption to energy supplies routed through the Strait of Hormuz. (AI image)

For the first time in several years, India has reportedly purchased liquified petroleum gas (LPG) from Iran after the Donald Trump administration granted a 30-day sanctions waiver to keep oil and gas prices in check. India had stopped energy imports from Iran in 2019 amid Western sanctions. Data from LSEG indicated that the tanker carrying the cargo was originally headed for China.India has faced significant disruption to energy supplies routed through the Strait of Hormuz due to the ongoing US-Israeli conflict with Iran.

Iran LPG headed to India

The sanctioned vessel Aurora, transporting Iranian LPG, is expected to arrive today at the west coast port of Mangalore, sources told Reuters. Sources said the cargo was procured through a trader, with payment to be made in rupees. They added that India is also considering additional purchases of Iranian LPG cargoes.

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LPG Tanker ‘Pyxis Pioneer’ With Over 47,000 Tonnes Of Fuel From US Arrives At New Mangalore Port

Also Read | US-Iran war: Why India is facing an LPG crisis — explained in chartsThe LPG shipment will be distributed among three state-run fuel retailers: Indian Oil Corporation, Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited.However, an official said he was not aware of any purchases of Iranian cargoes. “(There are) no loaded cargoes from Iran, we have not heard of that,” Rajesh Kumar Sinha, Special Secretary in the federal shipping ministry, said at a press conference on Wednesday.India, the world’s second-largest importer of LPG, is grappling with its most severe gas supply crunch in decades, prompting the government to cut allocations to industries in order to safeguard household cooking fuel needs.The country consumed 33.15 million metric tonnes of LPG last year, with imports meeting roughly 60% of the demand. A significant majority of these imports originated from the Middle East.India is also working to clear LPG cargoes stranded in the Strait of Hormuz, with four tankers — Shivalik, Nanda Devi, Pine Gas and Jag Vasant — already moved. In addition, the country has begun loading LPG onto empty vessels that had been stuck in the Persian Gulf.



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Government grant to reopen CO2 plant amid fears of Iran-linked shortages

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Government grant to reopen CO2 plant amid fears of Iran-linked shortages



A mothballed carbon dioxide plant is to be reopened with a Government grant of up to £100 million amid fears of shortages caused by the Iran war.

Business Secretary Peter Kyle signed off the grant to reopen the Ensus plant on Teesside, according to the Financial Times.

It is understood the grant will pay to get the plant up and running again for an initial three-month period.

The plant was mothballed last year after a trade deal with the US cut tariffs on bioethanol, its main product.

It will be reopened due to its ability to produce CO2 as a by-product. The gas is vital for several sectors, including drinks and the nuclear industry, but supply has been disrupted thanks to soaring energy costs on other sources such as fertiliser factories.

The grant for the Ensus plant is the first major intervention by the UK Government aimed at tackling possible shortages caused by the Iran conflict.

But fears range much wider than CO2, with former BP executive Nick Butler telling Times Radio the UK could face oil and gas shortages in two to three weeks.

He said: “There will be shortages and I think the Government now should be seriously planning how they’re going to handle that and part of that is maximising supply.”

On Tuesday, Shell chief executive Wael Sawan issued a similar warning at an industry conference.

Ministers continue to insist the supply of petrol remains reliable.

Energy minister Michael Shanks told MPs on Wednesday the Government was “absolutely not” planning for blackouts or petrol rationing, insisting the UK had a “strong and diverse range of supplies”.

The key question remains how long Iran’s effective blockade of the vital Strait of Hormuz will last.

On Thursday, Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper will urge Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz as she travels to the G7 Foreign Ministers’ meeting in France.

She will make clear that the UK will help ensure safe passage for ships through the strait and provide an additional £2m in humanitarian aid to Lebanon.

Ms Cooper is expected to hold talks with counterparts, including US secretary of state Marco Rubio, France’s Jean-Noel Barrot, and Germany’s Johann Wadephul.

The strait remained closed on Wednesday evening, despite Iran’s foreign minister Abbas Araghchi claiming it was open to “non-hostile” shipping.

The conflict continued with Washington saying it would hit Iran “harder” if Tehran refused to accept it had been “defeated militarily”.

White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt insisted “productive” talks were continuing between Washington and Tehran.

But Mr Araghchi said in a message on his Telegram channel, translated from Farsi, that there had been “no negotiations or discussions with the American side” and suggested the US had effectively admitted defeat.

He said: “Didn’t they talk about ‘unconditional surrender’ before? What happened now that they are talking about negotiations and calling for them?

“I will explain that there are no negotiations, but the fact that they are mobilising their highest officials to negotiate with the Islamic Republic indicates their acceptance of defeat.”



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