Connect with us

Business

FTSE 100 up as investors pin hopes on US rate cut

Published

on

FTSE 100 up as investors pin hopes on US rate cut



The FTSE 100 closed higher on Thursday, despite downbeat construction data, amid growing conviction of a US interest rate cut next week.

Matt Britzman of Hargreaves Lansdown said: “Investors are leaning into the idea that easier policy is coming, which is fuelling appetite for risk and lifting everything from blue chips to small caps.

“Still, with inflation data and Fed decisions ahead, the path is far from set in stone.”

He added: “Expectations have swung wildly over the past month, so assuming any cuts are a done deal could be a costly mistake, and volatility can just as quickly return if the rate-cutting narrative shifts.

“One thing’s clear, if markets want a Santa rally, they need the Fed to stay in line.”

The FTSE 100 index closed up 18.80 points, 0.2%, at 9,710.87. The FTSE 250 ended up 69.54 points, 0.3%, at 22,070.99, and the AIM All-Share closed up 0.26 of a point at 749.43.

In London, figures showed UK construction activity fell at the fastest pace in five and a half years in November, in the eleventh month of lower construction output.

The headline S&P Global UK construction purchasing managers’ index fell to 39.4 points in November from 44.1 in October. The reading was below the neutral 50-point mark separating growth from contraction for the eleventh month in a row.

The rate of decline in total industry activity was the steepest recorded since May 2020.

Rob Wood of Pantheon Macroeconomics said the report points to “catastrophic conditions in the construction sector, with the activity balance showing the sharpest output fall since the country was in lockdown in May 2020”.

“To say construction firms were unhappy with budget speculation would be an understatement,” Mr Wood added, although he thinks “the PMI remains too pessimistic”.

He said: “Looking ahead, we expect activity in the construction sector to remain muted in the coming months, albeit growth will likely continue to outperform the catastrophic PMI.

“That said, the risks must lie to the downside, with construction output falls now possible in the coming months.”

In European equities on Thursday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed up 0.4%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt ended 0.8% higher.

In Europe, car-makers fuelled gains on the back of the news that US President Donald Trump could seek to reduce fuel economy standards implemented by former president Joe Biden, aimed at making it easier for carmakers to sell fossil fuel cars.

Joshua Mahony at Scope Markets said: “While this is a move aimed at lowering costs for US consumers, it also provides a shot in the arm for European carmakers that have struggled to dominate the EV space given rampant Chinese competition.”

The sector was further boosted by positive comments from Bank of America, which sees benefits for the sector from an expected reduction in regulatory pressures in 2026.

Bank of America upgraded Renault, up 6.4%, and Porsche SE, up 4.8%, to “buy” from “neutral” and Mercedes-Benz, up 4.1%, to “neutral” from “underperform”.

Stocks in New York were down slightly at the time of the London equity close.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq Composite were all 0.1% lower.

David Morrison of Trade Nation said the probabilities of a 25 basis point rate cut following next week’s Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting have shot higher, after several senior Federal Open Market Committee members said a weakening labour market was trumping inflation fears when it came to considering rates.

Despite this, Morrison said there will be plenty of interest when the latest core PCE update, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, is released on Friday.

“Could it possibly come in so high that the Fed has to put off a rate cut? Unlikely, but stranger things have happened,” he added.

The pound was quoted higher at 1.3353 US dollars at the time of the London equities close on Thursday, compared to 1.3342 US dollars on Wednesday.

The euro stood at 1.1658 US dollars, down against 1.1664 US dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading lower at 154.75 yen compared to 155.02 yen.

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.10%, widened from 4.08%. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was unchanged at 4.76%, stretched from 4.75%.

The FTSE 250 saw some big swings in prices, with a double-digit gain for SSP, while Trustpilot and Baltic Classifieds plummeted.

London-based SSP, which operates Upper Crust, leapt 11%, as it reported trading has “gained momentum” in recent weeks and announced a “wide-ranging review” of its Continental European rail business.

The operator of food and beverage outlets in travel locations in 38 countries said it is also mulling options to “realise value” in recently-listed Indian investee Travel Food Services.

The Continental European arm has struggled with a “slow return of passenger numbers” since the pandemic, SSP said.

Trustpilot dropped 32%, after a scathing report from short-seller Grizzly Research, which accused the Copenhagen-based consumer review platform of “mafia-style extortion campaigns against non-paying businesses”.

Grizzly said, citing its own investigation, that Trustpilot created “unsolicited review profiles for all kinds of businesses with the intention to attract hyper-negative reviews and force these businesses into paying subscription deals to ‘more actively manage’ the reviews.”

But Trustpilot called the claims “selective, misleading and framed to support a predetermined narrative”.

“It omits key context and publicly available facts, creating a false impression and exhibits a lack of understanding of how Trustpilot works. Trust is our guiding principle and is central to everything we do,” the firm added.

The short-seller recently also took aim at Hello Fresh, sending its shares into a tailspin.

Also firmly in the red was Baltic Classifieds, down 14%, after it warned that lower revenue growth and continued investment will depress margins in the short term.

Analysts were less than enamoured with the outlook commentary, with Panmure Liberum highlighting a “very poorly written statement” and “poor quality communications”, while Peel Hunt noted “lower clarity in its outlook than usual”,

Brent oil was quoted at 63.45 US dollars a barrel at the time of the London equities close on Thursday, up from 63.04 US dollars late on Wednesday.

Gold was quoted at 4,214.64 US dollars an ounce on Thursday, lower against 4,222.94 US dollars.

The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were 3i, up 154.0p at 3,153.0p, Burberry, up 35.5p at 1,213.0p, Spirax Group, up 200.0p at 6,920.0p, JD Sports Fashion, up 2.0p at 80.5p and Rolls-Royce, up 28.0p at 1,091.0p.

The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Entain, down 30.6p at 755.2p, Diageo, down 68.0p at 1,682.0p, Auto Trader, down 13.8p at 608.4p, London Stock Exchange, down 178.0p at 8,690.0p and Rightmove, down 9.6p at 522.8p.

Friday’s economic calendar has US personal consumption expenditures data, the Michigan consumer sentiment index, and unemployment and average hourly wages figures in Canada. In the UK, the Halifax house price index will be published.

There are no significant events scheduled in Friday’s UK corporate calendar.

Contributed by Alliance News.



Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Business

Waterstones would sell books written by AI, says chain’s boss

Published

on

Waterstones would sell books written by AI, says chain’s boss


Felicity Hannah,Big Boss Interviewand

Michael Sheils McNamee,Business reporter

PA Head and shoulders shot of James Daunt against a blurred pale background. He is smiling slightlyPA

Waterstones would stock books created using artificial intelligence, the company’s boss has said, as long as they were clearly labelled, and if customers wanted them.

However, James Daunt, a veteran of the bookselling industry, said he personally did not expect that to happen.

“There’s a huge proliferation of AI generated content and most of it are not books that we should be selling,” he said.

But it would be “up to the reader”.

An explosion in the use of artificial intelligence, or AI, has prompted heated debate in the publishing industry, with writers concerned about the impact on their livelihoods.

In a wide-ranging interview with the BBC’s Big Boss podcast, Daunt said while Waterstones uses AI for logistics they currently try to keep AI generated content out of the shops.

“As a bookseller, we sell what publishers publish, but I can say that instinctively that is something that we would recoil [from],” he said.

Daunt, who is heading into his 36th Christmas season in the book trade, said Waterstones’ success had been built on handing more control to individual store managers to serve their own communities.

“Head office is there to make life easier,” he said.

“Make sure the books that they order turn up on time, but do not tell [managers] where to put them.”

Daunt also said he was a bit of an outlier in welcoming last week’s Budget and he raised the prospect of a stock market flotation of the book chain.

‘Disdain for AI’

A report published last month by the University of Cambridge found that more than half of published authors feared being replaced by artificial intelligence.

Two-thirds also said their work had been used without permission or payment to train the large language models which lie behind generative AI tools.

But some writers use AI themselves, especially for research, and AI tools are being used to edit novels, and even produce full-length works.

“Do I think that our booksellers are likely to put those kind of books front and centre? I would be surprised,” Daunt says.

“Who’s to know? [Technology firms] are spending trillions and trillions on AI and maybe it’s going to produce the next War and Peace.

“And if people want to read that book, AI-generated or not, we will be selling it – as long as it doesn’t pretend to [be] something that it isn’t.

“We as booksellers would certainly naturally and instinctively disdain it,” Daunt said.

Readers value a connection with the author “that does require a real person” he added. Any AI-generated book would always be clearly labelled as such.

A profile of James Daunt. Age: 62, Family, Married with two daughters / best piece of career advice received: Running your own business will be very hard work / what he does to relax: read a good book - currently reading, The Artist by Lucy Steeds

The softly spoken former banker has overturned convention before.

When he took over at Waterstones in 2011, he took the bold decision to end the practice of publishers paying to have their books displayed prominently in stores. It cost him £27m in lost revenue and prompted a “nervous breakdown” among publishers, he said, but it paid off and in 2016 the company returned to profit.

Now Waterstones staff write their own book recommendations, choose books of the month, and the manager selects what goes on the display tables.

As well as books, the chain stocks pens, reading lights, games, wrapping paper and other stationery.

The strategy has helped it defy the decline on the High Street, with around ten new stores opening a year, and profits in 2024 of £33m against sales of £528m.

Waterstones is part of a wider stable, including Foyles and Blackwell’s, owned by hedge fund Elliott Advisers.

Daunt has also been appointed chief executive of Barnes and Noble, the large US bookstore chain also owned by Elliot Advisers.

Share sale

Success on both sides of the Atlantic has led to speculation that shares in Waterstones and Barnes and Noble could be jointly floated in either New York or London.

“It feels like an inevitability and probably better than being flipped to the next private equity person,” says Daunt.

Private owners naturally aim to sell businesses on, he points out. “It’s what they do.”

But it is not clear that London, which he says has been “suffering” as a location for initial public offerings lately, would be considered suitable.

“We’re based out of London but we have a huge American business; Barnes and Noble is much larger than Waterstones.”

Helpful rate change

As for last week’s Budget, Daunt says it sometimes feels like he might be “the only person who is sympathetic” to the situation the chancellor is in.

The government has drawn the ire of the business community for raising employer National Insurance and the minimum wage and not coming up with more growth-boosting measures.

But the Budget included changes that were “very helpful” to companies like his, said Daunt.

Getty Images A person in a red puffer coat holds shopping bags as they look at book titles displayed in a window of a Waterstones branch in Crewe in 2020.Getty Images

Waterstones has seen success despite a general trend of High Street decline over the past decade

Business rates will be lower for retailers operating out of small sites, while larger business properties, like warehouses will pay more.

Daunt said that although Waterstones does have larger premises, levelling the playing field between High Street and online retailers was something he has been calling for for a long time.

With the days of advent now ticking past, the company is well into the se portion of the year when Waterstones makes about 70% of its annual profit.

He says the post-pandemic rebound, with people returning to bookshops, does not seem to have gone away.

Personally he has also retained his love of reading, even after 36 years in the industry. But he does have one bad book habit, he said.

“Because I read professionally, I do a rather awful thing which is start a lot of books and then not finish them.

“I love the excitement of opening up a first novel and not knowing what’s going to come of it. But if it isn’t quite that good, I’ll just move on.”



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Ulta shares pop as beauty retailer hikes sales and earnings outlook for second straight quarter

Published

on

Ulta shares pop as beauty retailer hikes sales and earnings outlook for second straight quarter


Ulta Beauty on Thursday raised its full-year sales outlook after topping Wall Street’s fiscal third-quarter expectations and seeing shoppers splurge on perfumes, skincare items and more.

The beauty retailer said it now expects net sales for the year to be approximately $12.3 billion, higher than its previous expectations of $12 billion to $12.1 billion. That would would represent an increase from last fiscal year’s net sales of $11.3 billion. It expects earnings per share of $25.20 to $25.50, up from its prior expectations of $23.85 to $24.30.

It anticipates comparable sales, a metric that includes sales at stores open at least 14 months and e-commerce sales, to rise by 4.4% to 4.7%, up from its prior outlook of 2.5% to 3.5%.

Ulta has raised its sales and profit outlook for two consecutive quarters. The company’s stock rose more than 6% in extended trading.

In a news release, CEO Kecia Steelman said “exciting assortment newness, improved in-store and digital experiences, and bold marketing efforts are resonating with our guests and drove strong sales results.”

On the company’s earnings call, she said that Ulta is “pleased with our Black Friday and Cyber Monday performance” and ready for the shopping season — even one when consumers may be more selective about spending.

“Our insights suggest beauty consumers’ budgets are tight and they are focused on value,” she said. “Despite this, beauty enthusiasts tell us that they spend intend to spend on beauty for seasonal needs, affordable splurges and gifts for loved ones. They are focused on replenishing their essentials and strategically making smart purchases around strong value.”

Here’s what the retailer reported for the fiscal third quarter compared with what Wall Street expected, according to LSEG:

  • Earnings per share: $5.14 vs. $4.64 expected
  • Revenue: $2.86 billion vs. $2.72 billion expected

Ulta has benefitted from shoppers who have kept spending on beauty, even as they trim the budget or seek out lower-priced options in other discretionary categories. Yet the company faces stiffer competition from a wide range of rivals, including big-box retailers like Walmart, online players like Amazon and upstarts like TikTok Shop.

Beauty sales have been strong overall this year in the U.S., according to data from market research firm Circana. In the first nine months of 2025, prestige beauty sales in terms of dollars rose 4% and mass beauty sales rose 5% year over year.

According to Circana, beauty is poised to be a popular category during the holidays, with the market researcher’s surveys indicating that more consumers plan to gift beauty products than a year ago, particularly those in households with higher-incomes and those with children.

Revenue rose from $2.53 billion in the year-ago quarter.

Comparable sales jumped by 6.3% year over year. Shoppers visited Ulta’s stores and websites more and spent more during visits. Average ticket rose 3.8% and transactions increased by 2.4% year over year.

In the three-month period that ended Nov. 1, Ulta reported net income of $230.9 million, or $5.14 per share, compared with $242.2 million, or $5.14 per share, in the year-ago quarter.

Though consumer confidence is weak, Steelman said on Ulta’s earnings call that “beauty engagement remained healthy.” She said sales of both mass and prestige beauty items grew by mid single-digits year over year.

Fragrance was its strongest category in the quarter, with double-digit sales growth year over year, as shoppers bought luxury scents from Valentino and Dolce & Gabbana and also lower-priced scents like Squishmallows perfumes.

Steelman said that in October, Ulta added more shelf space for fragrance in more than 60% of its U.S. stores to try to get ready for higher demand during the holidays and beyond.

In skincare, the retailer’s second-fastest growing category, sales grew by high single digits year over year, she said. Shoppers bought items they discovered on social media, including Korean or K-beauty brands and purchased merchandise from Rihanna’s Fenty Skin Body collection, which launched in the fall.

To drive growth, Ulta has also been expanding internationally and launched a third-party marketplace in October. In July, it announced it had acquired Space NK, a British beauty retailer, from Manzanita Capital. The deal allows Ulta to enter a new international market, since Space NK has 83 stores in the United Kingdom and Ireland.

During the third quarter, Ulta opened seven stores in Mexico through its joint venture partnership with Grupo Bakso. It opened its first Ulta store in the Middle East in Kuwait last month through a franchise partnership with Al-Shabaab.

Through its marketplace, Ulta has added more than 120 brands and over 3,500 unique items to its online assortment, Steelman said. She said the company is “pleased with the initial performance and optimistic about how this new capability can help us strengthen our existing category, attract new guests, and capitalize on incremental growth opportunities in new subcategories,” such as wellness.

Higher tariffs have influenced some of the prices of items carried by Ulta, too. The company saw more brand-driven price increases in the third quarter than the second quarter, interim Chief Financial Officer Chris Lialios said.

Sales in the haircare category grew by mid single-digits, despite a sales decline in personal styling tools that have felt pressure from tariff-related price increases, Steelman said.

Ulta announced in October that Christopher DelOrefice, the chief financial officer of medical technology company Becton Dickinson & Company, will become its new CFO. He will start in the role on Dec. 5.

As of Thursday’s close, Ulta’s shares have risen about 23% so far this year. That surpasses the S&P 500’s nearly 17% gains during the same period.



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Six-month unfair dismissal right to begin in January 2027

Published

on

Six-month unfair dismissal right to begin in January 2027


Paul SeddonPolitical reporter

Getty Images Close-up of an anonymous female warehouse worker scanning package with bar code scannerGetty Images

The government will commit to bringing in enhanced protections against unfair dismissal from the start of 2027, after watering down its plans last week.

Labour ministers agreed to introduce the right to make a claim after six months in a job instead of on day one, after a backlash from business groups.

This new qualifying period would still be shorter than the current two years.

At the time of last week’s climbdown, the business department did not specify when the amended six-month right would come into force.

However, ministers are now expected to make a commitment to implement the new protection from 1 January 2027, when the legislation to deliver the change returns to the House of Commons on Monday.

Such assurances, made from the dispatch box, are not legally binding but are seen as carrying additional political weight by MPs and peers.

The move, which was first reported by The Guardian, followed talks this week between ministers and former deputy PM Angela Rayner and ex-employment minister Justin Madders, two key architects of the original proposals.

Following the talks, Rayner agreed to withdraw an amendment she had planned to table, which would have made the start date 2026.

Writing on social media, Rayner appeared to welcome the government’s decision, saying a January 2027 start date would introduce protection for those hired after July 2026, bringing “real change for workers”.

Probation period shelved

Currently, after two continuous years in a job workers gain additional legal protections against so-called “ordinary” unfair dismissal.

It means employers must identify a fair reason for dismissal – such as conduct or capability – and show that they acted reasonably and followed a fair process.

Until last week, Labour was planning to scrap this qualifying period completely at an unspecified point during 2027, with a new legal probation period, likely to have been nine months, introduced as a safeguard for companies.

But following talks with unions and business groups last week, the qualifying period will instead be set at six months’ service, and the legal probation period shelved.

The U-turn has been widely welcomed by business groups, which had warned the original proposals would discourage companies from hiring.

It has been condemned by some MPs on the left of the Labour Party, as well as the Unite union, a major donor through the affiliation fees its members pay to the party.

The government still plans to bring in new day-one rights to sick pay and paternity leave rights from April 2026.

Compensation cap

Separately, the government is also expected to abolish the current limits on compensation for financial loss in ordinary unfair dismissal cases.

Currently, awards to former employees who successfully bring a claim are limited to either their annual salary or £118,223, whichever is lower.

But the government plans to amend its employment rights bill to abolish both these caps, as the bill goes through its final stages in Parliament.

This would bring the process more into line with “automatic” unfair dismissal cases – where workers have been sacked for reasons such as discrimination and whistleblowing – where financial loss awards are uncapped.

Abolishing the caps did not feature in the original version of the bill unveiled in October last year, or in Labour’s general election manifesto.

But ministers committed to do so last week during talks to reach an agreed route forward between some unions and industry groups.



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending