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Gold At Record High Puts SGB Investors In A Dilemma: Sell Or Hold After 200% Gains?

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Gold At Record High Puts SGB Investors In A Dilemma: Sell Or Hold After 200% Gains?


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Gold rises to Rs 1,57,150 per 10g as investors seek safety. SGB holders weigh selling for profit or holding for interest and tax benefits.

Gold at Peak Levels: Is It Time to Cash Out of SGBs?

Gold at Peak Levels: Is It Time to Cash Out of SGBs?

Gold prices have surged to a record high as investors flock to safe-haven assets amid escalating geopolitical tensions, the Indian rupee’s slide to a record low, and aggressive gold stockpiling by central banks.

In the domestic market, gold prices touched a fresh all-time high of Rs 1,57,150 per 10 grams.

Riding on the sharp rally in gold, Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGBs)—the government-backed investment scheme—have delivered exceptional returns to existing investors, with some tranches generating gains of over 200%.

With gold prices at elevated levels, SGB holders now face a key dilemma: should they book profits by selling in the secondary market or hold the bonds until pre-mature redemption or maturity to benefit from long-term returns and tax advantages? Market experts believe the decision lies on the objective of the holder.

Aakanksha Shukla, AVP–Wealth Management at Master Capital Services Ltd, believes selling SGBs before maturity can be a prudent portfolio move in the current environment.

“Investors sitting on substantial appreciation may prefer to lock in gains rather than risk a price correction, especially when gold prices have already exceeded long-term return expectations,” she said.

Shukla added that early redemption through RBI windows remains tax-efficient, as capital gains are exempt, and the proceeds can be redeployed into undervalued assets or diversified across equity and debt.

Echoing a balanced view, Thomas Stephen, Head–Preferred at Anand Rathi Share and Stock Brokers, said the decision largely depends on individual investment objectives. Selling at a premium can deliver attractive returns, particularly for bonds that have crossed the five-year lock-in period and are eligible for premature redemption or active trading on exchanges.

However, he cautioned that holding SGBs till maturity allows investors to continue earning the fixed 2.5% annual interest, along with any further appreciation in gold prices, while enjoying full capital gains tax exemption at maturity.

“Selling early may work for short-term profit-taking in a strong gold market, but holding till maturity can enhance overall returns through interest income and tax benefits if gold prices remain firm or rise further,” Stephen said.

Stephen further noted that many SGB tranches are currently trading at a premium in the secondary market due to record gold prices and strong retail demand, which has pushed prices above their underlying gold value. “Selling in the secondary market allows investors to lock in these premiums and realise profits now, especially for series that have already seen sharp appreciation over their issue price,” he added.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips by experts in this News18.com report are their own and not those of the website or its management. Users are advised to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

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Education Budget 2026 Live Updates: What Will The Education Sector Get From FM Nirmala Sitharaman?

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Education Budget 2026 Live Updates: What Will The Education Sector Get From FM Nirmala Sitharaman?


Union Education Budget 2026 Live Updates: Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present the Union Budget 2026–27 on February 1, with a strong focus expected on the Education Budget 2026, a key area of interest for students, teachers, and institutions across the country.

In the previous budget, the Bharatiya Janata Party government announced plans to add 75,000 medical seats over five years and strengthen infrastructure at IITs established after 2014. For 2025, the Centre had earmarked Rs 1,28,650.05 crore for education, a 6.65 percent rise compared to the previous year.

Meanwhile, the Economic Survey 2025–26, tabled in the Parliament of India, points to persistent challenges in school education. While enrolment at the school level is close to universal, this has not translated into consistent learning outcomes, especially beyond elementary classes. The net enrolment rate drops sharply at the secondary level, standing at just over 52 per cent.

The survey also flags concerns over student retention after Class 8, particularly in rural areas. It notes an uneven spread of schools, with a majority offering only foundational and preparatory education, while far fewer institutions provide secondary-level schooling. This gap, the survey suggests, is a key reason behind low enrolment in higher classes.

Stay tuned to this LIVE blog for all the latest updates on the Education Budget 2026 LIVE.



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LPG Rates Increased After OGRA Decision – SUCH TV

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LPG Rates Increased After OGRA Decision – SUCH TV



The Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (Ogra) has increased the price of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). According to a notification, the price of LPG has risen by Rs6.37 per kilogram. Following the increase, the price of a domestic LPG cylinder has gone up by Rs75.21. The revised prices have come into effect immediately. 

The rise in LPG prices has added to the inflationary burden on household consumers.



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Budget 2026: Fiscal deficit, capex, borrowing and debt roadmap among key numbers to track – The Times of India

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Budget 2026: Fiscal deficit, capex, borrowing and debt roadmap among key numbers to track – The Times of India


Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman is set to present her record ninth straight Union Budget, with markets closely tracking headline numbers ranging from the fiscal deficit and capital expenditure to borrowing and tax revenue projections, as India charts its course as the world’s fastest-growing major economy.The Budget will be presented in a paperless format, continuing the practice of recent years. Sitharaman had, in her maiden Budget in 2019, replaced the traditional leather briefcase with a red cloth–wrapped bahi-khata, marking a symbolic shift in presentation.Here are the key numbers and signals that investors, economists and policymakers will be watching in the Union Budget for 2025-26 and beyond:

Fiscal deficit

The fiscal deficit for the current financial year (FY26) is budgeted at 4.4 per cent of GDP, as reported PTI. With the government having achieved its consolidation goal of keeping the deficit below 4.5 per cent, attention will turn to guidance for FY27. Markets expect the government to indicate a deficit closer to 4 per cent of GDP next year, alongside clarity on the medium-term debt reduction path.

Capital expenditure

Capital spending remains a central pillar of the government’s growth strategy. Capex for FY26 is pegged at Rs 11.2 lakh crore. In the upcoming Budget, the government is expected to continue prioritising infrastructure outlays, with a possible 10–15 per cent increase that could take capex beyond Rs 12 lakh crore, especially as private investment sentiment remains cautious.

Debt roadmap

In her previous Budget speech, the finance minister had said fiscal policy from 2026-27 onwards would aim to keep central government debt on a declining trajectory as a share of GDP. Markets will look for a clearer timeline on when general government debt-to-GDP could move towards the 60 per cent target. General government debt stood at about 85 per cent of GDP in 2024, including central government debt of around 57 per cent.

Borrowing programme

Gross market borrowing for FY26 is estimated at Rs 14.80 lakh crore. The borrowing number announced in the Budget will be closely scrutinised, as it signals the government’s funding needs, fiscal discipline and potential impact on bond yields.

Tax revenue

Gross tax revenue for 2025-26 has been estimated at Rs 42.70 lakh crore, implying an 11 per cent growth over FY25. This includes Rs 25.20 lakh crore from direct taxes—personal income tax and corporate tax—and Rs 17.5 lakh crore from indirect taxes such as customs, excise duty and GST.

GST collections

Goods and Services Tax collections for FY26 are projected to rise 11 per cent to Rs 11.78 lakh crore. Projections for FY27 will be keenly watched, especially as GST revenue growth is expected to gather pace following rate rationalisation measures implemented since September 2025.

Nominal GDP growth

Nominal GDP growth for FY26 was initially estimated at 10.1 per cent but has since been revised down to about 8 per cent due to lower-than-expected inflation, even as real GDP growth is pegged at 7.4 per cent by the National Statistics Office. The FY27 nominal GDP assumption—likely in the 10.5–11 per cent range—will offer clues on the government’s inflation and growth outlook.

Spending priorities

Beyond the headline aggregates, the Budget will also be scanned for allocations to key social and development schemes, as well as spending on priority sectors such as health and education.Together, these numbers will shape expectations on fiscal discipline, growth momentum and policy support as India navigates a complex global economic environment.



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