Business
Gold price prediction: What’s the gold rate outlook for September 8, 2025 week – should you buy or sell? – The Times of India
Gold price prediction today: Gold prices are likely to remain well supported in the near-term, says Manav Modi, Senior Analyst, Commodity Research at Motilal Oswal Financial services Ltd. He shares the outlook on gold prices and strategy for gold investors:Gold prices surged to record highs on both Comex and the domestic front last week, while silver also hit new domestic peaks and touched its highest level on Comex since 2011, driven by safe-haven demand amid escalating geopolitical tensions and growing expectations of a US Federal Reserve rate cut. Investor sentiment was further bolstered by weak US labor market data, including a sharp slowdown in non-farm payrolls, which rose by just 22,000 in August against expectations of 75,000, and a rise in the unemployment rate to a near four-year high of 4.3%.These developments have solidified expectations for a 25-bps rate cut at the Fed’s upcoming September meeting, with markets now pricing in a nearly 100% probability and even starting to discount a 10% chance of a larger 50-bps cut. Central bank buying added further support, with China increasing its gold reserves for the 10th straight month and Poland proposing to raise its reserve target from 20% to 30%.ETF inflows into gold hit their highest since June 2023, and speculators increased net long positions by over 20,000 contracts. Despite some profit booking, gold held firm near the key $3,600 level and is on track for its best week in three months.This week, all eyes are on the upcoming US inflation data—Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI)—scheduled just days ahead of the critical Federal Reserve meeting. These data points will be key in confirming whether inflationary pressures are easing enough to warrant the expected 25 or more rate cut. A softer-than-expected inflation data could further weigh on the Dollar index, which has already been under pressure, and further support the bullion rally.Conversely, if inflation surprises to the upside, it may complicate the Fed’s decision for additional rate cuts ahead and influence Governor Powell’s speech at the meet, potentially capping some gains for gold and Silver. However, with labor market data already showing clear signs of cooling and market participants fully pricing in a cut, gold is likely to remain well-supported unless inflation data drastically changes the outlook.Stance: Buy on Dips.Supports and Resistances: 1,06,000 to 1,04,000 – 1,08,000 to 1,10,000(Disclaimer: Recommendations and views on the stock market and other asset classes given by experts are their own. These opinions do not represent the views of The Times of India)
Business
‘Holistic And Forward-Looking’: Piyush Goyal Says Budget 2026 Reflects Future-Ready India
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Piyush Goyal termed the Budget “economically and fundamentally very strong”, and stated that it “reflects the aspirations of the youth of the country”.
Minister of Commerce and Industry Piyush Goyal. (File photo)
Union Minister Piyush Goyal on Sunday termed Budget 2026 “futuristic and holistic”, and stated that it “reflects the aspirations of the youth of the country and is forward-looking”.
Speaking exclusively to CNN-News18 on Budget 2026, presented by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, Goyal said, “This is a fabulous budget and it is very futuristic. The Budget 2026 has covered all sectors including technology, infrastructure, etc.”
“The technology sector has been given a thrust. The budget focuses on infrastructure. It is a holistic and forward-looking budget refecting future ready Bharat,” he said, adding, “The budget meets the aspirations of the youth and new India.”
Stating that the Budget is economically and fundamentally very strong, the Union Minister said, “Farmers, animal husbandry and labour-intensive sectors get a major push as this Budget focuses on investment, value addition and jobs.”
#Exclusive | “The Budget is economically and fundamentally very strong,”Preparing India for Viksit Bharat. Farmers, animal husbandry and labour-intensive sectors get a major push as the Budget focuses on investment, value addition and jobs.@Parikshitl in an exclusive… pic.twitter.com/tJr2SItcaW
— News18 (@CNNnews18) February 1, 2026
‘Budget 2026 Is Human-Centric’: PM Modi
Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Sunday said that the Union Budget 2026 is “human-centric and strengthens India’s foundation with path-breaking reforms.” The Prime Minister also described it as historic and a catalyst for accelerating the country’s reform trajectory and long-term growth.
Following the presentation of the Budget in Parliament, PM Modi said the proposals would energise the economy, empower citizens and give India’s youth fresh opportunities to scale new heights.
“This budget brings the dreams of the present to life and strengthens the foundation of India’s bright future. This budget is a strong foundation for our high-flying aspirations of a developed India by 2047,” he said.
Calling the government’s reform agenda a “Reform Express”, the Prime Minister added, “The reform express that India is riding today will gain new energy and new momentum from this budget.”
February 01, 2026, 19:01 IST
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Business
How inflation rebound is set to affect UK interest rates
Interest rates are widely expected to remain at 3.75% as Bank of England policymakers prioritise curbing above-target inflation while also monitoring economic growth, according to expert analysis.
The Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is anticipated to leave borrowing costs unchanged when it announces its latest decision on Thursday, marking its first interest rate setting meeting of the year.
This follows a rate cut delivered before Christmas, which was the fourth such reduction.
At the time, Governor Andrew Bailey noted that the UK had “passed the recent peak in inflation and it has continued to fall”, enabling the MPC to ease borrowing costs. However, he cautioned that any further cuts would be a “closer call”.
Since that decision, official data has revealed that inflation unexpectedly rebounded in December, rising for the first time in five months.
The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation rate reached 3.4% for the month, an increase from 3.2% in November, with factors such as tobacco duties and airfares contributing to the upward pressure on prices.
Economists suggest this inflation uptick is likely to reinforce the MPC’s inclination to keep rates steady this month.
Philip Shaw, an analyst for Investec, stated: “The principal reason to hold off from easing again is that at 3.4% in December, inflation remains well above the 2% target.”
He added: “But with the stance of policy less restrictive than previously, there are greater risks that further easing is unwarranted.”
Shaw also highlighted other data points the MPC would consider, including gross domestic product (GDP), which saw a return to growth of 0.3% in November – a potentially encouraging sign for policymakers.
Matt Swannell, chief economic advisor to the EY ITEM Club, affirmed: “Keeping bank rate unchanged at 3.75% at next week’s meeting looks a near-certainty.”
He noted that while some MPC members who favoured a cut in December still have concerns about persistent wage growth and inflation, recent data has not been compelling enough to prompt back-to-back reductions.
Edward Allenby, senior economic advisor at Oxford Economics, forecasts the next rate cut to occur in April.
He explained: “The MPC will continue to face a delicate balancing act between supporting growth and preventing inflation from becoming entrenched, with forthcoming data on pay settlements likely to play a decisive role in shaping the next policy move.”
The Bank’s policymakers have consistently voiced concerns regarding the pace of wage increases in the UK, which can fuel overall inflation.
Business
Budget 2026: India pushes local industry as global tensions rise
India’s budget focuses on infrastructure and defence spending and tax breaks for data-centre investments.
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