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Gold surges to record Rs376,700 amid global rally – SUCH TV

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Gold surges to record Rs376,700 amid global rally – SUCH TV



Gold prices in Pakistan climbed to a new record on Wednesday, following the global rally in the yellow metal. Softer US jobs data have fueled expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut later this month, driving the surge in both international and local markets.

Heightened global uncertainties also kept safe-haven demand strong, further fueling the uptrend.

According to the All Pakistan Sarafa Gems and Jewellers Association (APSGJA), the price of gold per tola rose Rs6,000 to settle at a historic high of Rs376,700.

Meanwhile, the price of 10 grams climbed Rs5,144 to Rs322,959, also an all-time high.

A day earlier, domestic gold prices had remained stable, with the per-tola rate unchanged at Rs370,700.

On the global front, gold extended its record-breaking rally as investors bet on a potential rate cut by the US Fed amid soft employment data, while persistent geopolitical and economic risks sustained demand for the precious metal.

Interactive Commodities Director Adnan Agar noted that while gold continued to gain momentum, its rally appeared “very overextended.

” He highlighted that gold touched the high of $3,567 and was trading around $3,564, after hitting the low of $3,526.

“There are chances that it will make a correction after going near $3,580 or $3,600, and then it may fall back into the $3,460-3,500 range,” he said.

“The upcoming US data, including key releases on Thursday and Friday, will be critical for determining the next direction for gold.

” Market analysts believe that while the long-term outlook remains bullish due to global macroeconomic headwinds and investor flight to safety, short-term corrections cannot be ruled out, particularly if the upcoming US data springs a surprise and tempers rate cut expectations.

Spot gold was up 0.9% to $3,562.80 per ounce by 10:46 am EDT (1446 GMT), after hitting a record high of $3,565.57.

The World Gold Council, in collaboration with law firm Linklaters and consultancy firm Hilltop Walk Consulting, has announced a new framework to modernise the global gold market, according to Reuters.

The proposal introduces a new structure called Pooled Gold Interests, which allows investors to own a share of physical gold stored in vaults, including in small, fractional amounts.

The system is designed to make gold easier to trade and use, including as collateral in financial markets, and allow easy and secure transfer of gold interests between parties.

Meanwhile, the Pakistani rupee extended its upward trend against the US dollar, inching up 0.01% in the inter-bank market.

By the day’s close, the currency stood at 281.71 per dollar, marking an improvement of one paisa. This also reflected the rupee’s 19th straight session of gains.

Since August 6, 2025, the local currency has appreciated a cumulative 96 paisa against the greenback. A day earlier, it had closed at 281.72.

Furthermore, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) raised Rs551.97 billion on Wednesday through auctions of government securities, including Rs36.74 billion via Pakistan Investment Bonds – Floating Rate (10-year) and Rs515.23 billion through Market Treasury Bills (three, six, and 12 months).



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Are UK interest rates expected to fall again?

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Are UK interest rates expected to fall again?


Kevin PeacheyCost of living correspondent

Getty Images A woman wearing a bright red coat walks over a bridge with other commuters during a snow storm in Manchester. Getty Images

The Bank of England has cut interest rates from 4% to 3.75%, the lowest level since February 2023.

Analysts are divided about whether the Bank will cut again when it next meets in February.

Interest rates affect mortgage, credit card and savings rates for millions of people.

What are interest rates and why do they change?

An interest rate tells you how much it costs to borrow money, or the reward for saving it.

The Bank of England’s base rate is what it charges other banks and building societies to borrow money, which influences what they charge their own customers for mortgages as well as the interest rate they pay on savings.

The Bank moves interest rates up and down in order to keep UK inflation – the rate at which prices are increasing – at or near 2%.

When inflation is above that target, the Bank typically puts rates up. The idea is that this encourages people to spend less, reducing demand for goods and services and limiting price rises.

What has been happening to UK interest rates and inflation?

The main inflation measure, CPI, has dropped significantly since the high of 11.1% recorded in October 2022.

However, it was 3.4% in the year to December 2025 – up from 3.2% in November, and slightly higher than analysts had expected.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) – which measures inflation – said the increase was driven by higher tobacco prices and the cost of airfares over the Christmas and New Year period.

A line chart showing interest rates and CPI inflation in the UK, from January 2021 to 2026. Interest rates were at 0.1% in January 2021. They were increased from late-2021, reaching a peak of 5.25% in August 2023. They were then lowered slightly to 5% in August 2024, to 4.75% in November, to 4.5% on 6 February 2025, to 4.25% on 8 May 2025, and to 4% on 7 August. At the Bank of England's latest meeting on 18 December, rates were cut to 3.75%. The inflation rate was 0.7% in the year to January 2021. It then rose to a peak of 11.1% in October 2022, before falling again to a low of 1.7% in September 2024 and then starting to rise again. In the year to December 2025, it was 3.4%, up from 3.2% the previous month. The sources are the Bank of England and the Office for National Statistics.

The Bank of England’s base rate reached a recent high of 5.25% in 2023. It remained at that level until August 2024, when the Bank started cutting.

Five cuts brought rates down to 4%, before the Bank held rates at its meetings in September and November 2025 before the December cut.

Are interest rates expected to fall again?

Most analysts had expected the December cut, but the vote among members of the nine-member monetary policy committee (MPC) was divided, with only five in favour.

The Bank said rates were likely to continue dropping in the future, but warned decisions on further cuts in 2026 would be contested.

“We still think rates are on a gradual path downward but with every cut we make, how much further we go becomes a closer call,” said the Bank’s governor Andrew Bailey.

If inflation continues to rise – or just fails to fall – further rate cuts are less likely.

Mr Bailey has also repeatedly warned about the continuing impact of US tariffs, and political uncertainty around the world.

The next interest rate decision is on Thursday 5 February.

How do interest rate cuts affect mortgages, loans and savings rates?

Getty Images A picture looking through an estate agent's window showing a young couple talking to an estate agent who is wearing a grey suitGetty Images

Mortgages

Just under a third of households have a mortgage, according to the government’s English Housing Survey.

About 500,000 homeowners have a mortgage that “tracks” the Bank of England’s rate. A 0.25 percentage point cut is likely to mean a reduction of £29 in the monthly repayments for the average outstanding loan.

For the additional 500,000 homeowners on standard variable (SVR) rates – assuming their lender passed on the benchmark rate cut – there would typically be a £14 a month fall in monthly payments for the average outstanding loan.

But the vast majority of mortgage customers have fixed-rate deals. While their monthly payments aren’t immediately affected by a rate change, future deals are.

Mortgage rates have been falling recently, partly owing to the expectation the Bank would cut rates in December.

As of 21 January, the average two-year fixed residential mortgage rate was 4.77%, according to financial information company Moneyfacts. A five-year rate was 4.87%.

The average two-year tracker rate was 4.41%.

About 800,000 fixed-rate mortgages with an interest rate of 3% or below are expected to expire every year, on average, until the end of 2027. Borrowing costs for customers coming off those deals are expected to rise sharply.

Mortgage calculator

You can see how your mortgage may be affected by future interest rate changes by using our calculator:

Credit cards and loans

Bank of England interest rates also influence the amount charged on credit cards, bank loans and car loans.

Lenders can decide to reduce their own interest rates if Bank cuts make borrowing costs cheaper.

However, this tends to happen very slowly.

Getty Images A woman in a leather jacket paying for her drinks by tapping a card machine with her phoneGetty Images

Savings

The Bank base rate also affects how much savers earn on their money.

A falling base rate is likely to mean a reduction in the returns offered to savers by banks and building societies.

The current average rate for an easy access savings account is 2.45%, according to Moneyfacts.

Any further cut in rates could particularly affect those who rely on the interest from their savings to top up their income.

What is happening to interest rates in other countries?

In recent years, the UK has had one of the highest interest rates in the G7 – the group representing the world’s seven largest so-called “advanced” economies.

In June 2024, the European Central Bank (ECB) started to cut its main interest rate for the eurozone from an all-time high of 4%.

At its meeting in June 2025 the ECB cut rates by 0.25 percentage points to 2% where they have remained.

The US central bank – the Federal Reserve – has cut interest rates three times since September 2025, taking them to the current range of 3.5% to 3.75%, the lowest since 2022.

President Trump had repeatedly attacked the Fed for not cutting earlier.





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UK inflation rises to 3.4%, driven by tobacco and airfares

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UK inflation rises to 3.4%, driven by tobacco and airfares


Inflation has risen to 3.4% in the year to December, driven by higher tobacco prices and airfares, according to official figures.

The increase in average prices across the UK economy – the first in five months – was just above expectations, with many economists predicting only a slight uptick to 3.3%.

The cost of airfares was a contributor “likely because of the timing of return flights over the Christmas and New Year period”, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said. It also reflected an increase in tobacco duty introduced in late November.

It is the last set of monthly inflation figures released before the Bank of England’s decision on interest rates in February.

In addition to tobacco and transport prices, “rising food costs, particularly for bread and cereals, were also an upward driver,” said ONS chief economist Grant Fitzner.

“These were partially offset by a fall in rents inflation and lower prices for a range of recreational and cultural purchases.”

In response to the figures, Chancellor Rachel Reeves said her priority was cutting the cost of living, citing measures in her November Budget including a freeze to rail fares and prescription charges.

“Money off bills and into the pockets of working people is my choice.

“There’s more to do, but this is the year that Britain turns a corner,” Reeves said.

Inflation in the UK is a measure of the Consumer Prices Index, which is a virtual basket of hundreds of everyday goods and services selected by the ONS that includes things like bread, fruit, furniture and different items of clothing.

The prices of these items are tracked by the ONS over the previous 12 months, and the basket is regularly updated to reflect shopping trends.



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AU Small Finance Bank net up 26% to Rs 667 crore – The Times of India

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AU Small Finance Bank net up 26% to Rs 667 crore – The Times of India


MUMBAI: AU Small Finance Bank, which has received RBI nod to convert into a commercial bank, reported a net profit of Rs 667.66 crore for the December 2025 quarter, up 26.3% from Rs 528.45 crore in the corresponding quarter last year. The improvement was driven by strong growth in core earnings and a sharp reduction in credit costs, which offset higher operating expenses.Net interest income (NII) rose 15.8% year-on-year to Rs 2,341.27 crore, compared with Rs 2,022.71 crore in the December 2024 quarter. Interest earned increased to Rs 4,727.47 crore from Rs 4,113.48 crore, while interest expended rose to Rs 2,386.20 crore from Rs 2,090.77 crore. On a sequential basis, NII increased 9.2% from Rs 2,144.42 crore in the September 2025 quarter, reflecting improved yields on advances and relatively stable funding costs.During the quarter, the bank also announced a series of board and senior management changes as part of a broader leadership realignment. The board approved the appointment of Phani Shankar as non-executive independent director for a three-year term. It also cleared the appointment of Vivek Tripathi, chief credit officer, as whole-time director, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals. Uttam Tibrewal, who will complete his current term as whole-time director in April 2026, will continue as deputy CEO, while Divya Sehgal, non-executive non-independent director, resigned after completion of the integration of Fincare Small Finance Bank. V G Kannan is set to complete his second term as independent director in January 2026.Other income increased 17.0% year-on-year to Rs 723.80 crore from Rs 618.41 crore a year earlier, supporting overall revenue growth. Total income for the quarter rose to Rs 5,451.26 crore, compared with Rs 4,731.89 crore in the corresponding period last year.Operating expenses climbed 28.8% year-on-year to Rs 1,849.75 crore from Rs 1,436.21 crore, driven by higher employee costs and expansion-related spending, including regulatory-linked adjustments. Despite this, operating profit before provisions remained broadly stable at Rs 1,215.31 crore, compared with Rs 1,204.91 crore in the year-ago quarter.Provisions (other than tax) declined 34.0% year-on-year to Rs 331.14 crore from Rs 501.68 crore, reflecting lower credit costs. Tax expense increased to Rs 216.51 crore from Rs 174.78 crore, in line with higher profitability.Asset quality remained stable, with gross NPAs at Rs 2,880.54 crore, compared with Rs 2,335.51 crore a year earlier, while the gross NPA ratio was largely unchanged at 2.30% against 2.31% in the corresponding quarter last year. The bank’s capital position strengthened, with the capital adequacy ratio improving to 19.01% from 18.01%, providing headroom for future growth.



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