Business
Holiday rush: US retailers eye Black Friday lift; shoppers hunt deals despite weak sentiment – The Times of India
Black Friday no longer pulls Americans from Thanksgiving dinners for midnight mall queues, but it still draws more in-store traffic than any other day of the year — and remains the unofficial start of the US holiday shopping season.This year’s kickoff came as US consumer confidence slipped following the federal government shutdown, weak hiring and stubborn inflation, according to The Conference Board, AP reported. Retailers say shoppers have grown more selective and deal-focused, even as they continue to spend on big seasonal moments, creating what executives describe as a “halo effect”.“Consumers have been saying the economy is terrible while continuing to spend for years now, so the outlook is probably better than they are telling us,” Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica Bank, said ahead of Black Friday.At Macy’s Herald Square in New York City, early-morning crowds searched for steep discounts on shoes, clothing, linens and cosmetics after doors opened at 6 a.m. Footwear — marked down by 40–50% — was among the busiest sections. But unlike in past years, the atmosphere was calm.Veronica Nam, 68, picked up Nike sneakers for her husband and spent $256 on Lacoste bedding she estimated was half-price. She said she would wait until after Christmas to buy gifts for other relatives amid fluctuating tariffs under President Donald Trump and several years of elevated prices. “Food is very expensive,” she said.Nearby, 19-year-old Nicholas Menasche was shopping with his mother before heading to Best Buy for video games. The banking intern plans to spend around $1,200 this holiday season — roughly the same as last year. “I’m here to buy stuff. Shoes and clothes,” he said. “It’s a great tradition. The stores are open really early.”Retailers spent spring and summer navigating tariff unpredictability, shifting shipments ahead of import taxes and absorbing some costs to avoid raising prices. Circana data showed 40% of general merchandise in September saw price hikes of at least 5% versus early 2025. Toys, housewares, baby products and sports gear were especially affected; 83% of toys saw at least a 5% price rise. Nearly 80% of US toy sales involve items made in China — a sector hit with steep Trump-era tariffs.Still, malls and analysts reported strong momentum heading into Black Friday. At Minnesota’s Mall of America, foot traffic has exceeded 2019 pre-pandemic levels in recent weeks, said Jill Renslow, the mall’s chief business development and marketing officer. “We’re seeing a very positive start to the holiday season,” she said. “The last few Saturdays in November have been very strong.”Online spending is also growing briskly. Between Nov. 1 and Nov. 23, consumers spent $79.7 billion, Adobe Analytics said — up 7.5% from a year earlier and ahead of its 5.3% forecast.Mastercard SpendingPulse projects holiday sales from Nov. 1 to Dec. 24 will rise 3.6%, compared with last year’s 4.1%.“Clearly, there’s uncertainty,” Mastercard Chief Economist Michelle Meyer said. “Clearly, consumers feel on edge. But at the moment, it doesn’t seem like it’s changing how they are showing up for this season.”
Business
Oil Prices Likely To Fall Later This Year As Global Supply Expands: Signum’s Charles Myers
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‘Because the US now controls Venezuela essentially, and which means the US has unfettered 100% access to the biggest oil reserves in the world,’ chairman of Signum Global Advisors.

Easing geopolitical tensions later this year could unlock additional oil supply from multiple regions, says Charles Myers, Chairman of Signum Global Advisors.
Global oil prices could decline significantly later this year as additional supply enters the market from countries such as Venezuela, Iran and Russia, according to Charles Myers, Chairman of Signum Global Advisors.
Speaking at the second edition of Moneycontrol’s Global Wealth Summit 2026, Myers said geopolitical developments could eventually lead to a surge in global oil supply.
“I say that because the United States now controls Venezuela essentially, and which means the United States has unfettered 100% access to the biggest oil reserves in the world. The oil output from Venezuela will increase much faster than most assessments,” he said.
More supply from Venezuela, Iran and Russia
Myers said easing geopolitical tensions later this year could unlock additional oil supply from multiple regions.
He noted that Venezuela, which holds the world’s largest proven oil reserves, could play a key role in boosting global supply if production ramps up quickly.
According to him, improved relations with Iran and the possibility of a renewed nuclear deal could allow Tehran to export more oil legally. A potential ceasefire in the Ukraine war could also bring more Russian oil back to global markets.
He added that strong investor interest in Venezuela’s energy sector has prompted a visit to Caracas with 55 clients in the coming days.
Myers argued that global oil supplies are already ample and that resolving geopolitical conflicts would help ensure a more stable and secure flow of energy worldwide.
Israel-Iran war
Commenting on the ongoing Middle East conflict, Myers said he believes the outcome of the war involving the United States, Israel and Iran is inevitable.
“The US today is at war, it is a very big deal. There is only one outcome of this war that Iran will lose. I say that factually, at the end of the day, Iran is up against the two most powerful, battle tested, sophisticated militaries in the world,” he said.
He added that the United States military would eventually control the Strait of Hormuz, ensuring the continued flow of oil through the critical global shipping route.
The United States military will occupy the Strait of Hormuz and the oil will flow again. “Though the war might not end,” he said.
The remarks come as tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate. Iran recently warned it could reduce US-linked oil facilities to “a pile of ashes” after US President Donald Trump said Washington could “wipe out” Iran’s largest oil export terminal on Kharg Island. Since the United States and Israel launched hostilities on February 28, waves of missile, drone and air strikes have reportedly displaced millions and killed more than 1,200 people in Iran.
March 14, 2026, 12:22 IST
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Business
Meta Layoffs 2026: Tech Giant Plans To Sack 16,000 Employees Amid Massive AI Spending Push, Says Report
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Meta Layoffs 2026: Over the past year, Mark Zuckerberg has been pushing the company to compete aggressively in the generative AI race.

Mark Zuckerberg announced a major restructuring during the “year of efficiency” in 2022 and early 2023.
Meta Layoffs 2026: US-based tech giant Meta is planning extensive layoffs that could affect 20% or more of its workforce, which is nearly 16,000 employees, as the company looks to offset the rising cost of artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure and improve efficiency through AI-assisted operations, according to a Reuters report.
However, the report said that no timeline has been finalised for the potential job cuts and the scale of layoffs is still under discussion.
According to the report citing people familiar with the matter, senior executives have recently signalled the plans to other leaders and asked them to begin preparing for workforce reductions.
Responding to queries, Meta spokesperson Andy Stone said: “This is speculative reporting about theoretical approaches.”
Layoffs could affect nearly 16,000 employees
Meta had nearly 79,000 employees as of December 31, according to the company’s latest regulatory filing.
If the company proceeds with a 20% reduction, the layoffs could impact around 16,000 workers. That would make it the largest workforce reduction at the company since Mark Zuckerberg announced a major restructuring during the “year of efficiency” in 2022 and early 2023.
Meta had laid off about 11,000 employees in November 2022, roughly 13% of its workforce at the time. Around four months later, the company announced another round of job cuts affecting nearly 10,000 employees.
Massive push into generative AI
Over the past year, Zuckerberg has been pushing the company to compete aggressively in the generative AI race.
Meta has been offering lucrative compensation packages — some reportedly worth hundreds of millions of dollars over four years — to attract top AI researchers to its newly created superintelligence team.
The company has also said it plans to invest as much as $600 billion to build data centre infrastructure by 2028 to support its AI ambitions.
Earlier this week, Meta acquired Moltbook, a social networking platform designed for AI agents. The company is also reportedly spending at least $2 billion to acquire a Chinese artificial intelligence startup called Manus.
Zuckerberg has also hinted that AI could significantly improve productivity. In January, he said he was already seeing “projects that used to require big teams now be accomplished by a single very talented person.”
AI setbacks and new model plans
Meta’s aggressive AI push follows setbacks with its Llama 4 models last year. The company faced criticism for providing misleading benchmark results for early versions of the model.
It also shelved the release of the largest version of the model, called Behemoth, which had been expected to launch in the summer.
Meta’s superintelligence team is now working on a new model called Avocado to improve its AI capabilities, although the performance of the system has reportedly fallen short of expectations so far, delaying its release.
In January, Amazon confirmed it would cut about 16,000 jobs, representing nearly 10% of its workforce.
Last month, fintech company Block also slashed nearly half of its staff, with CEO Jack Dorsey explicitly pointing to advances in AI tools that allow companies to operate with smaller teams.
March 14, 2026, 08:13 IST
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Business
India’s Forex Reserves Drop $11.7 Billion To $716.8 Billion Amid RBI Dollar Sales
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The drop in reserves came amid heavy dollar sales by RBI as it sought to support the rupee against pressure triggered by the Iran war and the sharp rise in global crude oil prices.

India’s Latest Forex Reserves.
India’s foreign exchange (forex) reserves declined sharply by $11.68 billion to $716.81 billion in the week ended March 6, according to the latest data from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The fall comes after the country’s reserves had touched an all-time high of $728.49 billion in the previous reporting week.
The latest decline was driven by a combination of RBI intervention in the currency market and valuation losses arising from global currency movements, analysts said.
RBI likely sold dollars to support rupee
The drop in reserves came amid heavy dollar sales by the central bank as it sought to support the rupee against pressure triggered by the Iran war and the sharp rise in global crude oil prices. A strengthening US dollar and rising US bond yields also weighed on reserve levels.
According to Gaura Sen Gupta, economist at IDFC FIRST Bank, the decline reflects net dollar sales of about $6.1 billion by the RBI along with valuation losses of roughly $5.4 billion.
“The RBI sterilised the liquidity impact of the dollar sales through on-screen bond purchases,” she said, according to Reuters.
Foreign currency assets lead the decline
Foreign currency assets (FCA), the largest component of the reserves, fell by $9.88 billion to $563.25 billion during the week under review.
Changes in FCA, expressed in dollar terms, include the impact of appreciation or depreciation of non-US currencies such as the euro, pound and yen that are held in the forex reserves.
Gold reserves also fall
The value of India’s gold reserves declined by $1.61 billion to $130.02 billion during the reporting week, the RBI data showed.
Meanwhile, Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) fell by $146 million to $18.72 billion.
India’s reserve position with the IMF also declined by $45 million to $4.83 billion during the week.
Despite the latest decline, India continues to hold one of the world’s largest forex reserve buffers, which provides a cushion against external shocks and helps the central bank manage volatility in the rupee.
March 14, 2026, 07:55 IST
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