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Home Depot tops earnings estimates for the first time in a year as demand for projects remains muted

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Home Depot tops earnings estimates for the first time in a year as demand for projects remains muted


Home Depot on Tuesday posted a roughly 4% quarterly sales decline, as a sluggish real estate market and selective spending by homeowners continued to weigh on home improvement demand.

The company also stuck by the current fiscal year forecast that it shared in December at an investor day. It said it expects full-year total sales growth to range between about 2.5% and 4.5% and adjusted earnings per share to be between roughly flat and up 4% from $14.69 in the prior fiscal year. It expects full-year comparable sales growth, which takes out one-time factors like store openings and closures, to range from flat to up 2%.

Despite the fourth-quarter sales decline, Home Depot topped Wall Street’s revenue and earnings expectations for that period.

In an interview with CNBC, Chief Financial Officer Richard McPhail said U.S. consumers and the company have “been in a frozen housing environment for three years” – and there hasn’t been a meaningful thaw. 

“What we’ve seen as an added pressure during the last year has been this increase in consumer uncertainty, a gradual decline in consumer confidence,” he said. “And so those are signs we’re watching.”

He said customers have told the company that they are concerned about housing affordability and job losses, dynamics that colored Home Depot’s outlook for the year.

Here’s what Home Depot reported for the fiscal fourth quarter of 2025 compared with Wall Street’s estimates, according to a survey of analysts by LSEG:

  • Earnings per share: $2.72 adjusted vs. $2.54 expected
  • Revenue: $38.20 billion vs.  $38.12 billion expected

Shares rose about 2% in premarket trading on Tuesday, as Home Depot beat earnings expectations after missing estimates three quarters in a row. 

Higher interest rates, lower housing turnover and economic uncertainty have challenged the company, as homeowners delay the pricier projects typically spurred by buying or selling a home. 

As the Atlanta-based retailer waits for business to pick up, it laid off 800 employees and announced a five-day a week return-to-office policy in late January.

Yet some investors anticipate an inflection point could be coming for Home Depot, as mortgage rates moderate slightly. The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage fell to 5.99% on Monday, matching its lowest level since 2022, according to Mortgage News Daily. 

Home Depot’s biggest selling season, springtime, is also ahead.

McPhail said Home Depot’s business was relatively stable throughout the year, including in the fourth quarter, when adjusting for storms. He said the company is gaining market share, even as the sector lags.

In the three-month period that ended Feb. 1, Home Depot’s net income fell to $2.57 billion, or $2.58 per share, from $3.0 billion, or $3.02 per share, in the year-ago period. 

Revenue dropped from $39.70 billion in the year-ago period. The company said some decline was due to the most recent fiscal year 2025 having one fewer week. The additional week in the 2024 fiscal year contributed $2.5 billion in sales. 

Comparable sales, an industry metric also called same-store sales, increased 0.4% in the fiscal fourth quarter across the business and 0.3% in the U.S.

Store transactions in the quarter across Home Depot’s website and stores dropped by 1.6% year over year, but average ticket rose 2.4% year over year. Big-ticket purchases, which the company defines as those over $1,000, were 1.3% higher than the year-ago period.

Some of those larger orders may reflect higher prices. McPhail said Home Depot has had “modest” price increases, though he declined to say which items and categories now cost customers more.

Higher tariffs have been one of the forces driving price hikes at retailers, including Home Depot. Companies now face a new landscape for import duties after the Supreme Court on Friday ruled that some of the Trump administration’s tariffs were illegal. Soon after the ruling, President Donald Trump said at a press conference that he would pursue alternative tariffs and proposed an across the board global tariff that he has since set at 15%.

He said Home Depot is “still in the middle of our analysis” after the Supreme Court ruling and latest proposed tariffs.

“Not all the information is out right now. Not all the language is final around what was announced,” he said. He added that Home Depot is “as well positioned as anyone to understand any impacts and manage through them.” 

More than half of what Home Depot sells comes from the U.S., according to the company. It’s diversifying its imports, so that no single country outside of the U.S. represents more than 10% of the company’s purchases, McPhail said.

Though do-it-yourself buyers have cut back, the company still has a more stable business segment.

A growing business from home professionals, such as contractors and roofers, has boosted Home Depot’s overall business. It acquired SRS Distribution, a company that sells supplies to roofing, landscaping and pool professionals, for $18.25 billion last year in 2024 and bought GMS, a specialty building products distributor, for about $4.3 billion last year. 

Pro sales were stronger than do-it-yourself sales during the fourth quarter, McPhail said, though he declined to share specific figures. 

Home Depot opened 12 stores in fiscal 2025 and plans to open 15 additional stores this fiscal year.

The company also announced on Tuesday that its board of directors increased its quarterly dividend by 1.3%, or 3 cents, to $2.33 per share. It will be payable next month.

As of Monday’s close, Home Depot shares are down about 2% over the past year, but up about 10% year to date. That compares to the S&P 500’s nearly 14% gains over the past year and its roughly flat performance year to date.



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Hormuz flashpoint: Why Indian-flagged ships are in focus as Middle East tensions hit global shipping – The Times of India

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Hormuz flashpoint: Why Indian-flagged ships are in focus as Middle East tensions hit global shipping – The Times of India


As tensions rise in Middle East and vessel safety in the Strait of Hormuz comes under renewed focus, the flag a ship flies has emerged as a key factor in maritime security, regulation and state protection.Flagging a vessel means it is registered with a country and must comply with that nation’s maritime laws and regulations. It also gives the flag state powers to investigate and penalise violations of domestic and international laws. Since regulations differ across countries, shipowners often choose jurisdictions that best suit operational and commercial needs, according to an ET report.An Indian-flagged vessel is a commercial ship registered with the Directorate General of Shipping and authorised to fly the national flag. Such vessels are governed by the Merchant Shipping Act and operate under Indian jurisdiction as a sovereign extension on the high seas.These ships are taxed by Indian authorities and must comply with Indian maritime safety, labour and environmental rules. To qualify for Indian flagging, vessels must come to domestic waters for registration and the owning company must be incorporated in India.Indian-flagged ships also receive strategic backing. India protects their interests through naval and diplomatic intervention when required. Experts say this creates a higher compliance burden than “Flag of Convenience” jurisdictions such as Panama and St Kitts.According to Rajeev Kumar Yadav, as quoted ET, director at Vertex Marine Services, Flag of Convenience systems allow vessels to be flagged from anywhere in the world within “3-4 days”.Indian-flagged ships calling at domestic ports can also benefit from lower port levies and tax liabilities, along with priority in government cargo movement and public sector charter contracts.During the Iran crisis, more than two dozen Indian ships were stranded west of the Strait of Hormuz after strict high-risk area classifications were imposed. The Indian Navy escorted several tankers to safety, though some vessels remain in the Persian Gulf.No direct attacks have been reported on Indian-flagged vessels so far, largely due to India’s balanced diplomatic approach in the crisis.However, being Indian-flagged does not give the government powers to decide freight rates or commercial destinations. The state’s role is limited to enforcing civil, criminal and regulatory laws onboard, along with international safety, environmental and labour compliance norms.India’s flagged fleet has been expanding. The Indian-flagged vessel fleet reached 14.2 million Gross Tonnage (GT) in March, with 92 vessels of 1.5 million GT joining during FY26.The long-term Maritime Amrit Kaal Vision 2047 aims to sharply raise India’s share of the global flagged fleet and increase utilisation of Indian-flagged ships from about 7 per cent currently to 30-40 per cent by 2047.



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Oil prices plunge as Iran says Strait of Hormuz ‘open’ during ceasefire

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Oil prices plunge as Iran says Strait of Hormuz ‘open’ during ceasefire



Brent crude sinks by a tenth after Iran says the key waterway is open for commercial ships for the rest of the ceasefire.



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Crude oil fall after reopening of Hormuz drains geopolitical risk from markets – SUCH TV

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Crude oil fall after reopening of Hormuz drains geopolitical risk from markets – SUCH TV



Oil prices tumbled on Friday after Iranian officials said they would allow commercial traffic to resume in the Strait of Hormuz. This lifted equity markets in Europe and New York, where major indices hit new records.

Citing the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Tehran would lift its blockade on shipping through the key Gulf energy trade route.

“In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon, the passage for all commercial vessels through Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire,” Araghchi said.

Traffic in the strategic waterway, through which one-fifth of the world’s crude oil normally flows, has been disrupted by Iran since the US-Israeli offensive began on Feb. 28. At one point, this sent oil prices to a peak of nearly $120 a barrel and roiled the global economy.

Both Brent, the benchmark international contract, and its US equivalent WTI fell below $90 per barrel following Tehran’s announcement. Brent later cut its losses and finished at $90.38 a barrel, down 9.1%.

‘Immediate impact’

“This news is having an immediate impact on markets,” said Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB.

The move also sent a jolt through equity markets, extending a rally in New York. There, equities have pushed ever higher since late March in anticipation of a breakthrough in the Middle East crisis.

“We had seen a big move the last two weeks, and now it’s just really pricing completely out the worst-case scenario, said Angelo Kourkafas, from Edward Jones.

Kourkafas also pointed to underlying strength in the US economy that should get more attention in the coming period as geopolitical concerns ebb.

“Geopolitical developments are moving in the right direction, and at the same time, the earning strength is hard to ignore,” Kourkafas said.

The broad-based S&P 500 finished at 7,126.06, up 1.2% for the day and 4.5% for the week.

‘Good news’

Earlier, European stocks closed higher, with both Frankfurt and Paris gaining 2%.

US President Donald Trump cheered the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in an interview with AFP.

“We’re very close to having a deal,” Trump said in a brief telephone call with AFP from Las Vegas. He added there were “no sticking points at all” left with Tehran.

But Iran quickly pushed back on one key point.

Iran’s foreign ministry said Friday that its stockpile of enriched uranium would not be transferred “anywhere.” It rejected an earlier claim by Trump that the Islamic Republic had agreed to hand it over.

Shipping industry figures, meanwhile, gave a cautious welcome to Iran’s announcement.

A spokesman for German transportation giant Hapag-Lloyd, which has ships stuck in the Gulf, told AFP by phone that the reopening was “in general… good news.”

But he cautioned that shippers still needed details of what route vessels could take and in what order, citing fears of mines.

“One thousand ships cannot just go now to the entrance of the strait, that will be chaos. They (the Iranians) need to give clear orders,” said the spokesman, Nils Haupt.

“We would be ready to go very soon if some of these open questions can be solved within the weekend.”



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