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Indian economy to grow 7.5-7.8% in FY2025-26: Deloitte

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Indian economy to grow 7.5-7.8% in FY2025-26: Deloitte



India’s economy is expected to grow 7.5-7.8 per cent in FY2025-26, supported by resilient domestic demand, easing inflation, and a series of fiscal, monetary, and labour reforms, according to the Deloitte Global Economics Research Centre’s report, ‘India Economic Outlook, January 2026.’ Growth is projected to moderate to 6.6-6.9 per cent in FY2026-27 as global uncertainties and trade frictions persist.

The global consultancy said 2026 will be defined by resilience in domestic consumption, decisive policy reforms, and recalibration of trade strategy, as India navigates spillover effects from protectionist shifts in advanced economies, volatile capital flows, and higher tariffs on select exports.

Despite global uncertainty and rising trade frictions, India is expected to outpace peer economies, supported by low inflation, robust consumption, and sustained public investment.
Deloitte cautioned that delayed trade deals and US tariffs could cap export growth, reinforcing the need for supply-side reforms to build long-term resilience.

Despite these headwinds, India maintained strong momentum in the first half of fiscal 2025-26, recording 8 per cent growth, driven by robust private consumption and investment. Inflation averaged 1.8 per cent, its lowest level in a decade, boosting real incomes and consumer confidence.

Private consumption rose 7.9 per cent year-on-year (YoY) in the second quarter (Q2), supported by tax relief, goods and services tax (GST) rationalisation, and favourable monsoon conditions. At the same time, government capital expenditure accelerated, with utilisation reaching 51.8 per cent in the first half of the fiscal, lifting gross fixed capital formation growth to 7.6 per cent.

On the production side, gross value added (GVA) expanded 8.1 per cent in Q2, led by manufacturing growth of 9.1 per cent and services growth of 9.2 per cent.

Deloitte noted that policy co-ordination played a central role in cushioning the economy. Fiscal measures focused on boosting disposable incomes and sustaining infrastructure investment, while the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) delivered a cumulative 125-basis-point rate cut in 2025 to support credit growth and domestic demand. The long-pending labour codes, implemented in 2025, are expected to improve ease of doing business and accelerate job formalisation.

On the external front, India continued to diversify trade partnerships through agreements with the UK, New Zealand, Oman, and European Free Trade Association (EFTA), while expanding engagement with emerging markets across Africa, Southeast Asia, and West Asia. However, delays in the proposed United States (US)-India trade agreement remain a key risk for exporters.

Deloitte estimated that in the absence of a US-India trade agreement, American tariffs could shave 0.3-0.4 per cent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from Indian exports, likely keeping goods export growth subdued in the near-term.

Looking ahead, policy priorities must transition from demand-led support to supply-side reforms such as GST 2.0, improved logistics efficiency, and productivity gains to sustain growth and strengthen resilience against future global shocks, Deloitte noted.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (CG)



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Canada & EU push to modernise trade deal amid global shifts

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Canada & EU push to modernise trade deal amid global shifts



Canada and the European Union (EU) have agreed to modernise the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) and launch negotiations on a digital trade agreement, a move aimed at strengthening economic ties and expanding cooperation in emerging sectors.

The announcement was made during a summit in Brussels, where leaders from both sides emphasised the need to deepen transatlantic trade amid global economic uncertainty and shifting geopolitical dynamics.

Canada and the EU have agreed to modernise the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) following a summit in Brussels.
It aims to reduce trade barriers, support SMEs while expanding co-operation in digital services and cross-border data flows.
Leaders including Ursula von der Leyen said it will strengthen economic resilience, diversify trade partnerships and secure supply chains.

The initiative seeks to update the 2017 free trade deal by reducing remaining non-tariff barriers, improving regulatory co-ordination and creating clearer investment dispute mechanisms, particularly to support small and medium-sized enterprises.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has set a target of doubling Canada’s non-US trade within the next decade, positioning Europe as a key partner in achieving that goal. According to Canada’s Trade Minister Maninder Sidhu, the effort aligns with the country’s broader strategy to diversify trade beyond its largest partner, the United States, which currently accounts for nearly 70 per cent of Canadian exports and leaves the country vulnerable to shifts in American trade policy.

The agreement also launches talks on a digital trade framework covering data flows, cybersecurity, artificial intelligence regulation and digital services.

Maros Sefcovic, the EU’s Commissioner for Trade and Economic Security, said the initiative reflects the growing importance of digital commerce, noting that more than 40 per cent of EU-Canada services trade is already delivered digitally.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen highlighted that the partnership would support sustainable development, innovation and secure supply chains, particularly in areas such as rare minerals, clean energy and advanced technologies.

The modernisation effort underscores both partners’ commitment to strengthening economic resilience, promoting sustainable trade practices and deepening cooperation in the digital era.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (CG)



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South Korea’s apparel imports slightly lower at $1 billion in January

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South Korea’s apparel imports slightly lower at  billion in January



Imports of knitted apparel and clothing accessories (Chapter **) were valued at $***.*** million in January ****, slightly lower than $***.*** million a year earlier. The imports of non-knitted apparel and clothing accessories (Chapter **) totalled $***.*** million, down *.** per cent from $***.*** million in January ****.

South Korea typically exports fabrics and textile materials while importing readymade garments. During January ****, exports of man-made filaments, strips and similar materials (Chapter **) were valued at $***.*** million, down *.** per cent from $***.*** million a year earlier. Exports of knitted or crocheted fabrics (Chapter **) reached $***.*** million, easing *.** per cent from $***.*** million.



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US company Carter’s sales climb 7.6% to $925.5 mn in Q4

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US company Carter’s sales climb 7.6% to 5.5 mn in Q4



Carter’s, North America’s largest and most-enduring apparel company exclusively for babies and young children, has reported $925.5 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, an increase of $65.7 million, or 7.6 per cent, to $859.7 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024, reflecting growth in each of our US retail, international, and US wholesale segments.

The additional week in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, compared to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024, contributed approximately $37.0 million in consolidated net sales. On a comparable week basis, net sales grew 3.4 per cent. On a reported basis including the extra week in fiscal 2025, the US retail, international, and US wholesale segments grew 9.4 per cent, 10.2 per cent, and 3.4 per cent, respectively. US retail comparable net sales increased 4.7 per cent. Changes in foreign currency exchange rates used for translation in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, as compared to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024, had a favourable effect on consolidated net sales of approximately $3.0 million, or 0.3 per cent.

Carter’s reported Q4 fiscal 2025 sales of $925.5 million, up 7.6 per cent, boosted by a $37 million extra week; on a comparable basis, sales rose 3.4 per cent.
Growth spanned US retail, international, and wholesale segments.
Operating income edged up to $84.7 million, though margin dipped to 9.2 per cent.
Full-year sales increased 1.9 per cent to $2.9 billion.

Operating income increased $1.5 million, or 1.8 per cent, to $84.7 million, compared to $83.2 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024. Operating margin decreased 50 basis points to 9.2 per cent, reflecting incremental tariff costs, investments in product mix and make, and higher performance-based compensation provisions, partially offset by higher pricing, lower corporate expenses, and an asset impairment charge in the prior year period.

“Carter’s delivered improved fourth quarter results with each of our business segments posting sales growth over last year. We see momentum building behind our products and demand creation initiatives, which have driven an improvement in the rate of traffic, new customer acquisition, higher realised pricing, and increased penetration of the best portions of our product assortments. All of this gives us confidence that our strategies are gaining traction,” said Douglas C Palladini, chief executive officer & president.

“2025 was a year of meaningful progress in stabilising our business while responding to significant new tariffs. We took actions to right-size our cost structure and we launched several important initiatives to improve the productivity of our merchandise assortments and store fleet. We also strengthened our balance sheet and liquidity with the successful refinancing of our long-term debt and a new asset-based revolving credit facility in place,” Palladini added.

Consolidated net sales increased $54.3 million, or 1.9 per cent, to $2.90 billion, compared to $2.84 billion in fiscal 2024, reflecting growth in our US retail and international segments that were partially offset by a decline in the US wholesale segment. The additional week in fiscal 2025, compared to fiscal 2024, contributed approximately $37.0 million in consolidated net sales. On a comparable week basis, net sales grew 0.6 per cent. On a reported basis including the extra week in fiscal 2025, the company’s US retail and international segments grew 3.5 per cent, and 6.3 per cent, respectively, while US wholesale net sales declined 2.0 per cent. US retail comparable net sales increased 1.4 per cent. Changes in foreign currency exchange rates used for translation in fiscal 2025, as compared to fiscal 2024, had an unfavourable effect on consolidated net sales of approximately $6.7 million, or 0.2 per cent, the company said in a press release.

“While we are encouraged by our progress, much work remains. Excluding the recent tariff developments, for 2026 we are planning growth in net sales as we build on the momentum of our product and demand creation strategies. We are also planning growth in operating income. We will remain focused and disciplined in our investments and overall spending and expect solid contributions from productivity initiatives. We believe the recent news regarding tariffs will be net positive for Carter’s, but it will take some time to fully understand the implications for our business and the broader marketplace. Our talented and dedicated teams and I are committed to returning Carter’s to long-term sustainable, profitable growth over time,” Palladini concluded.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (RR)



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