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Indian Stock Markets Dip 2.2% Amid Tariff Concerns; Q1 GDP Growth To Provide Buffer

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Indian Stock Markets Dip 2.2% Amid Tariff Concerns; Q1 GDP Growth To Provide Buffer


Mumbai: The Indian equities closed sharply lower this week, as initial optimism in markets faded due to ongoing selling pressure from FII outflows amid US tariff concerns. 

Benchmark indices Nifty and Sensex ended the week with a loss of over 2.2 per cent. Profit-booking was evident in metals, IT, realty, and auto, which shed between 0.5 per cent and 1.5 per cent.

In contrast, Capital Goods, Consumer Durables, Media, and FMCG, posted gains between 0.4 per cent and 1 per cent. Broader markets underperformed, with the Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Small cap 100 indices declining by 0.57 per cent and 0.39 per cent, respectively.

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(Also Read: Key Financial Rules Changing From September 2025)

Markets opened positively this week, driven by a proposed GST rationalisation, a favourable monsoon outlook, and global factors like easing US bond yields and potential Fed rate cuts in September.

However, caution set in ahead of the US penalty tariff deadline, sparking broad-based selling which led to three consecutive sessions in red zone. Analysts said that subsequent imposition of tariffs on Indian goods further dented confidence, driving profit booking across sectors.

“Large caps declined, while mid- and small caps saw sharper losses on stretched valuations and heightened uncertainty,” said Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Investments Limited.

(Also Read: What Is GST Compensation Cess? GST Council May End It By October 31)

Looking ahead, India’s strong Q1 GDP print driven by government spending and policy measures, may provide a buffer against external headwinds, though fiscal concerns remain. A resolution of tariff disputes may boost market sentiment, but the reciprocal 25 per cent tariff is likely to stay in effect in the near to medium term, he added.

Sectors likely to be affected include textiles, equipment manufacturers, metals, auto, and seafood. IT and Pharma may experience sentiment pressure, although they are not directly impacted by the tariffs.

India’s economy shattered expectations in the April-June 2025 quarter, racing ahead with a remarkable 7.8 per cent real GDP growth.

“Investors should keep a close watch on upcoming domestic and US macro data, including PMI prints, jobless claims, payrolls, and unemployment figures, for further insights,” Nair added.

“Nifty has an immediate support base placed at 24,400-24,350 levels, being the confluence of the recent lows and the key retracement area. Index holding above this level will lead to a consolidation in the range of 24,400-24,900,” Bajaj Broking research said in a release.

Markets are epected to show a mixed trend in near term. Analysts said that sectors focused on consumption and domestic growth, including FMCG, Durables, Discretionary, Cement, and Infrastructure, are likely to benefit from GST cuts, strong demand, and increased government spending.



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BP cautions over ‘weak’ oil trading and reveals up to £3.7bn in write-downs

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BP cautions over ‘weak’ oil trading and reveals up to £3.7bn in write-downs



BP has warned it expects to book up to five billion dollars (£3.7 billion) in write-downs across its gas and low-carbon energy division as it also said oil trading had been weak in its final quarter.

The oil giant joined FTSE 100 rival Shell, after it also last week cautioned over a weaker performance from trading, which comes amid a drop in the cost of crude.

BP said Brent crude prices averaged 63.73 dollars per barrel in the fourth quarter of last year compared with 69.13 dollars a barrel in the previous three months.

Oil prices have slumped in recent weeks, partly driven lower due to US President Donald Trump’s move to oust and detain Venezuela’s leader and lay claim to crude in the region, leading to fears of a supply glut.

In its update ahead of full-year results, BP also said it expects to book a four billion dollar (£3 billion) to five billion dollar (£3.7 billion) impairment in its so-called transition businesses, largely relating to its gas and low-carbon energy division.

But it said further progress had been made in slashing debts, with its net debt falling to between 22 billion and 23 billion dollars (£16.4 billion to £17.1 billion) at the end of 2025, down from 26.1 billion dollars (£19.4 billion) at the end of September.

It comes after the firm’s surprise move last month to appoint Woodside Energy boss Meg O’Neill as its new chief executive as Murray Auchincloss stepped down after less than two years in the role.

Ms O’Neill will start in the role on April 1, with Carol Howle, current executive vice president of supply, trading and shipping at BP, acting as chief executive on an interim basis until the new boss joins.

Ms O’Neill’s appointment has made history as she will become the first woman to run BP – and also the first to head up a top five global oil company – as well as being the first ever outsider to take on the post at BP.

Shares in BP fell 1% in morning trading on Wednesday after the latest update.



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Budget 2026: Kolkata realtors seek tax relief, revised affordable housing cap; eye demand revival – The Times of India

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Budget 2026: Kolkata realtors seek tax relief, revised affordable housing cap; eye demand revival – The Times of India


Real estate developers in Kolkata have urged the Centre to use the Union Budget to recalibrate housing policies to reflect rising land and construction costs, calling for higher tax benefits for homebuyers and a long-pending revision of the affordable housing definition to revive demand, especially in the mid-income segment, PTI reported.With the Budget set to be tabled on February 1, industry players said measures such as revisiting price caps for affordable homes, rationalising GST on under-construction properties and easing approval processes could significantly improve affordability and sales momentum.Sushil Mohta, president of CREDAI West Bengal and chairman of Merlin Group, said reforms must align with current market realities. “Revisiting the affordable housing definition, rationalising housing loan interest deductions and streamlining GST rates will significantly improve affordability and demand, especially for middle-income homebuyers,” he told PTI, adding that a policy push for rental housing and wider access to formal housing finance is crucial amid rapid urbanisation.Mahesh Agarwal, managing director of Purti Realty, said continued policy support through tax rationalisation and infrastructure spending remains critical. “A re-evaluation of affordable housing price limits in line with rising land and construction costs, along with adjustments to GST on under-construction property, will enhance affordability,” he said, stressing that simpler tax frameworks and incentives for first-time buyers would help stabilise the market and speed up project execution.Echoing similar concerns, Merlin Group MD Saket Mohta pointed to sharp increases in construction costs since the introduction of GST in 2017, underscoring the need for further rationalisation. He also called for raising the affordable housing price cap from Rs 45 lakh to around Rs 80–90 lakh and expanding unit size norms. “Mid-income housing will be the key demand driver going into 2026, and supportive tax and policy measures are essential to sustain growth,” he said.Eden Realty MD Arya Sumant said the Budget must strike a balance between fiscal discipline and growth-oriented reforms. “Higher home loan interest deductions for mid-income and first-time buyers, an updated affordable housing definition, GST rationalisation and faster approvals will improve project viability and speed-to-market,” he said, adding that sustained urban infrastructure investment would unlock demand across residential and commercial segments.Sahil Saharia, CEO of Bengal Shristi Infrastructure Development Ltd, said policy focus should shift towards large, integrated developments. “Support for mixed-use townships, rental housing and commercial hubs, along with faster clearances and digital single-window mechanisms, can help create self-sustained urban ecosystems and improve execution efficiency,” he said.Developers said clear and stable policy signals in the Budget could help restore homebuyer confidence, attract long-term capital and ensure sustainable growth for the real estate sector in eastern India.



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Power sector’s circular debt shoots up by Rs223 billion – SUCH TV

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Power sector’s circular debt shoots up by Rs223 billion – SUCH TV



Circular debt in the power sector has increased in the first five months of the ongoing financial year (FY). Sources told that the debt shot up by Rs223 billion since July 2025 to reach Rs1,837 billion in November 2025 within two months of the signing of agreements to reduce the debt by Rs1225 billion.

Despite the fact that the government had signed agreements with banks in September last year to reduce the debt, it increased by Rs144 billion in October and November.

In September, the debt stood at Rs1,693 billion, while it was Rs1,614 billion in June 2025.

Sources informed that compared with November 2024, the debt in November 2025 came down by Rs544 billion.

It was Rs2,381 in November 2024, they added.



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